Form 424B2 - Prospectus [Rule 424(b)(2)]

January 2025

Preliminary Pricing Supplement No. 5,630

Registration Statement Nos. 333-275587; 333-275587-01

Dated January 2, 2025

Filed pursuant to Rule 424(b)(2)

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Structured Investments

Opportunities in U.S. Equities

Enhanced Trigger Jump Securities Based on the Value of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index due February 5, 2030

Fully and Unconditionally Guaranteed by Morgan Stanley

Principal at Risk Securities

The Enhanced Trigger Jump Securities, which we refer to as the securities, are unsecured obligations of Morgan Stanley Finance LLC (“MSFL”) and are fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Morgan Stanley. The securities will pay no interest and do not guarantee the return of any of the principal amount at maturity. At maturity, you will receive for each security that you hold an amount in cash that will vary depending on the performance of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index, as determined on the valuation date. If the final index value is greater than or equal to 75% of the initial index value, which we refer to as the downside threshold level, you will receive for each security that you hold at maturity a minimum of $450 to $500 per security (to be determined on the pricing date) in addition to the stated principal amount. If the underlying index appreciates by more than 45% to 50% (to be determined on the pricing date) over the term of the securities, you will receive for each security that you hold at maturity the stated principal amount plus an amount based on the percentage increase of the underlying index. However, if the final index value is less than the downside threshold level, meaning that the underlying index has depreciated by more than 25% from its initial value, the payment due at maturity will be significantly less than the stated principal amount of the securities by an amount that is proportionate to the full percentage decrease in the final index value from the initial index value. Under these circumstances, the payment at maturity per security will be less than $750 and could be zero. Accordingly, you may lose your entire initial investment in the securities. These long-dated securities are for investors who seek an equity index-based return and who are willing to risk their principal and forgo current income in exchange for the upside payment feature that applies to a limited range of performance of the underlying index. The securities are notes issued as part of MSFL’s Series A Global Medium-Term Notes Program.

The underlying index measures the performance of the nearest maturing quarterly E-mini S&P 500 futures contract (the “futures contract”) trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (the “CME”). The futures contract references the S&P 500® Index (the “reference index”). For more information about the S&P 500® Index, see the accompanying index supplement. For more information about the underlying index, see “Annex A — S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index” beginning on page 17.

All payments are subject to our credit risk. If we default on our obligations, you could lose some or all of your investment. These securities are not secured obligations and you will not have any security interest in, or otherwise have any access to, any underlying reference asset or assets.

SUMMARY TERMS
Issuer:	Morgan Stanley Finance LLC
Guarantor:	Morgan Stanley
Issue price:	$1,000 per security (see “Commissions and issue price” below)
Stated principal amount:	$1,000 per security
Pricing date:	January 31, 2025
Original issue date:	February 5, 2025 (3 business days after the pricing date)
Maturity date:	February 5, 2030
Aggregate principal amount:	$
Interest:	None
Underlying index:	S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index
Payment at maturity:	●If the final index value is greater than or equal to the downside threshold level: $1,000 + the greater of (i) $1,000 × the index percent change and (ii) the upside payment ●If the final index value is less than the downside threshold level, meaning the value of the underlying index has declined by more than 25% from its initial index value: $1,000 × index performance factor Under these circumstances, the payment at maturity will be significantly less than the stated principal amount of $1,000, and will represent a loss of more than 25%, and possibly all, of your investment.
Upside payment:	$450 to $500 per security (45% to 50% of the stated principal amount). The actual upside payment will be set on the pricing date.
Index percent change:	(final index value – initial index value) / initial index value
Downside threshold level:	, which is 75% of the initial index value
Index performance factor:	final index value / initial index value
Initial index value:	, which is the index closing value on the pricing date
Final index value:	The index closing value on the valuation date
Valuation date:	January 31, 2030, subject to postponement for non-index business days and certain market disruption events
CUSIP:	61777RTM5
ISIN:	US61777RTM50
Listing:	The securities will not be listed on any securities exchange.
Agent:	Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC (“MS & Co.”), an affiliate of MSFL and a wholly owned subsidiary of Morgan Stanley. See “Supplemental information regarding plan of distribution; conflicts of interest.”
Estimated value on the pricing date:	Approximately $943.20 per security, or within $55.00 of that estimate. See “Investment Summary” beginning on page 2.
Commissions and issue price:	Price to public(1)	Agent’s commissions and fees(2)	Proceeds to us(3)
Per security	$1,000	$	$
Total	$	$	$

(1)The securities will be sold only to investors purchasing the securities in fee-based advisory accounts

(2)MS & Co. expects to sell all of the securities that it purchases from us to an unaffiliated dealer at a price of $ per security, for further sale to certain fee-based advisory accounts at the price to public of $1,000 per security. In addition, selected dealers and their financial advisors may receive a structuring fee of up to $6.25 for each security from the agent or its affiliates. MS & Co. will not receive a sales commission with respect to the securities. See “Supplemental information regarding plan of distribution; conflicts of interest.” For additional information, see “Plan of Distribution (Conflicts of Interest)” in the accompanying product supplement.

(3)See “Use of proceeds and hedging” on page 15.

The securities involve risks not associated with an investment in ordinary debt securities. See “Risk Factors” beginning on page 6.

The Securities and Exchange Commission and state securities regulators have not approved or disapproved these securities, or determined if this document or the accompanying product supplement, index supplement and prospectus is truthful or complete. Any representation to the contrary is a criminal offense.

The securities are not deposits or savings accounts and are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other governmental agency or instrumentality, nor are they obligations of, or guaranteed by, a bank.

You should read this document together with the related product supplement, index supplement and prospectus, each of which can be accessed via the hyperlinks below. When you read the accompanying product supplement and index supplement, please note that all references in such supplements to the prospectus dated November 16, 2023, or to any sections therein, should refer instead to the accompanying prospectus dated April 12, 2024 or to the corresponding sections of such prospectus, as applicable. Please also see “Additional Terms of the Securities” and “Additional Information About the Securities” at the end of this document.

