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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT
TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
| | | | | |
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) | October 21, 2024 |
| | |
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. |
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
New Jersey | | 001-33067 | | 22-2168890 |
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | | (Commission File Number) | | (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) |
40 Wantage Avenue, Branchville, New Jersey 07890
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
Registrant's telephone number, including area code (973) 948-3000
| | |
Not Applicable |
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.) |
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
| | | | | | | | |
Title of each class | Trading Symbol (s) | Name of each exchange on which registered |
Common Stock, par value $2 per share | SIGI | The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC |
Depositary Shares, each representing a 1/1,000th interest in a share of 4.60% Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series B, without par value | SIGIP | The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC |
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).
Emerging growth company ☐
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.
☐
Section 2 – Financial Information
Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
On October 21, 2024, Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024. The press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1.
Section 7 – Regulation FD
Item 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure.
Attached as Exhibit 99.2 is supplemental financial information about the Company.
The Company may present to various investors and stockholders using the presentation materials, which include supplemental financial information about the Company, that are furnished as Exhibit 99.3 hereto and incorporated herein by reference.
The information contained in Item 2.02 and Item 7.01 of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the exhibits attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purpose of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. The Company makes no admission as to the materiality of any information in this report or the exhibits attached hereto.
Important information may be disseminated initially or exclusively via the Company’s corporate website, www.selective.com/investors. Investors should consult the site to access this information. Any website addresses included herein are inactive textual references only. The information contained on any such website referenced herein is not incorporated into this Current Report on Form 8-K.
Section 9 – Financial Statements and Exhibits
Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(d) Exhibits
Exhibit No. Description of Exhibit
99.1 Press Release of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. dated October 21, 2024 99.2 Financial Supplement, Third Quarter 2024 99.3 Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Third Quarter 2024 Investor Presentation 104 The cover page from this Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted in Inline XBRL
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
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| | SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. |
| | | |
Date: | October 21, 2024 | By: | /s/ Michael H. Lanza |
| | | Michael H. Lanza |
| | | Executive Vice President and General Counsel |
Selective Reports Third Quarter 2024 Results
Net Income of $1.47 per Diluted Common Share and Non-GAAP Operating Income1 of $1.40 per
Diluted Common Share; Return on Common Equity ("ROE") of 12.6% and Non-GAAP Operating ROE1 of 12.1%
Quarterly Dividend Increased 9% to $0.38 per Common Share
In the third quarter of 2024:
•Net premiums written ("NPW") increased 9% from the third quarter of 2023;
•The GAAP combined ratio was 99.5%, compared to 96.8% in the third quarter of 2023;
•Net catastrophe losses increased the GAAP combined ratio by 13.4 points, compared to 6.6 points in the third quarter of 2023;
•Commercial Lines renewal pure price increases averaged 9.1%, up 2.0 points from 7.1% in the third quarter of 2023;
•After-tax net investment income was $93 million, up 16% from the third quarter of 2023;
•Book value per common share was $48.82, up 9% from last quarter; and
•Adjusted book value per common share¹ was $50.80, up 2% from last quarter.
Branchville, NJ - October 21, 2024 - Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: SIGI) reported financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024, with net income per diluted common share of $1.47 and non-GAAP operating income1 per diluted common share of $1.40. Return on common equity was 12.6% and non-GAAP operating ROE1 was 12.1%.
NPW increased 9% from a year ago driven by accelerating renewal pure price increases and stable Standard Commercial Lines retention. The investments segment generated 13.1 points of annualized ROE in the quarter, as after-tax net investment income was $93 million, up 16% from a year ago.
For the quarter, Selective reported a combined ratio of 99.5% with no net prior year casualty reserve development. Elevated catastrophe losses of $149 million increased the combined ratio by 13.4 points, up from 6.6 points a year ago. Losses resulted from 19 named storms in the quarter, with Hurricane Helene estimated at $85 million of pre-tax losses.
“The continued frequency and severity of storms in the third quarter, including the devastation from Hurricane Helene, underscore our unwavering commitment to our customers, agency partners, and communities. During these challenging times for those impacted by the storms, I thank my colleagues for continuing to deliver superior claims service and supporting customers and claimants,” said John J. Marchioni, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer.
“We maintain a disciplined approach to pricing and underwriting our business. Loss trends remain elevated and uncertain, but we continue to be prudent and vigilant in addressing them. In the quarter, renewal pure price increased 10.5%. In Standard Commercial Lines, renewal pure price accelerated to 9.1%. For General Liability, the line most impacted by loss emergence in previous quarters, renewal pure price was 10.2%, up from 7.6% in the second quarter. Importantly, retention was stable in Standard Commercial Lines at 86%.”
“Our primary goal is to consistently achieve our 95% combined ratio target. Although catastrophe losses impacted the quarter, our underlying performance was excellent, reflecting our underwriting and pricing actions and disciplined expense management. We added Nevada, Oregon, and Washington to our Standard Commercial Lines footprint in early October, now covering 35 states. With our strong capital position, financial flexibility, and strategic execution, we are well positioned to face the uncertainty in the external environment,” concluded Mr. Marchioni.
Operating Highlights
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Consolidated Financial Results | Quarter ended September 30, | Change | Year-to-Date September 30, | Change |
$ and shares in millions, except per share data | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 |
Net premiums written | $ | 1,157.6 | | | 1,058.3 | | 9 | | % | $ | 3,540.4 | | | 3,143.0 | | 13 | | % |
Net premiums earned | 1,112.2 | | | 981.9 | | 13 | | | 3,243.4 | | | 2,826.4 | | 15 | | |
Net investment income earned | 117.8 | | | 100.9 | | 17 | | | 334.3 | | | 290.1 | | 15 | | |
Net realized and unrealized gains (losses), pre-tax | 5.4 | | | (6.9) | | (178) | | | 5.1 | | | (9.0) | | (156) | | |
Total revenues | 1,244.3 | | | 1,081.1 | | 15 | | | 3,605.3 | | | 3,121.4 | | 16 | | |
Net underwriting income (loss), after-tax | 4.1 | | | 25.0 | | (83) | | | (118.0) | | | 54.7 | | (316) | | |
Net investment income, after-tax | 93.4 | | | 80.2 | | 16 | | | 265.3 | | | 231.1 | | 15 | | |
Net income (loss) available to common stockholders | 90.0 | | | 86.9 | | 4 | | | 104.6 | | | 233.5 | | (55) | | |
Non-GAAP operating income (loss)1 | 85.7 | | | 92.3 | | (7) | | | 100.6 | | | 240.6 | | (58) | | |
Combined ratio | 99.5 | | % | 96.8 | | 2.7 | | pts | 104.6 | | % | 97.5 | | 7.1 | | pts |
Loss and loss expense ratio | 68.8 | | | 65.8 | | 3.0 | | | 73.8 | | | 65.7 | | 8.1 | | |
Underwriting expense ratio | 30.6 | | | 30.9 | | (0.3) | | | 30.6 | | | 31.6 | | (1.0) | | |
Dividends to policyholders ratio | 0.1 | | | 0.1 | | — | | | 0.2 | | | 0.2 | | — | | |
Net catastrophe losses | 13.4 | | pts | 6.6 | | 6.8 | | | 9.1 | | pts | 7.8 | | 1.3 | | |
Non-catastrophe property losses and loss expenses | 13.2 | | | 17.6 | | (4.4) | | | 15.5 | | | 16.9 | | (1.4) | | |
(Favorable) unfavorable prior year reserve development on casualty lines | — | | | — | | — | | | 6.5 | | | (0.6) | | 7.1 | | |
Net income (loss) available to common stockholders per diluted common share | $ | 1.47 | | | 1.42 | | 4 | | % | $ | 1.71 | | | 3.83 | | (55) | | % |
Non-GAAP operating income (loss) per diluted common share1 | 1.40 | | | 1.51 | | (7) | | | 1.64 | | | 3.95 | | (58) | | |
Weighted average diluted common shares | 61.3 | | 61.0 | — | | | 61.3 | | 60.9 | 1 | | |
Book value per common share | $ | 48.82 | | | 40.35 | | 21 | | | $ | 48.82 | | | 40.35 | | 21 | | |
Adjusted book value per common share1 | 50.80 | | | 48.54 | | 5 | | | 50.80 | | | 48.54 | | 5 | | |
Overall Insurance Operations
For the third quarter, overall NPW increased 9%, or $99 million, from a year ago. Average renewal pure price increased 10.5%, up 3.5 points from a year ago. Selective's 99.5% combined ratio was 2.7 points higher than a year ago, as elevated catastrophe losses were partially offset by lower non-catastrophe property losses and a lower expense ratio. There was no net unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development in either period. The combined ratio excluding net catastrophe losses and prior year casualty reserve development was 86.1%, 4.1 points lower than a year ago.
Overall, our insurance segments increased ROE by 0.6 points in the third quarter of 2024.
Standard Commercial Lines Segment
For the third quarter, Standard Commercial Lines premiums (representing 78% of total NPW) grew 8% from a year ago. The premium growth reflected average renewal pure price increases of 9.1% and stable retention of 86%. The third quarter combined ratio was 99.2%, up 4.5 points from a year ago, primarily due to catastrophe losses.
There was no net prior year casualty reserve development in the quarter, compared to $3.0 million, or 0.4 points, of favorable development a year ago.
The following table shows the variances in key quarter-to-date and year-to date measures:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Standard Commercial Lines Segment | Quarter ended September 30, | Change | Year-to-Date September 30, | Change |
$ in millions | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 |
Net premiums written | $ | 903.9 | | | 833.6 | | 8 | | % | $ | 2,798.7 | | | 2,517.0 | | 11 | | % |
Net premiums earned | 875.4 | | | 785.3 | | 11 | | | 2,563.0 | | | 2,279.7 | | 12 | | |
Combined ratio | 99.2 | | % | 94.7 | | 4.5 | | pts | 105.6 | | % | 95.5 | | 10.1 | | pts |
Loss and loss expense ratio | 67.6 | | | 62.8 | | 4.8 | | | 74.0 | | | 63.0 | | 11.0 | | |
Underwriting expense ratio | 31.4 | | | 31.7 | | (0.3) | | | 31.4 | | | 32.3 | | (0.9) | | |
Dividends to policyholders ratio | 0.2 | | | 0.2 | | — | | | 0.2 | | | 0.2 | | — | | |
Net catastrophe losses | 11.5 | | pts | 4.7 | | 6.8 | | | 7.4 | | pts | 5.9 | | 1.5 | | |
Non-catastrophe property losses and loss expenses | 11.0 | | | 15.6 | | (4.6) | | | 13.1 | | | 14.9 | | (1.8) | | |
(Favorable) unfavorable prior year reserve development on casualty lines | — | | | (0.4) | | 0.4 | | | 8.2 | | | (0.9) | | 9.1 | | |
Standard Personal Lines Segment
For the third quarter, Standard Personal Lines premiums (representing 10% of total NPW) decreased 2% from a year ago with renewal pure price of 22.8% and higher average policy sizes. Retention was 75%, down 13 points from a year ago, and new business decreased 49% due to deliberate profit improvement actions. Despite elevated catastrophe losses, the third quarter 2024 combined ratio decreased by 5.3 points from a year ago to 122.1%. There was no prior year casualty reserve development in the quarter, compared to $3 million in unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development in personal auto a year ago. Flood claims handling fees from the National Flood Insurance Program's Write Your Own program, primarily related to Hurricane Helene, reduced the loss and loss expense ratio by 4.3 points in the quarter, up from 1.2 points in the prior-year period.
The following table shows the variances in key quarter-to-date and year-to-date measures:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Standard Personal Lines Segment | Quarter ended September 30, | Change | Year-to-Date September 30, | Change |
$ in millions | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 |
Net premiums written | $ | 111.0 | | | 113.2 | | (2) | | % | $ | 327.1 | | | 307.5 | | 6 | | % |
Net premiums earned | 107.5 | | | 95.2 | | 13 | | | 317.8 | | | 264.2 | | 20 | | |
Combined ratio | 122.1 | | % | 127.4 | | (5.3) | | pts | 115.2 | | % | 123.6 | | (8.4) | | pts |
Loss and loss expense ratio | 98.7 | | | 104.5 | | (5.8) | | | 91.8 | | | 98.7 | | (6.9) | | |
Underwriting expense ratio | 23.4 | | | 22.9 | | 0.5 | | | 23.4 | | | 24.9 | | (1.5) | | |
Net catastrophe losses | 38.8 | | pts | 25.6 | | 13.2 | | | 24.8 | | pts | 22.8 | | 2.0 | | |
Non-catastrophe property losses and loss expenses | 35.3 | | | 44.7 | | (9.4) | | | 39.4 | | | 43.2 | | (3.8) | | |
Unfavorable prior year reserve development on casualty lines | — | | | 3.2 | | (3.2) | | | — | | | 3.4 | | (3.4) | | |
Excess and Surplus Lines Segment
For the third quarter, Excess and Surplus Lines premiums (representing 12% of total NPW) increased 28% compared to the prior-year period, driven by new business growth of 43% and average renewal pure price increases of 8.0%. The third quarter 2024 combined ratio was 83.2%, down 0.7 points compared to a year ago.
