Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Venture Life Group Plc LSE:VLG London Ordinary Share GB00BFPM8908 ORD 0.3P
  Price Change % Change Share Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  1.00 2.74% 37.50 0.00 07:49:37
Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price
36.00 39.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Health Care Equipment & Services 18.77 0.71 0.42 89.3 31
Last Trade Time Trade Type Trade Size Trade Price Currency
- O 0 0.00 GBX

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Date Time Title Posts
21/10/201923:08ValueGrowth Investing28,256
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DateSubject
21/10/2019
09:20
Venture Life Daily Update: Venture Life Group Plc is listed in the Health Care Equipment & Services sector of the London Stock Exchange with ticker VLG. The last closing price for Venture Life was 36.50p.
Venture Life Group Plc has a 4 week average price of 33.50p and a 12 week average price of 33.50p.
The 1 year high share price is 55p while the 1 year low share price is currently 33.50p.
There are currently 83,712,106 shares in issue and the average daily traded volume is 53,029 shares. The market capitalisation of Venture Life Group Plc is £31,392,039.75.
04/10/2019
09:26
redartbmud: APAD Late on parade. Tut tut😃😁; I look at 50 & 200 day MA's Having gone below 200day MA is there a danger that it has breached a resistance level, and the downgrade will continue? Then RSI and Fast Stochastic. Is the share oversold, and by how much? I then look at my appetite for the share, when the story has not changed. If the share price has fallen by a good margin, is the fall overdone - IMHO. Have the odds moved in my favour eg. Do I think the downside is a further £1 with the upside £2. Do I want to accept the odds? If the share has a huge profit margin, on my running cost, am I happy to risk the gains, that I have built up, against the possibility of a short term benefit, from the 'bet'? Can I afford to hold the shares for a while, if I get it wrong? Do I want to hold those 'trading shares' for several months, if necessary? Then I trust my gut. red
10/8/2019
21:43
al101uk: People have quite quickly linked IMF Bentham, which accounts differently and more cleanly, with Burford and looked for comparitors to get a feeling for valuation... which everyone appears to find difficult. adnan over on the Burford thread has posted a few different theories and eventually settled on this one as the one he favored, I found it interesting: ---------------------- Lets look at it from a cleaner basis and one that is not open to as much accounting basis and that is CASH. If I look at IMF's cash flows and look at the item "Proceeds from Litigation Funding" then you have the following (AUD 42m in 2014, AUD 103m in 2015, AUD 108m in 2016, AUD 116m in 2017 and AUD 95m in 2018). I then convert that into GBP to get (£24m in 2014, £58m in 2015, £61m in 2016, £65m in 2017, £54m in 2018). If I look at IMF market cap it is AUD 665m which equates to GBP 376m. So that is a 7x multiple on 2018 cash flow and a 6.25x multiple on average cashflow multiples over the last 3 financial years. Now if I look at Burford's cash flows and look at the line item classified as "Proceeds from Litigation investments" and "Proceeds from new initiative investments" (which is a relatively small number), I get the following amounts ($65.5m in 2014, $146.4m in 2015, $193.9m in 2016, $366.5m in 2017, $638.2m in 2018) and convert these to Sterling (£52.4m in 2014, £117m in 2015, £155m in 2016, £293m in 2017, £510.5m in 2018). If I apply a multiple of 7x to £510.5m we get a market capitalisation of £3.57bn. And finally if there are 218.6m shares. Then the share price on Burford is £16.33 Now that I think about it this is probably the cleanest method. You cannot lie about cashflow as the auditors will have receipts and will have to verify against bank statements. I.e. money coming into the business. And it was great that the guy on the call yesterday said to articulate better the "Proceeds from litigation" in the cash flow statement One could say that instead of applying a 7x multiple given that Burford is growing it should be 8x or even 9x. This would give a share price of £18.6 and £21.1 -----------------------------
10/8/2019
14:41
apad: Scott on BUR " reviewed Burford's rebuttal document here in yesterday's SCVR. It comes across very well, I think - giving plausible-sounding explanations to refute Muddy Water's claims. Similarly, I tuned in to the conference call yesterday afternoon, but had enough after about 90 minutes. Again, management seemed thorough in their answers, and give the impression of being determined to restore theirs and the company's reputation. Subjectively, it seemed to me that management were giving honest answers, and didn't seem to be hiding anything. It seems fairly clear that Burford is likely to take Muddy Waters to court, over what it seems as market manipulation. I think that's probably a good thing. Shorting dossiers are fine if they reveal a fraud, like the many Chinese companies, and others like Globo, and Quindell. However, if they try to deliberately trigger a plunge in share price, by putting out a dossier that turns out to be full of inaccuracies & misrepresentations, then the shorter looks, prima facie, guilty of market manipulation. All that remains now is how to value BUR? Given that current huge profits are probably not sustainable, due to the big cases eventually settling, then a PER basis is problematic. I would suggest valuing it on a multiple of NAV. At 850p per share right now, the market cap is £1.86bn. Its last reported NTAV was $1,420m (which I've calculated as $1,567m NAV, less $134m goodwill and $13m intangibles). That works out as at NTAV of £1,176m when coverted into sterling at £1=$1.207. Therefore, at 850p the share price is at a 58% premium to NTAV. That seems a bit steep if anything, to my mind, given that the company forward books a lot of the profits on cases in progress. Therefore, on valuation grounds, I'm not interested in buying any shares here. One of the questioners on the conference call yesterday made the interesting point that even experts find this company difficult to understand. So is it a suitable investment for private investors (shares or bonds)? Probably not, especially after the extreme volatility we've seen this week. Opinions differ on how to see the concentration of profits into the top 4 cases. A bull would say that the company showed how canny it was in identifying these lucrative cases, deserving a premium share price. A sceptic might point out that once the big cases end, then there's no guarantee the company will be able to replace them, hence profits would fall because margins on smaller cases are lower. What an interesting situation! I really don't have a strong opinion either way. A key point to research, is what are the terms of the borrowing facilities Burford uses? Management said they have something like $400m in cash on hand, if I heard that correctly on the conference call. So it sounds as if there are no cash problems. However, that could change if debt facilities were withdrawn. Therefore, bulls on this stock would need to (and some probably already have) checked what the terms of the debt are. If the debt is secure, then there's no problem."
