Concateno Share Discussion Threads

[energyi] 29/11/2005 06:52

Oil Sector ETF (XLE) headed back to $45?

[energyi] 27/11/2005 15:20

Seasonality

[energyi] 21/11/2005 22:41

1/ 21.nov (A)
Symb. Option------- Qty: Controls: DlrCost :Price- :Br.even SpotLiv
OIHXE OIH.dec.$125p x10: $125.0K-: $ 4,200 :-$4.20 :$120.80 $123.95
XBTLV XLE.dec.$ 48c x25: $120.0K+: $ 7,125 :+$2.85 :$ 50.85 $ 50.26
Ratio Av.2.35 -2.60 x35: R-1.041-: $11,325 :...... :R-2.376 R:2.466
2/ 21.nov (B)
Symb. Option------- Qty: Controls: DlrCost :Price- :Br.even SpotLiv
OIHXF OIH.dec.$125p x10: $130.0K-: $ 7,100 :-$7.10 :$122.90 $123.95
XBTLV XLE.dec.$ 48c x25: $120.0K+: $ 7,125 :+$2.85 :$ 50.85 $ 50.26
Ratio Av.2.35 -2.60 x35: R-1.041-: $11,325 :...... :R-2.417 R:2.466

4/ 22.nov (A)
Symb. Option------- Qty: Controls: DlrCost :Price- :Br.even SpotLiv
OIHXE OIH.dec.$125p x10: $125.0K-: $ 3,200 :-$3.20 :$121.80 $126.05
XBTLV XLE.dec.$ 48c x25: $120.0K+: $ 8,000 :+$3.20 :$ 51.20 $ 50.70
Ratio Av.2.35 -2.60 x35: R-1.041-: $11,200 :...... :R-2.379 R:2.486
5/ 21.nov (C)
Symb. Option------- Qty: Controls: DlrCost :Price- :Br.even SpotLiv
OIHXF OIH.dec.$125p x10: $130.0K-: $ 5,800 :-$5.80 :$124.20 $126.05
XBTLW XLE.dec.$ 49c x25: $122.5K+: $ 5,625 :+$2.50 :$ 51.50 $ 50.70
Ratio Av.2.35 -2.60 x35: R-1.061-: $11,425 :...... :R-2.412 R:2.486

#6/ .. -OIH- -XLE- -O/X- OIHXE OIHXF XBTLV XBTLW Pack.A Pack.C
22.nov 126.1 50.70 2.486 $3.20 $5.80 $3.20 $2.50 $11.20 $11.43
23.nov 127.5 50.87 2.507 $2.45 $4.80 $3.40 $2.50 $10.95 $11.42
25.nov 127.2 51.00 2.494 $2.50 $4.90 $2.50 $2.60 $11.15 $11.40
28.nov 124.2 50.03 2.482 $3.80 $7.00 $2.80 $1.82 $10.18 $11.63
29.nov 122.7 49.36 2.486 $4.60 $8.10 $2.10 $1.45 $ 9.85 $11.73
01Idec 126.9 50.37 2.519 $2.25 $4.75 $2.75 $1.95 $ 9.13 $ 9.63
12Idec 133.4 52.12 2.559 $0.15 $0.65 $4.10 $3.20 $10.26 $ 8.65

[energyi] 17/11/2005 21:55

OILstock RATIO-lock ("OSRL Trade")

Symb. Option------- Qty: DlrCost :Price- :Br.even SpotLv
OIHXE OIH.dec.$125p x10: $ 6,850 :-$6.85 :$118.10 $120.3
XLTLV XLE.dec.$ 48c x25: $ 5,500 :+$2.20 :$ 50.20 $49.00
Ratio Av.2.35 -2.60 x35: $12,400 :...... :R -2.35 R:2.45

