Commodity Currencies Fall As Oil Prices Slide

The commodity currencies such as Australia, the New Zealand and the Canadian dollars weakened against their major currencies in the Asian session on Tuesday, as crude oil prices fell amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Crude oil prices fell sharply as concerns about supply disruptions faded after Israel avoided hitting Iranian oil facilities over the weekend. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for December plunged $4.40 or 6.1 percent at $67.38 a barrel.

The Brent crude for December, the worldwide benchmark, fell $4.63, or 6.1%, to $71.42 a barrel. This was the biggest daily percentage decline since July 2022.

Traders remain cautious ahead of the release of key U.S. economic data later in the week that could impact the expectations regarding how quickly the U.S. Fed will lower interest rates.

The monthly jobs report, consumer confidence, pending home sales, manufacturing sector activity, third quarter GDP as well as a report on personal income and spending that includes the Fed's preferred inflation readings are likely to be in the spotlight this week.

While the Fed is widely expected to lower interest rates by another quarter point next month, CME Group's FedWatch Tool currently indicating a nearly 30 percent chance the central bank will leave rates unchanged in December.

Weakness in energy stocks amid tumbling crude oil prices, also led to the downturn of the commodity-linked currencies.

In the Asian trading now, the Australian dollar fell to nearly a 3-month low of 0.6561 against the U.S. dollar and nearly a 2-week low of 1.0988 against the NZ dollar, from yesterday's closing quotes of 0.6583 and 1.1005, respectively. The aussie may test support around 0.63 against the greenback and 1.08 against the kiwi.

The aussie slid to a 1-week low of 100.27 against the yen, from yesterday's closing value of 100.90. On the downside, 97.00 is seen as the next support level for the aussie.

Against the euro and the Canadian dollar, the aussie dropped to near 1-1/2-month lows of 1.6475 and 0.9119 from Monday's closing quotes of 1.6422 and 0.9143, respectively. If the aussie extends its downtrend, it is likely to find support around 1.67 against the euro and 0.90 against the loonie.

The NZ dollar fell to 0.5968 against the U.S. dollar and 91.23 against the yen, from yesterday's closing quotes of 0.5980 and 91.65, respectively. If the kiwi extends its downtrend, it is likely to find support around 0.58 against the greenback and 88.00 against the yen.

Against the euro, the kiwi edged down to 1.8111 from Monday's closing value of 1.8074. The kiwi may test support around the 1.86 region.

The Canadian dollar fell to 1.3901 against the U.S. dollar and 109.92 against the yen, from yesterday's closing quotes of 1.3889 and 110.35, respectively. If the loonie extends its downtrend, it is likely to find support around 1.40 against the greenback and 102.00 against the yen

Against the euro, the loonie edged down to 1.5028 from Monday's closing value of 1.5017. The next possible support level for the loonie is seen around the 1.52 region.

Looking ahead, U.K. mortgage approvals data for September are due to be released in the European session.

In the New York session, Canada wholesale sales data for September, U.S. wholesale and retail inventories for September, U.S. Redbook report, U.S. S&P/Case -Shiller home price index for August, U.S. Consumer Board's consumer confidence for October and U.S. Dallas Fed services index for October are slated for release.