The following table shows the variances in key quarter-to-date and year-to-date measures:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Excess and Surplus Lines Segment | Quarter ended September 30, | Change | Year-to-Date September 30, | Change |
$ in millions | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 |
Net premiums written | $ | 142.7 | | | 111.6 | | 28 | | % | $ | 414.5 | | | 318.4 | | 30 | | % |
Net premiums earned | 129.3 | | | 101.4 | | 28 | | | 362.6 | | | 282.5 | | 28 | | |
Combined ratio | 83.2 | | % | 83.9 | | (0.7) | | pts | 88.4 | | % | 89.7 | | (1.3) | | pts |
Loss and loss expense ratio | 52.5 | | | 51.9 | | 0.6 | | | 57.5 | | | 57.4 | | 0.1 | | |
Underwriting expense ratio | 30.7 | | | 32.0 | | (1.3) | | | 30.9 | | | 32.3 | | (1.4) | | |
Net catastrophe losses | 5.2 | | pts | 3.5 | | 1.7 | | | 7.1 | | pts | 9.0 | | (1.9) | | |
Non-catastrophe property losses and loss expenses | 10.0 | | | 7.4 | | 2.6 | | | 11.8 | | | 8.7 | | 3.1 | | |
(Favorable) prior year reserve development on casualty lines | — | | | — | | — | | | — | | | (1.8) | | 1.8 | | |
Investments Segment
For the third quarter, after-tax net investment income of $93 million was up 16% from a year ago. The after-tax income yield averaged 4.0% for the overall and fixed income securities portfolios. With this and invested assets per dollar of common stockholders' equity of $3.25 as of September 30, 2024, the Investments segment generated 13.1 points of non-GAAP operating ROE.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Investments Segment | Quarter ended September 30, | Change | Year-to-Date September 30, | Change |
$ in millions, except per share data | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 |
Net investment income earned, after-tax | $ | 93.4 | | | 80.2 | | 16 | | % | $ | 265.3 | | | 231.1 | | 15 | | % |
Net investment income per common share | 1.52 | | | 1.31 | | 16 | | | 4.33 | | | 3.79 | | 14 | | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Effective tax rate | 20.7 | | % | 20.5 | | 0.2 | | pts | 20.6 | | % | 20.3 | | 0.3 | | pts |
Average yields: | | | | | | | | | | |
Portfolio: | | | | | | | | | | |
Pre-tax | 5.0 | | | 4.9 | | 0.1 | | | 4.9 | | | 4.8 | | 0.1 | | |
After-tax | 4.0 | | | 3.9 | | 0.1 | | | 3.9 | | | 3.8 | | 0.1 | | |
Fixed income securities: | | | | | | | | | | |
Pre-tax | 5.0 | | % | 5.1 | | (0.1) | | pts | 4.9 | | % | 5.0 | | (0.1) | | pts |
After-tax | 4.0 | | | 4.1 | | (0.1) | | | 3.9 | | | 4.0 | | (0.1) | | |
Annualized ROE contribution | 13.1 | | | 13.1 | | — | | | 12.6 | | | 12.7 | | (0.1) | | |
Balance Sheet
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
$ in millions, except per share data | September 30, 2024 | | December 31, 2023 | | Change |
Total assets | $ | 13,473.1 | | | | 11,802.5 | | | | 14 | % | |
Total investments | 9,635.3 | | | | 8,693.7 | | | | 11 | | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Long-term debt | 508.2 | | | | 503.9 | | | | 1 | | |
Stockholders’ equity | 3,167.8 | | | | 2,954.4 | | | | 7 | | |
Common stockholders' equity | 2,967.8 | | | | 2,754.4 | | | | 8 | | |
Invested assets per dollar of common stockholders’ equity | 3.25 | | | | 3.16 | | | | 3 | | |
Net premiums written to policyholders' surplus | 1.63 | | | | 1.51 | | | | 8 | | |
Book value per common share | 48.82 | | | | 45.42 | | | | 7 | | |
Adjusted book value per common share1 | 50.80 | | | | 50.03 | | | | 2 | | |
Debt to total capitalization | 13.8 | | % | | 14.6 | | % | | (0.8) | | pts |
Book value per common share increased by $3.40, or 7%, during the first nine months of 2024. The increase was primarily attributable to a $2.61 decrease in after-tax net unrealized losses on our fixed income securities portfolio and $1.71 of net income per diluted common share, partially offset by $1.05 in common stockholder dividends. The decrease in after-tax net unrealized losses on our fixed income securities portfolio was primarily related to lower interest rates. During the third quarter of 2024, the Company repurchased 103,000 shares of common stock at an average price of $84.34 for $8.7 million. Capacity under the existing repurchase authorization was $75.5 million as of September 30, 2024.
Selective's Board of Directors declared:
• A 9% increase in the quarterly cash dividend on common stock to $0.38 per common share that is payable December 2, 2024, to holders of record on November 15, 2024; and
• A quarterly cash dividend of $287.50 per share on our 4.60% Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series B (equivalent to $0.28750 per depositary share) payable on December 16, 2024, to holders of record as of December 2, 2024.
Guidance
For 2024, we increased our expected GAAP combined ratio to 102.5%. The change reflects the third quarter's elevated catastrophe losses, partially offset by better-than-expected non-catastrophe property losses. Full-year expectations are as follows:
•A GAAP combined ratio of 102.5%, up 1 point from our prior guidance of 101.5%. Our combined ratio estimate includes net catastrophe losses of 7.5 points, up from prior guidance of 5.5 points. Although too early to provide a specific estimate, we expect losses from Hurricane Milton, which made landfall on October 9, 2024, to be immaterial.
Our combined ratio estimate assumes no additional prior year casualty reserve development;
•After-tax net investment income of $360 million that includes $32 million from alternative investments;
•An overall effective tax rate of approximately 21.0%, which assumes an effective tax rate of 20.5% for net investment income and 21% for all other items; and
•Weighted average shares of 61.5 million on a fully diluted basis.
The supplemental investor package, with financial information not included in this press release, is available on the Investors page of Selective’s website at www.Selective.com.
Selective’s quarterly analyst conference call will be simulcast at 8:30 AM ET, on Tuesday, October 22, 2024, on www.Selective.com. The webcast will be available for rebroadcast until the close of business on November 21, 2024.
About Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: SIGI) is a holding company for 10 property and casualty insurance companies rated "A+" (Superior) by AM Best. Through independent agents, the insurance companies offer standard and specialty insurance for commercial and personal risks and flood insurance through the National Flood Insurance Program's Write Your Own Program. Selective's unique position as both a leading insurance group and an employer of choice is recognized in a wide variety of awards and honors, including listing in Forbes Best Midsize Employers in 2024 and certification as a Great Place to Work® in 2024 for the fifth consecutive year. For more information about Selective, visit www.Selective.com.
1Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) Available to Common Stockholders to Non-GAAP Operating Income (Loss) and Certain Other Non-GAAP Measures
Non-GAAP operating income (loss), non-GAAP operating income (loss) per diluted common share, and non-GAAP operating return on common equity differ from net income (loss) available to common stockholders, net income (loss) available to common stockholders per diluted common share, and return on common equity, respectively, by the exclusion of after-tax net realized and unrealized gains and losses on investments included in net income (loss). Adjusted book value per common share differs from book value per common share by excluding total after-tax unrealized gains and losses on investments included in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss). These non-GAAP measures are used as important financial measures by management, analysts, and investors, because the timing of realized and unrealized investment gains and losses on securities in any given period is largely discretionary. In addition, net realized and unrealized gains and losses on investments could distort the analysis of trends. These operating measurements are not intended to be a substitute for net income (loss) available to common stockholders, net income (loss) available to common stockholders per diluted common share, return on common equity, and book value per common share prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). Reconciliations of net income (loss) available to common stockholders, net income (loss) available to common stockholders per diluted common share, return on common equity, and book value per common share to non-GAAP operating income (loss), non-GAAP operating income (loss) per diluted common share, non-GAAP operating return on common equity, and adjusted book value per common share, respectively, are provided in the tables below.
Note: All amounts included in this release exclude intercompany transactions.
Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) Available to Common Stockholders to Non-GAAP Operating Income (Loss)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
$ in millions | Quarter ended September 30, | | Year-to-Date September 30, |
2024 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
Net income (loss) available to common stockholders | $ | 90.0 | | | 86.9 | | | 104.6 | | | 233.5 | |
Net realized and unrealized investment (gains) losses included in net income, before tax | (5.4) | | | 6.9 | | | (5.1) | | | 9.0 | |
| | | | | | | |
Tax on reconciling items | 1.1 | | | (1.4) | | | 1.1 | | | (1.9) | |
| | | | | | | |
Non-GAAP operating income (loss) | $ | 85.7 | | | 92.3 | | | 100.6 | | | 240.6 | |
Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) Available to Common Stockholders per Diluted Common Share to Non-GAAP Operating Income (Loss) per Diluted Common Share
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Quarter ended September 30, | | Year-to-Date September 30, |
2024 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
Net income (loss) available to common stockholders per diluted common share | $ | 1.47 | | | 1.42 | | | 1.71 | | | 3.83 | |
Net realized and unrealized investment (gains) losses included in net income, before tax | (0.09) | | | 0.11 | | | (0.08) | | | 0.15 | |
| | | | | | | |
Tax on reconciling items | 0.02 | | | (0.02) | | | 0.01 | | | (0.03) | |
| | | | | | | |
Non-GAAP operating income (loss) per diluted common share | $ | 1.40 | | | 1.51 | | | 1.64 | | | 3.95 | |
Reconciliation of Return on Common Equity to Non-GAAP Operating Return on Common Equity
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Quarter ended September 30, | | Year-to-Date September 30, |
2024 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
Return on Common Equity | 12.6 | | % | | 14.1 | | | 5.0 | | | 12.8 | |
Net realized and unrealized investment (gains) losses included in net income, before tax | (0.8) | | | | 1.1 | | | (0.2) | | | 0.5 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Tax on reconciling items | 0.3 | | | | (0.2) | | | — | | | (0.1) | |
| | | | | | | | |
Non-GAAP Operating Return on Common Equity | 12.1 | | % | | 15.0 | | | 4.8 | | | 13.2 | |
Reconciliation of Book Value per Common Share to Adjusted Book Value per Common Share
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Quarter ended September 30, | | Year-to-Date September 30, |
2024 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
Book value per common share | $ | 48.82 | | | 40.35 | | | 48.82 | | | 40.35 | |
Total unrealized investment (gains) losses included in accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income, before tax | 2.50 | | | 10.38 | | | 2.50 | | | 10.38 | |
Tax on reconciling items | (0.52) | | | (2.19) | | | (0.52) | | | (2.19) | |
Adjusted book value per common share | $ | 50.80 | | | 48.54 | | | 50.80 | | | 48.54 | |
Note: Amounts in the tables above may not foot due to rounding.
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in this report, including information incorporated by reference, are “forward-looking statements” defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 ("PSLRA"). The PSLRA provides a forward-looking statement safe harbor under the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These statements discuss our intentions, beliefs, projections, estimations, or forecasts of future events and financial performance. They involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause our or our industry’s actual results, activity levels, or performance to materially differ from those in or implied by the forward-looking statements. In some cases, forward-looking statements include the words “may,” “will,” “could,” “would,” “should,” “expect,” “plan,” “anticipate,” “attribute,” “confident,” “strong,” “target,” “project,” “intend,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,” “potential,” “pro forma,” “seek,” “likely,” “continue,” or comparable terms. Our forward-looking statements are only predictions; we cannot guarantee or assure that such expectations will prove correct. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements for any reason, except as may be required by law.
Factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from what we project, forecast, or estimate in forward-looking statements include, without limitation:
•Challenging conditions in the economy, global capital markets, the banking sector, and commercial real estate, including prolonged higher inflation, could increase loss costs and negatively impact investment portfolios;
•Deterioration in the public debt, public equity, or private investment markets that could lead to investment losses and interest rate fluctuations;
•Ratings downgrades on individual securities we own could affect investment values and, therefore, statutory surplus;
•The adequacy of our loss reserves and loss expense reserves;
•Frequency and severity of catastrophic events, including natural events that may be impacted by climate change, such as hurricanes, severe convective storms, tornadoes, windstorms, earthquakes, hail, severe winter weather, floods, and fires, and man-made events such as criminal and terrorist acts, including cyber-attacks, explosions, and civil unrest;
•Adverse market, governmental, regulatory, legal, political, or judicial conditions or actions, including social inflation;
•The significant geographic concentration of our business in the eastern portion of the United States;
•The cost, terms and conditions, and availability of reinsurance;
•Our ability to collect on reinsurance and the solvency of our reinsurers;
•The impact of changes in U.S. trade policies and imposition of tariffs on imports that may lead to higher than anticipated inflationary trends for our loss and loss expenses;
•Related to COVID-19, we have successfully defended against payment of COVID-19-related business interruption losses based on our policies' terms, conditions, and exclusions. However, should the highest courts determine otherwise, our loss and loss expenses may increase, our related reserves may not be adequate, and our financial condition and liquidity may be materially impacted.
•Ongoing wars and conflicts impacting global economic, banking, commodity, and financial markets, exacerbating ongoing economic challenges, including inflation and supply chain disruption, which influences insurance loss costs, premiums, and investment valuations;
•Uncertainties related to insurance premium rate increases and business retention;
•Changes in insurance regulations that impact our ability to write and/or cease writing insurance policies in one or more states;
•The effects of data privacy or cyber security laws and regulations on our operations;
•Major defect or failure in our internal controls or information technology and application systems that result in harm to our brand in the marketplace, increased senior executive focus on crisis and reputational management issues, and/or increased expenses, particularly if we experience a significant privacy breach;
•Potential tax or federal financial regulatory reform provisions that could pose certain risks to our operations;
•Our ability to maintain favorable financial ratings, which may include sustainability considerations, from rating agencies, including AM Best, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch;
•Our entry into new markets and businesses; and
•Other risks and uncertainties we identify in filings with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K and other periodic reports.
| | | | | |
Investor Contact: Brad B. Wilson 973-948-1283 Brad.Wilson@Selective.com | Media Contact: Jamie M. Beal 973-948-1234 Jamie.Beal@Selective.com |
| |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 40 Wantage Avenue Branchville, New Jersey 07890 www.Selective.com | |
Exhibit 99.2
FINANCIAL SUPPLEMENT
THIRD QUARTER 2024
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in this report, including information incorporated by reference, are “forward-looking statements” defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 ("PSLRA"). The PSLRA provides a forward-looking statement safe harbor under the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These statements discuss our intentions, beliefs, projections, estimations, or forecasts of future events and financial performance. They involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause our or our industry’s actual results, activity levels, or performance to materially differ from those in or implied by the forward-looking statements. In some cases, forward-looking statements include the words “may,” “will,” “could,” “would,” “should,” “expect,” “plan,” “anticipate,” “attribute,” “confident,” “strong,” “target,” “project,” “intend,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,” “potential,” “pro forma,” “seek,” “likely,” “continue,” or comparable terms. Our forward-looking statements are only predictions; we cannot guarantee or assure that such expectations will prove correct. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements for any reason, except as may be required by law.
Factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from what we project, forecast, or estimate in forward-looking statements include, without limitation:
•Challenging conditions in the economy, global capital markets, the banking sector, and commercial real estate, including prolonged higher inflation, could increase loss costs and negatively impact investment portfolios;
•Deterioration in the public debt, public equity, or private investment markets that could lead to investment losses and interest rate fluctuations;
•Ratings downgrades on individual securities we own could affect investment values and, therefore, statutory surplus;
•The adequacy of our loss reserves and loss expense reserves;
•Frequency and severity of catastrophic events, including natural events that may be impacted by climate change, such as hurricanes, severe convective storms, tornadoes, windstorms, earthquakes, hail, severe winter weather, floods, and fires, and man-made events such as criminal and terrorist acts, including cyber-attacks, explosions, and civil unrest;
•Adverse market, governmental, regulatory, legal, political, or judicial conditions or actions, including social inflation;
•The significant geographic concentration of our business in the eastern portion of the United States;
•The cost, terms and conditions, and availability of reinsurance;
•Our ability to collect on reinsurance and the solvency of our reinsurers;
•The impact of changes in U.S. trade policies and imposition of tariffs on imports that may lead to higher than anticipated inflationary trends for our loss and loss expenses;
•Related to COVID-19, we have successfully defended against payment of COVID-19-related business interruption losses based on our policies' terms, conditions, and exclusions. However, should the highest courts determine otherwise, our loss and loss expenses may increase, our related reserves may not be adequate, and our financial condition and liquidity may be materially impacted.