15/7/2019
09:24
abarclay: They completed the first buyback of US$10m and have embarked on a second US$10m one CEO been buying huge slugs of shares too Last placing 198p , now 73p, 18p cash, EPS of 8-9p XLM is still a growth stock despite the drop in revenues and profits in 2018. What investors need to understand is the reason for the drop in the share price from it's high of 204p on December 14th 2017. First off, the company made some poor acquisitions primarily around games on FB and also mobile app and software downloads. These two were then discontinued with just short of $10m exceptional costs. Secondly, XLM announced back in February a profits warning. It was cutting back on it's Media side of the business which would result in a decrease in revenues and profits. XLM has been over sold. The company has cash of $47m. It has a progressive dividend policy giving approx. 8% yield and paying back over 50% of profits. Currently it is on it's second share buyback program. Regular buying of the share by the CEO who owns 2.73% and buying from as high as 188p. The P/E is just 7, below the Industry average of 9.89. PEG is high at 5.07% but this reflects the drop in profits. Book value of XLM is 64p. The Return of Capital is 15.3% vs Industry of 5.55%. The Return of Equity is 14.0% vs Industry of 3.52%. Operating margins are in excess of 20%. Forecast net profits for 2019 are $27.3m, a third higher than 2018. What wasn't taken into account during the de-rating of the share price was that the Media side of the business has a lower profit margins that the rest of the company. While descaling the Media side, XLM was then focusing more on it's Publishing side which has far greater profit margins. In particular, XLM is now focusing on the USA and it's gambling side. The USA is currently going through a transition where the different states are starting to legalise sports betting. 17% of revenues come from US. Currently only 21% of Americans can place a bet online. XLM are not new to this though. Currently 36% of it's revenue comes from Scandinavia, where they have legalised gambling advertising online. There is still room for growth here too, as not all of XLM's customers have yet converted to online ads. There is also a Finance side to XLM, which is only about 6% of the company but they are growing this. So all in all, the company is in way better shape than when it IPO'd, cash rich, profit making, buybacks, high divi and plenty of skin by CEO. Worth watching this video from back in March. hxxps://www.piworld.co.uk/2019/03/28/xlmedia-xlm-2018-full-year-results-interview-with-ceo-ory-weihs/
12/4/2019
15:05
redartbmud: Beddard on 16 Sept 2016. LTIP: Crudely, the incentive could award Goodwin directors options on 1% of the company's share capital in less than three years' time if the share price reaches £35 (today it is around £20). The options would cost them a minimal amount to exercise and each director's award would be worth around £2.5 million*. The cost to shareholders would be an 8% dilution in their holdings. A small price to pay, perhaps, considering the share price would have risen about 70%. Currently 7.2m shares in issue, so 1% = 720,000 shares. Any bets, the current share price is £31.60 up £1 today? red
30/12/2018
15:53
apad: Cooltools (ARC G4M ZOO GHH SPX) Lauders (AMER ARS HCM SIA TXP) 0  0 0 apad (DIS IGG SOS XPD FEVR) dacian (BVXP CBOX GDWN TM17 RRE) janeann (ARC ACSO PRSM LTG ZTF) lomax99 (BUR FUTR HL. FFX ACSO) Valhamos(D4T4 XPP CHH SDI GHT) RP19 (CRU D4T4 DRV FFX VLE) redartbmud (AMS BREE LLOY LTG XPD) attrader (XPD GLE IGG BUR NPSNY) modform (AIEA, BILN, MACF, MYX, WATR) Cooltools ARC - long time holder, ex employee, own 2% approx, 50% of portfolio G4M - ltm, bought when 170p, now 540p, but price has been dithering for 18 months. Brother is a musician, he brought my attention to it in the early days and I loved the website, value and range - and particularly the feeling of support and being part of it (unlike most resellers, which are buy and forget). Expanding across Europe and US, waiting to see if it results in profits over this Christmas. 20% of portfolio. ZOO - I'm a geek/nerd, so interested in their cloud based multi-lingual dubbing, sub-titles etc. 10% of portfolio GHH - relates to my masters in microelectonics and opto-electronics, considering this a low risk stalwart. 10% of portfolio SPX - bit of a gamble, but like old-school engineering (steam!) with modern applications. 10% of portfolio. Lauders 0  0 0 AMER - Colombian oiler that has taken a share price hit this year but recent news has been excellent and there has been strong director buying. I believe that things will get better in 2019 providing the oil price holds of course. ARS - A junior (puppy) copper play. Again taken a major share price hit recently but if good news comes on drilling, partnering and the Cu price strengthens then the appetite could return quickly. HCM - News due before the end of the year so could strengthen significantly if positive. However, it is Chinese and if news is not so good on the trials and alliances it could take a major hit. If Trump continues his Chinese battles then again could be impacted. SIA - One of my dogs! Not a puppy but a badly behaving large one. I think the trainer will have sorted it out by new year and its behaviour will improve. Recent news about its Egyptian acquisition that will hopefully be completed in the first half of 2019 will producing some drilling and get the news flowing again. There may be other M&A activity involving the company in the year. TXP - Another oiler (oil had better perform well in 2019!) based in Trinidad and Tobago. News due before year end again but some important drilling will be undertaken in 2019 with the potential to significantly change the MKT Cap of the company. Should be exciting! apad DIS - Could turn out to be a decent rum brand, but might carry lumbering on. IGG - Oversold income stock. Worldwide bear market risk. SOS - Looks like its on a roll with very impressive managers/owners. XPD - Oversold on Brexit fears. Danger of it overdoing it on aero and marine. FEVR - US potential and a rising divi stream. UK probably saturated. dacian BVXP- troponin only a matter of time, one of the best and well run co's on aim. I'll stick with it till the story changes. CBOX- take away cake shops with steady roll-out over the next couple of years, family run and skin in the game. Never tasted one. GDWN- my favourite uk engineer. Unless we get a nasty recession the investment phase over the last few years should start to deliver and they pay a dividend. TM17- a games developer and publisher run by a ceo with funky, red hair. It's a bet on her ability to discover and sign successful indie games. RRE- A bit of a Serica story but younger and cheaper. It aspires to pay a dividend. lomax99 BUR Low PE, some way off it’s highs. clear market leader in litigation finance, a sector still in it’s infancy. FUTR Digital media innovator, recent transformative acquisition, strong recent/anticipated