Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Total SA LSE:TTA London Ordinary Share FR0000120271 TOTAL ORD SHS
  Price Change % Change Share Price Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  +0.00 € +0.00% 43.225 € 42.16 € 43.47 € - - - 3,018,093 09:35:40
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Oil & Gas Producers - - - - 3,884.67

Total SA Share Discussion Threads

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DateSubjectAuthorDiscuss
26/7/2017
15:29
Investors to Big Oil: Restrain Yourselves 26/07/2017 12:29pm Dow Jones News Total (EU:FP) Intraday Stock Chart Today : Wednesday 26 July 2017 Click Here for more Total Charts. By Sarah Kent Three years into an oil price slump, investors want the world's biggest oil companies to do something they have historically struggled with: Maintain some financial discipline. The companies are under pressure to show they are continuing to move on from budget-busting projects once common in the industry, as they head into second-quarter financial disclosures that begin on Thursday with Royal Dutch Shell PLC and Total SA. Shell, Total and peers like Exxon Mobil Corp. and Chevron Corp., which both report earnings Friday, have reined in spending through an oil-market downturn during which crude prices fell from $114 a barrel to $27 a barrel and remain around $50 a barrel. Those efforts paid off in the first quarter, when the companies returned to billion-dollar profits after years of losses or anemic earnings. Now, said Jags Walia, senior portfolio manager at Dutch pension fund manager APG Asset Management, "there's no room to take your foot off on capital discipline." "I think that would be quite unforgivable." said Mr. Walia, whose fund invests in several large oil companies, including Exxon, Shell and BP. It's a call for big oil companies to keep the ship steady, reflecting the fine line they are walking this year. International oil prices were up nearly 10% in the second quarter compared with the same time last year. But prices are still likely too low for many companies to cover spending and dividends with cash, or break even. At the same time, the companies have to keep finding new oil to replace the barrels they are pumping. That means spending money on exploration, development and acquisitions. BP, which reports earnings next Tuesday, faced criticism from investors and analysts after a flurry of acquisitions inflated its investment plans for 2017 and pushed up the oil price at which the company could break even to $60 a barrel. The company's shares fell 4% following the February announcement. It has since said it is working to drive down its break-even oil price to between $35 to $40 a barrel by 2021. It isn't just BP. The number of new projects approved this year across the industry is expected to creep up to between 20 and 25 from just 12 in 2016, according to Edinburgh-based consultancy Wood Mackenzie. The oil companies declined to comment ahead of their earnings reports. But they have moved to tackle the challenges. BP's costs are down 40% since 2013 and it has vowed to maintain a budget cap of $17 billion a year out to 2021. At BP's first-quarter results in May, Chief Financial Officer Brian Gilvary said the company intended to deliver on promises to increase cash flow and dividends in the coming years by "maintaining strict discipline within our financial frame and staying focused on delivering returns." Exxon's capital spending last year was $12 billion lower than in 2015, though it has crept higher this year. The company says it is focusing a chunk of its firepower on shale developments that start to generate cash quickly. Chevron has said it will be able to cover its spending and dividends with cash at $50 a barrel this year with the help of asset sales. In April, Chevron said it had lowered capital spending 22% compared with its average quarter in 2016 and 56% versus the average quarter in 2014. The company plans to spend $17 billion to $22 billion a year out to the end of the decade. "If oil prices remain near the $50 per barrel mark, you can expect to see our future spend near the bottom of this range," CFO Patricia Yarrington told analysts in April. The companies have said that they still have room to cut further and that they can start to invest in new projects without returning to the spendthrift era that eroded returns before the oil price crash in 2014. Capital spending on new projects sanctioned so far this year is on average just $11 per barrel of oil equivalent, down from $15 in 2015, according to Wood Mackenzie. "I think a lot of these companies have found religion," said Brian Youngberg, senior energy analyst at brokerage firm Edward Jones. "They realize now they can't just spend, spend, spend. They have to be more disciplined with their capital." Exxon, Shell, BP and Chevron have all indicated they will be able to generate enough cash this year to cover spending and shareholder payouts at $60 a barrel, but at $50 the picture is more mixed. Even next year, many of them will still need higher oil prices to cover their costs, according to analysis by Macquarie. Investors remain cautious. Big oil companies' share prices are little changed or lower than at the same time last year, even though oil prices are higher. For instance, Exxon's share price is down more than 10% from a year ago. The companies still have high debt levels, and some -- like Shell and Total -- offer dividends as company shares, known as scrip, helping them to preserve cash but also diluting investors' earnings per share. "We need to see discipline and people being more realistic about where oil prices could remain for quite a long time," said Jason Kenney, an oil-company analyst at Spanish lender, Banco Santander. It's a tall order for an industry that struggled to break even when oil was at $100 a barrel. And the challenge facing the companies could be more difficult after banks revised their oil-price forecasts downward in recent months. "The goal posts have moved," Deutsche Bank said earlier this month. "It's time to go away and remodel for a $45 to $50 a barrel world." Write to Sarah Kent at sarah.kent@wsj.com (END) Dow Jones Newswires July 26, 2017 07:14 ET (11:14 GMT)