As used in this document, “we,” “us” and “our” refer to Morgan Stanley or MSFL, or Morgan Stanley and MSFL collectively, as the context requires.

 

Product Supplement for Jump Securities dated November 16, 2023  Index Supplement dated November 16, 2023   

Prospectus dated April 12, 2024

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Enhanced Trigger Jump Securities Based on the Value of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index due February 5, 2030

Principal at Risk Securities

 

Investment Summary

Enhanced Trigger Jump Securities

Principal at Risk Securities

The Enhanced Trigger Jump Securities Based on the Value of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index due February 5, 2030 (the “securities”) can be used:

￭As an alternative to direct exposure to the underlying index that provides a minimum positive return of 45% to 50% (to be determined on the pricing date) if the final index value is greater than or equal to the downside threshold level and offers uncapped 1-to-1 participation in the appreciation of the underlying index if the appreciation of the underlying index is greater than 45% to 50%;

￭To enhance returns and potentially outperform the underlying index in a moderately bullish or moderately bearish scenario;

￭To obtain limited protection against the loss of principal in the event of a decline of the underlying index over the term of the securities, but only if the final index value is greater than or equal to the downside threshold level.

If the final index value is less than the downside threshold level, the securities are exposed on a 1:1 basis to the percentage decline of the final index value from the initial index value. Accordingly, investors may lose their entire initial investment in the securities.

Maturity:	5 years
Upside payment:	$450 to $500 per security (45% to 50% of the stated principal amount, to be determined on the pricing date)
Downside threshold level:	75% of the initial index value
Minimum payment at maturity:	None. Investors may lose their entire initial investment in the securities.
Interest:	None

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Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Enhanced Trigger Jump Securities Based on the Value of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index due February 5, 2030

Principal at Risk Securities

 

The original issue price of each security is $1,000. This price includes costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities, which are borne by you, and, consequently, the estimated value of the securities on the pricing date will be less than $1,000. We estimate that the value of each security on the pricing date will be approximately $943.20, or within $55.00 of that estimate. Our estimate of the value of the securities as determined on the pricing date will be set forth in the final pricing supplement.

What goes into the estimated value on the pricing date?

In valuing the securities on the pricing date, we take into account that the securities comprise both a debt component and a performance-based component linked to the underlying index. The estimated value of the securities is determined using our own pricing and valuation models, market inputs and assumptions relating to the underlying index, instruments based on the underlying index, volatility and other factors including current and expected interest rates, as well as an interest rate related to our secondary market credit spread, which is the implied interest rate at which our conventional fixed rate debt trades in the secondary market.

What determines the economic terms of the securities?

In determining the economic terms of the securities, including the upside payment and the downside threshold level, we use an internal funding rate, which is likely to be lower than our secondary market credit spreads and therefore advantageous to us. If the issuing, selling, structuring and hedging costs borne by you were lower or if the internal funding rate were higher, one or more of the economic terms of the securities would be more favorable to you.

What is the relationship between the estimated value on the pricing date and the secondary market price of the securities?

The price at which MS & Co. purchases the securities in the secondary market, absent changes in market conditions, including those related to the underlying index, may vary from, and be lower than, the estimated value on the pricing date, because the secondary market price takes into account our secondary market credit spread as well as the bid-offer spread that MS & Co. would charge in a secondary market transaction of this type and other factors. However, because the costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities are not fully deducted upon issuance, for a period of up to 6 months following the issue date, to the extent that MS & Co. may buy or sell the securities in the secondary market, absent changes in market conditions, including those related to the underlying index, and to our secondary market credit spreads, it would do so based on values higher than the estimated value. We expect that those higher values will also be reflected in your brokerage account statements.

MS & Co. may, but is not obligated to, make a market in the securities, and, if it once chooses to make a market, may cease doing so at any time.

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Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Enhanced Trigger Jump Securities Based on the Value of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index due February 5, 2030

Principal at Risk Securities

 

Key Investment Rationale

This 5-year investment does not pay interest but offers a minimum positive return of 45% to 50% (to be determined on the pricing date) if the final index value is greater than or equal to the downside threshold level and offers uncapped 1-to-1 participation in the appreciation of the underlying index if the appreciation of the underlying index is greater than 45% to 50%. However, if, as of the valuation date, the value of the underlying index has declined by more than 25% from the initial index value, the payment at maturity per security will be less than $750, and could be zero.

Upside Scenario	If the final index value is greater than or equal to the downside threshold level, the payment at maturity for each security will be equal to $1,000 plus the greater of (i) $1,000 times the index percent change and (ii) the upside payment of $450 to $500 (to be determined on the pricing date).
Downside Scenario	If the final index value is less than the downside threshold level, which means that the underlying index has depreciated by more than 25% from its initial index value, you will lose 1% for every 1% decline in the value of the underlying index from the initial index value (e.g., a 50% depreciation in the underlying index will result in a payment at maturity of $500 per security).

 

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Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Enhanced Trigger Jump Securities Based on the Value of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index due February 5, 2030

Principal at Risk Securities

 

How the Trigger Jump Securities Work

Payoff Diagram

The payoff diagram below illustrates the payout on the securities at maturity for a range of hypothetical percentage changes in the underlying index. The diagram is based on the following terms:

Stated principal amount:	$1,000 per security
Hypothetical upside payment:	$450 per security (45% of the stated principal amount). The actual upside payment will be determined on the pricing date.
Downside threshold level:	75% of the initial index value (-25% change in final index value compared with initial index value)

 

Trigger Jump Securities Payoff Diagram

How it works

◼Upside Scenario. If the final index value is greater than or equal to the downside threshold level, the investor would receive $1,000 plus the greater of (i) $1,000 times the index percent change and (ii) the hypothetical upside payment of $450. Under the terms of the securities, an investor would receive a payment at maturity of $1,450 per security if the final index value has increased by no more than 45% or decreased by no more than 25% from the initial index value, and would receive $1,000 plus an amount that represents a 1-to-1 participation in the appreciation of the underlying index if the final index value has increased from the initial index value by more than 45%.