•Ongoing wars and conflicts impacting global economic, banking, commodity, and financial markets, exacerbating ongoing economic challenges, including inflation and supply chain disruption, which influences insurance loss costs, premiums, and investment valuations;
•Uncertainties related to insurance premium rate increases and business retention;
•Changes in insurance regulations that impact our ability to write and/or cease writing insurance policies in one or more states;
•The effects of data privacy or cyber security laws and regulations on our operations;
•Major defect or failure in our internal controls or information technology and application systems that result in harm to our brand in the marketplace, increased senior executive focus on crisis and reputational management issues, and/or increased expenses, particularly if we experience a significant privacy breach;
•Potential tax or federal financial regulatory reform provisions that could pose certain risks to our operations;
•Our ability to maintain favorable financial ratings, which may include sustainability considerations, from rating agencies, including AM Best, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch;
•Our entry into new markets and businesses; and
•Other risks and uncertainties we identify in filings with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K and other periodic reports.
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
TABLE OF CONTENTS
| | | | | |
| Page |
Consolidated Financial Highlights | |
Consolidated Statements of Operations | |
Consolidated Balance Sheets | |
Financial Metrics | |
| |
Consolidated Insurance Operations Statement of Operations | |
Standard Commercial Lines Statement of Operations and Supplemental Data | |
Standard Commercial Lines GAAP Line of Business Results | |
Standard Personal Lines Statement of Operations and Supplemental Data | |
Standard Personal Lines GAAP Line of Business Results | |
Excess and Surplus Lines Statement of Operations and Supplemental Data | |
Excess and Surplus Lines GAAP Line of Business Results | |
| |
Consolidated Investment Income | |
Consolidated Composition of Invested Assets | |
| |
| |
| |
Credit Quality of Invested Assets | |
| |
Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) Available to Common Stockholders to Non-GAAP Operating Income (Loss) and Certain Other Non-GAAP Measures | |
| |
Ratings and Contact Information | |
| |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
(Unaudited)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter ended | | Year-to-date |
| | Sept. 30, | | | June 30, | | Mar. 31, | | Dec. 31, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, | | | Sept. 30, |
($ and shares in millions, except per share data) | 2024 | | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | | 2023 |
For Period Ended | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Gross premiums written | $ | 1,343.1 | | | | 1,406.2 | | | 1,321.9 | | | 1,149.7 | | | 1,223.5 | | | 4,071.1 | | | | 3,599.8 | |
| Net premiums written | 1,157.6 | | | | 1,226.1 | | | 1,156.6 | | | 991.5 | | | 1,058.3 | | | 3,540.4 | | | | 3,143.0 | |
| Change in net premiums written, from comparable prior year period | 9 | | % | | 13 | | | 16 | | | 17 | | | 17 | | | 13 | | | | 15 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Underwriting income (loss), before-tax | $ | 5.3 | | | | (173.7) | | | 19.0 | | | 63.6 | | | 31.6 | | | (149.4) | | | | 69.2 | |
| Net investment income earned, before-tax | 117.8 | | | | 108.6 | | | 107.8 | | | 98.6 | | | 100.9 | | | 334.3 | | | | 290.1 | |
| Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses), before-tax | 5.4 | | | | 1.3 | | | (1.6) | | | 5.4 | | | (6.9) | | | 5.1 | | | | (9.0) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net income (loss) | $ | 92.3 | | | | (63.3) | | | 82.5 | | | 124.8 | | | 89.2 | | | 111.5 | | | | 240.4 | |
| Net income (loss) available to common stockholders(1) | 90.0 | | | | (65.6) | | | 80.2 | | | 122.5 | | | 86.9 | | | 104.6 | | | | 233.5 | |
| Non-GAAP operating income (loss)(2) | 85.7 | | | | (66.6) | | | 81.5 | | | 118.3 | | | 92.3 | | | 100.6 | | | | 240.6 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
At Period End | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total assets | 13,473.1 | | | | 12,565.5 | | | 12,056.1 | | | 11,802.5 | | | 11,428.0 | | | 13,473.1 | | | | 11,428.0 | |
| Total invested assets | 9,635.3 | | | | 9,021.8 | | | 8,745.7 | | | 8,693.7 | | | 8,195.9 | | | 9,635.3 | | | | 8,195.9 | |
| Stockholders' equity | 3,167.8 | | | | 2,922.7 | | | 3,006.5 | | | 2,954.4 | | | 2,644.4 | | | 3,167.8 | | | | 2,644.4 | |
| Common stockholders' equity(3) | 2,967.8 | | | | 2,722.7 | | | 2,806.5 | | | 2,754.4 | | | 2,444.4 | | | 2,967.8 | | | | 2,444.4 | |
| Common shares outstanding | 60.8 | | | | 60.9 | | | 60.8 | | | 60.6 | | | 60.6 | | | 60.8 | | | | 60.6 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Per Share and Share Data | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net income (loss) available to common stockholders per common share (diluted) | $ | 1.47 | | | | (1.08) | | | 1.31 | | | 2.01 | | | 1.42 | | | 1.71 | | | | 3.83 | |
| Non-GAAP operating income (loss) per common share (diluted)(2) | 1.40 | | | | (1.10) | | | 1.33 | | | 1.94 | | | 1.51 | | | 1.64 | | | | 3.95 | |
| Weighted average common shares outstanding (diluted) | 61.3 | | | | 60.9 | | | 61.2 | | | 61.0 | | | 61.0 | | | 61.3 | | | | 60.9 | |
| Book value per common share | $ | 48.82 | | | | 44.74 | | | 46.17 | | | 45.42 | | | 40.35 | | | 48.82 | | | | 40.35 | |
| Adjusted book value per common share(2) | 50.80 | | | | 49.67 | | | 50.97 | | | 50.03 | | | 48.54 | | | 50.80 | | | | 48.54 | |
| Dividends paid per common share | 0.35 | | | | 0.35 | | | 0.35 | | | 0.35 | | | 0.30 | | | 1.05 | | | | 0.90 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Ratios | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Loss and loss expense ratio | 68.8 | | % | | 85.7 | | | 67.0 | | | 62.4 | | | 65.8 | | | 73.8 | | | | 65.7 | |
| Underwriting expense ratio | 30.6 | | | | 30.3 | | | 30.9 | | | 31.1 | | | 30.9 | | | 30.6 | | | | 31.6 | |
| Dividends to policyholders ratio | 0.1 | | | | 0.1 | | | 0.3 | | | 0.2 | | | 0.1 | | | 0.2 | | | | 0.2 | |
| GAAP combined ratio | 99.5 | | % | | 116.1 | | | 98.2 | | | 93.7 | | | 96.8 | | | 104.6 | | | | 97.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Return on common stockholders' equity ("ROE") | 12.6 | | | | (9.5) | | | 11.5 | | | 18.9 | | | 14.1 | | | 5.0 | | | | 12.8 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Non-GAAP operating ROE(2) | 12.1 | | | | (9.6) | | | 11.7 | | | 18.2 | | | 15.0 | | | 4.8 | | | | 13.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Debt to total capitalization | 13.8 | | | | 14.8 | | | 14.3 | | | 14.6 | | | 16.0 | | | 13.8 | | | | 16.0 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net premiums written to policyholders' surplus | 1.63 | | | | 1.64 | | | 1.55 | | | 1.51 | | | 1.53 | | | 1.63 | | | | 1.53 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Invested assets per dollar of common stockholders' equity | $ | 3.25 | | | | 3.31 | | | 3.12 | | | 3.16 | | | 3.35 | | | 3.25 | | | | 3.35 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | Net income (loss) available to common stockholders is net income (loss) reduced by preferred stock dividends. | | | | | | | |
(2) | Non-GAAP measure. Refer to Page 15 for definition. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(3) | Excludes equity related to preferred stock. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(Unaudited)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter ended | | Year-to-date |
| | Sept. 30, | | June 30, | | Mar. 31, | | Dec. 31, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, |
($ and shares in millions, except per share data) | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
Revenues | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net premiums earned | $ | 1,112.2 | | | 1,080.2 | | | 1,050.9 | | | 1,001.2 | | | 981.9 | | | $ | 3,243.4 | | | 2,826.4 | |
| Net investment income earned | 117.8 | | | 108.6 | | | 107.8 | | | 98.6 | | | 100.9 | | | 334.3 | | | 290.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net realized and unrealized gains (losses) | 5.4 | | | 1.3 | | | (1.6) | | | 5.4 | | | (6.9) | | | 5.1 | | | (9.0) | |
| Other income | 8.9 | | | 5.8 | | | 7.8 | | | 5.5 | | | 5.2 | | | 22.6 | | | 13.9 | |
| Total revenues | 1,244.3 | | | 1,196.0 | | | 1,165.0 | | | 1,110.7 | | | 1,081.1 | | | 3,605.3 | | | 3,121.4 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Expenses | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Loss and loss expense incurred | 765.7 | | 925.5 | | | 704.3 | | | 624.8 | | | 645.9 | | | 2,395.5 | | | 1,859.5 | |
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 235.6 | | 226.4 | | | 219.4 | | | 210.5 | | | 201.1 | | | 681.4 | | 585.7 | |
| Other insurance expenses | 114.7 | | 107.8 | | | 116.0 | | | 107.8 | | | 108.5 | | | 338.4 | | 325.9 | |
| Interest expense | 7.3 | | 7.2 | | | 7.2 | | | 7.2 | | | 7.2 | | | 21.6 | | 21.6 | |
| Corporate expenses | 4.7 | | 9.2 | | | 15.5 | | | 3.4 | | | 5.9 | | | 29.3 | | 27.3 | |
| Total expenses | 1,127.8 | | | 1,276.1 | | | 1,062.4 | | | 953.7 | | | 968.6 | | | 3,466.3 | | | 2,820.0 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Income (loss) before federal income tax | $ | 116.5 | | | (80.1) | | | 102.6 | | | 157.0 | | | 112.5 | | | 139.0 | | 301.4 | |
Federal income tax expense (benefit) | 24.2 | | | (16.8) | | | 20.0 | | | 32.1 | | | 23.3 | | | 27.5 | | | 61.0 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net Income (loss) | $ | 92.3 | | | (63.3) | | | 82.5 | | | 124.8 | | | 89.2 | | | 111.5 | | 240.4 | |
Preferred stock dividends | 2.3 | | 2.3 | | | 2.3 | | | 2.3 | | | 2.3 | | | 6.9 | | 6.9 | |
Net income (loss) available to common stockholders | $ | 90.0 | | | (65.6) | | | 80.2 | | 122.5 | | 86.9 | | 104.6 | | 233.5 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net realized and unrealized investment (gains) losses, after tax(1) | (4.3) | | | (1.0) | | | 1.3 | | | (4.3) | | | 5.4 | | | (4.0) | | | 7.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-GAAP operating income (loss)(2) | $ | 85.7 | | | (66.6) | | | 81.5 | | | 118.2 | | | 92.3 | | | $ | 100.6 | | | 240.6 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Weighted average common shares outstanding (diluted) | 61.3 | | 60.9 | | | 61.2 | | | 61.0 | | | 61.0 | | | 61.3 | | 60.9 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net income (loss) available to common stockholders per common share (diluted) | $ | 1.47 | | | (1.08) | | | 1.31 | | | 2.01 | | | 1.42 | | | $ | 1.71 | | | 3.83 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-GAAP operating income (loss) per common share (diluted)(2) | $ | 1.40 | | | (1.10) | | | 1.33 | | | 1.94 | | | 1.51 | | | $ | 1.64 | | | 3.95 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | Amounts are provided to reconcile net income (loss) available to common stockholders to non-GAAP operating income (loss). | | | | |
(2) | Non-GAAP measure. Refer to Page 15 for definition. | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Note: Amounts may not foot due to rounding. | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(Unaudited)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Sept. 30, | | June 30, | | Mar. 31, | | Dec. 31, | | Sept. 30, |
($ in millions, except per share data) | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2023 |
| | | | | | | | | |
ASSETS | | | | | | | | | |
Investments | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| Fixed income securities, held-to-maturity, net of allowance for credit losses | $ | 22.0 | | | 19.5 | | | 20.3 | | | 22.7 | | | 23.2 | |
| Fixed income securities, available-for-sale, at fair value, net of allowance for credit losses | 8,088.6 | | | 7,669.0 | | | 7,583.5 | | | 7,499.2 | | | 7,027.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial mortgage loans, net of allowance for credit losses | 223.6 | | | 219.5 | | | 208.0 | | | 188.4 | | | 185.9 | |
| Equity securities, at fair value | 205.6 | | | 192.0 | | | 194.3 | | | 187.2 | | | 125.6 | |
| Short-term investments | 561.0 | | | 417.3 | | | 247.9 | | | 309.3 | | | 315.0 | |
| Alternative investments | 432.0 | | | 414.8 | | | 402.7 | | | 395.8 | | | 446.8 | |
| Other investments | 102.5 | | | 89.7 | | | 89.0 | | | 91.2 | | | 72.2 | |
| Total investments |
| 9,635.3 | | | 9,021.8 | | | 8,745.7 | | | 8,693.7 | | | 8,195.9 | |
Cash | 0.1 | | | 0.2 | | | 0.1 | | | 0.2 | | | 0.1 | |
Restricted cash | 12.6 | | | 10.7 | | | 11.7 | | | 13.1 | | | 13.2 | |
Accrued investment income | 73.8 | | | 72.3 | | | 68.0 | | | 66.3 | | | 62.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Premiums receivable, net of allowance for credit losses | 1,531.9 | | | 1,579.7 | | | 1,439.1 | | | 1,313.1 | | | 1,330.0 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Reinsurance recoverable, net of allowance for credit losses | 1,057.3 | | | 685.6 | | | 651.4 | | | 656.8 | | | 685.3 | |
Prepaid reinsurance premiums | 230.7 | | | 219.8 | | | 208.0 | | | 203.3 | | | 205.2 | |