growth. HL. Clear D2C market leader, high margins, solid structural growth story, now widening focus to target the significant wealth/cash savings market. FFX An ISP, constantly expanding their range of services, delivered efficiently using their own online platform. Strong growth to-date/anticipated. ACSO Fall overdone, almost on a normal PE! Good growth prospects ahead, an innovator. Valhamos 0  0 0 D4T4 - My biggest holding and in the comparison again for next year. Continuing growth in the Celebrus customer data platform with strong relationships with Teradata, SAS and Pega. XPP - Full benefit of recent acquisitions still to come , no direct exposure to consumer electronics but share price has retraced over concerns about increasing exposure to semiconductor industry and tariffs on China, the second factory in Vietnam comes on stream in H1 2019. CHH - Been on my watchlist for a while and finally bought last week - has grown operating margins over the years with higher added value products for exports in the hospitality sector. SDI - Good mix of organic and acquisitions growth, niche technological businesses so possibly reduced recession risk. GHT - Hammered recently on profits warning because of contracts held over to 2019. Strong data integrity/control product so expect recovery next year. RP19 0  0 0 CRU - Plastics fabricator. A number of recent RNS's which show new orders and ahead of previous years. Despite this, the price has not shifted much and think it will catch up next year. Innovating with new products, increasing range of services and pays a dividend. Weakness - Has previously hit bumps in the road to hinder apparent progress and is capital intensive. D4T4 - Data solutions provider. Effective manipulation of data is integral to many businesses and I can only see it becoming more and more important. Management seem focussed and not on a racy rating. Weakness - Orders can be lumpy and some reliance on a few customers. However, overall I like their offering. DRV - Engineering and construction consultancy services (planning, project management, dispute resolution etc). Back on track after some poor years when it acquired badly. The sector is experiencing a lot of M&A activity and hopefully may become a target. Weakness - is a business that relies on its people and the nature of the work provides limited visibility. Selected it last year. FFX - Payments service provider to retail and corporate clients. Executed well to date and has a high level of operational gearing. Recent RNS about entry into the USA could be interesting. Hit by recent wider market downturn. Am backing it to bounce back. Selected it last year. VLE - Owners buy struggling companies, turns them around and sells them on. Share price largely discounts realistic valuations for VLE's investments. Sold its star performer Impetus Automotive for a considerable premium this year and is sat on a lot of cash. Weakness - They wont be rushed into their next purchase and this may limit potential share price appreciation in the short term. Selected it last year. reartbmud AMS - The share price is down almost 20% in the year, and although it has a relatively high PE and a poor dividend yield, there is room for recovery. There is £71m cash in the bank and margins improved. Now is the time for sales to grow in the USA. They have had to reorganize the business there and hopefully greater stability will create better returns. Maybe they will reconsider dividend policy. margins improved. BREE - Probably a punt based on the level of infrastructure spending in the UK in 2019, but the acquisition of Lagan in Ireland provides another arm to the business. Good positive cashflow is required to pay down the spike in debt, following the last purchase. They have a first -class management who were hewn out of rock, rather than being born. Directors have loaded up in the dip. A 20% recovery wouldn’t be out of reach. LLOY - Yes, take 2 on the entry. Domestically biased all will depend on the UK economy, but a year is a long time in markets, as 2018 has demonstrated. A 5.92% yield that is ‘guaranteed217; as much as any may prove attractive. If the dividend is slightly improved and profits grow and the ‘fraudulent217; PPI scheme finally winds up, there is scope for recovery in a year in which markets could be flat. LTG - A management that will never sit on their hands, so more deals will be done to add profits to the organic growth prospects of the existing business. People Fluent will have a full year under the LTG banner, was earnings enhancing from the outset, and cost savings should kick in to greater effect on the bottom line. Cross selling amongst existing businesses should provide organic growth. The company is a strong cash generator. XPD - Well oversold on Brexit fears, coupled with a falloff in UK consumer spending. The company has a strong footprint within its’ area of operation, with the possibility of further growth through bolt-on acquisitions. The UK market may well be receptive to products imported from markets serviced by the company. A very organized, committed and driven management. attrader XPD - Transport and logistics group acquiring smaller firms in easter Europe. ROI on acquired businesses is around 10% so it might not be a great investment in the long run. GLE - Low cost house builder aiming to double unit production by 2022. It pays decent dividend. Business performance is highly cyclical - needs constant supply of land along with housing demand and availability of mortgages. IGG - Spread betting business diversifying into SIPP and Index funds. Government is increasing regulation to protect novice punters. BUR - Litigation finance player investing ever increasing sums of cash for high returns. Low barriers to entry will invite larger players reducing ROI for future investments. NPSNY (Naspers ADR) - South African tech investor with large stake in Tencent along with other emerging market tech investments. Trading at significant discount to NAV. A crash in tech valuations can dent their performance in coming years. janeann ACSO - Global ticketing specialist providing technology to improve customer experience primarily in leisure attractions theme parks etc. Leader in its field. Started out to avoid queueing at theme parks and developed since. Large global customer base. Growing by both expansion and acquisition, and growth expected to continue. Price now at a discount to 1 year ago despite substantial progress. ARC - Is a small niche player and provides solutions to managing real time market data - both software and consultancy. Number of very high profile clients with recurring revenue streams. Dividend payer and hopefully will gain a few new large clients in 2019. PRSM - Software company specialising and leading the field in development of robotic process automation particularly of more routing back office tasks enabling the freeing up staff to do more productive tasks. Globally active in events and with a diverse range of high profile partners prsm is at the forefront