DUPLICATE
The DATA
+LONG++ -SHORT-: Comm'rl ++LONG+ -SHORT- RATIO Lg.Spec : DATE. =Price=: .OIH./.XOI. OI/X
(comm.): Futures -NetSht Combi'd w/Opts. CmS/L Net.LgF ..Tues. Lond.pm: .XNG.. XLE. XN/X
.WTIC.. ........ ....... ....... ....... ..... ....... ....... .......: ....../.... ....
....... ....... + ...... ....... ....... ..... -...... . 11.22 $ 58.84: 126.70/1014 2.48
543,858 473,204 + 70,654 830,318 835,299 1.006 -56,167 . 11.15 $ 57.61: 115.60/ 962 2.42
530,501 465,085 + 65,416 881,835 887,888 1.001 -47,816 . 11.08 $ 59.71: 119.35/ 986 2.43
521,071 461,207 + 59,864 869,391 880,961 1.013 -42,040 . 11.01 $ 59.85: 119.00/ 989 2.42
523,109 464,980 + 58,129 856,346 865,910 1.011 -38,084 . 10.25 $ 62.44: 116.42/ 970 2.39
549,911 503,139 + 46,772 871,290 887,239 1.018 -26,118 . 10.18 $ 62.44: 108.08/ 941 2.32
545,812 485,853 + 59,959 879,235 882,126 1.003 -40,570 . 10.11 $ 63.05: 114.13/1005 2.28
529,094 490,136 + 38,958 856,427 873,444 1.020 -27,251 . 10.04 $ 63.90: 119.60/1039 2.32
541,508 502,633 + 38,875 854,242 868,438 1.017 -26,329 . 09.27 $ 65.07: 123.41/1075 2.30
532,544 511,803 + 20,741 836,035 865,205 1.035 -13,103 . 09.20 $ 66.20: 123.15/1068 2.31
534,826 526,988 ++ 7,838 848,029 889,734 1.049 - 8,248 . 09.13 $ 63.78: 116.80/1044 2.28
524,902 540,460 - 15,558 828,851 886,083 1.069 +24,094 . 09.06 $ 65.96: 119.30/1046 2.33
532,610 537,190 -- 4,580 826,431 875,753 1.060 +19,360 . 08.30 $ 69.81: 115.51/ 985 2.34
522,331 530,687 -- 8,356 795,037 850,773 1.070 +15,720 . 08.23 $ 65.71: 112.85/ 963 2.34
552,971 578,683 - 25,712 847,477 908,667 1.072 +40,395 . 08.16 $ 66.70: 113.70/ 978 2.34
509,259 533,649 - 24,390 796,636 853,820 1.072 +34,988 . 08.09 $ 63.07: 116.00/ 979 2.37
490,451 508,328 - 17,877 768,481 818,238 1.065 +26,070 . 08.02 $ 61.89: 117.08/ 965 2.39
502,164 504,112 -- 1,987 763,194 799,656 1.048 +11,929 . 07.26 $ 59.20: 112.58/ 938 2.36
511,125 523,348 - 12,223 762,149 810,008 1.063 +18,899 . 07.19 $ 58.69: 106.35/ 924 2.30
502,119 527,788 - 25,669 783,568 840,391 1.073 +34,029 . 07.12 $ 61.48: 107.25/ 940 2.28
493,272 510,966 - 17,694 762,786 813,597 1.067 +32,758 . 07.05 $ 59.59: 106.58/ 931 2.28
481,358 487,852 -- 6,494 738,883 783,440 1.060 +22,008 . 06.28 $ 58.20: 101.90/ 899 2.28
496,818 500,964 -- 4,146 746,143 782,757 1.049 +19,847 . 06.21 $ 59.04: 101.19/ 895 2.25
529,397 522,129 ++ 7,268 783,014 813,616 1.039 +12,563 . 06.14 $ 55.97: 100.32/ 874 2.23
496,939 485,653 + 11,286 747,568 770,512 1.031 + 1,375 . 06.07 $ 53.76:+ 94.55/ 840 2.23
512,236 473,136 + 39,100 751,911 744,658 0.990 -17,401 . 05.31 $ 51.97:+ 93.20/ 826 2.23
507,855 479,026 + 28,829 746,000 749,790 1.005 -14,319 . 05.24 $ 49.67:+ 89.84/ 813 2.22
510,659 489,926 + 20,733 738,759 749,570 1.015 - 2,308 . 05.17 $ 50.67:+ 87.35/ 792 2.22
520,162 504,290 + 15,872 786,678 811,549 1.032 ++ ,085 . 05.10 $ 52.07:+ 90.91/ 827 2.22
511,576 502,576 ++ 9,000 780,672 811,459 1.039 + 8,403 . 05.03 $ 49.50:+ 89.85/ 813 2.23