Current federal income tax | 13.0 | | | 38.6 | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
Deferred federal income tax | 100.7 | | | 145.9 | | | 144.7 | | | 140.2 | | | 199.3 | |
Property and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation and amortization | 92.2 | | | 89.2 | | | 82.7 | | | 83.3 | | | 81.4 | |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | 488.5 | | | 476.5 | | | 448.3 | | | 424.9 | | | 425.8 | |
Goodwill | 7.8 | | | 7.8 | | | 7.8 | | | 7.8 | | | 7.8 | |
Other assets | 229.1 | | | 217.4 | | | 248.5 | | | 199.8 | | | 221.7 | |
| Total assets | | $ | 13,473.1 | | | 12,565.5 | | | 12,056.1 | | | 11,802.5 | | | 11,428.0 | |
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY | | | | | | | | | |
Liabilities | | | | | | | | | |
Reserve for loss and loss expense | $ | 6,452.0 | | | 5,903.5 | | | 5,501.8 | | | 5,336.9 | | | 5,301.4 | |
Unearned premiums | 2,655.0 | | | 2,598.7 | | | 2,441.0 | | | 2,330.7 | | | 2,342.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Long-term debt | 508.2 | | | 508.8 | | | 503.3 | | | 503.9 | | | 504.6 | |
Current federal income tax | — | | | — | | | 26.5 | | | 6.3 | | | 2.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Accrued salaries and benefits | 113.5 | | | 92.6 | | | 97.9 | | | 122.0 | | | 114.2 | |
Other liabilities | 576.6 | | | 539.2 | | | 479.1 | | | 548.4 | | | 518.6 | |
| Total liabilities | | $ | 10,305.3 | | | 9,642.8 | | | 9,049.6 | | | 8,848.2 | | | 8,783.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Stockholders' Equity | | | | | | | | | |
Preferred stock of $0 par value per share | $ | 200.0 | | | 200.0 | | | 200.0 | | | 200.0 | | | 200.0 | |
Common stock of $2 par value per share | 211.1 | | | 211.0 | | | 210.9 | | | 210.4 | | | 210.3 | |
Additional paid-in capital | 549.8 | | | 545.3 | | | 534.3 | | | 522.7 | | | 516.9 | |
Retained earnings | 3,069.6 | | | 3,001.1 | | | 3,088.2 | | | 3,029.4 | | | 2,928.2 | |
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) | (211.9) | | | (392.7) | | | (385.0) | | | (373.0) | | | (575.9) | |
Treasury stock, at cost | (650.7) | | | (641.9) | | | (641.9) | | | (635.2) | | | (635.1) | |
| Total stockholders' equity | | $ | 3,167.8 | | | 2,922.7 | | | 3,006.5 | | | 2,954.4 | | | 2,644.4 | |
Commitments and contingencies | | | | | | | | | |
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| Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | | $ | 13,473.1 | | | 12,565.5 | | | 12,056.1 | | | 11,802.5 | | | 11,428.0 | |
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Note: Amounts may not foot due to rounding. | | | | | | | | | |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
FINANCIAL METRICS
(Unaudited)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Quarter ended | | Year-to-date |
| | | Sept. 30, | | June 30, | | Mar. 31, | | Dec. 31, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, |
($ and shares in millions, except per share data) | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
Book value per common share | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Common stockholders' equity | $ | 2,967.8 | | | | 2,722.7 | | | 2,806.5 | | | 2,754.4 | | | 2,444.4 | | | 2,967.8 | | | 2,444.4 | |
| | Common shares issued and outstanding, at period end | 60.8 | | | | 60.9 | | | 60.8 | | | 60.6 | | | 60.6 | | | 60.8 | | | 60.6 | |
| | Book value per common share | $ | 48.82 | | | | 44.74 | | | 46.17 | | | 45.42 | | | 40.35 | | | 48.82 | | | 40.35 | |
| | Adjusted book value per common share(2) | 50.80 | | | | 49.67 | | | 50.97 | | | 50.03 | | | 48.54 | | | 50.80 | | | 48.54 | |
Financial results (after-tax) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Underwriting income (loss) | 4.1 | | | | (137.2) | | | 15.0 | | | 50.2 | | | 25.0 | | | (118.0) | | | 54.7 | |
| | Net investment income | 93.4 | | | | 86.3 | | | 85.6 | | | 78.4 | | | 80.2 | | | 265.3 | | | 231.1 | |
| | Interest expense and preferred stock dividends | (8.0) | | | | (8.0) | | | (8.0) | | | (8.0) | | | (8.0) | | | (24.0) | | | (24.0) | |
| | Corporate expense | (3.8) | | | | (7.7) | | | (11.2) | | | (2.4) | | | (4.9) | | | (22.7) | | | (21.3) | |
| | Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) | 4.3 | | | | 1.0 | | | (1.3) | | | 4.3 | | | (5.4) | | | 4.0 | | | (7.1) | |
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| | Total after-tax net income (loss) available to common stockholders | 90.0 | | | | (65.6) | | | 80.2 | | | 122.5 | | | 86.9 | | | 104.6 | | | 233.5 | |
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Return on average equity | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Insurance segments | 0.6 | | | | (19.9) | | | 2.2 | | | 7.7 | | | 4.1 | | | (5.6) | | | 3.0 | |
| | Net investment income | 13.1 | | | | 12.5 | | | 12.3 | | | 12.1 | | | 13.1 | | | 12.6 | | | 12.7 | |
| | Interest expense and preferred stock dividends | (1.1) | | | | (1.2) | | | (1.1) | | | (1.2) | | | (1.3) | | | (1.1) | | | (1.3) | |
| | Corporate expense | (0.5) | | | | (1.0) | | | (1.7) | | | (0.4) | | | (0.9) | | | (1.1) | | | (1.2) | |
| | Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) | 0.5 | | | | 0.1 | | | (0.2) | | | 0.7 | | | (0.9) | | | 0.2 | | | (0.4) | |
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| | ROE | 12.6 | | | | (9.5) | | | 11.5 | | | 18.9 | | | 14.1 | | | 5.0 | | | 12.8 | |
| | Net realized and unrealized (gains) losses(1) | (0.5) | | | | (0.1) | | | 0.2 | | | (0.7) | | | 0.9 | | | (0.2) | | | 0.4 | |
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| | Non-GAAP Operating ROE(2) | 12.1 | | | | (9.6) | | | 11.7 | | | 18.2 | | | 15.0 | | | 4.8 | | | 13.2 | |
Debt and total capitalization | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Notes payable: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| | 3.03% Borrowings from Federal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis | 60.0 | | | | 60.0 | | | 60.0 | | | 60.0 | | | 60.0 | | | 60.0 | | | 60.0 | |
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| | 7.25% Senior Notes | 49.8 | | | | 49.8 | | | 49.8 | | | 49.8 | | | 49.8 | | | 49.8 | | | 49.8 | |
| | 6.70% Senior Notes | 99.4 | | | | 99.4 | | | 99.4 | | | 99.3 | | | 99.3 | | | 99.4 | | | 99.3 | |
| | 5.375% Senior Notes | 292.4 | | | | 292.3 | | | 292.2 | | | 292.2 | | | 292.1 | | | 292.4 | | | 292.1 | |
| | Finance Lease Obligations | 6.7 | | | | 7.3 | | | 1.9 | | | 2.6 | | | 3.4 | | | 6.7 | | | 3.4 | |
| Total debt | 508.2 | | | | 508.8 | | | 503.3 | | | 503.9 | | | 504.6 | | | 508.2 | | | 504.6 | |
| Stockholders' equity | 3,167.8 | | | | 2,922.7 | | | 3,006.5 | | | 2,954.4 | | | 2,644.4 | | | 3,167.8 | | | 2,644.4 | |
| Total capitalization | $ | 3,676.0 | | | | 3,431.5 | | | 3,509.8 | | | 3,458.3 | | | 3,149.0 | | | 3,676.0 | | | 3,149.0 | |
| Ratio of debt to total capitalization | 13.8 | | | | 14.8 | | | 14.3 | | | 14.6 | | | 16.0 | | | 13.8 | | | 16.0 | |
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Policyholders' surplus | $ | 2,787.5 | | | | 2,698.8 | | | 2,777.3 | | | 2,742.3 | | | 2,612.5 | | | 2,787.5 | | | 2,612.5 | |
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(1) | Amounts are provided to reconcile ROE to non-GAAP operating ROE. | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(2) | Non-GAAP measure. Refer to Page 15 for definition. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Note: Amounts may not foot due to rounding. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
CONSOLIDATED INSURANCE OPERATIONS
STATEMENT OF OPERATIONS
(Unaudited)
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| | | Quarter ended | | Year-to-date |
| Sept. 30, | | June 30, | | Mar. 31, | | Dec. 31, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, |
($ in millions) | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
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Underwriting results | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written | $ | 1,157.6 | | | | 1,226.1 | | | 1,156.6 | | | 991.5 | | | 1,058.3 | | | 3,540.4 | | | 3,143.0 | |
Change in net premiums written, from comparable prior year period | 9 | | % | | 13 | | | 16 | | | 17 | | | 17 | | | 13 | | | 15 | |
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Net premiums earned | $ | 1,112.2 | | | | 1,080.2 | | | 1,050.9 | | | 1,001.2 | | | 981.9 | | | 3,243.4 | | | 2,826.4 | |
Losses and loss expenses incurred | 765.7 | | | | 925.5 | | | 704.3 | | | 624.8 | | | 645.9 | | | 2,395.5 | | | 1,859.5 | |
Net underwriting expenses incurred | 340.0 | | | | 327.3 | | | 324.4 | | | 311.1 | | | 303.1 | | | 991.6 | | | 892.7 | |
Dividends to policyholders | 1.4 | | | | 1.1 | | | 3.3 | | | 1.8 | | | 1.4 | | | 5.7 | | | 5.0 | |
GAAP underwriting income (loss) | $ | 5.3 | | | | (173.7) | | | 19.0 | | | 63.6 | | | 31.6 | | | (149.4) | | | 69.2 | |
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Net catastrophe losses | $ | 148.8 | | | | 90.5 | | | 55.2 | | | 24.6 | | | 64.6 | | | 294.6 | | | 219.9 | |
(Favorable) unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development | — | | | | 176.0 | | | 35.0 | | | 10.0 | | | — | | | 211.0 | | | (16.5) | |
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Underwriting ratios | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss and loss expense ratio | 68.8 | | % | | 85.7 | | | 67.0 | | | 62.4 | | | 65.8 | | | 73.8 | | | 65.7 | |
Underwriting expense ratio | 30.6 | | | | 30.3 | | | 30.9 | | | 31.1 | | | 30.9 | | | 30.6 | | | 31.6 | |
Dividends to policyholders ratio | 0.1 | | | | 0.1 | | | 0.3 | | | 0.2 | | | 0.1 | | | 0.2 | | | 0.2 | |
| | Combined ratio | 99.5 | | % | | 116.1 | | | 98.2 | | | 93.7 | | | 96.8 | | | 104.6 | | | 97.5 | |
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Net catastrophe losses | 13.4 | | pts | | 8.4 | | | 5.3 | | | 2.5 | | | 6.6 | | | 9.1 | | | 7.8 | |
(Favorable) unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development | — | | | | 16.3 | | | 3.3 | | | 1.0 | | | — | | | 6.5 | | | (0.6) | |
| | Combined ratio before net catastrophe losses | 86.1 | | % | | 107.7 | | | 92.9 | | | 91.2 | | | 90.2 | | | 95.5 | | | 89.7 | |
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| | Combined ratio before net catastrophe losses and prior year casualty development | 86.1 | | % | | 91.4 | | | 89.6 | | | 90.2 | | | 90.2 | | | 89.0 | | | 90.3 | |
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Other Statistics | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-catastrophe property loss and loss expenses | $ | 146.7 | | | | 185.5 | | | 171.2 | | | 172.1 | | | 172.8 | | | 503.4 | | | 478.2 | |
Non-catastrophe property loss and loss expenses | 13.2 | | pts | | 17.2 | | | 16.3 | | | 17.2 | | | 17.6 | | | 15.5 | | | 16.9 | |
Direct new business | $ | 234.2 | | | | 267.4 | | | 260.8 | | | 232.7 | | | 232.3 | | | 762.4 | | | 690.8 | |
Renewal pure price increases | 10.5 | % | | 9.1 | | | 8.1 | | | 7.4 | | | 7.0 | | | 9.1 | | | 6.6 | |
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Note: Amounts may not foot due to rounding. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
STANDARD COMMERCIAL LINES
STATEMENT OF OPERATIONS AND SUPPLEMENTAL DATA
(Unaudited)
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| | | Quarter ended | | Year-to-date |
| Sept. 30, | | June 30, | | Mar. 31, | | Dec. 31, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, |
($ in millions) | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
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Underwriting results | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written | $ | 903.9 | | | | 963.1 | | | 931.7 | | | 764.3 | | | 833.6 | | | 2,798.7 | | | 2,517.0 | |
Change in net premiums written, from comparable prior year period | 8 | | % | | 11 | | | 15 | | | 13 | | | 15 | | | 11 | | | 13 | |
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Net premiums earned | $ | 875.4 | | | | 853.5 | | | 834.1 | | | 792.1 | | | 785.3 | | | 2,563.0 | | | 2,279.7 | |
Losses and loss expenses incurred | 591.6 | | | | 748.0 | | | 555.8 | | | 482.6 | | | 493.8 | | | 1,895.4 | | | 1,436.6 | |
Net underwriting expenses incurred | 275.1 | | | | 265.4 | | | 264.6 | | | 252.9 | | | 248.9 | | | 805.2 | | | 735.7 | |
Dividends to policyholders | 1.4 | | | | 1.1 | | | 3.3 | | | 1.8 | | | 1.4 | | | 5.7 | | | 5.0 | |
GAAP underwriting income (loss) | $ | 7.3 | | | | (160.9) | | | 10.4 | | | 54.9 | | | 41.3 | | | (143.2) | | | 102.4 | |
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Net catastrophe losses | $ | 100.4 | | | | 50.9 | | | 38.5 | | | 16.1 | | | 36.7 | | | 189.8 | | | 134.4 | |
(Favorable) unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development | — | | | | 176.0 | | | 35.0 | | | 5.0 | | | (3.0) | | | 211.0 | | | (20.5) | |
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Underwriting ratios | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss and loss expense ratio | 67.6 | | % | | 87.6 | | | 66.7 | | | 61.0 | | | 62.8 | | | 74.0 | | | 63.0 | |
Underwriting expense ratio | 31.4 | | | | 31.1 | | | 31.7 | | | 31.9 | | | 31.7 | | | 31.4 | | | 32.3 | |
Dividends to policyholders ratio | 0.2 | | | | 0.1 | | | 0.4 | | | 0.2 | | | 0.2 | | | 0.2 | | | 0.2 | |
| | Combined ratio | 99.2 | | % | | 118.8 | | | 98.8 | | | 93.1 | | | 94.7 | | | 105.6 | | | 95.5 | |