◼Downside Scenario. If the final index value is less than the downside threshold level, the payment at maturity would be less than the stated principal amount of $1,000 by an amount that is proportionate to the full percentage decrease of the underlying index.

oFor example, if the final index value declines by 50% from the initial index value, the payment at maturity would be $500 per security (50% of the stated principal amount).

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Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Enhanced Trigger Jump Securities Based on the Value of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index due February 5, 2030

Principal at Risk Securities

 

Risk Factors

This section describes the material risks relating to the securities. For further discussion of these and other risks, you should read the section entitled “Risk Factors” in the accompanying product supplement, index supplement and prospectus. We also urge you to consult with your investment, legal, tax, accounting and other advisers in connection with your investment in the securities.

Risks Relating to an Investment in the Securities

￭The securities do not pay interest or guarantee any return of principal. The terms of the securities differ from those of ordinary debt securities in that the securities do not pay interest or guarantee payment of any of the principal amount at maturity. At maturity, you will receive for each $1,000 stated principal amount of securities that you hold an amount in cash based upon the final index value. If the final index value is less than the downside threshold level, you will receive an amount in cash that is significantly less than the $1,000 stated principal amount of each security by an amount proportionate to the full decline in the value of the underlying index from the initial index value to the final index value, and you will lose a significant portion or all of your investment. There is no minimum payment at maturity on the securities, and, accordingly, you could lose your entire investment. See “How the Trigger Jump Securities Work” above.

￭The market price of the securities may be influenced by many unpredictable factors. Several factors, many of which are beyond our control, will influence the value of the securities in the secondary market and the price at which MS & Co. may be willing to purchase or sell the securities in the secondary market, including:

￭the value of the underlying index at any time (including in relation to the downside threshold level),

￭the volatility (frequency and magnitude of changes in value) of the underlying index,

￭dividend rates on the securities underlying the reference index,

￭interest and yield rates in the market,

￭geopolitical conditions and economic, financial, political, regulatory or judicial events that affect the futures contract linked to the underlying index, the reference index or equities markets generally and which may affect the value of the underlying index,

￭the time remaining until the maturity of the securities,

￭the composition of the underlying index and changes in the constituent stocks of the underlying index, and

￭any actual or anticipated changes in our credit ratings or credit spreads.

Generally, the longer the time remaining to maturity, the more the market price of the securities will be affected by the other factors described above. Some or all of these factors will influence the price you will receive if you sell your securities prior to maturity. For example, you may have to sell your securities at a substantial discount from the stated principal amount if at the time of sale the value of the underlying index is at or below the initial index value and especially if it is near or below the downside threshold level.

You cannot predict the future performance of the underlying index based on its historical performance. If the final index value is less than the downside threshold level, you will be exposed on a 1-to-1 basis to the full decline in the final index value from the initial index value. There can be no assurance that the final index value will be greater than or equal to the downside threshold level so that you will receive at maturity an amount that is greater than the $1,000 stated principal amount for each security you hold, or that you will not lose a significant portion or all of your investment.

￭The securities are subject to our credit risk, and any actual or anticipated changes to our credit ratings or credit spreads may adversely affect the market value of the securities. You are dependent on our ability to pay all amounts due on the securities at maturity and therefore you are subject to our credit risk. If we default on our obligations under the securities, your investment would be at risk and you could lose some or all of your investment. As a result, the market value of the securities prior to maturity will be affected by changes in the

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Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Enhanced Trigger Jump Securities Based on the Value of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index due February 5, 2030

Principal at Risk Securities

 

market’s view of our creditworthiness. Any actual or anticipated decline in our credit ratings or increase in the credit spreads charged by the market for taking our credit risk is likely to adversely affect the market value of the securities.

￭As a finance subsidiary, MSFL has no independent operations and will have no independent assets. As a finance subsidiary, MSFL has no independent operations beyond the issuance and administration of its securities and will have no independent assets available for distributions to holders of MSFL securities if they make claims in respect of such securities in a bankruptcy, resolution or similar proceeding. Accordingly, any recoveries by such holders will be limited to those available under the related guarantee by Morgan Stanley and that guarantee will rank pari passu with all other unsecured, unsubordinated obligations of Morgan Stanley. Holders will have recourse only to a single claim against Morgan Stanley and its assets under the guarantee. Holders of securities issued by MSFL should accordingly assume that in any such proceedings they would not have any priority over and should be treated pari passu with the claims of other unsecured, unsubordinated creditors of Morgan Stanley, including holders of Morgan Stanley-issued securities.

￭The amount payable on the securities is not linked to the value of the underlying index at any time other than the valuation date. The final index value will be the index closing value on the valuation date, subject to postponement for non-index business days and certain market disruption events. Even if the value of the underlying index appreciates prior to the valuation date but then drops by the valuation date, the payment at maturity may be significantly less than it would have been had the payment at maturity been linked to the value of the underlying index prior to such drop. Although the actual value of the underlying index on the stated maturity date or at other times during the term of the securities may be higher than the final index value, the payment at maturity will be based solely on the index closing value on the valuation date.

￭The rate we are willing to pay for securities of this type, maturity and issuance size is likely to be lower than the rate implied by our secondary market credit spreads and advantageous to us. Both the lower rate and the inclusion of costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities in the original issue price reduce the economic terms of the securities, cause the estimated value of the securities to be less than the original issue price and will adversely affect secondary market prices. Assuming no change in market conditions or any other relevant factors, the prices, if any, at which dealers, including MS & Co., may be willing to purchase the securities in secondary market transactions will likely be significantly lower than the original issue price, because secondary market prices will exclude the issuing, selling, structuring and hedging-related costs that are included in the original issue price and borne by you and because the secondary market prices will reflect our secondary market credit spreads and the bid-offer spread that any dealer would charge in a secondary market transaction of this type as well as other factors.

The inclusion of the costs of issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities in the original issue price and the lower rate we are willing to pay as issuer make the economic terms of the securities less favorable to you than they otherwise would be.

