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Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Tandem Group Plc LSE:TND London Ordinary Share GB00B460T373 ORD 25P
  Price Change % Change Share Price Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  0.00 0.0% 390.00 380.00 400.00 420.00 385.00 390.00 30,932 16:20:19
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Leisure Goods 38.8 2.5 40.5 9.6 20

Tandem Share Discussion Threads

Showing 4601 to 4625 of 5300 messages
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DateSubjectAuthorDiscuss
02/7/2019
14:28
Thanks AMT. I've sent a copy to Chairman Mervyn Keene - it'll be good to get a discussion going. Glen
profdoc
02/7/2019
13:43
Prof doc. Very very good post. I largely agree with your views. On the timescale you mention we should also have a good idea about how much Brexit is damaging consumer sentiment making decisions easier.
amt
02/7/2019
09:10
I listened to the discussion at the AGM. I've jotted down some thoughts on dividend policy (sorry it's so long)- I'm interested to hear what you think. At the AGM a question was raised on the logic of paying a mere 4.31p dividend when the company has produced EPS north of 30p and is expected to do so again this coming year. Investors who have been with the company for 10-15 years have seen little capital gain (unless they luckily bought during one of the price cliff-falls) and they have grimaced at the low dividend yield year after year. It’s no wonder they are disappointed with the investment they made. So, given that directors have benefitted through salaries over the last decade, is it now the turn of shareholders to receive significant pay-outs? Chairman, Mervyn Keene, replied that while the pension scheme is in deficit the pension regulator will not permit annual dividends payments to be greater than the deficit reduction payments made to the pension scheme. Dividends are £216,000 and pension contributions are £336,000. Clearly, there is a constraint of sorts here, at least there is when the £336,000 limit is reached. However, that on its own doesn’t explain why dividends can’t rise by 20% for a few years before bumping up to the pension contribution limit. Both pension schemes closed to new members years ago. On the underfunded scheme, liabilities are £9.4m and assets £6.6m plus a tax asset of £0.5m leaving a deficit of £2.3m. (I got the impression that the directors are disappointed that the pensions regulator estimates the pension liabilities as high as it does – many pensioners are now well past average life expectancy so the numbers receiving pension drop each year. The directors then put forward a different argument: they needed to strengthen the balance sheet before significantly raising the dividend. I was somewhat confused on this point because the cash balance in December was about £5m and the dividend costs £216,600 per year. Surely, there is potential to raise the dividend? I was told that the 31 December snapshot of the balance sheet flatters the finance picture. There are points during the year when the company is forced to rely on an overdraft in the region of £3m. To get some feel for this I’ve looked at the half year reports as well as the annual reports It would seem during the summer the combined valued of inventory and receivables is higher than in December by about £3m - £6m. Some of this is financed by the rise in payables, of the order of £1.5m - £3m. But I would imagine that Tandem must pay these suppliers during the summer and autumn. We were told at the AGM, some customers push for 120 days credit. Even by June, let alone by September-November when stock levels are high in the lead up to Christmas, Tandem’s cash balance is down to around £1m while its debt (including invoice discounting debt) is around £5m - £7m. I can see from those numbers that when Argos and other customers are insisting on availability of product in the second half of the year, but not paying for it until say December, that the company could come under a temporary cash flow strain and therefore need access an overdraft. This dependence on bank borrowing and invoice discounting is a small weakness I failed to spot in my earlier analysis and I’m grateful to the directors for pointing me in the right direction. I agree that it would be more comfortable if our company had a larger cash buffer to support the rise in inventory and receivables during the second half of the year rather relying on banks. It’ll be better to avoid interest charges and it’ll almost eliminate financial distress risk. But what of the medium term? For now I’m content to leave the dividend at a low level. But this comes with the proviso that when the amounts of finance sourced from banks is down to less than £1m at the worst time of the year, that the dividend is raised substantially. This conclusion assumes that the company does not have value-enhancing projects in which to invest that cash within the firm. That is, projects generating 8% - 10% per annum returns on capital (an acquisition spree or investing in projects yielding only 1% -5% is not acceptable). Once the balance sheet is on a firm foundation, any money that cannot generate 8-% - 10% pa should be handed back to shareholders to invest elsewhere. As well as the lowering of financial risk, there is a logic to holding onto cash generated by current high profits for a 2-3 years (cumulating to say £3m - £4m in retained earnings). This will allow a reduction in the overdraft and in the use of invoicing financing, thus at least £100,000 of interest each year