NG HHUB
....... ....... + ...... ....... ....... ..... -...... . 11.22 $ 12.03: 392.70/51.06 7.69
260,272 255,234 ++ 5,038 399,684 388,517 0.972 -43,820 . 11.15 $ 12.30: 370.43/47.80 7.74
248,678 249,158 -- 0,480 381,749 378,354 0.991 -40,786 . 11.08 $ 11.80: 376.75/49.05 7.68
243,301 246,620 -- 3,319 369,465 367,225 0.994 -35,936 . 11.01 $ 12.31: 387.59/49.12 7.89
243,261 260,481 - 17,220 397,988 392,364 0.986 -17,811 . 10.25 $ 13.16: 389.86/48.65 8.01
246,450 262,293 - 15,843 ....... ....... ..... -24,055 . 10.18 $ 14.22: 376.45/46.67 8.07
241,869 263,515 - 21,646 ....... ....... ..... -17,448 . 10.11 $ 14.34: 399.16/49.95 7.99
237,671 263,285 - 25,614 ....... ....... ..... - 3,225 . 10.04 $ 14.14: 421.22/51.60 8.16
243,658 262,274 - 18,616 ....... ....... ..... -18,926 . 09.27 $ 12.60: 421.89/53.56 7.88
237,234 276,148 - 38,914 ....... ....... ..... - 7,281 . 09.20 $ 12.68: 416.89/53.15 7.84
233,393 270,573 - 37,180 ....... ....... ..... -10,781 . 09.13 $ 10.88: 400.57/51.28 7.81
225,878 257,423 - 31,545 ....... ....... ..... - 8,604 . 09.06 $ 12.30: 397.37/51.31 7.74
218,364 248,675 - 30,311 ....... ....... ..... - 9,196 . 08.30 $ 12.12: 385.96/49.28 7.83
220,488 256,007 - 35,519 ....... ....... ..... - 5,050 . 08.23 +$ 9.57: 378.91/48.21 7.86
221,867 253,356 - 31,489 ....... ....... ..... -- ,830 . 08.16 +$ 9.47: 375.52/48.59 7.73
213,638 245,741 - 32,103 ....... ....... ..... -10,576 . 08.09 +$ 8.77: 378.09/48.98 7.72
208,580 238,172 - 29,592 ....... ....... ..... -15,797 . 08.02 +$ 8.20: 383.75/48.90 7.85
220,557 239,493 - 18,936 ....... ....... ..... -26,904 . 07.26 +$ 7.46: 375.85/47.72 7.88
224,046 243,546 - 19,500 ....... ....... ..... -24,099 . 07.19 +$ 8.05: 367.67/46.15 7.97
212,629 234,806 - 22,177 ....... ....... ..... -20,800 . 07.12 +$ 7.64: 375.49/47.00 7.99
215,000 227,282 - 12,282 ....... ....... ..... -28,893 . 07.05 +$ 7.68: 368.92/46.80 7.88
211,858 229,166 - 17,308 ....... ....... ..... -25,566 . 06.28 +$ 7.17: 350.01/44.78 7.82
215,911 232,506 - 16,595 ....... ....... ..... -28,911 . 06.21 +$ 7.62: 349.43/44.92 7.78
207,238 220,275 - 13,037 ....... ....... ..... -31,753 . 06.14 +$ 7.34: 344.73/44.90 7.68
209,469 217,639 -- 8,170 ....... ....... ..... -32,957 . 06.07 +$ 7.20: 332.83/42.35 7.86
219,614 209,830 ++ 9,784 ....... ....... ..... -45,334 . 05.31 +$ 6.49: 329.50/41.68 7.91
225,219 220,974 ++ 4,245 ....... ....... ..... -45,023 . 05.24 +$ 6.48: 319.71/40.48 7.90
232,118 232,913 --- ,795 ....... ....... ..... -35,449 . 05.17 +$ 6.63: 310.97/39.32 7.91
222,430 230,715 -- 8,285 ....... ....... ..... -24,927 . 05.10 +$ 6.88: 316.41/40.95 7.73
215,984 230,578 - 14,594 ....... ....... ..... -19,040 . 05.03 +$ 6.70: 310.95/40.31 7.71