However, because the costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities are not fully deducted upon issuance, for a period of up to 6 months following the issue date, to the extent that MS & Co. may buy or sell the securities in the secondary market, absent changes in market conditions, including those related to the underlying index, and to our secondary market credit spreads, it would do so based on values higher than the estimated value, and we expect that those higher values will also be reflected in your brokerage account statements.

￭The estimated value of the securities is determined by reference to our pricing and valuation models, which may differ from those of other dealers and is not a maximum or minimum secondary market price. These pricing and valuation models are proprietary and rely in part on subjective views of certain market inputs and certain assumptions about future events, which may prove to be incorrect. As a result, because there is no market-standard way to value these types of securities, our models may yield a higher estimated value of the securities than those generated by others, including other dealers in the market, if they attempted to value the securities. In addition, the estimated value on the pricing date does not represent a minimum or maximum price at which dealers, including MS & Co., would be willing to purchase your securities in the secondary market (if any exists) at any time. The value of your securities at any time after the date of this document will vary based on many factors that cannot be predicted with accuracy, including our creditworthiness and changes in market conditions. See also “The market price of the securities may be influenced by many unpredictable factors” above.

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Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Enhanced Trigger Jump Securities Based on the Value of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index due February 5, 2030

Principal at Risk Securities

 

￭The securities will not be listed on any securities exchange and secondary trading may be limited. The securities will not be listed on any securities exchange. Therefore, there may be little or no secondary market for the securities. Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, which we refer to as MS & Co., may, but is not obligated to, make a market in the securities and, if it once chooses to make a market, may cease doing so at any time. When it does make a market, it will generally do so for transactions of routine secondary market size at prices based on its estimate of the current value of the securities, taking into account its bid/offer spread, our credit spreads, market volatility, the notional size of the proposed sale, the cost of unwinding any related hedging positions, the time remaining to maturity and the likelihood that it will be able to resell the securities. Even if there is a secondary market, it may not provide enough liquidity to allow you to trade or sell the securities easily. Since other broker-dealers may not participate significantly in the secondary market for the securities, the price at which you may be able to trade your securities is likely to depend on the price, if any, at which MS & Co. is willing to transact. If, at any time, MS & Co. were to cease making a market in the securities, it is likely that there would be no secondary market for the securities. Accordingly, you should be willing to hold your securities to maturity.

￭Investing in the securities is not equivalent to investing in the underlying index. Investing in the securities is not equivalent to investing in the underlying index, the futures contract linked to the underlying index or the component stocks of the reference index. Investors in the securities will not have voting rights or rights to receive dividends or other distributions or any other rights with respect to the component stocks of the reference index. Further, by purchasing the securities, you are taking credit risk to us and not to any counter-party to the futures contract linked to the underlying index. Your return on the securities will not reflect the return you would realize if you purchased any stocks or futures contracts that are tracked directly or indirectly by the underlying index.

￭The calculation agent, which is a subsidiary of Morgan Stanley and an affiliate of MSFL, will make determinations with respect to the securities. As calculation agent, MS & Co. will determine the initial index value, the downside threshold level, the final index value, the index percent change or the index performance factor, as applicable, and the payment that you will receive at maturity, if any. Moreover, certain determinations made by MS & Co., in its capacity as calculation agent, may require it to exercise discretion and make subjective judgments, such as with respect to the occurrence or non-occurrence of market disruption events and the selection of a successor index or calculation of the index closing value in the event of a market disruption event or discontinuance of the underlying index. These potentially subjective determinations may adversely affect the payout to you at maturity, if any. For further information regarding these types of determinations, see “Description of Securities—Postponement of Valuation Date(s),” “—Discontinuance of Any Underlying Index or Basket Index; Alteration of Method of Calculation,” “—Alternate Exchange Calculation in case of an Event of Default” and “—Calculation Agent and Calculations” in the accompanying product supplement for Jump Securities. In addition, MS & Co. has determined the estimated value of the securities on the pricing date.

￭Hedging and trading activity by our affiliates could potentially adversely affect the value of the securities. One or more of our affiliates and/or third-party dealers expect to carry out hedging activities related to the securities (and to other instruments linked to the underlying index, the futures contract linked to the underlying index or the component stocks of the reference index), including trading in the futures contract linked to the underlying index and the stocks that constitute the reference index as well as in other instruments related to the underlying index. As a result, these entities may be unwinding or adjusting hedge positions during the term of the securities, and the hedging strategy may involve greater and more frequent dynamic adjustments to the hedge as the valuation date approaches. Some of our affiliates also trade the stocks that constitute the reference index and other financial instruments related to the underlying index on a regular basis as part of their general broker-dealer and other businesses. Any of these hedging or trading activities on or prior to the pricing date could potentially increase the initial index value, and, therefore, the value at or above which the underlying index must close on the valuation date so that investors do not suffer a significant loss on their initial investment in the securities. Additionally, such hedging or trading activities during the term of the securities, including on the valuation date, could adversely affect the value of the underlying index on the valuation date, and, accordingly, the amount of cash an investor will receive at maturity, if any.

￭The U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities are uncertain. Please read the discussion under “Additional Information—Tax considerations” in this document and the discussion under

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Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Enhanced Trigger Jump Securities Based on the Value of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index due February 5, 2030

Principal at Risk Securities

 

“United States Federal Taxation” in the accompanying product supplement for Jump Securities (together, the “Tax Disclosure Sections”) concerning the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities. There is no direct legal authority regarding the proper U.S. federal tax treatment of the securities, and we do not plan to request a ruling from the Internal Revenue Service (the “IRS”). Consequently, significant aspects of the tax treatment of the securities are uncertain, and the IRS or a court might not agree with the tax treatment of a security as a single financial contract that is an “open transaction” for U.S. federal income tax purposes. If the IRS were successful in asserting an alternative treatment of the securities, the tax consequences of the ownership and disposition of the securities, including the timing and character of income recognized by U.S. Holders and the withholding tax consequences to Non-U.S. Holders, might be materially and adversely affected. Moreover, future legislation, Treasury regulations or IRS guidance could adversely affect the U.S. federal tax treatment of the securities, possibly retroactively.