of the developing technology. ZTF - Specialist manufacturer of plastic foam for a very broad and diverse range of industries including sports, automotive & construction. Many specialist uses and complex production process. Recent deal with Nike. Expanded production base in China and Poland now coming onstream and plans to expand in UK also. Dividend payer. Leon Boros recently taken a stake. LTG - is a dividend paying company providing digital learning solutions and interactive media programmes to a broad range of clients including government. Aiming to grow by both broadening its range of products and clients across a broader geographic range as well as via acquisition. modform AIEA - Manufactures and distribute commercial flooring and covering. The closure of loss-making residential carpets business means that it's now in a position to concentrate on its commercial flooring business which is growing fast. The forward yield could be as much as 11%, I have been adding on any dips. BILN - Is one of the leading UK structural steel specialist. It has recently won a contract worth £41m which is much larger than its mcap. Most of the revenue is to be reflected in 2019 financial year. It's very thinly traded with no broker forecast. The current yield of 4.4% and low per should underpin the share price MACF - Distributes a range of protective packaging, labels designs and prints, high quality self-adhesives, etc. The share price has been hammered during this market sell off due to lack of liquidity. As Internet shopping increases it should benefit from the increased use of packaging. A decent yield and low per makes it attractive in the current climate. MYX - It provides oil free water technology in the oil and gas industry. It has patented Mycelx polymer which uses molecular cohesion to remove oil from water. Before the market sell off the share price was around 240p and although it won a new contract from SABIC which upgraded the net profit by 25%, the share price has fallen to 180p. I have been buying for a while on any weakness, but it's incredibly illiquid with very large spread. WATR - Is a leading provider of precision leak detection solution for potable and non-potable water. It mainly operates in USA through franchisees. The share price has come down during the recent market sell off to a reasonable level. The company may do 13 to 14p eps in 2018 and at 230p share price doesn't look demanding for a company growing so fast. It has completed the first year of 5year growth plan. I have recently bought back a small holding with the aim of adding if share price drifts lower.
27/12/2018
09:09
apad: Cooltools (ARC G4M ZOO GHH SPX) Lauders (AMER ARS HCM SIA TXP) 0  0 0 apad (DIS IGG SOS XPD FEVR) dacian (BVXP CBOX GDWN TM17 RRE) janeann (ARC ACSO PRSM LTG ZTF) lomax99 (BUR FUTR HL. FFX ACSO) Valhamos(D4T4 XPP CHH SDI GHT) RP19 (CRU D4T4 DRV FFX VLE) redartbmud (AMS BREE LLOY LTG XPD) attrader (XPD GLE IGG BUR NPSNY) Cooltools ARC - long time holder, ex employee, own 2% approx, 50% of portfolio G4M - ltm, bought when 170p, now 540p, but price has been dithering for 18 months. Brother is a musician, he brought my attention to it in the early days and I loved the website, value and range - and particularly the feeling of support and being part of it (unlike most resellers, which are buy and forget). Expanding across Europe and US, waiting to see if it results in profits over this Christmas. 20% of portfolio. ZOO - I'm a geek/nerd, so interested in their cloud based multi-lingual dubbing, sub-titles etc. 10% of portfolio GHH - relates to my masters in microelectonics and opto-electronics, considering this a low risk stalwart. 10% of portfolio SPX - bit of a gamble, but like old-school engineering (steam!) with modern applications. 10% of portfolio. Lauders 0  0 0 AMER - Colombian oiler that has taken a share price hit this year but recent news has been excellent and there has been strong director buying. I believe that things will get better in 2019 providing the oil price holds of course. ARS - A junior (puppy) copper play. Again taken a major share price hit recently but if good news comes on drilling, partnering and the Cu price strengthens then the appetite could return quickly. HCM - News due before the end of the year so could strengthen significantly if positive. However, it is Chinese and if news is not so good on the trials and alliances it could take a major hit. If Trump continues his Chinese battles then again could be impacted. SIA - One of my dogs! Not a puppy but a badly behaving large one. I think the trainer will have sorted it out by new year and its behaviour will improve. Recent news about its Egyptian acquisition that will hopefully be completed in the first half of 2019 will producing some drilling and get the news flowing again. There may be other M&A activity involving the company in the year. TXP - Another oiler (oil had better perform well in 2019!) based in Trinidad and Tobago. News due before year end again but some important drilling will be undertaken in 2019 with the potential to significantly change the MKT Cap of the company. Should be exciting! apad DIS - Could turn out to be a decent rum brand, but might carry lumbering on. IGG - Oversold income stock. Worldwide bear market risk. SOS - Looks like its on a roll with very impressive managers/owners. XPD - Oversold on Brexit fears. Danger of it overdoing it on aero and marine. FEVR - US potential and a rising divi stream. UK probably saturated. dacian BVXP- troponin only a matter of time, one of the best and well run co's on aim. I'll stick with it till the story changes. CBOX- take away cake shops with steady roll-out over the next couple of years, family run and skin in the game. Never tasted one. GDWN- my favourite uk engineer. Unless we get a nasty recession the investment phase over the last few years should start to deliver and they pay a dividend. TM17- a games developer and publisher run by a ceo with funky, red hair. It's a bet on her ability to discover and sign successful indie games. RRE- A bit of a Serica story but younger and cheaper. It aspires to pay a dividend. lomax99 BUR Low PE, some way off it’s highs. clear market leader in litigation finance, a sector still in it’s infancy. FUTR Digital media innovator, recent transformative acquisition, strong recent/anticipated growth. HL. Clear D2C market leader, high margins, solid structural growth story, now widening focus to target the significant wealth/cash savings market. FFX An ISP, constantly expanding their range of services, delivered efficiently using their own online platform. Strong growth to-date/anticipated. ACSO Fall overdone, almost on a normal PE! Good growth prospects ahead, an innovator. Valhamos 0  0 0 D4T4 - My biggest holding and in the comparison again for next year. Continuing growth in the Celebrus customer data platform with strong relationships with Teradata, SAS and Pega. XPP - Full benefit of recent acquisitions still to come , no direct exposure to consumer electronics