waldron
25/7/2017
23:10
Total continues fight over FERC authority in gas manipulation case Houston (Platts)--25 Jul 2017 356 pm EDT/1956 GMT Total Gas & Power North America has told a US appeals court that its legal costs to defend itself against Federal Energy Regulatory Commission accusations of price manipulation gives the court jurisdiction to hear the company's challenge of FERC's authority, leaving no need for the court to wait until after the commission makes a final decision. The heart of the dispute centers on FERC's power to determine Natural Gas Act violations and impose penalties through an administrative proceeding, a case the industry has watched because of how it could impact other market participants. Their fear is that the court's role as an impartial finder of fact is being circumvented and companies' procedural rights are being denied. Total Gas & Power North America, the French energy giant's North American gas trading unit, has asked the full 5th US Circuit Court of Appeals to reconsider a three-judge panel's rejection of the company's challenge. The panel found the challenge should not now be reviewed because FERC has not made a final decision of wrongdoing nor formally assessed the almost $226 million in penalties and disgorgement of profits that the agency has proposed. Total argues the money it is paying lawyers constitutes ongoing harm, and therefore the appeals court can review the merits of the case now. "There is no question that plaintiffs face more expense and burden defending against a potentially binding administrative adjudication of liability, with imposition of severe penalties, than in a proceeding where FERC can only propose penalties for alleged violations," Total wrote in its court filing Monday. In 2015, FERC initiated an anti-manipulation probe against the Houston-based Total subsidiary and disclosed that staff had made a preliminary finding that the company and two of its trading managers had executed a plan to manipulate gas prices in the Southwest between 2009 and 2012. FERC later issued an order to show cause why Total should not have to pay $216.6 million in civil penalties and turn over, or disgorge, $9.2 million in purportedly unjust profits, plus interest. Total says that while FERC has not made a final decision, the enforcement staff has urged it to make several conclusive factual findings and "historically, FERC has always taken the actions urged by its enforcement staff." The company argues that federal courts are the deciders of fact in a Natural Gas Act violation case and FERC is only allowed to assess proposed penalties. FERC argues it has authority in such cases to both determine wrongdoing and assess penalties. The appeals court relied on a prior court decision in a case involving pipeline operator Energy Transfer Partners, which found that such matters are not ripe for appeal until FERC makes a final determination of an NGA violation. But Total, in its latest filing, focuses heavily on a US Supreme Court case involving a dispute between a shipper and a group of shipping companies. In that case, which involved Stolt-Nielsen, a provider of transportation and storage of specialty chemicals and other bulk liquids, the high court held that "being forced to defend in an unauthorized adjudicative proceeding can constitute sufficient hardship" to make the dispute ripe for appeals review, Total said. "The 'hardship' that made the action in Stolt-Nielsen ripe was nothing other than litigation expenses -- the costs and burdens of 'submitting to class determination proceedings,'" Total says in its request for the full appeals court to reconsider its challenge. "Indeed, the injury here is even more concrete." --Harry Weber, harry.weber@spglobal.com --Edited by Richard Rubin, richard.rubin@spglobal.com
maywillow
25/7/2017
17:38
LONDON (Agefi-Dow Jones) - European oil companies with refining operations are benefiting from higher margins in this sector, due to seasonal increases in gasoline demand and refinery maintenance operations. This margin growth should not last, warns Barclays. Refining margins averaged $ 5.5 per barrel last week, the highest level since September 2015 and an increase of $ 4 a barrel over one year. Barclays attributes this growth to an exceptionally tense fuel market, seasonal gasoline demand growth and a rise in diesel driven by supply disruptions. Barclays does not think the rise will last more than a few weeks, but continues to favor groups present in refining because of their cash flow, which supports dividends. The bank has an overweight recommendation for BP with a target price of 675 pence, Royal Dutch Shell (2,750 pence), Total (60 euros), OMV (54 euros) and Repsol (20 euros).