Both U.S. and Non-U.S. Holders should consult their tax advisers regarding the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities, including possible alternative treatments, as well as any tax consequences arising under the laws of any state, local or non-U.S. taxing jurisdiction.

Risks Relating to the Underlying Index

￭Higher future prices of the futures contract to which the underlying index is linked relative to its current prices may adversely affect the value of the underlying index and the value of the securities. The underlying index is linked to the E-mini S&P 500 futures contract currently listed for trading on the CME. As the relevant futures contract approaches expiration, it is replaced by a contract that has a later expiration. Thus, for example, a contract purchased and held in September may specify a December expiration. As time passes, the contract expiring in December is replaced by a contract for delivery in March. This process is referred to as “rolling.” If the market for these contracts is (putting aside other considerations) in “backwardation,” where the prices are lower in the distant delivery months than in the nearer delivery months, the sale of the December contract would take place at a price that is higher than the price of the March contract, thereby creating a “roll yield.” While many futures contracts have historically exhibited consistent periods of backwardation, backwardation will most likely not exist at all times. It is also possible for the market for these contracts to be in “contango.” Contango markets are those in which the prices of contracts are higher in the distant delivery months than in the nearer delivery months. The presence of contango and absence of backwardation in the market for these contracts could result in negative “roll yields,” which could adversely affect the value of the underlying index, and, accordingly, the value of the securities.

￭Suspensions or disruptions of market trading in futures markets could adversely affect the price of the securities. Securities markets and futures markets are subject to temporary distortions or other disruptions due to various factors, including the lack of liquidity in the markets, the participation of speculators and government regulation and intervention. In addition, U.S. futures exchanges and some foreign exchanges have regulations that limit the amount of fluctuation in futures contract prices which may occur during a single business day. These limits are generally referred to as “daily price fluctuation limits” and the maximum or minimum price of a contract on any given day as a result of these limits is referred to as a “limit price.” Once the limit price has been reached in a particular contract, no trades may be made at a different price. Limit prices have the effect of precluding trading in a particular contract or forcing the liquidation of contracts at disadvantageous times or prices. These circumstances could adversely affect the value of the underlying index, and, therefore, the value of the securities.

￭Legal and regulatory changes could adversely affect the return on and value of your securities. Futures contracts and options on futures contracts, including those related to the underlying index, are subject to extensive statutes, regulations, and margin requirements. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, commonly referred to as the “CFTC,” and the exchanges on which such futures contracts trade, are authorized to take extraordinary actions in the event of a market emergency, including, for example, the retroactive implementation of speculative position limits or higher margin requirements, the establishment of daily limits and the suspension of trading. Furthermore, certain exchanges have regulations that limit the amount of fluctuations in futures contract prices that may occur during a single five-minute trading period. These limits could adversely affect the market prices of relevant futures and options contracts and forward contracts.

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Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Enhanced Trigger Jump Securities Based on the Value of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index due February 5, 2030

Principal at Risk Securities

 

￭Adjustments to the underlying index could adversely affect the value of the securities. The publisher of the underlying index can make methodological changes that could change the value of the underlying index. Any of these actions could adversely affect the value of the securities. The publisher of the underlying index may also discontinue or suspend calculation or publication of the underlying index at any time. In these circumstances, MS & Co., as the calculation agent, will have the sole discretion to substitute a successor index that is comparable to the discontinued underlying index. MS & Co. could have an economic interest that is different than that of investors in the securities insofar as, for example, MS & Co. is permitted to consider indices that are calculated and published by MS & Co. or any of its affiliates.

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Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Enhanced Trigger Jump Securities Based on the Value of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index due February 5, 2030

Principal at Risk Securities

 

S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index Overview

The S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index, which is calculated, maintained and published by S&P® Dow Jones Indices LLC (“S&P®”), measures the performance of the nearest maturing quarterly E-mini S&P 500 futures contracts trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. E-mini S&P 500 futures contracts are U.S. dollar-denominated futures contracts based on the performance of the S&P 500® Index. For additional information about the S&P 500® Index and how it is calculated and maintained, see “S&P® U.S. Indices—S&P 500® Index” in the accompanying index supplement. For additional information about the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index, see “Annex A — S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index” below.

Information as of market close on December 20, 2024:

Bloomberg Ticker Symbol:	SPXFP
Current Index Value:	502.74
52 Weeks Ago:	416.82
52 Week High (on 12/6/2024):	516.81
52 Week Low (on 1/4/2024):	415.04

The following graph sets forth the daily closing values of the underlying index for the period from January 1, 2019 through December 20, 2024. The related table sets forth the published high and low closing values, as well as end-of-quarter closing values, of the underlying index for each quarter in the same period. The closing value of the underlying index on December 20, 2024 was 502.74. We obtained the information in the graph and table below from Bloomberg Financial Markets, without independent verification. The underlying index has at times experienced periods of high volatility, and you should not take the historical values of the underlying index as an indication of its future performance.

S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index Daily Index Closing Values January 1, 2019 to December 20, 2024

 

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S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index	High	Low	Period End
2019
First Quarter	259.86	222.61	257.61
Second Quarter	268.32	249.60	266.89
Third Quarter	274.16	256.53	269.81
Fourth Quarter	293.61	260.94	292.39
2020
First Quarter	306.53	201.84	233.59
Second Quarter	293.38	222.52	281.92
Third Quarter	326.53	283.09	306.77
Fourth Quarter	343.81	298.67	343.81
2021
First Quarter	364.75	338.62	364.75
Second Quarter	395.12	368.65	395.12
Third Quarter	417.85	391.69	396.79
Fourth Quarter	442.44	396.19	440.03
2022
First Quarter	442.58	385.50	419.87
Second Quarter	424.23	340.09	351.04
Third Quarter	399.05	332.14	332.14
Fourth Quarter	376.43	330.94	353.20
2023
First Quarter	383.43	350.27	375.14
Second Quarter	402.80	369.52	402.80
Third Quarter	414.13	382.87	383.94
Fourth Quarter	424.17	367.27	422.98
2024
First Quarter	460.16	415.04	460.16
Second Quarter	476.24	433.74	472.97
Third Quarter	492.68	446.93	492.68
Fourth Quarter (through December 20, 2024)	516.81	486.26	502.74

 

“Standard & Poor’s®,” “S&P®,” “S&P 500®,” “Standard & Poor’s 500” and “500” are trademarks of Standard and Poor’s Financial Services LLC. For more information, see “Annex A — S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index” below.