but share price has retraced over concerns about increasing exposure to semiconductor industry and tariffs on China, the second factory in Vietnam comes on stream in H1 2019. CHH - Been on my watchlist for a while and finally bought last week - has grown operating margins over the years with higher added value products for exports in the hospitality sector. SDI - Good mix of organic and acquisitions growth, niche technological businesses so possibly reduced recession risk. GHT - Hammered recently on profits warning because of contracts held over to 2019. Strong data integrity/control product so expect recovery next year. RP19 0  0 0 CRU - Plastics fabricator. A number of recent RNS's which show new orders and ahead of previous years. Despite this, the price has not shifted much and think it will catch up next year. Innovating with new products, increasing range of services and pays a dividend. Weakness - Has previously hit bumps in the road to hinder apparent progress and is capital intensive. D4T4 - Data solutions provider. Effective manipulation of data is integral to many businesses and I can only see it becoming more and more important. Management seem focussed and not on a racy rating. Weakness - Orders can be lumpy and some reliance on a few customers. However, overall I like their offering. DRV - Engineering and construction consultancy services (planning, project management, dispute resolution etc). Back on track after some poor years when it acquired badly. The sector is experiencing a lot of M&A activity and hopefully may become a target. Weakness - is a business that relies on its people and the nature of the work provides limited visibility. Selected it last year. FFX - Payments service provider to retail and corporate clients. Executed well to date and has a high level of operational gearing. Recent RNS about entry into the USA could be interesting. Hit by recent wider market downturn. Am backing it to bounce back. Selected it last year. VLE - Owners buy struggling companies, turns them around and sells them on. Share price largely discounts realistic valuations for VLE's investments. Sold its star performer Impetus Automotive for a considerable premium this year and is sat on a lot of cash. Weakness - They wont be rushed into their next purchase and this may limit potential share price appreciation in the short term. Selected it last year. reartbmud AMS - The share price is down almost 20% in the year, and although it has a relatively high PE and a poor dividend yield, there is room for recovery. There is £71m cash in the bank and margins improved. Now is the time for sales to grow in the USA. They have had to reorganize the business there and hopefully greater stability will create better returns. Maybe they will reconsider dividend policy. margins improved. BREE - Probably a punt based on the level of infrastructure spending in the UK in 2019, but the acquisition of Lagan in Ireland provides another arm to the business. Good positive cashflow is required to pay down the spike in debt, following the last purchase. They have a first -class management who were hewn out of rock, rather than being born. Directors have loaded up in the dip. A 20% recovery wouldn’t be out of reach. LLOY - Yes, take 2 on the entry. Domestically biased all will depend on the UK economy, but a year is a long time in markets, as 2018 has demonstrated. A 5.92% yield that is ‘guaranteed217; as much as any may prove attractive. If the dividend is slightly improved and profits grow and the ‘fraudulent217; PPI scheme finally winds up, there is scope for recovery in a year in which markets could be flat. LTG - A management that will never sit on their hands, so more deals will be done to add profits to the organic growth prospects of the existing business. People Fluent will have a full year under the LTG banner, was earnings enhancing from the outset, and cost savings should kick in to greater effect on the bottom line. Cross selling amongst existing businesses should provide organic growth. The company is a strong cash generator. XPD - Well oversold on Brexit fears, coupled with a falloff in UK consumer spending. The company has a strong footprint within its’ area of operation, with the possibility of further growth through bolt-on acquisitions. The UK market may well be receptive to products imported from markets serviced by the company. A very organized, committed and driven management. attrader XPD - Transport and logistics group acquiring smaller firms in easter Europe. ROI on acquired businesses is around 10% so it might not be a great investment in the long run. GLE - Low cost house builder aiming to double unit production by 2022. It pays decent dividend. Business performance is highly cyclical - needs constant supply of land along with housing demand and availability of mortgages. IGG - Spread betting business diversifying into SIPP and Index funds. Government is increasing regulation to protect novice punters. BUR - Litigation finance player investing ever increasing sums of cash for high returns. Low barriers to entry will invite larger players reducing ROI for future investments. NPSNY (Naspers ADR) - South African tech investor with large stake in Tencent along with other emerging market tech investments. Trading at significant discount to NAV. A crash in tech valuations can dent their performance in coming years. janeann ACSO - Global ticketing specialist providing technology to improve customer experience primarily in leisure attractions theme parks etc. Leader in its field. Started out to avoid queueing at theme parks and developed since. Large global customer base. Growing by both expansion and acquisition, and growth expected to continue. Price now at a discount to 1 year ago despite substantial progress. ARC - Is a small niche player and provides solutions to managing real time market data - both software and consultancy. Number of very high profile clients with recurring revenue streams. Dividend payer and hopefully will gain a few new large clients in 2019. PRSM - Software company specialising and leading the field in development of robotic process automation particularly of more routing back office tasks enabling the freeing up staff to do more productive tasks. Globally active in events and with a diverse range of high profile partners prsm is at the forefront of the developing technology. ZTF - Specialist manufacturer of plastic foam for a very broad and diverse range of industries including sports, automotive & construction. Many specialist uses and complex production process. Recent deal with Nike. Expanded production base in China and Poland now coming onstream and plans to expand in UK also. Dividend payer. Leon Boros recently taken a stake. LTG - is a dividend paying company providing digital learning solutions and interactive media programmes to a broad range of clients including government. Aiming to grow by both broadening its range of products and clients across a broader geographic range as well as via acquisition.