grupo guitarlumber
22/7/2017
08:35
4081/5000 Total, TechnipFMC, Vallourec, CGG: is it time to buy? The trend remains uncertain on oil, favoring the strongest companies. (© DR) By Johann Corric Published on 13/07/2017 at 11:55 AM - Updated on 13/07/2017 at 11:56 Oil is recovering somewhat, and industry groups will soon publish their first half results. The opportunity to place oneself? Rather to be selective ... Since a low of more than a year touched on June 21 last at 45 dollars, the price of black gold has recovered by 6.7%. However, it still loses 18% since the beginning of the year. On July 12, the US Energy Agency (EIA) said gold stocks had dropped by 7.6 million barrels over the week ended July 7. This is the second consecutive week of decline. Information likely to carry the course of Brent. Read also Total: a giant that does not lack resources However, at the same time, the country's crude oil production is recovering. After surprisingly dropping 100,000 barrels per day on the 23 June score, it has since recovered 147,000 barrels per day. A mixed assessment by the International Energy Agency, which has just indicated that the overall supply of black gold has risen by 720,000 barrels per day in June while raising its demand estimate for the whole of the world 'year. It is now expected to grow by 1.4 million barrels per day, to 98 million from 97.9 million previously. Between $ 45 and $ 50 The context remains very uncertain. If we persist in believing that the risk of seeing the price of black gold falling permanently under $ 45 is low, it could on the other hand find it difficult to exceed the 50 dollars in the short term. Such a prospect is not very pleasing for the players in the sector. We therefore recommend that you be selective. The three least solid groups, Bourbon, CGG and Vallourec are to be avoided at the moment. The first is shifted in the cycle and could delay to straighten the bar. The seismic specialist, CGG, for its part announces an advance in its restructuring program but this one will take several months. Vallourec is the most attractive of the three for its exposure to American oil but its activities in the rest of the world continue to suffer. Total and TechnipFMC to be preferred On the other hand, you can strengthen your positions on TechnipFMC and Total. The first has fallen sharply on the stock market since the beginning of the year. A little too much in our opinion. The French-American group will release its half-yearly accounts on 26 July. The backlog will be particularly scrutinized. Following the important contract awarded to Eni and the recent announcements by the Norwegian para-airline Aker Solutions - which showed better than expected results and evoked "signs of recovery" - a pleasant surprise can be played on this occasion. The Total share on its side has moved away from our target price of 51 euros and now has sufficient potential to be bought. The publication of the half-year results, scheduled for 27 July, could act as a catalyst. In recent quarters, French has regularly beaten the consensus of analysts. Finally, the group led by Patrick Pouyanné recently announced interesting developments for the future. He signed a long-awaited contract with Iran and formalized a 25-year partnership with the national company Qatar Petroleum.
la forge
19/7/2017
09:42
Http://explorationanddevelopment.energy-business-review.com/news/total-ypf-bp-unit-to-invest-115bn-in-vaca-muerta-shale-formation-5874836
sarkasm
16/7/2017
09:19
Zainab Calcuttawala Zainab Calcuttawala Zainab Calcuttawala is an American journalist based in Morocco. She completed her undergraduate coursework at the University of Texas at Austin (Hook’em) and reports on… More Info Share Facebook Twitter Google + Linkedin Reddit Related News Ukraine Aims To Join European Power Grid Kyrgyzstan Seeks Funding For Ambitious Hydropower Project Ignore The Hype: Oil Is Rangebound Is Upstream Investment Turning A Corner? Oil Inventories Fall, But OPEC’s Problems Persist Could Trump Crush Iran’s Energy Plans? By Zainab Calcuttawala - Jul 15, 2017, 4:00 PM CDT Iran oil field Iranian officials continue to encourage multinational fossil fuel companies to pursue production deals in the country, despite disconcerting rhetoric from the White House that suggests the 2015 nuclear deal, which allowed Tehran to re-enter international oil markets after six years of isolation, could unravel at President Donald Trump’s whim. “Our hand are full,” said Iran’s Deputy Oil Minister Amir Hossein Zamaninia during the World Petroleum Congress in Istanbul this week. “We think that the situation is normal enough for major international oil business to get engaged in Iran.” France’s Total recently committed to spending $1 billion on a gas project this month, but such an investment in Iran from a European oil major is an exception, not the rule. If the United States backs out of the nuclear deal, the companies could be exposed to