NG SWAP
....... ....... + ...... ....... ....... ..... -...... . 11.22 $ 12.03: 392.70/51.06 7.69
769,676 1054751-285,075 769,676 1054,751 1.370 278,439 . 11.15 $12.066: 378.39/49.04
755,287 1042322-287,035 755,287 1042,322 1.380 287,680 . 11.08 $ 11.80: 376.75/49.05
731,247 997,742-266,495 731,247. 997,742 1.364 257,983 . 11.01 $ 12.31: 387.59/49.12
770,755 1044424-273,669 ........ ....... ..... 264,044 . 10.25 $ 13.16: 389.86/48.65
750,274 1018096-267,822 ........ ....... ..... 259,726 . 10.18 $ 14.22: 376.45/46.67
710,948 989,597-278,649 ........ ....... ..... 270,829 . 10.11 $ 14.34: 399.16/49.95
688,666 969,240-280,574 ........ ....... ..... 276,154 . 10.04 $ 14.14: 421.22/51.60

[edwards45] 14/11/2005 10:14

Glad you got email jon...(30 mins!)
I've topped up a couple of times as i think any price
under 100p is a bargain & do intend to hold for quite a few years.
Experience of management team alone carries confidence (imo)
good luck & all the v best
ed

[call-logger] 13/11/2005 21:59

Good grief

Life is so complicated, isn't it

[energyi] 13/11/2005 21:54

GOLD-to-OIL Relationship: Sustained rise in HUI coming?

If HUI-to-XLE relationship betters 5-5.13 resistance, it could soar
back towards 10:1 ...


Example:
XLE at 50 x 5.0 = HUI-250

[energyi] 13/11/2005 19:59

Brent Oil

Close-up
The DATA
+LONG++ -SHORT-: Comm'rl ++LONG+ -SHORT- RATIO Lg.Spec : DATE. =Price=: .OIH./.XOI.
(comm.): Futures -NetSht Combi'd w/Opts. CmS/L Net.LgF ..Tues. Lond.pm: .XNG.. XLE.
.WTIC.. ........ ....... ....... ....... ..... ....... ....... .......: ....../....
....... ....... - ...... ....... ....... ..... ....... . 11.08 $ 59.71: 119.35/ 986
521,071 461,207 + 59,864 869,391 880,961 1.013 -42,040 . 11.01 $ 59.85: 119.00/ 989
523,109 464,980 + 58,129 856,346 865,910 1.011 -38,084 . 10.25 $ 62.44: 116.42/ 970

NG HHUB
....... ....... - ...... ....... ....... ..... ....... . 11.08 $ 11.80: 376.75/49.05
243,301 246,620 -- 3,319 369,465 367,225 0.994 -35,936 . 11.01 $ 12.31: 387.59/49.12
243,261 260,481 - 17,220 397,988 392,364 0.986 -17,811 . 10.25 $ 13.16: 389.86/48.65


NG SWAP
....... ....... - ...... ....... ....... ..... ....... . 11.08 $ 11.80: 376.75/49.05
731,247 997,742-266,495 ........ ....... ..... 257,983 . 11.01 $ 12.31: 387.59/49.12
770,755 1044424-273,669 ........ ....... ..... 264,044 . 10.25 $ 13.16: 389.86/48.65

[energyi] 13/11/2005 15:09

RATIOS...
1yr:low-hi.:WTI- low-hi.:OIH- low-hi.:XOI- low-hi.:XLE- low-hi.:XNG- low-hi.:NGas
1yr:low-hi.:WTI- low-hi.:OIH- low-hi.:XOI- low-hi.:XLE- low-hi.:XNG- low-hi.:NGas
WT- ... ...:1.00 1.6-2.1:1.82 14.-16.:15.7 .69-.84:.780 4.8-7.1:6.40 .12-.24:.165
XL- 1.2-1.5:1.29 2.1-2.5 2.34 19.-21.:20.1 ... ...:1.00 7.2-8.6:7.50 .15-.31:.206
NG- 4.2-9.0:6.45 7.5-15.:11.8 65.-130:101. 3.3-6.8:5.05 26.-54.:45.0 ... ...:1.00

BUY POINTS -XOI- -XNG- -OIH- -XOM- -APA- -APC- --SU- -MUR- -XAU-
Ratiox XLE 19.5: 7.70: 2.25: 1.15: 1.34: 1.78: 1.05: 0.90: 1.94:

[energyi] 12/11/2005 16:07

+LONG++ -SHORT-: Comm'rl ++LONG+ -SHORT- RATIO Lg.Spec : DATE. =Price=: .OIH./.XOI.
(comm.): Futures -NetSht Combi'd w/Opts. CmS/L Net.LgF ..Tues. Lond.pm: .XNG.. XLE.
.WTIC.. ........ ....... ....... ....... ..... ....... ....... .......: ....../....
....... ....... - ...... ....... ....... ..... ....... . 11.08 $ 59.71: 119.35/ 986
521,071 461,207 + 59,864 869,391 880,961 1.013 -42,040 . 11.01 $ 59.85: 119.00/ 989
523,109 464,980 + 58,129 856,346 865,910 1.011 -38,084 . 10.25 $ 62.44: 116.42/ 970
549,911 503,139 + 46,772 871,290 887,239 1.018 -26,118 . 10.18 $ 62.44: 108.08/ 941
545,812 485,853 + 59,959 879,235 882,126 1.003 -40,570 . 10.11 $ 63.05: 114.13/1005
529,094 490,136 + 38,958 856,427 873,444 1.020 -27,251 . 10.04 $ 63.90: 119.60/1039
541,508 502,633 + 38,875 854,242 868,438 1.017 -26,329 . 09.27 $ 65.07: 123.41/1075
532,544 511,803 + 20,741 836,035 865,205 1.035 -13,103 . 09.20 $ 66.20: 123.15/1068
534,826 526,988 ++ 7,838 848,029 889,734 1.049 - 8,248 . 09.13 $ 63.78: 116.80/1044
524,902 540,460 - 15,558 828,851 886,083 1.069 +24,094 . 09.06 $ 65.96: 119.30/1046
532,610 537,190 -- 4,580 826,431 875,753 1.060 +19,360 . 08.30 $ 69.81: 115.51/ 985
522,331 530,687 -- 8,356 795,037 850,773 1.070 +15,720 . 08.23 $ 65.71: 112.85/ 963
552,971 578,683 - 25,712 847,477 908,667 1.072 +40,395 . 08.16 $ 66.70: 113.70/ 978
509,259 533,649 - 24,390 796,636 853,820 1.072 +34,988 . 08.09 $ 63.07: 116.00/ 979
490,451 508,328 - 17,877 768,481 818,238 1.065 +26,070 . 08.02 $ 61.89: 117.08/ 965
502,164 504,112 -- 1,987 763,194 799,656 1.048 +11,929 . 07.26 $ 59.20: 112.58/ 938
511,125 523,348 - 12,223 762,149 810,008 1.063 +18,899 . 07.19 $ 58.69: 106.35/ 924
502,119 527,788 - 25,669 783,568 840,391 1.073 +34,029 . 07.12 $ 61.48: 107.25/ 940
493,272 510,966 - 17,694 762,786 813,597 1.067 +32,758 . 07.05 $ 59.59: 106.58/ 931
481,358 487,852 -- 6,494 738,883 783,440 1.060 +22,008 . 06.28 $ 58.20: 101.90/ 899
496,818 500,964 -- 4,146 746,143 782,757 1.049 +19,847 . 06.21 $ 59.04: 101.19/ 895
529,397 522,129 ++ 7,268 783,014 813,616 1.039 +12,563 . 06.14 $ 55.97: 100.32/ 874
496,939 485,653 + 11,286 747,568 770,512 1.031 + 1,375 . 06.07 $ 53.76:+ 94.55/ 840
512,236 473,136 + 39,100 751,911 744,658 0.990 -17,401 . 05.31 $ 51.97:+ 93.20/ 826
507,855 479,026 + 28,829 746,000 749,790 1.005 -14,319 . 05.24 $ 49.67:+ 89.84/ 813
510,659 489,926 + 20,733 738,759 749,570 1.015 - 2,308 . 05.17 $ 50.67:+ 87.35/ 792
520,162 504,290 + 15,872 786,678 811,549 1.032 ++ ,085 . 05.10 $ 52.07:+ 90.91/ 827
511,576 502,576 ++ 9,000 780,672 811,459 1.039 + 8,403 . 05.03 $ 49.50:+ 89.85/ 813