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Additional Terms of the Securities

Please read this information in conjunction with the terms on the front cover of this document.

 

 

Additional Terms:
If the terms described herein are inconsistent with those described in the accompanying product supplement, index supplement or prospectus, the terms described herein shall control.
Denominations:	$1,000 and integral multiples thereof
Underlying index publisher:	S&P® Dow Jones Indices LLC, or any successor thereof
Postponement of maturity date:	If, due to a market disruption event or otherwise, the valuation date is postponed so that it falls less than two business days prior to the scheduled maturity date, the maturity date will be postponed to the second business day following the valuation date as postponed.
Trustee:	The Bank of New York Mellon
Calculation agent:	Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC (“MS & Co.”)
Issuer notice to registered security holders, the trustee and the depositary:	In the event that the maturity date of the securities is postponed due to a postponement of the valuation date, the issuer shall give notice of such postponement and, once it has been determined, of the date to which the maturity date has been rescheduled (i) to each registered holder of the securities by mailing notice of such postponement by first class mail, postage prepaid, to such registered holder’s last address as it shall appear upon the registry books, (ii) to the trustee by facsimile confirmed by mailing such notice to the trustee by first class mail, postage prepaid, at its New York office and (iii) to The Depository Trust Company (the “depositary”) by telephone or facsimile, confirmed by mailing such notice to the depositary by first class mail, postage prepaid. Any notice that is mailed to a registered holder of the securities in the manner herein provided shall be conclusively presumed to have been duly given to such registered holder, whether or not such registered holder receives the notice. The issuer shall give such notice as promptly as possible, and in no case later than (i) with respect to notice of postponement of the maturity date, the business day immediately preceding the scheduled maturity date, and (ii) with respect to notice of the date to which the maturity date has been rescheduled, the business day immediately following the actual valuation date. The issuer shall, or shall cause the calculation agent to, (i) provide written notice to the trustee, upon which notice the trustee may conclusively rely, and to the depositary of the amount of cash, if any, to be delivered with respect to each stated principal amount of the securities, on or prior to 10:30 a.m. (New York City time) on the business day preceding the maturity date, and (ii) deliver the aggregate cash amount due with respect to the securities, if any, to the trustee for delivery to the depositary, as holder of the securities, on or prior to the maturity date.

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Additional Information About the Securities

Additional Information:
Minimum ticketing size:	$1,000 / 1 security
Tax considerations:	Although there is uncertainty regarding the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities due to the lack of governing authority, in the opinion of our counsel, Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP, under current law, and based on current market conditions, it is reasonable to treat a security as a single financial contract that is an “open transaction” for U.S. federal income tax purposes. However, because our counsel’s opinion is based in part on market conditions as of the date of this document, it is subject to confirmation on the pricing date. Assuming this treatment of the securities is respected and subject to the discussion in “United States Federal Taxation” in the accompanying product supplement for Jump Securities, the following U.S. federal income tax consequences should result based on current law: ￭A U.S. Holder should not be required to recognize taxable income over the term of the securities prior to settlement, other than pursuant to a sale or exchange. ￭Upon sale, exchange or settlement of the securities, a U.S. Holder should recognize gain or loss equal to the difference between the amount realized and the U.S. Holder’s tax basis in the securities. Such gain or loss should be long-term capital gain or loss if the investor has held the securities for more than one year, and short-term capital gain or loss otherwise. We do not plan to request a ruling from the Internal Revenue Service (the “IRS”) regarding the treatment of the securities. An alternative characterization of the securities could materially and adversely affect the tax consequences of ownership and disposition of the securities, including the timing and character of income recognized. In addition, the U.S. Treasury Department and the IRS have requested comments on various issues regarding the U.S. federal income tax treatment of “prepaid forward contracts” and similar financial instruments and have indicated that such transactions may be the subject of future regulations or other guidance. Furthermore, members of Congress have proposed legislative changes to the tax treatment of derivative contracts. Any legislation, Treasury regulations or other guidance promulgated after consideration of these issues could materially and adversely affect the tax consequences of an investment in the securities, possibly with retroactive effect. As discussed in the accompanying product supplement for Jump Securities, Section 871(m) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, and Treasury regulations promulgated thereunder (“Section 871(m)”) generally impose a 30% (or a lower applicable treaty rate) withholding tax on dividend equivalents paid or deemed paid to Non-U.S. Holders with respect to certain financial instruments linked to U.S. equities or indices that include U.S. equities (each, an “Underlying Security”). Subject to certain exceptions, Section 871(m) generally applies to securities that substantially replicate the economic performance of one or more Underlying Securities, as determined based on tests set forth in the applicable Treasury regulations (a “Specified Security”). However, pursuant to an IRS notice, Section 871(m) will not apply to securities issued before January 1, 2027 that do not have a delta of one with respect to any Underlying Security. Based on the terms of the securities and current market conditions, we expect that the securities will not have a delta of one with respect to any Underlying Security on the pricing date. However, we will provide an updated determination in the final pricing supplement. Assuming that the securities do not have a delta of one with respect to any Underlying Security, our counsel is of the opinion that the securities should not be Specified Securities and, therefore, should not be subject to Section 871(m). Our determination is not binding on the IRS, and the IRS may disagree with this determination. Section 871(m) is complex and its application may depend on your particular circumstances, including whether you enter into other transactions with respect to an Underlying Security. If withholding is required, we will not be required to pay any additional amounts with respect to the amounts so withheld. You should consult your tax adviser regarding the potential application of Section 871(m) to the securities. Both U.S. and non-U.S. investors considering an investment in the securities should read the discussion under “Risk Factors” in this document and the discussion under “United States Federal Taxation” in the accompanying product supplement for Jump Securities and consult their tax advisers regarding all aspects of the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities, including possible alternative treatments, and any tax consequences arising under the laws of any state, local or non-U.S. taxing jurisdiction. The discussion in the preceding paragraphs under “Tax considerations” and the discussion contained in the section entitled “United States Federal Taxation” in the accompanying product supplement for Jump Securities, insofar as they purport to describe provisions of U.S. federal income tax laws or legal conclusions with respect thereto, constitute the full opinion of Davis