sanctions imposed by the White House on projects on American lands and waters. This dynamic keeps enthusiasm towards developing oil resources in Iran—the third-largest producer in OPEC—at a low, even though the legal barriers to doing business with Tehran are currently non-existent. But Iran insists that new contracts worth $92 billion will raise oil production by a third and boost gas exports 15-fold in just four years. That’s a 2021 deadline in a bearish market that shows no signs of relenting. Regarding the current geopolitical standoff between the United States and Iran, Zamaninia said “BP’s decision to be cautious on Iran [was] a ripple effect” of the American agenda against conducting business in the Middle Eastern country. This attitude represents a shift in Iranian political sentiments against the United States since Trump’s swearing-in ceremony. Related: Shell Nigeria Declares Force Majeure On Nigerian Light Oil Exports Whereas President Barack Obama and Secretary of State John Kerry sought to bring Iran out of its dark economic times, President Trump has repeatedly stated that the nuclear deal with Iran was rubbish, and is reviewing Iran’s compliance at regular intervals. Over the course of 2016, Kerry used his international platform to clarify that non-American companies could freely invest in new Iranian projects without fear of retaliation from U.S. authorities. But that was back when it was assumed Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton would win the 2016 elections and continue the bulk of the Obama doctrine. In April, the last time an official White House approval of Iranian compliance was required, Trump’s State Department certified Tehran’s adherence to the deal. But the thumbs-up came with the news that the deal was under “official review” to determine whether the lifting of sanctions was, in fact, in the United States’ national security interest. The position of the White House has contributed to Saudi Arabia’s belief that it has gained a true ally against its key Middle Eastern rival. According to Saudi Arabia, Qatar’s recent estrangement from its Gulf allies stems partially from Doha’s willingness to maintain relations with Iran – the nation with which it shares the gargantuan South Pars old field. As the United States increases its oil exports and moves closer to becoming the world’s top LNG exporter, stifling Qatar, currently the No. 1 exporter of liquified national gas, and sanctioning Iran, a significant oil exporter, could indeed further the United States’ “energy dominance” agenda. Iran is not without interest from China, India and Russia, which could allow it to secure billions in funding, but the White House could tear up the nuclear deal at any moment, catapulting Tehran back into economic isolation, with the KSA ready to hammer the nails into the Iranian oil sector’s coffin. By Zainab Calcuttawala for Oilprice.com
grupo
09/7/2017
10:39
Http://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/07/theres-still-a-major-reason-why-oil-could-jump-back-to-110-experts-say.html
grupo guitarlumber
08/7/2017
18:32
France’s Total walks political tightrope in region The regional stakes for the French oil major Total are high and the political finesse required has not been lost on its chief executive, Patrick Pouyanné Anthony McAuley Anthony McAuley July 8, 2017 Updated: July 8, 2017 02:31 PM 0 shares Twitter Facebook Google Plus Linkedin E-Mail Print later Total is the largest foreign oil firm in the UAE and recently hooked up with Mubadala. Mubadala Petroleum is the majority shareholder in the Dolphin project that transfers gas from Qatar's North Field to Taweelah in Abu Dhabi. Courtesy Total Total is the largest foreign oil firm in the UAE and recently hooked up with Mubadala. Mubadala Petroleum is the majority shareholder in the Dolphin project that transfers gas from Qatar's North Field to Taweelah in Abu Dhabi. Courtesy Total The French major Total is walking a political tightrope to keep its energy deals on track in the Arabian Gulf region, where it has bet bigger than any other major oil company. Paris-based Total’s chief executive, Patrick Pouyanné, confirmed yesterday that despite the political turbulence between Qatar and several of its Gulf neighbours, he will travel to Doha this week - on July 14, Bastille Day in France - to mark the company’s new role as the operator of Qatar’s biggest oilfield, Al Shaheen. Last week, Total signed the first post-sanctions Iranian petroleum contract - a 20-year deal to develop the 11th phase of Iran’s South Pars gasfield, the world's largest - even though Iran-Arab tensions have rarely been higher. The political finesse required given what is at stake for Total is not lost on Mr Pouyanné. “Tensions have risen a notch between Qatar and [the Saudi Arabia led group of countries], and of course, we take into account the sensitivities of our hosts,” he said. “But this is exactly the type of situation where