NG HHUB
....... ....... - ...... ....... ....... ..... ....... . 11.08 $ 11.80: 376.75/49.05
243,301 246,620 -- 3,319 369,465 367,225 0.994 -35,936 . 11.01 $ 12.31: 387.59/49.12
243,261 260,481 - 17,220 397,988 392,364 0.986 -17,811 . 10.25 $ 13.16: 389.86/48.65
246,450 262,293 - 15,843 ....... ....... ..... -24,055 . 10.18 $ 14.22: 376.45/46.67
241,869 263,515 - 21,646 ....... ....... ..... -17,448 . 10.11 $ 14.34: 399.16/49.95
237,671 263,285 - 25,614 ....... ....... ..... - 3,225 . 10.04 $ 14.14: 421.22/51.60
243,658 262,274 - 18,616 ....... ....... ..... -18,926 . 09.27 $ 12.60: 421.89/53.56
237,234 276,148 - 38,914 ....... ....... ..... - 7,281 . 09.20 $ 12.68: 416.89/53.15
233,393 270,573 - 37,180 ....... ....... ..... -10,781 . 09.13 $ 10.88: 400.57/51.28
225,878 257,423 - 31,545 ....... ....... ..... - 8,604 . 09.06 $ 12.30: 397.37/51.31
218,364 248,675 - 30,311 ....... ....... ..... - 9,196 . 08.30 $ 12.12: 385.96/49.28
220,488 256,007 - 35,519 ....... ....... ..... - 5,050 . 08.23 +$ 9.57: 378.91/48.21
221,867 253,356 - 31,489 ....... ....... ..... -- ,830 . 08.16 +$ 9.47: 375.52/48.59
213,638 245,741 - 32,103 ....... ....... ..... -10,576 . 08.09 +$ 8.77: 378.09/48.98
208,580 238,172 - 29,592 ....... ....... ..... -15,797 . 08.02 +$ 8.20: 383.75/48.90
220,557 239,493 - 18,936 ....... ....... ..... -26,904 . 07.26 +$ 7.46: 375.85/47.72
224,046 243,546 - 19,500 ....... ....... ..... -24,099 . 07.19 +$ 8.05: 367.67/46.15
212,629 234,806 - 22,177 ....... ....... ..... -20,800 . 07.12 +$ 7.64: 375.49/47.00
215,000 227,282 - 12,282 ....... ....... ..... -28,893 . 07.05 +$ 7.68: 368.92/46.80
211,858 229,166 - 17,308 ....... ....... ..... -25,566 . 06.28 +$ 7.17: 350.01/44.78
215,911 232,506 - 16,595 ....... ....... ..... -28,911 . 06.21 +$ 7.62: 349.43/44.92
207,238 220,275 - 13,037 ....... ....... ..... -31,753 . 06.14 +$ 7.34: 344.73/44.90
209,469 217,639 -- 8,170 ....... ....... ..... -32,957 . 06.07 +$ 7.20: 332.83/42.35
219,614 209,830 ++ 9,784 ....... ....... ..... -45,334 . 05.31 +$ 6.49: 329.50/41.68
225,219 220,974 ++ 4,245 ....... ....... ..... -45,023 . 05.24 +$ 6.48: 319.71/40.48
232,118 232,913 --- ,795 ....... ....... ..... -35,449 . 05.17 +$ 6.63: 310.97/39.32
222,430 230,715 -- 8,285 ....... ....... ..... -24,927 . 05.10 +$ 6.88: 316.41/40.95
215,984 230,578 - 14,594 ....... ....... ..... -19,040 . 05.03 +$ 6.70: 310.95/40.31

NG SWAP
....... ....... - ...... ....... ....... ..... ....... . 11.08 $ 11.80: 376.75/49.05
731,247 997,742-266,495 ........ ....... ..... 257,983 . 11.01 $ 12.31: 387.59/49.12
770,755 1044424-273,669 ........ ....... ..... 264,044 . 10.25 $ 13.16: 389.86/48.65
750,274 1018096-267,822 ........ ....... ..... 259,726 . 10.18 $ 14.22: 376.45/46.67
710,948 989,597-278,649 ........ ....... ..... 270,829 . 10.11 $ 14.34: 399.16/49.95
688,666 969,240-280,574 ........ ....... ..... 276,154 . 10.04 $ 14.14: 421.22/51.60

[rethemagic] 11/11/2005 20:22

I had a reply within 30mins from them,it was
word for word exactly the same as your post.
I have a big chunk of these and just seem to
watch them going south.I decided to hang onto
these although I have a considerable paper
loss,just hope I made the right decision.Good
luck regards jon

[edwards45] 11/11/2005 10:22

jon - I have no other aliases- just borin old ed45 for the last 3 yrs or so,
it seems loads do so no offence taken m8.
Have COT replied to your email yet?