26/12/2018
12:38
apad: Cooltools (ARC G4M ZOO GHH SPX) Lauders (AMER ARS HCM SIA TXP) apad (DIS IGG SOS XPD FEVR) dacian (BVXP CBOX GDWN TM17 RRE) janeann (ARC ACSO PRSM SPE ZTF) lomax99 (BUR FUTR HL. FFX ACSO) Valhamos(D4T4 XPP CHH SDI GHT) RP19 (CRU D4T4 DRV FFX VLE) redartbmud (AMS BREE LLOY LTG XPD) attrader (XPD GLE IGG BUR NPSNY) Cooltools ARC - long time holder, ex employee, own 2% approx, 50% of portfolio G4M - ltm, bought when 170p, now 540p, but price has been dithering for 18 months. Brother is a musician, he brought my attention to it in the early days and I loved the website, value and range - and particularly the feeling of support and being part of it (unlike most resellers, which are buy and forget). Expanding across Europe and US, waiting to see if it results in profits over this Christmas. 20% of portfolio. ZOO - I'm a geek/nerd, so interested in their cloud based multi-lingual dubbing, sub-titles etc. 10% of portfolio GHH - relates to my masters in microelectonics and opto-electronics, considering this a low risk stalwart. 10% of portfolio SPX - bit of a gamble, but like old-school engineering (steam!) with modern applications. 10% of portfolio. Lauders AMER - Colombian oiler that has taken a share price hit this year but recent news has been excellent and there has been strong director buying. I believe that things will get better in 2019 providing the oil price holds of course. ARS - A junior (puppy) copper play. Again taken a major share price hit recently but if good news comes on drilling, partnering and the Cu price strengthens then the appetite could return quickly. HCM - News due before the end of the year so could strengthen significantly if positive. However, it is Chinese and if news is not so good on the trials and alliances it could take a major hit. If Trump continues his Chinese battles then again could be impacted. SIA - One of my dogs! Not a puppy but a badly behaving large one. I think the trainer will have sorted it out by new year and its behaviour will improve. Recent news about its Egyptian acquisition that will hopefully be completed in the first half of 2019 will producing some drilling and get the news flowing again. There may be other M&A activity involving the company in the year. TXP - Another oiler (oil had better perform well in 2019!) based in Trinidad and Tobago. News due before year end again but some important drilling will be undertaken in 2019 with the potential to significantly change the MKT Cap of the company. Should be exciting! apad DIS - Could turn out to be a decent rum brand, but might carry lumbering on. IGG - Oversold income stock. Worldwide bear market risk. SOS - Looks like its on a roll with very impressive managers/owners. XPD - Oversold on Brexit fears. Danger of it overdoing it on aero and marine. FEVR - US potential and a rising divi stream. UK probably saturated. dacian BVXP- troponin only a matter of time, one of the best and well run co's on aim. I'll stick with it till the story changes. CBOX- take away cake shops with steady roll-out over the next couple of years, family run and skin in the game. Never tasted one. GDWN- my favourite uk engineer. Unless we get a nasty recession the investment phase over the last few years should start to deliver and they pay a dividend. TM17- a games developer and publisher run by a ceo with funky, red hair. It's a bet on her ability to discover and sign successful indie games. RRE- A bit of a Serica story but younger and cheaper. It aspires to pay a dividend. lomax99 BUR Low PE, some way off it’s highs. clear market leader in litigation finance, a sector still in it’s infancy. FUTR Digital media innovator, recent transformative acquisition, strong recent/anticipated growth. HL. Clear D2C market leader, high margins, solid structural growth story, now widening focus to target the significant wealth/cash savings market. FFX An ISP, constantly expanding their range of services, delivered efficiently using their own online platform. Strong growth to-date/anticipated. ACSO Fall overdone, almost on a normal PE! Good growth prospects ahead, an innovator. Valhamos D4T4 - My biggest holding and in the comparison again for next year. Continuing growth in the Celebrus customer data platform with strong relationships with Teradata, SAS and Pega. XPP - Full benefit of recent acquisitions still to come , no direct exposure to consumer electronics but share price has retraced over concerns about increasing exposure to semiconductor industry and tariffs on China, the second factory in Vietnam comes on stream in H1 2019. CHH - Been on my watchlist for a while and finally bought last week - has grown operating margins over the years with higher added value products for exports in the hospitality sector. SDI - Good mix of organic and acquisitions growth, niche technological businesses so possibly reduced recession risk. GHT - Hammered recently on profits warning because of contracts held over to 2019. Strong data integrity/control product so expect recovery next year. RP19 CRU - Plastics fabricator. A number of recent RNS's which show new orders and ahead of previous years. Despite this, the price has not shifted much and think it will catch up next year. Innovating with new products, increasing range of services and pays a dividend. Weakness - Has previously hit bumps in the road to hinder apparent progress and is capital intensive. D4T4 - Data solutions provider. Effective manipulation of data is integral to many businesses and I can only see it becoming more and more important. Management seem focussed and not on a racy rating. Weakness - Orders can be lumpy and some reliance on a few customers. However, overall I like their offering. DRV - Engineering and construction consultancy services (planning, project management, dispute resolution etc). Back on track after some poor years when it acquired badly. The sector is experiencing a lot of M&A activity and hopefully may become a target. Weakness - is a business that relies on its people and the nature of the work provides limited visibility. Selected it last year. FFX - Payments service provider to retail and corporate clients. Executed well to date and has a high level of operational gearing. Recent RNS about entry into the USA could be interesting. Hit by recent wider market downturn. Am backing it to bounce back. Selected it last year. VLE - Owners buy struggling companies, turns them around and sells them on. Share price largely discounts realistic valuations for VLE's investments. Sold its star performer Impetus Automotive for a considerable premium this year and is sat on a lot of