Total can serve as a bridge between the countries; we have experience dealing with geopolitical uncertainty.” The company was founded in the 1920s as a French national champion, in part to differentiate itself from rival colonial companies and tread a more business-focused path. “Total seems to be able to transcend the politics of the region because they have this really firm focus on the economics,” said Valentina Kretzschmar, the director of corporate research at the consultancy Wood Mackenzie. With demand for traditional fuels plateauing and shifting more toward petrochemicals and gas, “it will be the low-cost players who will be the last man standing, so the Gulf becomes even more important because it offers the lowest-cost resources, and that's where Total wants to be.” Total is unique in having its finger in so many regional pies. It is the largest foreign oil company in the UAE and recently embarked with an arm of the Abu Dhabi conglomerate Mubdadala on a US petrochemicals venture, a key strategic plank for the country. Last week,Total said it was considering an investment of up to US$5 billion at its 400,000 barrels per day refinery joint venture with Saudi Aramco (Satorp, at Jubail industrial city on Saudi’s Arabian Sea coast), to expand into petrochemicals, also key for the Saudis. Despite the difficulties working there, Total is in the consortium developing the giant Halfaya oilfield in Iraq’s southern Missan province. It is helping to broker a deal to bring Iranian gas to Oman to feed its liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects, where it owns small stakes. And it retains interest in Yemen LNG, although the war has shuttered it. The Gulf leaders “all understand that it's in everyone's best business interests when we work with each country”, the Total chief said. “They appreciate our transparency [and] our participation in South Pars 11 will show that companies can, in their own way, help to broker peace through economic development. It will also pave the way for other international oil companies in Iran, I truly believe that,” he added. Mr Pouyanné downplayed the role that being French holds in Total's ability to navigate Gulf politics. But, says Homayoun Falakshahi, a Woodmac analyst, it is an undeniable benefit. “Twenty years ago when Iran was opening up, [the US oil company] ConocoPhillips was the first to sign,” he recalled, referring to the $1bn deal to develop the Sirri oilfield. “Two weeks later, Bill Clinton nixed it,” and Total was able to step in. Mr Pouyanné's shuttle diplomacy included meeting the UAE Energy Minister, Suhail Al Mazrouei in Paris two weeks ago to discuss keeping business running smoothly, according to a person at the meeting. The fruit of that labour can be seen with the Dolphin pipeline, which supplies about a fifth of UAE gas demand from Qatar. Although UAE-Qatar links, including oil ports, were severed, Dolphin Energy - 24.5 per cent owned by Total - has kept the gas flowing. “There is going to be a level of annoyance and discomfort with Total’s involvements” across the political divide, said an official familiar with the high-level talks, requesting anonymity. “But Exxon and Shell [chiefs] also recently visited Qatar, and there is an understanding, up to a point, that business is separate.”
grupo
05/7/2017
12:03
356/5000 While the UBS broker reiterated its recommendation to buy and its price target of 50 euros after the announcement of Total's return to the Iranian market, as part of the first project of this scale signed Since the reduction of the embargo imposed on the country, Deutsche Bank adjusts its target price from 52 to 50 euros on the file.
waldron
03/7/2017
19:22
Http://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/03/oil-prices-break-out-second-half.html
the grumpy old men
02/7/2017
13:46
Iran to sign gas deal with France's Total and China's CNPC Iran says French energy giant Total is to sign a contract worth close to $5bn (£3.8bn) to develop an offshore gas field in the Gulf. It is the biggest foreign deal since most economic sanctions against the country were lifted in 2016. Oil ministry officials said the deal to develop the South Pars gas field would be signed on Monday in Tehran, with Total getting a 50.1% stake. China's CNPC would hold a 30% stake and Iran's Petropars 19.9%. Total was planning to sign the contract several months ago, but decided to wait and see if the Trump administration in the US would re-impose sanctions on Tehran. What lifting Iran sanctions means for world markets The offshore field, which is shared between Iran and Qatar, was first developed in the 1990s. Total was one of the biggest investors in Iran before international sanctions were imposed in 2006 over suspicions the country was trying to develop nuclear arms. Last month Total's boss Patrick Pouyanne indicated the firm was ready to make an initial $1bn investment in Iran, the third largest producer in oil body Opec.