can be avoided, adding to profits. A third reason for being cautious with the dividend and building up the balance sheet is that Tandem must appear soundly financed to gain business from the likes of Disney – they receive a percentage of Tandem’s sales of licensed product and therefore need to be assured that Tandem is (a) going to be around in a 18 months from now (b) has sufficient money to actively promote and distribute goods. A suggested dividend policy for the next five years: My working assumption – just for thinking it through (it can be tweaked) - for earnings and cash flow after paying interest and tax is £1.30m in each of the next five years. For three years continue with a dividend policy of paying out about £0.25m. Over these three years the balance sheet is strengthened by £3.15m. In the fourth and subsequent years, if the company does not have projects expected to yield at least 8% - 10% per annum after tax, then all £1.30m earnings that year could be paid as dividends. This is 26p per share. However, there are two constraints: Constraint 1 If the pension deficit is still high the regulator will insist that large amounts are put into the scheme if dividends exceed £336,000 – this money would then be locked-in to the pension fund. Even with that constraint the company could move the dividend up to the £336,000 limit, which is 6.7p per share. Also, the deficit gap may be closed by 2023 as many pensioners leave the scheme. Constraint 2 Signalling to financial markets is an important aspect of dividend policy. Investors become jittery if the dividend jumps about from one year to the next – a sharp drop may be taken as management signalling that bad times are just around the corner. If the dividend is raised each year to equal earnings then drops will occur from time to time because profits can be lumpy. The solution adopted by most companies is to have a fairly high dividend (if they lack value-enhancing projects and are shareholder-value oriented) and then, from time to time add in a special dividend. The regular dividend can be raised on a nice steady path, say 5% - 10% per year signalling to their investors that directors are confident in the future, but also indicating they are aware that downturns happen and so they’ve retained a buffer between EPS and the dividend level. I would suggest that in the fourth year the dividend is raised to £0.65m or 13p per share. This will be combined with clear messages by the directors in the annual reports that they anticipate providing a “progressive dividend”. In year 5 it might then be possible to raise the regular dividend by 5% - 10% as well as pay a special dividend of say £0.5m or 10p per share. The special dividends could be handed out most years.
profdoc
02/7/2019
08:17
I have about £70 worth of shares on a certificate registered to an old address. I remember getting cheques worth less than the cost of the stamp. I can't be bothered to even dig it out to update the registrar.The FCA did compensate me for a few thousand on my original purchase of shares. It was when the company was in cahoots with a city bucket shop and kept placing and selling shares in a scam fashion!The practices of this company have always been questionable.The
my retirement fund
02/7/2019
07:33
simso. Not sure what your point you are making. Are you saying the pension regulator is wrong? I have just read a couple of articles by googling this issue and the articles confirm that such restrictions are in line with current practice. So I doubt its worth challenging the decision. Of course if the deficits were reduced then such restrictions would also be changed. However as I mentioned before now is the time to build a Brexit war chest.
amt
02/7/2019
05:57
My own sources both Directors and non ex listed company directors also find this questionable . If the P and L allows it can be done.( increasing the Divi ) I don’t think any of us wanted anything silly but 8/10p should be manageable. 10 p would equate to 500 k Maybe we need to write to clarify and the other question I would ask is how much of last years dividend cheques remains uncashed? This would help establish how many lost holders we have my guess is lose to 15% of the shares. Tiger
castleford tiger
02/7/2019
05:02
If there were a large dominating shareholder and I was a pensions trustee I would also be worried if cash was stepped out of the business particularly with brexit and the product being discretionary. Their role is to protect the fund.
deanowls
01/7/2019
18:47
Hi JackNife, I also attended the AGM last week, and can confirm that the Chairman did indeed say that the Pension Regulator would require that any Dividend had to be matched "One to One" by Pension Deficit Recovery Payments. I have been Finance Director of a business with a nasty pension deficit over a 10 year period between 2006 and 2016, and regularly dealt with Trustee and Regulator. I had never heard of the Pension Regulator imposing such a specific "one for one" restriction during that time. There is always the possibility of this being a "brand new ruling" whcih came in since 2016. However, I met the Directors of Norcross (NXR) recently for a presentation. They have a huge deficit which on the surface looks more onerous than TND's. The cashflow statement for Prelims to March 19 shows a Dividend Payment costing £6.4m and a Deficit Recovery payment of £2.6m. Perhaps TND have been advised differently somehow...but as you say Jaknife, its worth asking the Chairman again to confirm the point in writing. It was a point we discussed extensively in the AGM.