[rethemagic] 10/11/2005 22:21

Thanks for your post,nothing personal,but the way
you word your posts im sure ive sussed who you are.
As I said,no offence intended.
Kind regards Jon

[edwards45] 10/11/2005 08:44

yes jon my shares r safely tucked away.
received e-mail on 12th Oct,
seems COT are on track to make first acquisition in the
timescale they mentioned .....

'I am pleased to tell you that Concateno is in discussions with three water companies in the UK and remains confident of achieving the timetable outlined above and detailed in our admission document. Securing the first acquisition is inevitably slow because of the heavily regulated nature of the targets, but we remain confident of success.

I shall endeavour to keep you and your fellow shareholders informed of our progress. Thank you for your support.'

countdown time :-)
noticed the odd sell over the last three months nave been soaked up, doubt they'll
get much cheaper than current levels as most of the shares are held with institutions.
good luck
ed

[rethemagic] 08/11/2005 19:11

"You still in on this edwards45?"Have emailed them
today to see if their still there,shocking no info
on the web site for 7months regards jon

[energyi] 07/11/2005 08:36

Excellent interview with Larry Williams on Financial Sense.
Williams is one of the most successful traders, and has written several best-selling books about his trading methods. In his new book, he talks about how he uses COT reports to improve his trading results.

Trade Stocks & Commodities with the Insiders, Secrets of the COT Report
Book: , Buy it:

Here are some key points from the interview:

+ Williams wants to trade like he is "the house." The secret to doing well is watching the behaviour of the super traders: producers and users of commodities. You need to understand what they are doing: they usually buy and sell at the right times.

+ Commodity markets are 5 times bigger than stocks & bond markets. We all need commodities: energy, food, etc. Real supply and demand factors operate in the commodity markets. Commercial consumers buy when they expect to make money (albeit not only at low prices), and producers sell when they want to lock in a profit. When the commercials become aggressive buyers, it is time to buy. When commercials are big sellers: sell.

+ Markets are set up by the action of commercials. Small traders can wait for the ideal set-up. Large speculators tend to be trend followers and they are often wrong at the turning points. Newsletter writers are also often wrong at the turns.



+ Open Interest is useful. When the overall interest is waning, but longs are being built by the commercials, the users are positioning themselves for an upward move. They may be helped by Large Speculators and Small traders exitiung the markets.

+ When the Commercials buy at high prices, "they are scared", and the upward trend in prices will likely go higher. Commercial buying in dips in a rising market is very bullish. Example: They are buying energy now, and that may be foretending higher prices in 2-3 months time.

+ Big traders will feed biased news into the market to generate the liquidity they need to get into / or get out of their positions.

+ Betting too big... is a road to disaster. Betting small is a much smarter idea, because eventually something will go wrong when you are in a big position.

= = = = = =
LINKS:
The Fin.Sense Interview:
L.William's Website....: :
COT data (US Govt.)....: : :
Energy Prices: WTIC etc:
COT percentages.....:
COT rept. charts....:

[edwards45] 06/10/2005 08:30

o/t Inspicio plc resumes trading today (Keith Tozzi)
details of acquisition:-

[tpaulbeaumont] 04/9/2005 10:01

and now the huuuge hedgie longs in Gold are closing, at marginally higher prices, poor lads cant get it up lol

[tpaulbeaumont] 27/8/2005 06:51

i note the $Index/Gold gang have put their positioning on hold

mugs IMO

[edwards45] 26/8/2005 13:17

A couple of sells today so taken the opportunity to top-up (93p)
Might be 6/7 months before we hear of an acquisition but when CONCATENO do make announcement the price should fly!
ed45

[tpaulbeaumont] 06/8/2005 09:36

Data source: CFTC.gov,


Commercials - Producers and end users of the commodity or futures market they participate in are referred to as commercials. This group is the reason the commodity and futures markets exist, to allow "commercials" an opportunity to defer or hedge the risk of doing business.

Large Speculators - Defined as those traders who hold a specified number of contracts or greater in a given market, but are not commercial traders. The CFTC sets the minimum number of contracts that can be held before the speculator is required to report that position. Any speculator participating in a market that is required to report to the CFTC is known as a non-commercial or large trader.

Small Speculators - Any market participant who is neither a commercial nor non-commercial is a small speculator. This group is not required to report to the CFTC but can determined by the contracts left over after the commercials and non-commercials have been accounted for.

blue = commercial traders | green = large traders | red = small traders



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