maywillow
28/6/2017
06:03
Risks TOTAL conducts its operations in more than 130 countries across five continents including Africa where a significant portion of the company's oil reserves and production are located. Risks include embargoes, expropriation of assets, foreign exchange rate volatility, terrorism and political and civil unrest among others. The company competes with other oil majors like ExxonMobil, Chevron, Royal Dutch Shell, British Petroleum. Increasing competition could impact revenues, profitability and total return to shareholders. Asset acquisitions are part of TOTAL's strategy to grow earnings. The company might find it difficult to find and execute on accretive transactions leading to a flat earnings growth rate and lower share prices. The price of crude oil should it fall too low, perhaps below $40 a barrel, and remain that low for a long period time, the company may find it difficult to support dividends and capital expenditures at the current rates. While I noted only a few risks, investors should review the company's SEC filings to get a sense for all the risks inherent in investing in the company. In addition to reading about the risks, a technical price chart should be viewed for assessment of downside risks. Technical price chart The two-year price chart shows the stock is in an uptrend depicted by the up-sloping yellow lines from left to right, and the price is contained within the two-standard deviation channel (outer yellow lines). The middle line is the linear regression line where equilibrium price could be considered. Prices above or below the linear regression line may be considered to be from overzealous buyers or sellers. Currently, sellers have outnumbered buyers in the short term since the middle of May for these shares. The price action on the chart is considered bullish since the 50-day moving average line (blue) is above the 200-day moving average line (red). The lower yellow line at $44 may be considered as an investor's downside risk potential and may act as a support for the share price unless fundamentals for the company deteriorate or global economic risks emerge. Although the technical picture is fine right now, the penetration of the lower yellow line is a warning sign that a change in trend may be near. Source: TDAmeritrade (my pink support line) Conclusion The near 20% drop in crude oil prices has provided a price discount on the shares of TOTAL. The time to buy crude oil correlated energy shares is when the price of oil drops sharply. Since the price of oil cannot be predicted on a regular basis, an educated guess is about the best most of us can do. I am in the camp that suggests oil will return to around $50 over the mid-term which should cover capital expenditures and dividend expectations, and I expect TOTAL shares to appreciate according to the valuation studies noted earlier. Investors uncomfortable with oil price volatility, an outlook for lower oil prices, a lumpy dividend, or intolerance of tax implications for these shares might look elsewhere. However, investors seeking high current income and energy exposure can consider the company's attractive: balance sheet health; diversified revenue stream; dividend coverage ratio; high dividend yield; performance against peers; estimated earnings growth; valuation; and the bullish technical chart pattern as reasons to support a buy decision. I plan on following the company and providing updates in future articles. If you would like to follow along, please hit the follow button on top of this page for real-time and email alerts on new postings.
la forge
28/6/2017
06:00
Https://seekingalpha.com/article/4084314-total-s-reasons-buy?auth_param=124r8p:1cl5auc:975a7b1055b0fd86d2df12d959575b9b&uprof=46&dr=1#alt1
la forge
24/6/2017
10:41
Running Out of Time to Reduce Stockpiles in 2017, Statoil Says By Giacomo Tognini and Sheela Tobben 23 June 2017, 22:22 CEST Oil prices will recover but unclear when, says chief economist OPEC cuts unlikely to correct market under current conditions The oil market is running out of time for crude inventories to show a significant drop in 2017, according to Statoil ASA’s chief economist. When it comes, though, the correction "will be relatively rapid," said Eirik Waerness in an interview at Bloomberg headquarters in New York. Analysts have been surprised by the intransigence of global oil stockpiles, according to Waerness. That’s because the focus has been mostly on U.S. shale, missing the "flow of oil from projects that were decided back in 2010” and now are coming online. Production is even increasing in the North Sea, where analysts expected a decline, he said. This makes it more difficult for OPEC to increase prices, according to Waerness. "At some point, impact from an ebbing flow of projects will slow down," he said. "Patience is the name of the game. Current prices are unsustainably low. Producers are not making enough to cover production cost." West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark, closed at $43.01 a barrel on Friday. Prices in New York have declined 19.8 percent this year, dropping more than 20 percent below the 2017 high on Wednesday to slip into a bear market amid an ongoing supply glut. Drillers added rigs to the shale patch for a record 23rd straight week, according to Baker Hughes Inc. data reported Friday. Unlike the International Energy Agency, Statoil expects oil demand to peak in 2030 under its central scenario. That is too late to meet the temperature target outlined in the Paris Climate agreement. "Peak oil has to happen extremely rapidly, by 2022, or we won’t reach that target," said Waerness. Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal.
the grumpy old men
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