simso
01/7/2019
10:49
davidosh, "The chairman then pointed out that the board could not increase the dividend by much more than they do as they are limited by the pension regulator and the pension trustees who would want a matched payment towards the pension defecit." Are you sure that's what the Chairman said? I've never heard of the pension regulator imposing such a restriction. Can you get the Chairman to clarify that in writing? JakNife
jaknife
01/7/2019
09:49
It was a long Agm and the board engaged fully in answering all the questions. There were seven private investors that attended and all the board were present. The main thrust of the questions from the floor related to the dividend and why it could not be substantially higher. The largest shareholder felt that a four times covered dividend would be reasonable and allow investors a satisfactory return whilst being patient as the company delivers growth. The chairman then pointed out that the board could not increase the dividend by much more than they do as they are limited by the pension regulator and the pension trustees who would want a matched payment towards the pension defecit. This was followed by a long debate and there was discussion about buybacks and other ways to distribute to shareholders and also tidy up the share register as we have 3480 shareholders. Rather strange that so few of the 3480 take an interest in the company and maybe by offering the results and Agm presentations that I have suggested to the company then some of these 'lost' shareholders will re engage with their investment. I thought the Agm update was very detailed and that is an excellent basis for Q&A which the seven of us had the benefit of. The chairman advised us that he is setting up a new initiative of a 'Shareholder/Investor relations committee' which will include just one shareholder and will as I understand it then report to the wider investor community. This idea seemed very strange to me and who would the one shareholder with all this added responsibility be? Furthermore will they be taken inside or just briefed more fully? I simply want more engagement with those who are keen to have it and on a regular basis. I also want a much higher dividend as only companies with a huge need to reinvest the cash or about to hit the buffers tend to want to pay out a tiny percentage of the profits each year. I think the low dividend puts investors off as they read into it that there is a negative outlook for the company. It also means as an income stock it does not really tick the box either as well below the average even though the earnings are there for all to see.
davidosh
28/6/2019
06:05
Brexit means we will need to be patient for 6 months or so. By the end of the year we will know the second half trading and have an idea of how Brexit is impacting consumer demand. If there is a miracle and some kind of Brexit deal is put together or possibly abandoned altogether there would be a big rise in the pound vs USD. Fortunately the USD is weak at the moment so some cushioning of the pounds fall is occurring. Of course Brexit could be a disaster but in those circumstances it's going to be difficult to avoid loosing money anyway. A satisfactory outcome and the pound could rise 15% vs USD very rapidly. That could work through to GM in 2020 and add over 1 million to Gross Profit in my opinion. Actually I forgot the other elephant in the room likely to impact the value of the pound. The outcome of the PM election. So Borris probably worse and Hunt better for pound vs USD.
amt
27/6/2019
19:21
Well a very long meeting that I will let others who are far more eloquent than me tell you about. No idea why MM moved it down as with close to a million profit first half we could get close to 3 by year end. Pe if under 4 says it all. I shall be buying again tomorrow. Hopefully we get more dividend once Brexit is sorted Tiger
castleford tiger
27/6/2019
13:56
A pound will be even better lol. Nothing will change here. Directors know how to keep shareholders firmly in a box here
my retirement fund
27/6/2019
10:31
Looks like a good entry point with 40 p plus EPS Tiger
castleford tiger
27/6/2019
10:13
FWIW, I used to have a sizeable holding here but, for one reason or another, reduced it quite significantly over time. However, I've just taken a few back in the hope that the pullback is "overcooked". The statement was obviously a bit curate's egg stuff-however there was a bit to like in it and some cautiously optimistic tone too. Fingers tightly crossed and all that jazz.
cwa1
27/6/2019
09:37
The stockmarket is always crazy,I think thats why i like it.
balcony
27/6/2019
09:28
The market is crazy right now and will remain so until August
hatfullofsky
27/6/2019
09:06
So turnover approaching 16m for H1. So net profit perhaps over 1m? If they can have as good a H2 as last year then perhaps 36m for year and 3m net profit within reach. However as mentioned many uncertainties including Brexit by the way. Clearly now is the time to be very prudent until we know which way the economy is going and particularly the pound vs USD. "In light of the ongoing Brexit debacle, we are cautious with regard to future consumer spending which is discretionary for the type of products that we supply."
amt
27/6/2019
07:11
Nice update, should put a floor in the share price Warning on USD - a stronger US dollar is likely to impact on the profitability of the Group. 1.27 now which is near it's 5Y lows
hatfullofsky
25/6/2019
12:18
Balcony yes I got them but the prices made no sense. 48055 at 1.92 25000 at 1.99 reported at 17.15 price was 180/195 So clearly buys but from where? trades last week 21st 5k 20th 0k 19th 0k 18th 2k 17th 2k Pretty sure its Mr Bragg. Tiger
castleford tiger
25/6/2019
07:48
48000 plus 25000.
balcony
24/6/2019
22:51
What were the large trades ? I could only see 2000 traded.
davidosh
24/6/2019
22:45
Wait for it! Another 1.25% to mr Bragg Tiger
castleford tiger
24/6/2019
19:47
Couple of large trades now reported.
balcony
24/6/2019
15:52
No A fair few of those 1000 are probably lost as they came from MV sports days. A fair few shares will be lost as well. Was the drop on Friday the MM playing games as I cannot see enough been sold to drive it down 10% Tiger
castleford tiger
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