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	Polk & Wardwell LLP regarding the material U.S. federal tax consequences of an investment in the securities.
Use of proceeds and hedging:	The proceeds from the sale of the securities will be used by us for general corporate purposes. We will receive, in aggregate, $1,000 per security issued. The costs of the securities borne by you and described beginning on page 3 above comprise the cost of issuing, structuring and hedging the securities. On or prior to the pricing date, we will hedge our anticipated exposure in connection with the securities by entering into hedging transactions with our affiliates and/or third-party dealers. We expect our hedging counterparties to take positions in the futures contract linked to the underlying index, in the stocks constituting the reference index and in futures and/or options contracts on the reference index or the stocks constituting the reference index listed on major securities markets, or positions in any other available securities or instruments that they may wish to use in connection with such hedging. Such purchase activity could potentially increase the value of the underlying index on the pricing date, and, therefore, could increase the value at or above which the underlying index must close on the valuation date so that investors do not suffer a significant loss on their initial investment in the securities. In addition, through our affiliates, we are likely to modify our hedge position throughout the term of the securities, including on the valuation date, by purchasing and selling the futures contract linked to the underlying index, the stocks constituting the reference index, futures or options contracts on the reference index or the stocks constituting the reference index listed on major securities markets or positions in any other available securities or instruments that we may wish to use in connection with such hedging activities. As a result, these entities may be unwinding or adjusting hedge positions during the term of the securities, and the hedging strategy may involve greater and more frequent dynamic adjustments to the hedge as the valuation date approaches. We cannot give any assurance that our hedging activities will not affect the value of the underlying index, and, therefore, adversely affect the value of the securities or the payment you will receive at maturity, if any. For further information on our use of proceeds and hedging, see “Use of Proceeds and Hedging” in the accompanying product supplement.
Additional considerations:	Client accounts over which Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management or any of their respective subsidiaries have investment discretion are not permitted to purchase the securities, either directly or indirectly.
Supplemental information regarding plan of distribution; conflicts of interest:	MS & Co. expects to sell all of the securities that it purchases from us to an unaffiliated dealer at a price of $ per security, for further sale to certain fee-based advisory accounts at the price to public of $1,000 per security. In addition, selected dealers and their financial advisors may receive a structuring fee of up to $6.25 for each security from the agent or its affiliates. MS & Co. will not receive a sales commission with respect to the securities. MS & Co. is an affiliate of MSFL and a wholly owned subsidiary of Morgan Stanley, and it and other affiliates of ours expect to make a profit by selling, structuring and, when applicable, hedging the securities. When MS & Co. prices this offering of securities, it will determine the economic terms of the securities, including the upside payment, such that for each security the estimated value on the pricing date will be no lower than the minimum level described in “Investment Summary” beginning on page 2. MS & Co. will conduct this offering in compliance with the requirements of FINRA Rule 5121 of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, Inc., which is commonly referred to as FINRA, regarding a FINRA member firm’s distribution of the securities of an affiliate and related conflicts of interest. MS & Co. or any of our other affiliates may not make sales in this offering to any discretionary account. See “Plan of Distribution (Conflicts of Interest)” and “Use of Proceeds and Hedging” in the accompanying product supplement.
Where you can find more information:	Morgan Stanley and MSFL have filed a registration statement (including a prospectus, as supplemented by the product supplement for Jump Securities and the index supplement) with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, for the offering to which this communication relates. You should read the prospectus in that registration statement, the product supplement for Jump Securities, the index supplement and any other documents relating to this offering that Morgan Stanley and MSFL have filed with the SEC for more complete information about Morgan Stanley, MSFL and this offering. When you read the accompanying product supplement and index supplement, please note that all references in such supplements to the prospectus dated November 16, 2023, or to any sections therein, should refer instead to the accompanying prospectus dated April 12, 2024 or to the corresponding sections of such prospectus, as applicable. You may get these documents without cost by visiting EDGAR on the SEC web site at www.sec.gov. Alternatively, Morgan Stanley, MSFL, any underwriter or any dealer participating in the offering will arrange to send you the product supplement for Jump Securities, the index supplement and prospectus if you so request by calling toll-free 1-(800)-584-6837. You may access these documents on the SEC web site at www.sec.gov as follows: Product Supplement for Jump Securities dated November 16, 2023 Index Supplement dated November 16, 2023

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	Prospectus dated April 12, 2024 Terms used but not defined in this document are defined in the product supplement for Jump Securities or in the prospectus.

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Annex A — S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index

The S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index (the “underlying index”) is an equity futures index calculated, maintained and published by S&P® Dow Jones Indices LLC (“S&P®”). S&P® is a joint venture between S&P® Global, Inc. (majority owner) and CME Group Inc. (minority owner), owner of CME Group Index Services LLC. The underlying index is reported by Bloomberg under the ticker symbol “SPXFP.” All information contained in this document regarding the underlying index has been derived from publicly available information, without independent verification.

The underlying index is the excess return version of the S&P® 500 Futures Index, which measures the performance of the nearest maturing quarterly E-mini S&P 500 futures contract trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (“CME”). The underlying index includes a provision for the replacement of the E-mini futures contract as the contract approaches maturity (also referred to as “rolling” or “the roll”). This replacement occurs over a one-day rolling period every March, June, September and December, effective after the close of trading five business days preceding the last trading date of the E-mini S&P futures contract.