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Net catastrophe losses | 11.5 | | pts | | 6.0 | | | 4.6 | | | 2.0 | | | 4.7 | | | 7.4 | | | 5.9 | |
(Favorable) unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development | — | | | | 20.6 | | | 4.2 | | | 0.6 | | | (0.4) | | | 8.2 | | | (0.9) | |
| | Combined ratio before net catastrophe losses | 87.7 | | % | | 112.8 | | | 94.2 | | | 91.1 | | | 90.0 | | | 98.2 | | | 89.6 | |
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| | Combined ratio before net catastrophe losses and prior year casualty development | 87.7 | | % | | 92.2 | | | 90.0 | | | 90.5 | | | 90.4 | | | 90.0 | | | 90.5 | |
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Other Statistics | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-catastrophe property loss and loss expenses | $ | 95.9 | | | | 124.5 | | | 115.0 | | | 122.0 | | | 122.8 | | | 335.4 | | | 339.6 | |
Non-catastrophe property loss and loss expenses | 11.0 | | pts | | 14.6 | | | 13.8 | | | 15.4 | | | 15.6 | | | 13.1 | | | 14.9 | |
Direct new business | $ | 139.2 | | | | 168.4 | | | 172.1 | | | 145.2 | | | 145.5 | | | 479.6 | | | 452.3 | |
Renewal pure price increases | 9.1 | | % | | 7.9 | | | 7.6 | | | 7.3 | | | 7.1 | | | 8.2 | | | 6.9 | |
Retention | 86 | | | | 85 | | | 86 | | | 86 | | | 86 | | | 85 | | | 85 | |
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Note: Amounts may not foot due to rounding. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
STANDARD COMMERCIAL LINES
GAAP LINE OF BUSINESS RESULTS
(Unaudited)
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| | Quarter ended September 30, 2024 | | Quarter ended September 30, 2023 |
| | General | | Commercial | Commercial | Workers | | | | | | General | Commercial | Commercial | Workers | | | | |
($ in millions) | | Liability | | Auto | Property(1) | Compensation | BOP | Bonds | Other | Total | | Liability | Auto | Property(1) | Compensation | BOP | Bonds | Other | Total |
Net premiums written | | $ | 290.7 | | | 281.3 | | 194.9 | | 70.9 | | 44.9 | | 13.2 | | 8.0 | | 903.9 | | | 273.9 | | 252.7 | | 174.6 | | 75.6 | | 37.9 | | 11.4 | | 7.6 | | 833.6 | |
Net premiums earned | | 286.6 | | | 269.0 | | 174.9 | | 81.3 | | 43.1 | | 12.5 | | 7.9 | | 875.4 | | | 261.6 | | 234.6 | | 152.5 | | 81.7 | | 36.0 | | 11.7 | | 7.3 | | 785.3 | |
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Loss and loss expense ratio | | 64.6 | | % | 73.4 | | 80.0 | | 63.0 | | 45.2 | | (12.7) | | (0.2) | | 67.6 | | | 55.8 | | 75.7 | | 63.3 | | 56.7 | | 68.4 | | 24.7 | | 0.2 | | 62.8 | |
Underwriting expense ratio | | 30.7 | | | 28.8 | | 36.0 | | 25.5 | | 34.3 | | 58.1 | | 47.4 | | 31.4 | | | 31.0 | | 29.6 | | 36.0 | | 25.2 | | 35.2 | | 54.9 | | 52.6 | | 31.7 | |
Dividend ratio | | — | | | — | | 0.1 | | 1.4 | | — | | — | | — | | 0.2 | | | 0.1 | | — | | 0.1 | | 1.1 | | — | | — | | — | | 0.2 | |
Combined ratio | | 95.3 | | % | 102.2 | | 116.1 | | 89.9 | | 79.5 | | 45.4 | | 47.2 | | 99.2 | | | 86.9 | | 105.3 | | 99.4 | | 83.0 | | 103.6 | | 79.6 | | 52.8 | | 94.7 | |
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Underwriting income (loss) | | $ | 13.3 | | | (5.9) | | (28.1) | | 8.2 | | 8.8 | | 6.8 | | 4.2 | | 7.3 | | | 34.3 | | (12.3) | | 1.0 | | 13.9 | | (1.3) | | 2.4 | | 3.4 | | 41.3 | |
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| | Year-to-Date September 30, 2024 | | Year-to-Date September 30, 2023 |
| | General | | Commercial | Commercial | Workers | | | | | | General | Commercial | Commercial | Workers | | | | |
($ in millions) | | Liability | | Auto | Property(1) | Compensation | BOP | Bonds | Other | Total | | Liability | Auto | Property(1) | Compensation | BOP | Bonds | Other | Total |
Net premiums written | | $ | 918.1 | | | 864.2 | | 564.9 | | 254.5 | | 132.9 | | 39.5 | | 24.6 | | 2,798.7 | | | 838.9 | | 750.1 | | 493.8 | | 264.6 | | 110.2 | | 36.6 | | 22.8 | | 2,517.0 | |
Net premiums earned | | 840.2 | | | 781.4 | | 504.9 | | 251.4 | | 124.7 | | 37.1 | | 23.4 | | 2,563.0 | | | 759.4 | | 677.1 | | 429.1 | | 254.6 | | 103.6 | | 34.7 | | 21.1 | | 2,279.7 | |
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Loss and loss expense ratio | | 90.5 | | % | 71.5 | | 69.1 | | 61.4 | | 55.1 | | 13.9 | | 0.5 | | 74.0 | | | 55.9 | | 74.2 | | 66.3 | | 56.3 | | 71.8 | | 24.7 | | 0.1 | | 63.0 | |
Underwriting expense ratio | | 31.1 | | | 29.3 | | 35.0 | | 25.5 | | 33.5 | | 56.7 | | 47.6 | | 31.4 | | | 31.7 | | 30.0 | | 36.7 | | 26.1 | | 35.8 | | 56.6 | | 51.5 | | 32.3 | |
Dividend ratio | | 0.1 | | | 0.1 | | 0.2 | | 1.1 | | — | | — | | — | | 0.2 | | | — | | — | | 0.1 | | 1.5 | | — | | — | | — | | 0.2 | |
Combined ratio | | 121.7 | | % | 100.9 | | 104.3 | | 88.0 | | 88.6 | | 70.6 | | 48.1 | | 105.6 | | | 87.6 | | 104.2 | | 103.1 | | 83.9 | | 107.6 | | 81.3 | | 51.6 | | 95.5 | |
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Underwriting income (loss) | | $ | (182.2) | | | (6.8) | | (21.6) | | 30.2 | | 14.2 | | 10.9 | | 12.1 | | (143.2) | | | 94.1 | | (28.3) | | (13.4) | | 41.1 | | (7.8) | | 6.5 | | 10.2 | | 102.4 | |
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(1) Includes Inland Marine. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Note: Amounts may not foot due to rounding. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
STANDARD PERSONAL LINES
STATEMENT OF OPERATIONS AND SUPPLEMENTAL DATA
(Unaudited)
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| | | Quarter ended | | Year-to-date |
| Sept. 30, | | June 30, | | Mar. 31, | | Dec. 31, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, |
($ in millions) | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
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Underwriting results | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written | $ | 111.0 | | | | 116.1 | | | 99.9 | | | 107.0 | | | 113.2 | | | 327.1 | | | 307.5 | |
Change in net premiums written, from comparable prior year period | (2) | | % | | 6 | | | 17 | | | 27 | | | 30 | | | 6 | | | 31 | |
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Net premiums earned | $ | 107.5 | | | | 106.4 | | | 103.8 | | | 101.0 | | | 95.2 | | | 317.8 | | | 264.2 | |
Losses and loss expenses incurred | 106.1 | | | | 101.4 | | | 84.3 | | | 92.5 | | | 99.5 | | | 291.9 | | | 260.6 | |
Net underwriting expenses incurred | 25.2 | | | | 24.3 | | | 24.8 | | | 25.5 | | | 21.8 | | | 74.3 | | | 65.8 | |
GAAP underwriting income (loss) | $ | (23.8) | | | | (19.3) | | | (5.3) | | | (17.0) | | | (26.1) | | | (48.4) | | | (62.2) | |
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Net catastrophe losses | $ | 41.7 | | | | 25.4 | | | 11.8 | | | 9.2 | | | 24.4 | | | 78.9 | | | 60.2 | |
(Favorable) unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development | — | | | | — | | | — | | | 5.0 | | | 3.0 | | | — | | | 9.0 | |
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Underwriting ratios | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss and loss expense ratio | 98.7 | | % | | 95.3 | | | 81.2 | | | 91.7 | | | 104.5 | | | 91.8 | | | 98.7 | |
Underwriting expense ratio | 23.4 | | | | 22.8 | | | 23.9 | | | 25.2 | | | 22.9 | | | 23.4 | | | 24.9 | |
| | Combined ratio | 122.1 | | % | | 118.1 | | | 105.1 | | | 116.9 | | | 127.4 | | | 115.2 | | | 123.6 | |
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Net catastrophe losses | 38.8 | | pts | | 23.9 | | | 11.4 | | | 9.1 | | | 25.6 | | | 24.8 | | | 22.8 | |
(Favorable) unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development | — | | | | — | | | — | | | 5.0 | | | 3.2 | | | — | | | 3.4 | |
| | Combined ratio before net catastrophe losses | 83.3 | | % | | 94.2 | | | 93.7 | | | 107.8 | | | 101.8 | | | 90.4 | | | 100.8 | |
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| | Combined ratio before net catastrophe losses and prior year casualty development | 83.3 | | % | | 94.2 | | | 93.7 | | | 102.8 | | | 98.6 | | | 90.4 | | | 97.4 | |
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Other Statistics | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-catastrophe property loss and loss expenses | $ | 38.0 | | | | 45.4 | | | 41.9 | | | 42.8 | | | 42.5 | | | 125.2 | | | 114.1 | |
Non-catastrophe property loss and loss expenses | 35.3 | | pts | | 42.6 | | | 40.3 | | | 42.4 | | | 44.7 | | | 39.4 | | | 43.2 | |
Direct new business | $ | 16.0 | | | | 22.0 | | | 21.3 | | | 26.0 | | | 31.6 | | | 59.3 | | | 90.5 | |
Renewal pure price increases | 22.8 | | % | | 20.7 | | | 14.3 | | | 8.9 | | | 6.1 | | | 18.5 | | | 3.9 | |
Retention | 75 | | | | 78 | | | 83 | | | 87 | | | 88 | | | 78 | | | 87 | |
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Note: Amounts may not foot due to rounding. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
STANDARD PERSONAL LINES
GAAP LINE OF BUSINESS RESULTS
(Unaudited)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Quarter ended September 30, 2024 | | Quarter ended September 30, 2023 |
| Personal | | | | | | Personal | | | |
($ in millions) | Auto | | Homeowners | Other | Total | | Auto | Homeowners | Other | Total |
Net premiums written | $ | 54.1 | | | 53.0 | | 3.9 | | 111.0 | | | 59.5 | | 50.0 | | 3.7 | | 113.2 | |
Net premiums earned | 56.6 | | | 47.3 | | 3.7 | | 107.5 | | | 51.9 | | 40.2 | | 3.1 | | 95.2 | |
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Loss and loss expense ratio | 81.2 | | % | 132.9 | | (70.0) | | 98.7 | | | 100.1 | | 116.1 | | 28.7 | | 104.5 | |
Underwriting expense ratio | 24.9 | | | 28.4 | | (64.7) | | 23.4 | | | 26.8 | | 27.7 | | (106.0) | | 22.9 | |
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Combined ratio | 106.1 | | % | 161.3 | | (134.7) | | 122.1 | | | 126.9 | | 143.8 | | (77.3) | | 127.4 | |
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Underwriting income (loss) | $ | (3.4) | | | (29.0) | | 8.6 | | (23.8) | | | (14.0) | | (17.6) | | 5.5 | | (26.1) | |
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| Year-to-Date September 30, 2024 | | Year-to-Date September 30, 2023 |
| Personal | | | | | | Personal | | | |
($ in millions) | Auto | | Homeowners | Other | Total | | Auto | Homeowners | Other | Total |
Net premiums written | $ | 168.7 | | | 148.5 | | 9.8 | | 327.1 | | | 168.3 | | 130.8 | | 8.4 | | 307.5 | |
Net premiums earned | 171.1 | | | 137.4 | | 9.3 | | 317.8 | | | 145.1 | | 112.1 | | 7.1 | | 264.2 | |
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Loss and loss expense ratio | 87.3 | | % | 104.8 | | (16.3) | | 91.8 | | | 94.4 | | 108.9 | | 25.3 | | 98.7 | |
Underwriting expense ratio | 25.1 | | | 28.0 | | (76.5) | | 23.4 | | | 28.4 | | 29.0 | | (113.0) | | 24.9 | |
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Combined ratio | 112.4 | | % | 132.8 | | (92.8) | | 115.2 | | | 122.8 | | 137.9 | | (87.7) | | 123.6 | |
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Underwriting income (loss) | $ | (21.2) | | | (45.1) | | 17.9 | | (48.4) | | | (33.0) | | (42.5) | | 13.3 | | (62.2) | |
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Note: Amounts may not foot due to rounding. | | | | | | | | | | |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
EXCESS AND SURPLUS LINES
STATEMENT OF OPERATIONS AND SUPPLEMENTAL DATA
(Unaudited)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Quarter ended | | Year-to-date |
| Sept. 30, | | June 30, | | Mar. 31, | | Dec. 31, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, |
($ in millions) | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Underwriting results | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written | $ | 142.7 | | | | 146.8 | | | 125.0 | | | 120.2 | | | 111.6 | | | 414.5 | | | 318.4 | |
Change in net premiums written, from comparable prior year period | 28 | | % | | 39 | | | 24 | | | 36 | | | 25 | | | 30 | | | 21 | |
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Net premiums earned | $ | 129.3 | | | | 120.3 | | | 113.0 | | | 108.1 | | | 101.4 | | | 362.6 | | | 282.5 | |
Losses and loss expenses incurred | 68.0 | | | | 76.2 | | | 64.1 | | | 49.7 | | | 52.6 | | | 208.3 | | | 162.2 | |
Net underwriting expenses incurred | 39.6 | | | | 37.7 | | | 34.9 | | | 32.7 | | | 32.4 | | | 112.2 | | | 91.3 | |
GAAP underwriting income (loss) | $ | 21.7 | | | | 6.5 | | | 14.0 | | | 25.7 | | | 16.4 | | | 42.2 | | | 29.1 | |
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Net catastrophe losses | $ | 6.7 | | | | 14.3 | | | 4.9 | | | (0.7) | | | 3.5 | | | 25.9 | | | 25.4 | |
(Favorable) unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development | — | | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | (5.0) | |
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Underwriting ratios | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss and loss expense ratio | 52.5 | | % | | 63.3 | | | 56.7 | | | 45.9 | | | 51.9 | | | 57.5 | | | 57.4 | |
Underwriting expense ratio | 30.7 | | | | 31.3 | | | 30.9 | | | 30.3 | | | 32.0 | | | 30.9 | | | 32.3 | |
| | Combined ratio | 83.2 | | % | | 94.6 | | | 87.6 | | | 76.2 | | | 83.9 | | | 88.4 | | | 89.7 | |
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Net catastrophe losses | 5.2 | | pts | | 11.9 | | | 4.3 | | | (0.7) | | | 3.5 | | | 7.1 | | | 9.0 | |
(Favorable) unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development | — | | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | (1.8) | |
