By Akane Otani
A rout in global financial markets deepened Tuesday, sending the
Dow Jones Industrial Average down more than 700 points and
heightening the anxiety of investors around the world.
For much of the past several weeks, money managers have been
fixated on one issue: the potential for a growing coronavirus
epidemic to hit global economic activity.
Hope that health officials would be able to contain the
epidemic, resulting in only a short-term disruption to growth, had
helped keep stocks near all-time highs up until just last week. But
in the past two days, that optimism has increasingly turned into
skepticism -- wiping out hundreds of billions of dollars from the
U.S. stock market and sending the yield on the benchmark 10-year
U.S. Treasury note to a record low.
"Every effort at a snapback rally has been just as quickly
pushed back down," said Frank Cappelleri, executive director of
brokerage Instinet.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 745 points, or 2.7%, to
27215, heading toward its worst two-day stretch of selling in two
years. The S&P 500 fell 2.5% and the Nasdaq Composite lost
2.2%.
The market had showed signs of fragility well before stock
exchanges even opened for trading in New York. Futures tied to the
S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average had rallied overnight,
seeming to point to a potential rebound for the stock market in the
hours ahead. But the gains proved fickle--with much of them fading
by sunrise. By the end of the first hour of the trading day, all
three major stock indices had erased the entirety of their
advances.
"The fact that [futures' gains] didn't even get through the
night--it probably put a lot of traders on edge," Mr. Cappelleri
said.
Tuesday's selling accelerated after reports showed the disease
had spread even further, with countries from Switzerland to Austria
to South Korea reporting new infections. As stock indexes dropped,
the Nasdaq briefly wiped out its gain for the year.
Meanwhile, the yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note
-- used as a reference rate for everything from mortgages to
student loans -- settled at a record low.
"The size of this economic shock is looking increasingly large
on a global scale," said James Athey, a senior investment manager
at Aberdeen Standard Investments. "What we're just seeing here is
the crack in that sentiment-driven equity rally."
Among the biggest decliners in the stock market Tuesday: shares
of companies whose profits are vulnerable to slowdowns in consumer
spending and travel.
Bank stocks retreated, with Citigroup and Bank of America both
down more than 3% apiece and posting losses of more than 10% for
the year. The continued slide in long-term bond yields threatens to
cut into banks' lending profitability.
Energy shares also tumbled. The S&P 500 energy sector is
trading down 18% for the year, hurt by fears that a slowdown in
global economic activity will drag oil prices lower.
Meanwhile, traders placed bets on further volatility. The Cboe
Volatility Index, which tracks expectations for swings in the
S&P 500, jumped 15% to bring its year-to-date gain to 108%.
"I just don't think we can accept the numbers coming out of
China at face value," said Mark Grant, managing director and chief
global strategist at B. Riley FBR.
With little clarity on the severity of the epidemic, as well as
uncertainty about if officials will be able to effectively contain
it, Mr. Grant said he wouldn't be surprised if there was further
volatility across markets.
Investors had largely begun the year with hopes that the global
economy would stabilize given a cooling of trade tensions between
the U.S. and China and central banks' willingness to hold interest
rates at low levels.
But the coronavirus epidemic is throwing into question many
firms' projections for growth, raising the possibility of a
longer-term disruption to economic activity.
The head of the International Monetary Fund said Tuesday that
the fund was downgrading its global-growth projections, as well as
trying to figure out if the economic fallout stemming from the
epidemic would primarily occur in the first quarter of the
year.
Elsewhere, the Stoxx Europe 600 ended down 1.8%, closing out its
worst four-day stretch since 2016, after having fallen more than 3%
Monday.
China's Shanghai Composite Index lost 0.6%, while Japan's Nikkei
Stock Average, which was closed Monday, fell 3.3%.
"This virus doesn't respect borders. There's no real reason to
expect it's going to be easy to contain," said Jan Lambregts,
global head of financial markets research at Rabobank. "The real
economic impact of this is going to be felt."
Caitlin Ostroff contributed to this article
Write to Akane Otani at akane.otani@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 25, 2020 15:16 ET (20:16 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2020 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.