cash. Weakness - They wont be rushed into their next purchase and this may limit potential share price appreciation in the short term. Selected it last year. reartbmud AMS - The share price is down almost 20% in the year, and although it has a relatively high PE and a poor dividend yield, there is room for recovery. There is £71m cash in the bank and margins improved. Now is the time for sales to grow in the USA. They have had to reorganize the business there and hopefully greater stability will create better returns. Maybe they will reconsider dividend policy. margins improved. BREE - Probably a punt based on the level of infrastructure spending in the UK in 2019, but the acquisition of Lagan in Ireland provides another arm to the business. Good positive cashflow is required to pay down the spike in debt, following the last purchase. They have a first -class management who were hewn out of rock, rather than being born. Directors have loaded up in the dip. A 20% recovery wouldn’t be out of reach. LLOY - Yes, take 2 on the entry. Domestically biased all will depend on the UK economy, but a year is a long time in markets, as 2018 has demonstrated. A 5.92% yield that is ‘guaranteed217; as much as any may prove attractive. If the dividend is slightly improved and profits grow and the ‘fraudulent217; PPI scheme finally winds up, there is scope for recovery in a year in which markets could be flat. LTG - A management that will never sit on their hands, so more deals will be done to add profits to the organic growth prospects of the existing business. People Fluent will have a full year under the LTG banner, was earnings enhancing from the outset, and cost savings should kick in to greater effect on the bottom line. Cross selling amongst existing businesses should provide organic growth. The company is a strong cash generator. XPD - Well oversold on Brexit fears, coupled with a falloff in UK consumer spending. The company has a strong footprint within its’ area of operation, with the possibility of further growth through bolt-on acquisitions. The UK market may well be receptive to products imported from markets serviced by the company. A very organized, committed and driven management. attrader XPD - Transport and logistics group acquiring smaller firms in easter Europe. ROI on acquired businesses is around 10% so it might not be a great investment in the long run. GLE - Low cost house builder aiming to double unit production by 2022. It pays decent dividend. Business performance is highly cyclical - needs constant supply of land along with housing demand and availability of mortgages. IGG - Spread betting business diversifying into SIPP and Index funds. Government is increasing regulation to protect novice punters. BUR - Litigation finance player investing ever increasing sums of cash for high returns. Low barriers to entry will invite larger players reducing ROI for future investments. NPSNY (Naspers ADR) - South African tech investor with large stake in Tencent along with other emerging market tech investments. Trading at significant discount to NAV. A crash in tech valuations can dent their performance in coming years.
23/12/2018
10:17
apad: Cooltools (ARC G4M ZOO GHH SPX) Lauders (AMER ARS HCM SIA TXP) apad (DIS IGG SOS XPD FEVR) dacian (BVXP CBOX GDWN TM17 RRE) janeann (ARC ACSO PRSM SPE ZTF) lomax99 (BUR FUTR HL. FFX ACSO) Valhamos(D4T4 XPP CHH SDI GHT) RP19 (CRU D4T4 DRV FFX VLE) redartbmud (AMS BREE LLOY LTG XPD) Cooltools ARC - long time holder, ex employee, own 2% approx, 50% of portfolio G4M - ltm, bought when 170p, now 540p, but price has been dithering for 18 months. Brother is a musician, he brought my attention to it in the early days and I loved the website, value and range - and particularly the feeling of support and being part of it (unlike most resellers, which are buy and forget). Expanding across Europe and US, waiting to see if it results in profits over this Christmas. 20% of portfolio. ZOO - I'm a geek/nerd, so interested in their cloud based multi-lingual dubbing, sub-titles etc. 10% of portfolio GHH - relates to my masters in microelectonics and opto-electronics, considering this a low risk stalwart. 10% of portfolio SPX - bit of a gamble, but like old-school engineering (steam!) with modern applications. 10% of portfolio. Lauders AMER - Colombian oiler that has taken a share price hit this year but recent news has been excellent and there has been strong director buying. I believe that things will get better in 2019 providing the oil price holds of course. ARS - A junior (puppy) copper play. Again taken a major share price hit recently but if good news comes on drilling, partnering and the Cu price strengthens then the appetite could return quickly. HCM - News due before the end of the year so could strengthen significantly if positive. However, it is Chinese and if news is not so good on the trials and alliances it could take a major hit. If Trump continues his Chinese battles then again could be impacted. SIA - One of my dogs! Not a puppy but a badly behaving large one. I think the trainer will have sorted it out by new year and its behaviour will improve. Recent news about its Egyptian acquisition that will hopefully be completed in the first half of 2019 will producing some drilling and get the news flowing again. There may be other M&A activity involving the company in the year. TXP - Another oiler (oil had better perform well in 2019!) based in Trinidad and Tobago. News due before year end again but some important drilling will be undertaken in 2019 with the potential to significantly change the MKT Cap of the company. Should be exciting! apad DIS - Could turn out to be a decent rum brand, but might carry lumbering on. IGG - Oversold income stock. Worldwide bear market risk. SOS - Looks like its on a roll with very impressive managers/owners. XPD - Oversold on Brexit fears. Danger of it overdoing it on aero and marine. FEVR - US potential and a rising divi stream. UK probably saturated. dacian BVXP- troponin only a matter of time, one of the best and well run co's on aim. I'll stick with it till the story changes. CBOX- take away cake shops with steady roll-out over the next couple of years, family run and skin in the game. Never tasted one. GDWN- my favourite uk engineer. Unless we get a nasty recession the investment phase over the last few years should start to deliver and they pay a dividend. TM17- a games developer and publisher run by a ceo with funky, red hair. It's a bet on her ability to discover and sign successful indie games. RRE- A bit of a Serica story but younger and cheaper. It aspires