E-Mini S&P 500 Futures Contract

The underlying index is constructed from the front-month E-mini S&P 500 futures contract (the “futures contract”). Futures contracts are contracts that legally obligate the holder to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined delivery price during a specified future time period. The futures contract is rolled forward once a quarter, with one-third of the contract being rolled forward on each of the fourth, third, and second day prior to expiration.

The E-mini S&P 500 futures (“ES”) contracts are U.S. dollar-denominated futures contracts, based on the S&P 500® Index (the “reference index”), traded on the CME, representing a contract unit of $50 multiplied by the reference index, measured in cents per index point. The ES contracts listed for the nearest nine quarters, for each March, June, September and December, and the nearest three Decembers are available for trading. Trading of the ES contracts terminates at 9:30 A.M. Eastern time on the third Friday of the contract month. The daily settlement prices of the ES contracts are based on trading activity in the relevant contract (and in the case of a lead month also being the expiry month, together with trading activity on lead month-second month spread contracts) on the CME during a specified settlement period. The final settlement price of ES contracts is based on the opening prices of the component stocks in the reference index, determined on the third Friday of the contract month. For more information about the reference index, see “S&P® U.S. Indices—S&P 500® Index” in the accompanying index supplement.

Underlying Index Calculation

The underlying index, calculated from the price change of the futures contract, reflects the excess return of the S&P® 500 Futures Index. The level of the underlying index on a trading day is calculated as follows:

IndexERd = IndexERd-1 × (1 + CDRd)

where:

IndexERd-1	=	The Excess Return Index level on the preceding business day, defined as any date on which the index is calculated
CDRd	=	The Contract Daily return, defined as:
	where:
		t	=	The business day on which the calculation is made
		TDW0t	=	Total Dollar Weight Obtained on t, defined as: CRW1t-1 × DCRP1t + CRW2t-1 × DCRP2t
		TDWIt-1	=	Total Dollar Weight Invested on the business day preceding t, defined as: CRW1t-1 × DCRP1t-1 + CRW2t-1 × DCRP2t-1

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		CRW1	=	The contract roll weight of the first nearby contract expiration
		CRW2	=	The contract roll weight of the roll in contract expiration
		DCRP t	=	The Daily Contract Reference Price (the official closing price per futures contract, as designated by the relevant exchange) of the futures contract

The underlying index is calculated on an excess return basis, meaning that the level of the underlying index is determined by its weighted return reduced by the return that could be earned on a notional cash deposit at the notional interest rate, which is a rate equal to the federal funds rate.

Overview of Futures Markets

Futures contracts are traded on regulated futures exchanges, in the over-the-counter market and on various types of electronic trading facilities and markets. As of the date of this pricing supplement, the futures contract is an exchange-traded futures contract. A futures contract provides for a specified settlement month in which the cash settlement is made by the seller (whose position is therefore described as “short”) and acquired by the purchaser (whose position is therefore described as “long”).

No purchase price is paid or received on the purchase or sale of a futures contract. Instead, an amount of cash or cash equivalents must be deposited with the broker as “initial margin.” This amount varies based on the requirements imposed by the exchange clearing houses, but it may be lower than 5% of the notional value of the contract. This margin deposit provides collateral for the obligations of the parties to the futures contract.

By depositing margin, which may vary in form depending on the exchange, with the clearing house or broker involved, a market participant may be able to earn interest on its margin funds, thereby increasing the total return that it may realize from an investment in futures contracts. However, the underlying index is not a total return index and does not reflect interest that could be earned on funds notionally committed to the trading of futures contracts.

At any time prior to the expiration of a futures contract, a trader may elect to close out its position by taking an opposite position on the exchange on which the trader obtained the position, subject to the availability of a liquid secondary market. This operates to terminate the position and fix the trader’s profit or loss. Futures contracts are cleared through the facilities of a centralized clearing house and a brokerage firm that is a member of the clearing house. Futures exchanges may adopt rules and take other actions that affect trading, including imposing speculative position limits, maximum price fluctuations and trading halts and suspensions and requiring liquidation of contracts in certain circumstances.

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The securities are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by S&P®. S&P® makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, to the owners of the securities or any member of the public regarding the advisability of investing in securities generally or in the securities particularly or the ability of the underlying index to track general stock market performance. The underlying index is determined, composed and calculated by S&P® without regard to us or the securities. S&P® has no obligation to take our needs or the needs of the owners of the securities into consideration in determining, composing or calculating the underlying index. S&P® is not responsible for and has not participated in the determination of the timing of, prices at, or quantities of the securities to be issued or in the determination or calculation of the equation by which the securities are to be converted into cash. S&P® has no obligation or liability in connection with the administration, marketing or trading of the securities.

S&P® DOES NOT GUARANTEE THE ACCURACY AND/OR THE COMPLETENESS OF THE S&P 500® FUTURES EXCESS RETURN INDEX, THE S&P 500® INDEX OR ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN. S&P® MAKES NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED BY MORGAN STANLEY, OWNERS OF THE SECURITIES, OR ANY OTHER PERSON OR ENTITY FROM THE USE OF THE S&P 500® FUTURES EXCESS RETURN INDEX, THE S&P 500® INDEX OR ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN. S&P® MAKES NO EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, AND HEREBY EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ALL WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE WITH RESPECT TO THE S&P 500® FUTURES EXCESS RETURN INDEX, THE S&P 500® INDEX OR ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN. WITHOUT LIMITING ANY OF THE FOREGOING, IN NO EVENT SHALL S&P® HAVE ANY LIABILITY FOR ANY SPECIAL, PUNITIVE, INDIRECT OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES (INCLUDING LOST PROFITS), EVEN IF NOTIFIED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES.

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“Standard & Poor’s® ,” “S&P® ,” “S&P 500® ,” “Standard & Poor’s 500” and “500” are trademarks of Standard and Poor’s Financial Services LLC.

 

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