| | Combined ratio before net catastrophe losses | 78.0 | | % | | 82.7 | | | 83.3 | | | 76.9 | | | 80.4 | | | 81.3 | | | 80.7 | |
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| | Combined ratio before net catastrophe losses and prior year casualty development | 78.0 | | % | | 82.7 | | | 83.3 | | | 76.9 | | | 80.4 | | | 81.3 | | | 82.5 | |
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Other Statistics | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-catastrophe property loss and loss expenses | $ | 12.9 | | | | 15.6 | | | 14.3 | | | 7.3 | | | 7.5 | | | 42.8 | | | 24.6 | |
Non-catastrophe property loss and loss expenses | 10.0 | | pts | | 13.0 | | | 12.6 | | | 6.8 | | | 7.4 | | | 11.8 | | | 8.7 | |
Direct new business | $ | 79.0 | | | | 77.0 | | | 67.4 | | | 61.5 | | | 55.2 | | | 223.5 | | | 148.1 | |
Renewal pure price increases | 8.0 | | % | | 6.4 | | | 5.2 | | | 6.1 | | | 6.6 | | | 6.8 | | | 7.1 | |
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Note: Amounts may not foot due to rounding. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
EXCESS & SURPLUS LINES
GAAP LINE OF BUSINESS RESULTS
(Unaudited)
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| Quarter ended September 30, 2024 | | Quarter ended September 30, 2023 | | |
($ in millions) | Casualty | | Property | Total | | Casualty | Property | Total | | |
Net premiums written | $ | 83.3 | | | 59.3 | | 142.7 | | | 69.8 | | 41.8 | | 111.6 | | | |
Net premiums earned | 77.5 | | | 51.9 | | 129.3 | | | 67.7 | | 33.7 | | 101.4 | | | |
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Loss and loss expense ratio | 62.4 | | % | 37.8 | | 52.5 | | | 61.4 | | 32.9 | | 51.9 | | | |
Underwriting expense ratio | 31.7 | | | 29.1 | | 30.7 | | | 31.1 | | 33.7 | | 32.0 | | | |
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Combined ratio | 94.1 | | % | 66.9 | | 83.2 | | | 92.5 | | 66.6 | | 83.9 | | | |
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Underwriting income (loss) | $ | 4.6 | | | 17.2 | | 21.7 | | | 5.1 | | 11.3 | | 16.4 | | | |
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| Year-to-Date September 30, 2024 | | Year-to-Date September 30, 2023 | | |
($ in millions) | Casualty | | Property | Total | | Casualty | Property | Total | | |
Net premiums written | $ | 247.0 | | | 167.5 | | 414.5 | | | 206.9 | | 111.6 | | 318.4 | | | |
Net premiums earned | 223.0 | | | 139.6 | | 362.6 | | | 190.7 | | 91.9 | | 282.5 | | | |
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Loss and loss expense ratio | 62.6 | | % | 49.1 | | 57.5 | | | 58.9 | | 54.4 | | 57.4 | | | |
Underwriting expense ratio | 31.4 | | | 30.3 | | 30.9 | | | 31.9 | | 33.1 | | 32.3 | | | |
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Combined ratio | 94.0 | | % | 79.4 | | 88.4 | | | 90.8 | | 87.5 | | 89.7 | | | |
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Underwriting income (loss) | $ | 13.5 | | | 28.7 | | 42.2 | | | 17.6 | | 11.5 | | 29.1 | | | |
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Note: Amounts may not foot due to rounding. | | | | | | | | | | |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
CONSOLIDATED INVESTMENT INCOME
(Unaudited)
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| | | Quarter ended | | Year-to-date |
| Sept. 30, | | June 30, | | Mar. 31, | | Dec. 31, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, |
($ in millions) | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net investment income | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Fixed income securities | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Taxable | $ | 96.4 | | | | 91.5 | | | 91.4 | | | 88.8 | | | 86.7 | | | 279.3 | | | 242.4 | |
| | Tax-exempt | 2.1 | | | | 2.4 | | | 2.7 | | | 3.1 | | | 3.4 | | | 7.2 | | | 11.7 | |
Total fixed income securities | 98.5 | | | | 93.9 | | | 94.1 | | | 91.9 | | | 90.0 | | | 286.5 | | | 254.0 | |
Commercial mortgage loans | 3.2 | | | | 3.1 | | | 2.8 | | | 2.7 | | | 2.5 | | | 9.2 | | | 6.7 | |
Equity securities | 5.4 | | | | 1.9 | | | 4.9 | | | 3.9 | | | 2.1 | | | 12.1 | | | 5.5 | |
Alternative investments | 9.0 | | | | 10.5 | | | 6.9 | | | 1.1 | | | 6.5 | | | 26.4 | | | 25.6 | |
Other investments | 0.3 | | | | 0.1 | | | 0.3 | | | 0.1 | | | 0.3 | | | 0.6 | | | 0.5 | |
Short-term investments | 6.5 | | | | 4.7 | | | 3.5 | | | 3.3 | | | 3.9 | | | 14.7 | | | 11.5 | |
Investment income | 122.8 | | | | 114.3 | | | 112.5 | | | 103.0 | | | 105.3 | | | 349.5 | | | 303.9 | |
Investment expenses | (5.0) | | | | (5.6) | | | (4.6) | | | (4.4) | | | (4.4) | | | (15.3) | | | (13.8) | |
Investment tax expense | (24.4) | | | | (22.4) | | | (22.2) | | | (20.1) | | | (20.6) | | | (69.0) | | | (59.0) | |
Total net investment income, after-tax | $ | 93.4 | | | | 86.3 | | | 85.6 | | | 78.4 | | | 80.2 | | | 265.3 | | | 231.1 | |
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Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses), pre-tax | $ | 5.4 | | | | 1.3 | | | (1.6) | | | 5.4 | | | (6.9) | | | 5.1 | | | (9.0) | |
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Change in unrealized gains (losses) recognized in other comprehensive income, pre-tax | $ | 228.0 | | | | (10.8) | | | (16.1) | | | 275.4 | | | (127.5) | | | 201.1 | | | (100.8) | |
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Average investment yields | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Fixed income investments, pre-tax | 5.0 | | | | 4.9 | | | 5.0 | | | 5.1 | | | 5.1 | | | 4.9 | | | 5.0 | |
| | Fixed income investments, after-tax | 4.0 | | | | 3.9 | | | 4.0 | | | 4.0 | | | 4.1 | | | 3.9 | | | 4.0 | |
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| | Total portfolio, pre-tax | 5.0 | | | | 4.9 | | | 4.9 | | | 4.7 | | | 4.9 | | | 4.9 | | | 4.8 | |
| | Total portfolio, after-tax | 4.0 | | | | 3.9 | | | 3.9 | | | 3.7 | | | 3.9 | | | 3.9 | | | 3.8 | |
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Effective tax rate on net investment income | 20.7 | | | | 20.6 | | | 20.6 | | | 20.4 | | | 20.5 | | | 20.6 | | | 20.3 | |
New money purchase rates for fixed income investments, pre-tax | 5.8 | | | | 6.4 | | | 5.8 | | | 6.7 | | | 6.4 | | | 6.0 | | | 5.8 | |
New money purchase rates for fixed income investments, after-tax | 4.6 | | | | 5.0 | | | 4.6 | | | 5.3 | | | 5.0 | | | 4.7 | | | 4.6 | |
Effective duration of fixed income investments including short-term (in years) | 3.9 | | | | 3.9 | | | 4.0 | | | 4.0 | | | 4.1 | | | 3.9 | | | 4.1 | |
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Note: Amounts may not foot due to rounding. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
CONSOLIDATED COMPOSITION OF INVESTED ASSETS
(Unaudited)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Sept. 30, | | June 30, | | Mar. 31, | | Dec. 31, | | Sept. 30, |
| 2024 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2023 |
($ in millions) | Amount | Percent | | Amount | Percent | | Amount | Percent | | Amount | Percent | | Amount | Percent |
Fixed income securities, at fair value | $ | 8,110.0 | | 84 | | % | | 7,687.6 | | 85 | | | 7,602.7 | | 87 | | | 7,521.1 | | 87 | | | 7,049.0 | | 86 | |
Commercial mortgage loans, at fair value | 218.6 | | 2 | | | | 209.0 | | 2 | | | 197.8 | | 2 | | | 178.9 | | 2 | | | 171.4 | | 2 | |
Total fixed income investments | 8,328.7 | | 86 | | | | 7,896.6 | | 87 | | | 7,800.5 | | 89 | | | 7,700.0 | | 89 | | | 7,220.4 | | 88 | |
Short-term investments | 561.0 | | 6 | | | | 417.4 | | 5 | | | 247.9 | | 3 | | | 309.3 | | 4 | | | 315.0 | | 4 | |
Total fixed income and short-term investments | 8,889.7 | | 92 | | | | 8,314.0 | | 92 | | | 8,048.4 | | 92 | | | 8,009.3 | | 92 | | | 7,535.4 | | 92 | |
Equity securities, at fair value | 205.6 | | 2 | | | | 192.0 | | 2 | | | 194.3 | | 2 | | | 187.2 | | 2 | | | 125.6 | | 2 | |
Alternative investments | 432.0 | | 4 | | | | 414.8 | | 5 | | | 402.7 | | 5 | | | 395.8 | | 5 | | | 446.8 | | 5 | |
Other investments | 102.5 | | 1 | | | | 89.7 | | 1 | | | 89.0 | | 1 | | | 91.2 | | 1 | | | 72.2 | | 1 | |
Total investments | $ | 9,629.8 | | 100 | | % | | 9,010.5 | | 100 | | | 8,734.3 | | 100 | | | 8,683.5 | | 100 | | | 8,180.0 | | 100 | |
Fixed income investments, at carry value | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
U.S. government obligations | $ | 125.4 | | 2 | | % | | 151.0 | | 2 | | | 141.8 | | 2 | | | 205.0 | | 2 | | | 226.7 | | 3 | |
Foreign government obligations | 9.7 | | — | | | | 9.2 | | — | | | 9.2 | | — | | | 9.8 | | — | | | 9.3 | | — | |
Obligations of state and political subdivisions | 492.9 | | 6 | | | | 525.4 | | 7 | | | 539.0 | | 7 | | | 586.0 | | 8 | | | 614.8 | | 8 | |
Corporate securities | 3,048.7 | | 37 | | | | 2,865.4 | | 36 | | | 2,815.3 | | 36 | | | 2,733.9 | | 35 | | | 2,463.4 | | 34 | |
Collateralized loan obligations and other asset-backed securities | 1,946.4 | | 23 | | | | 1,916.1 | | 24 | | | 1,897.1 | | 24 | | | 1,834.8 | | 24 | | | 1,713.7 | | 24 | |
Residential mortgage-backed securities | 1,740.0 | | 21 | | | | 1,504.0 | | 19 | | | 1,512.0 | | 19 | | | 1,477.5 | | 19 | | | 1,384.5 | | 19 | |
Commercial mortgage-backed securities | 747.5 | | 9 | | | | 717.4 | | 9 | | | 689.4 | | 9 | | | 674.8 | | 9 | | | 638.0 | | 9 | |
Commercial mortgage loans | 223.6 | | 3 | | | | 219.5 | | 3 | | | 208.0 | | 3 | | | 188.4 | | 2 | | | 185.9 | | 3 | |
Total fixed income investments | $ | 8,334.1 | | 100 | | % | | 7,908.0 | | 100 | | | 7,811.8 | | 100 | | | 7,710.3 | | 100 | | | 7,236.3 | | 100 | |
Expected maturities of fixed income investments at carry value | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Due in one year or less | $ | 670.4 | | 8 | | % | | 634.2 | | 8 | | | 607.9 | | 8 | | | 526.6 | | 7 | | | 446.4 | | 6 | |
Due after one year through five years | 3,764.6 | | 45 | | | | 3,622.6 | | 46 | | | 3,558.5 | | 45 | | | 3,569.2 | | 46 | | | 3,308.7 | | 46 | |
Due after five years through 10 years | 3,072.6 | | 37 | | | | 2,872.1 | | 36 | | | 2,882.5 | | 37 | | | 2,862.5 | | 37 | | | 2,511.0 | | 35 | |
Due after 10 years | 826.5 | | 10 | | | | 779.1 | | 10 | | | 762.9 | | 10 | | | 751.9 | | 10 | | | 970.1 | | 13 | |
Total fixed income investments | $ | 8,334.1 | | 100 | | % | | 7,908.0 | | 100 | | | 7,811.8 | | 100 | | | 7,710.3 | | 100 | | | 7,236.3 | | 100 | |
Weighted average credit quality of fixed income and short-term investments | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Investment grade credit quality | $ | 8,591.0 | | 97 | | % | | 8,002.7 | | 96 | | | 7,747.0 | | 96 | | | 7,721.4 | | 96 | | | 7,250.8 | | 96 | |
Non-investment grade credit quality | 298.7 | | 3 | | | | 311.3 | | 4 | | | 301.4 | | 4 | | | 287.9 | | 4 | | | 284.6 | | 4 | |
Total fixed income and short-term investments, at fair value | $ | 8,889.7 | | 100 | | % | | 8,314.0 | | 100 | | | 8,048.4 | | 100 | | | 8,009.3 | | 100 | | | 7,535.4 | | 100 | |
Weighted average credit quality of fixed income and short-term investments | AA- | | | AA- | | A+ | | AA- | | A+ |
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Alternative investments | September 30, 2024 | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | Current | | | | | | | | | |
| Number of | Original | Remaining | Market | | | | | | | | | |
Strategy | Funds | Commitment | Commitment | Value | | | | | | | | | |
Private equity | 72 | | $ | 495.2 | | 191.4 | | 337.9 | | | | | | | | | | |
Private credit | 19 | | 163.7 | | 96.7 | | 50.2 | | | | | | | | | | |
Real assets | 11 | | 84.5 | | 41.4 | | 43.9 | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | 102 | | $ | 743.4 | | 329.6 | | 432.0 | | | | | | | | | | |
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Note: Amounts may not foot due to rounding. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
CREDIT QUALITY OF INVESTED ASSETS
(Unaudited)
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At September 30, 2024 | | | | | Credit Rating |
($ in millions) | Amortized Cost | | Fair Value | | % of Invested Assets | | Yield to Worst | | Effective Duration in Years | | Average Life in Years | | AAA | | AA | | A | | BBB | | Non-Investment Grade | | Not Rated |
Fixed income investments: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| U.S. government obligations | 140 | | | 125 | | | 1.3 | | | 4.2 | | | 6.1 | | | 9.2 | | | — | | | 125 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| Foreign government obligations | 11 | | | 10 | | | 0.1 | | | 4.6 | | | 5.4 | | | 6.4 | | | 1 | | | 2 | | | 5 | | | 3 | | | — | | | — | |
| State and municipal obligations | 512 | | | 493 | | | 5.1 | | | 4.1 | | | 5.8 | | | 7.3 | | | 73 | | | 218 | | | 185 | | | 17 | | | — | | | — | |
| Corporate securities | 3,089 | | | 3,048 | | | 31.7 | | | 5.0 | | | 4.4 | | | 5.8 | | | 41 | | | 337 | | | 1,359 | | | 1,115 | | | 193 | | | 2 | |
| Mortgage-backed securities: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Residential mortgage-backed securities ("RMBS"): | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Agency RMBS | 1,220 | | | 1,177 | | | 12.2 | | | 4.6 | | | 4.9 | | | 7.3 | | | — | | | 1,177 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | Non-agency RMBS | 582 | | | 563 | | | 5.8 | | | 7.1 | | | 3.2 | | | 4.7 | | | 491 | | | 41 | | | 30 | | | 1 | | | — | | | — | |