to pay a dividend. lomax99 BUR Low PE, some way off it’s highs. clear market leader in litigation finance, a sector still in it’s infancy. FUTR Digital media innovator, recent transformative acquisition, strong recent/anticipated growth. HL. Clear D2C market leader, high margins, solid structural growth story, now widening focus to target the significant wealth/cash savings market. FFX An ISP, constantly expanding their range of services, delivered efficiently using their own online platform. Strong growth to-date/anticipated. ACSO Fall overdone, almost on a normal PE! Good growth prospects ahead, an innovator. Valhamos D4T4 - My biggest holding and in the comparison again for next year. Continuing growth in the Celebrus customer data platform with strong relationships with Teradata, SAS and Pega. XPP - Full benefit of recent acquisitions still to come , no direct exposure to consumer electronics but share price has retraced over concerns about increasing exposure to semiconductor industry and tariffs on China, the second factory in Vietnam comes on stream in H1 2019. CHH - Been on my watchlist for a while and finally bought last week - has grown operating margins over the years with higher added value products for exports in the hospitality sector. SDI - Good mix of organic and acquisitions growth, niche technological businesses so possibly reduced recession risk. GHT - Hammered recently on profits warning because of contracts held over to 2019. Strong data integrity/control product so expect recovery next year. RP19 CRU - Plastics fabricator. A number of recent RNS's which show new orders and ahead of previous years. Despite this, the price has not shifted much and think it will catch up next year. Innovating with new products, increasing range of services and pays a dividend. Weakness - Has previously hit bumps in the road to hinder apparent progress and is capital intensive. D4T4 - Data solutions provider. Effective manipulation of data is integral to many businesses and I can only see it becoming more and more important. Management seem focussed and not on a racy rating. Weakness - Orders can be lumpy and some reliance on a few customers. However, overall I like their offering. DRV - Engineering and construction consultancy services (planning, project management, dispute resolution etc). Back on track after some poor years when it acquired badly. The sector is experiencing a lot of M&A activity and hopefully may become a target. Weakness - is a business that relies on its people and the nature of the work provides limited visibility. Selected it last year. FFX - Payments service provider to retail and corporate clients. Executed well to date and has a high level of operational gearing. Recent RNS about entry into the USA could be interesting. Hit by recent wider market downturn. Am backing it to bounce back. Selected it last year. VLE - Owners buy struggling companies, turns them around and sells them on. Share price largely discounts realistic valuations for VLE's investments. Sold its star performer Impetus Automotive for a considerable premium this year and is sat on a lot of cash. Weakness - They wont be rushed into their next purchase and this may limit potential share price appreciation in the short term. Selected it last year. reartbmud AMS - The share price is down almost 20% in the year, and although it has a relatively high PE and a poor dividend yield, there is room for recovery. There is £71m cash in the bank and margins improved. Now is the time for sales to grow in the USA. They have had to reorganize the business there and hopefully greater stability will create better returns. Maybe they will reconsider dividend policy. margins improved. BREE - Probably a punt based on the level of infrastructure spending in the UK in 2019, but the acquisition of Lagan in Ireland provides another arm to the business. Good positive cashflow is required to pay down the spike in debt, following the last purchase. They have a first -class management who were hewn out of rock, rather than being born. Directors have loaded up in the dip. A 20% recovery wouldn’t be out of reach. LLOY - Yes, take 2 on the entry. Domestically biased all will depend on the UK economy, but a year is a long time in markets, as 2018 has demonstrated. A 5.92% yield that is ‘guaranteed217; as much as any may prove attractive. If the dividend is slightly improved and profits grow and the ‘fraudulent217; PPI scheme finally winds up, there is scope for recovery in a year in which markets could be flat. LTG - A management that will never sit on their hands, so more deals will be done to add profits to the organic growth prospects of the existing business. People Fluent will have a full year under the LTG banner, was earnings enhancing from the outset, and cost savings should kick in to greater effect on the bottom line. Cross selling amongst existing businesses should provide organic growth. The company is a strong cash generator. XPD - Well oversold on Brexit fears, coupled with a falloff in UK consumer spending. The company has a strong footprint within its’ area of operation, with the possibility of further growth through bolt-on acquisitions. The UK market may well be receptive to products imported from markets serviced by the company. A very organized, committed and driven management.
04/12/2018
13:27
janeann: red I thought I answered/tried to answer in effect your post above back in June........... 02 Jun 2018 - 17:22:49 - 19225 of 22800 ' I appreciate that there is momentum based on transaction volume, but that is historic. How does that predict the future movement?' bamboo might answer this but as I see it; and I have been mulling the issue for some while as I started as a non believer and am now starting to see why it might work ... Vast numbers of buys and sells dictate the movement of share prices. that is replicated across different companies and over time. and the past data can then be analysed to determine if certain trends (in buys and sells and share price movements) e.g and head and shoulders ... that have occurred are good predictors of certain share price movements that have also occurred. One can then apply that logic to look for movements that appear to be correlated with certain prior patterns to current share price movements with a view to identifying what the next move might be. happy to be shot down but that's how I see it and tried to put it in laymans terms. Ps (it perhaps also explains why goldman sachs were offering enormous sums to O and C mathematics undergrads as holiday jobs)
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