| | Total RMBS | 1,802 | | | 1,740 | | | 18.1 | | | 5.4 | | | 4.4 | | | 6.4 | | | 491 | | | 1,218 | | | 30 | | | 1 | | | — | | | — | |
| | Commercial mortgage-backed securities ("CMBS") | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Agency CMBS | 192 | | | 187 | | | 1.9 | | | 4.6 | | | 4.2 | | | 5.3 | | | 34 | | | 153 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | Non-agency CMBS | 574 | | | 560 | | | 5.8 | | | 5.7 | | | 2.8 | | | 3.5 | | | 486 | | | 49 | | | 25 | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | Total CMBS | 766 | | | 747 | | | 7.8 | | | 5.4 | | | 3.2 | | | 4.0 | | | 520 | | | 202 | | | 25 | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | Total mortgage-backed securities | 2,568 | | | 2,488 | | | 25.8 | | | 5.4 | | | 4.0 | | | 5.7 | | | 1,012 | | | 1,420 | | | 55 | | | 1 | | | — | | | — | |
Collateralized loan obligations ("CLO") and other asset-backed securities ("ABS"): | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Auto | 132 | | | 135 | | | 1.4 | | | 5.6 | | | 1.9 | | | 2.0 | | | 129 | | | 5 | | | 1 | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | Aircraft | 57 | | | 54 | | | 0.6 | | | 9.7 | | | 3.0 | | | 3.5 | | | — | | | — | | | 34 | | | 16 | | | 4 | | | — | |
| | CLOs | 845 | | | 832 | | | 8.6 | | | 6.5 | | | 2.7 | | | 4.9 | | | 431 | | | 258 | | | 45 | | | 40 | | | 37 | | | 20 | |
| | Credit cards | 24 | | | 25 | | | 0.3 | | | 4.4 | | | 2.1 | | | 2.3 | | | 20 | | | 5 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | Other ABS | 913 | | | 900 | | | 9.3 | | | 6.3 | | | 4.3 | | | 5.5 | | | 238 | | | 143 | | | 377 | | | 103 | | | 13 | | | 26 | |
| | Total CLOs and ABS | 1,971 | | | 1,946 | | | 20.2 | | | 6.4 | | | 3.4 | | | 4.9 | | | 818 | | | 411 | | | 457 | | | 159 | | | 54 | | | 47 | |
Total securitized assets | 4,539 | | | 4,434 | | | 46.0 | | | 5.8 | | | 3.8 | | | 5.4 | | | 1,830 | | | 1,831 | | | 512 | | | 161 | | | 54 | | | 47 | |
| | Commercial mortgage loans | 224 | | | 219 | | | 2.3 | | | 6.6 | | | 2.8 | | | 3.8 | | | — | | | 11 | | | 85 | | | 120 | | | 2 | | | — | |
Total fixed income investments | 8,515 | | | 8,329 | | | 86.5 | | | 5.4 | | | 4.1 | | | 5.7 | | | 1,945 | | | 2,525 | | | 2,146 | | | 1,415 | | | 249 | | | 49 | |
| | Short-term investments | 561 | | | 561 | | | 5.8 | | | 4.8 | | | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 560 | | | — | | | 1 | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | Total fixed income and short-term investments | 9,076 | | | 8,890 | | | 92.3 | | | 5.4 | | | 3.9 | | 5.3 | | 2,505 | | | 2,525 | | | 2,146 | | | 1,415 | | | 250 | | | 49 | |
Total fixed income securities and short-term investments by credit rating percentage | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28.2 | % | | 28.4 | % | | 24.1 | % | | 15.9 | % | | 2.8 | % | | 0.6 | % |
Equity securities: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Common stock(1) | 197 | | | 204 | | | 2.1 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 204 | |
| Preferred stock | 2 | | | 2 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 2 | | | — | | | — | |
| | Total equity securities | 199 | | | 206 | | | 2.1 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 2 | | | — | | | 204 | |
Alternative investments | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Private equity | 338 | | | 338 | | | 3.5 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 338 | |
| | Private credit | 50 | | | 50 | | | 0.5 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 50 | |
| | Real assets | 44 | | | 44 | | | 0.5 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 44 | |
| | Total alternative investments | 432 | | | 432 | | | 4.5 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 432 | |
Other investments | 102 | | | 102 | | | 1.1 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 102 | |
Total invested assets | $ | 9,809 | | | $ | 9,630 | | | 100.0 | % | | — | | | — | | | — | | | $ | 2,505 | | | $ | 2,525 | | | $ | 2,146 | | | $ | 1,417 | | | $ | 250 | | | $ | 787 | |
(1) Includes investments in exchange traded funds, mutual funds, business development corporations, and real estate investment trusts. | | | | | | | | |
Note: Amounts may not foot due to rounding. | | | | | | | | |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
RECONCILIATION OF NET INCOME (LOSS) AVAILABLE TO COMMON STOCKHOLDERS TO NON-GAAP OPERATING INCOME (LOSS) AND CERTAIN OTHER NON-GAAP MEASURES
(Unaudited)
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| Quarter ended | | Year-to-date |
| Sept. 30, | | June 30, | | Mar. 31, | | Dec. 31, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, | | Sept. 30, |
($ in millions, except per share data) | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Reconciliation of net income (loss) available to common stockholders to non-GAAP operating income (loss) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net income (loss) available to common stockholders | $ | 90.0 | | | | (65.6) | | | 80.2 | | | 122.5 | | | 86.9 | | | 104.6 | | | 233.5 | |
Net realized and unrealized investment (gains) losses included in net income, before tax | (5.4) | | | | (1.3) | | | 1.6 | | | (5.4) | | | 6.9 | | | (5.1) | | | 9.0 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Tax on reconciling items | 1.1 | | | | 0.3 | | | (0.3) | | | 1.1 | | | (1.4) | | | 1.1 | | | (1.9) | |
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Non-GAAP operating income (loss) | $ | 85.7 | | | | (66.6) | | | 81.5 | | | 118.3 | | | 92.3 | | | 100.6 | | | 240.6 | |
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Reconciliation of net income (loss) available to common stockholders per diluted common share to non-GAAP operating income (loss) per diluted common share | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net income (loss) available to common stockholders per diluted common share | $ | 1.47 | | | | (1.08) | | | 1.31 | | | 2.01 | | | 1.42 | | | 1.71 | | | 3.83 | |
Net realized and unrealized investment (gains) losses included in net income, before tax | (0.09) | | | | (0.02) | | | 0.03 | | | (0.09) | | | 0.11 | | | (0.08) | | | 0.15 | |
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Tax on reconciling items | 0.02 | | | | — | | | (0.01) | | | 0.02 | | | (0.02) | | | 0.01 | | | (0.03) | |
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Non-GAAP operating income (loss) per diluted common share | $ | 1.40 | | | | (1.10) | | | 1.33 | | | 1.94 | | | 1.51 | | | 1.64 | | | 3.95 | |
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Reconciliation of ROE to non-GAAP operating ROE | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
ROE | 12.6 | | | | (9.5) | | | 11.5 | | | 18.9 | | | 14.1 | | | 5.0 | | | 12.8 | |
Net realized and unrealized investment (gains) losses included in net income, before tax | (0.8) | | | | (0.2) | | | 0.2 | | | (0.8) | | | 1.1 | | | (0.2) | | | 0.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Tax on reconciling items | 0.3 | | | | 0.1 | | | — | | | 0.1 | | | (0.2) | | | — | | | (0.1) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Non-GAAP operating ROE | 12.1 | | | | (9.6) | | | 11.7 | | | 18.2 | | | 15.0 | | | 4.8 | | | 13.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Reconciliation of book value per common share to adjusted book value per common share | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Book value per common share | $ | 48.82 | | | | 44.74 | | | 46.17 | | | 45.42 | | | 40.35 | | | 48.82 | | | 40.35 | |
Total unrealized investment (gains) losses included in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), before tax | 2.50 | | | | 6.25 | | | 6.08 | | | 5.83 | | | 10.38 | | | 2.50 | | | 10.38 | |
Tax on reconciling items | (0.52) | | | | (1.32) | | | (1.28) | | | (1.22) | | | (2.19) | | | (0.52) | | | (2.19) | |
Adjusted book value per common share | $ | 50.80 | | | | 49.67 | | | 50.97 | | | 50.03 | | | 48.54 | | | 50.80 | | | 48.54 | |
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Non-GAAP operating income (loss), non-GAAP operating income (loss) per diluted common share, and non-GAAP operating return on common equity are measures comparable to net income (loss) available to common stockholders, net income (loss) available to common stockholders per diluted common share, and return on common equity, respectively, but excludes after-tax net realized and unrealized gains and losses on investments included in net income (loss). Adjusted book value per common share is a measure comparable to book value per common share, but excludes total after-tax unrealized gains and losses on investments included in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss). These non-GAAP measures are used as important financial measures by management, analysts, and investors, because the timing of realized and unrealized investment gains and losses on securities in any given period is largely discretionary. In addition, net realized and unrealized gains and losses on investments could distort the analysis of trends. These operating measurements are not intended as a substitute for net income (loss) available to common stockholders, net income (loss) available to common stockholders per diluted common share, return on common equity, and book value per common share prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). Reconciliations of net income (loss) available to common stockholders, net income (loss) available to common stockholders per diluted common share, return on common equity, and book value per common share to non-GAAP operating income (loss), non-GAAP operating income (loss) per diluted common share, non-GAAP operating return on common equity, and adjusted book value per common share, respectively, are provided in the tables above. |
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Note: Amounts may not foot due to rounding. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. & Consolidated Subsidiaries
RATINGS AND CONTACT INFORMATION
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Address: | As of September 30, 2024 | | | | |
40 Wantage Avenue | | AM Best | Standard & Poor's | Moody's | Fitch |
Branchville, NJ 07890 | Financial Strength Ratings: | A+ | A | A2 | A+ |
| Preferred Stock Rating: | n/a | BB+ | Ba1 | BBB- |
Corporate Website: | Long-Term Debt Credit Rating: | a- | BBB | Baa2 | BBB+ |
www.Selective.com | | | | | |
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Investor Contact: | REGISTRAR AND TRANSFER AGENT | | | | |
Brad B. Wilson | EQ Shareowner Services | | | | |
Senior Vice President | P.O. Box 64854 | | | | |
Investor Relations & Treasurer | St. Paul, MN 55164 | | | | |
Phone: 973-948-1283 | 866-877-6351 | | | | |
Brad.Wilson@Selective.com | | | | | |
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Media Contact: | | | | | |
Jamie M. Beal | | | | | |
Vice President | | | | | |
Director of Communications | | | | | |
Phone: 973-948-1234 | | | | | |
Jamie.Beal@Selective.com | | | | | |
INVESTOR PRESENTATION Third Quarter 2024 Copyright © 2024 by Selective Insurance. All rights reserved. Exhibit 99.3
Safe Harbor Statement We make certain statements and reference other information in this presentation that are “forward-looking statements” as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (“PSLRA”). The PSLRA provides a forward-looking statement safe harbor under the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These statements discuss our intentions, beliefs, projections, estimations, or forecasts of future events and financial performance. They involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause our or our industry's actual results, activity levels, or performance to materially differ from those in or implied by the forward-looking statements We discuss factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those we project, forecast, or estimate in forward-looking statements in further detail in Selective’s public filings with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements – whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise – other than as the federal securities laws may require. This presentation also includes certain non-GAAP financial measures within the meaning of Regulation G, including “non- GAAP operating earnings per share,” “non-GAAP operating income,” “non-GAAP operating return on equity,” and “adjusted book value per share.” Definitions of these non-GAAP measures and a reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP figures are available in our Annual Report on Form 10-K and our Supplemental Investor Package, both found on our website <www.selective.com> under “Investors/Reports & Earnings.” Our commentary references non-GAAP measures we and the investment community use to make it easier to evaluate our insurance business. These non-GAAP measures, however, may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used outside of the insurance industry. Investors are cautioned not to unduly rely on these non-GAAP measures in assessing our overall financial performance. 2
INTRODUCTION 3
4 Every day, our interactions with our customers and distribution partners reinforce the importance of our role in rebuilding lives and businesses, making communities safer, and supporting economic expansion.
A Leader in U.S. Property & Casualty Insurance 5*Based on 2023 net premiums written in AM Best’s annual list of “Top 200 U.S. Property/Casualty Writers” NASDAQ: SIGI (common stock) NASDAQ: SIGIP (preferred) Investor.Relations@Selective.com Superior track record driven by disciplined execution 10 consecutive years of double-digit Operating Return on Equity A+ (Superior) rating by A.M. Best $4.1 billion of net premiums written in 2023 34th largest P&C carrier in the United Stated States* Clear path for continued, profitable growth 5
Sustainable Competitive Advantages 6 Our success is based on a unique combination of competitive advantages. Taken together, they create a winning formula for Selective. Our unique field model, placing empowered underwriting staff in proximity to our distribution partners and customers Our ability to develop and integrate sophisticated tools for risk selection, pricing, and claims management Our franchise value distribution model, defined by meaningful and close business relationships with a group of top-notch independent agents Our commitment to delivering a superior omni-channel customer experience, enhanced by digital platforms and value-added services Our highly engaged and aligned team of skilled and committed employees
Differentiated Operating Model 7 2023 Net Premiums Written $4 Billion • Approximately 1,550 distribution partners selling our standard lines products and services through approximately 2,650 office locations • ~850 of these distribution partners sell our personal lines products • ~90 wholesale agents sell our E&S business • ~6,400 distribution partners sell National Flood Insurance Program products across 50 states • Locally based underwriting, claims, and safety management specialists • Proven ability to develop and integrate actionable tools • Enables effective portfolio management in an uncertain loss trend environment Unique, locally based field model Franchise value distribution model with high-quality partners "Everyone with Selective makes our customers feel like the #1 priority. The ease of working with Selective is unmatched." - Selective Agent Standard Commercial Lines 79% Standard Personal Lines 10% Excess and Surplus Lines 11%
Ten Consecutive Years of Double-Digit Non-GAAP Operating ROEs Between 2014 – 2023 generated ROEs exceeding our cost of capital and peer group average 100 basis points of combined ratio translates to ~120 basis points of ROE* 100 basis points of pre-tax investment yield translates to ~260 basis points of ROE* Non-GAAP Operating ROE *Calculated using average equity Operating ROE 2022 2023 Investments 9.4% 12.4% Underwriting 5.4% 4.2% Other (2.4)% (2.2)% Total 12.4% 14.4% 14.4% 4.8% 0% 5% 10% 15% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 9M24 SIGI Peer Avg. average from 2014 to 2023 12.2% Note: Peer Average includes CINF, CNA, HIG, THG, TRV, and UFCS; Peer 9M24 based off 1H24 data 8
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 92%94%96%98%100%102%104% 10 -Y ea r N PW C AG R 10-Year Average Combined Ratio Excellent Operating Results with Low Historical Volatility NPW CAGR vs. Average Combined Ratio Note: White dots represent P&C peers: CINF, CNA, HIG, THG, TRV, and UFCS; 10-year avg based on 2014-2023 Industry Source: © 2024 Conning, Inc. Used with permission. [Statutory data] CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate SIGI Combined Ratio (Average & Volatility) Industry 90% 95% 100% 105% 0 2 4 6 8 10 -Y ea r A ve ra ge C om bi ne d R at io 10-Year Standard Deviation of Combined Ratio (σ) Industry SIGI 9
Track Record of Disciplined, Profitable Growth 10 $4.1 $- $1 $2 $3 $4 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 N PW ($ in b ill io ns ) $5.89 $- $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 *Compound annual growth rate Net Premiums Written Operating Earnings per Share With current market share of ~1% in Commercial Lines, Selective has meaningful runway to deliver above-industry growth 12% CAGR* 9% CAGR*
Path for Profitable Growth *Expect to enter over the next two years, subject to regulatory approval • Targeting 3% market share in existing footprint over the long-term • 12% share of wallet target with existing distribution partners • 25% agent market share target in existing markets • Additional long-term premium opportunity of ~$3 billion • Disciplined approach to geographic expansion • Added thirteen states to our Standard Commercial Lines footprint since 2017 • Plan to write business in most of the contiguous U.S.; operating model will vary depending on the market Standard Commercial Lines Core Footprint prior to 2017 Expansion States since 2017 Targeted Expansion States* Excess and Surplus Lines • Opportunistic, profitable growth strategy • Expansion of capabilities and products Standard Personal Lines • Transition to mass-affluent well underway • Focusing where we believe our strong coverage and servicing capabilities will be more competitive • Better aligns our organizational capabilities with a market where we believe we can succeed over the long term Standard Commercial Lines Footprint 11
2024 Guidance 12 *As of October 21, 2024 102.5% GAAP combined ratio • 7.5 points of catastrophe losses • Assumes no additional prior year casualty reserve development • Although too early to provide a specific estimate, we expect losses from Hurricane Milton, which made landfall on October 9, 2024, to be immaterial. After-tax net investment income of $360 million • Including $32 million of after-tax income from alternative investments Overall effective tax rate of approx. 21.0% • 20.5% effective tax rate on investments • 21.0% effective tax rate on all other items Weighted average diluted shares • 61.5 million
SEGMENT PERFORMANCE 13
Standard Commercial Lines 14 • Account-based approach with granular data and sophisticated tools to support underwriting decisions • Focus on maintaining underwriting discipline and price adequacy • Targeting renewal pure price increases in line with expected loss trend • Underwriting actions focused on underperforming areas 85% 8.2% 76% 80% 84% 88% 0% 4% 8% R et en ti on Pr ic in g Retention Renewal Pure Price CLIPS Pricing 79% of Net Premiums Written (“NPW”) $3.3 94.9% 70% 80% 90% 100% $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 $3.5 $4.0 C om bi ne d R at io N PW ($ in B ill io ns ) NPW GAAP Combined Ratio *Expect to enter over the next two years, subject to regulatory approval CLIPS: Willis Towers Watson Commercial Lines Insurance Pricing Survey; 9M24 rate as of 1H24 Footprint Targeted Expansion States* 105.6% Combined Ratio 11% NPW Growth 9M24
80% 85% 90% 95% 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% Excellent Above Average Average Below Average Low & Very Low Re ne w al P ur e Pr ic e Renewal Pure Price Point of Renewal Retention Po in t o f R en ew al R et en tio n Portfolio Approach Drives Business Mix Improvements 15 • Portfolio management approach yields higher retention and rate • Account-specific pricing, including: • Predictive modeling • Relative loss frequency and severity • Pricing deviation • Hazard and segment considerations Strong focus on providing our employees tools and technologies that enable more effective underwriting decision making Standard Commercial Lines Pricing by Retention Group % of Premium As of September 30, 2024 17% 16% 44% 16% 7% 16% 14% 44% Contractors 1% Bonds Manufacturing & Wholesale Community & Public Services 25% Mercantile & Services 2023 DPW Mix* *Standard Commercial Lines as of December 31, 2023
16 Excess & Surplus Lines • Profitable and growing portfolio of commercial risks • Small and middle market focus with $4,600 average premium per policyholder • Modernized technology platform • Approximately 2/3 casualty and 1/3 property • ~90 wholesale general agents with limited binding authority within prescribed underwriting and pricing guidelines $439 86.0% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110% $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 C om bi ne d R at io N PW ($ in m ill io ns ) NPW GAAP Combined Ratio 11% of Net Premiums Written 6.8% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% R en ew al P ur e Pr ic e Renewal Pure Price 50 States & D.C. 88.4% Combined Ratio 30% NPW Growth 9M24
17 • Strategic shift to mass affluent target market underway • Strong existing product set and servicing capabilities • Aggressive profit improvement plan driven by accelerated pricing and tighter terms and conditions • Expect pressure on policy counts in 2024 due to rate and underwriting actions Standard Personal Lines 0.5% 1.0% 1.8% 3.4% 6.1% 8.9% 18.5% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% R en ew al P ur e Pr ic e 10% of Net Premiums Written $415 121.7% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110% 120% $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 C om bi ne d R at io N PW ( $ in m ill io ns ) NPW GAAP Combined Ratio 15 State Footprint 115.2% Combined Ratio 6% NPW Growth 9M24
Conservative Investment Portfolio 18 • Maximize risk-adjusted after-tax income and generate long-term growth in book value • Objectives balanced against prevailing market conditions and enterprise risk-taking capacity • Consistent strategy and risk appetite focused on increasing book yield as interest rates rose • 92% allocation to fixed income and short-term as of 9/30/24: • 3.9 year duration • AA- average credit rating • 10-14% target allocation for risk assets • Profitable growth within insurance operations drives long-term growth of invested assets Long-term investment philosophy and focus on managing risk $104 $310 8.6% 12.4% 0% 4% 8% 12% $- $100 $200 $300 $400 After-Tax NII Investment Operating ROE Investment Portfolio at 9/30/24 $4.8 $9.6 2.2% 3.9% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% $4 $6 $8 $10 Th ou sa nd s Invested Assets After-Tax Portfolio Yield In ve st ed A ss et s ($ in b ill io ns ) Fixed Income 87% Short-Term 6%Equities 2% Alts & Other 5% A ft er -T ax P or tf ol io Y ie ld A ft er -T ax N et In ve st m en t In co m e ($ in m ill io ns ) O pe ra ti ng R et ur n on E qu it y $265M After-tax NII 12.6% ROE 9M24
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW 19
0 2 4 6 8 10 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024F Po in ts o n th e C om bi ne d R at io 7.5% Enterprise Risk Management 20 7% 4% 0% 10% 2023 2024 1-in-250 Probable Maximum Loss* as a % of GAAP Equity • Predominantly write low to medium hazard risks • Strong balance sheet and underwriting controls with prudent reserving practices • Catastrophe loss mitigation initiatives include: • Exposure management including strict coastal guidelines • Focus on geographic diversification and growth that minimizes peak peril aggregations • Prudent reinsurance program Impact of Catastrophe Losses on Combined Ratio *Single event hurricane losses are net of reinsurance, after tax, and reinstatement premiums as of 1/1/24; GAAP equity as of 12/31/23 Industry Source: © 2024 AM Best. Used with permission. SIGI Catastrophe Guidance as of October 21, 2024 Average premium per policyholder: Industry Average SIGI $17KStandard Commercial $4.6KExcess & Surplus $3KPersonal Lines
Prudent Reinsurance Structure 21 • 2024 property catastrophe treaty highlights: • $1.1B in excess of $100M retention • $417.5M in collateralized limit, all in the top layer of the program • 1-in-250 PML = 4% of GAAP equity • Property excess of loss treaty covers losses up to $65M in excess of $5M retention on a per risk basis • Casualty excess of loss treaty covers losses up to $88M in excess of $2M retention on a per occurrence basis • Co-participation of 17.5% on the first $3 million excess $2 million layer 2024 Property Catastrophe Program Retention: $100M $100M in excess of $100M $200M in excess of $200M $300M in excess of $400M $500M in excess of $700M 65% covered through Catastrophe Bond (3-year risk period) 100% Placed 100% Placed 100% Placed 100% Placed
Quarterly Reserve Review Strong reserve discipline facilitated by in- depth quarterly reserve reviews, semi-annual independent reviews, and independent year- end opinion 22 Disciplined Financial Planning and Reserving Practices Detailed Planning Process Detailed ground up premium, expense, and loss planning, with monthly forecasts Specific Underwriting & Pricing Actions Rate analyses, predictive modeling, and policy level guidance facilitate specific pricing and underwriting actions Rigorous Results Monitoring Extensive pricing, underwriting, and claims results monitoring provides on-going feedback
-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Selective Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6 P&C Industry Pr io r Y ea rs D ev el op m en t a s % o f P Y C ar rie d R es er ve s 1997-2023 90%th Percentile 10%th Percentile Average Selective has exhibited less reserve development volatility than peers and the industry 2024 reserving actions 1-Year Reserve Development (% of Prior Carried Reserve)* 23 *Loss & Defense Cost Containment Expenses Source: Schedule P; S&P Capital IQ P&C peers: TRV, HIG, CNA, CINF, THG, and UFCS
Strong Capital Position 24 • Instituted $100 million share repurchase authorization in 2020 ̶ $75.5 million remained as of September 30, 2024 S&P: A Moody’s: A2Fitch: A+AM Best: A+ Financial Strength Ratings • Generated $768 million of operating cash flow in the first nine months of 2024, up from $522 million in the first nine months of 2023 • Investing in organic growth is currently the most attractive capital deployment opportunity • NPW-to-Surplus ratio of 1.63x at September 30, 2024 • Target 20-25% dividend payout ratio over time ̶ Quarterly dividend increased 9%, to $0.38 per common share, in 4Q 2024
Balancing Expense Discipline with Strategic Investments • Expect the expense ratio to finish the year about one point better than full year 2023. • Recent and current strategic investments include: • New platforms for Small Business and E&S • Claim system modernization • Geographic expansion • Customer experience • Areas for operational enhancements include: • Robotics and artificial intelligence • Talent development • Product innovation 25 33.0% 30.6% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 9M24
$22.54 $48.82 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022* 2023 B oo k Va lu e pe r S ha re Focus on ROE and Growth in Book Value Per Share* 26*Book value per share decreased 17% for 2022 compared to 2021 primarily due to increased net unrealized losses. Adjusted book value per share** increased 5% for 2022 compared to 2021. **Refer to “Safe Harbor Statement” on page 2 of this presentation for further detail regarding certain non-GAAP financial measures Generating non-GAAP operating ROE** in line with our long-term target Superior growth in book value per share Expected higher total shareholder returns over time 9M24
-0.2% -5.2% -8.2% 5.9% 17.2%16.7% 40.0% 56.3% 17.8% 17.2% 5.9% 22.1% 36.2% 16.0% 13.4% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% SIGI S&P Prop/Cas S&P 500 Long-Term Total Shareholder Return 27Note: Total shareholder return calculations are as of September 30, 2024 1 Year 5 Years 10 Years3Q 2024 YTD
PROGRESS THROUGH IMPACT 28
Our Approach to Sustainability 29 Our primary objectives are to: • Help our customers put their lives and businesses back together after experiencing a covered loss • Help make our customers and communities safer • Support economic growth by providing capital that protects against covered losses and allows businesses to invest confidently in their operations Sustainability initiatives are embedded into Selective's business. We aim to deliver significant value over time to our customers, distribution partners, employees, and shareholders. Key sustainability accomplishments: • Achieved an “AA” rating from MSCI • Completed a solar facility at corporate headquarters that can generate approximately 5M kWh of energy that we sell to others • Continue sharing our approach to climate-related risks and opportunities through the publication of our third Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures.
INVESTOR PRESENTATION Third Quarter 2024 Copyright © 2024 by Selective Insurance. All rights reserved.
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