Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Shire LSE:SHP London Ordinary Share JE00B2QKY057 ORD 5P
  Price Change % Change Share Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  +0.00p +0.00% 4,690.00p 0 01:00:00
Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price
0.00p 0.00p - - -
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology 11,224.63 3,149.21 348.72 12.6 42,659.4

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Date Time Title Posts
08/1/201917:49ADDERALL XR sales boost Shire4,506
13/8/201807:34Shire (SHP) One to Watch on Monday -
24/4/201813:48Shire -
19/4/201822:57SHIRE Pharmaceuticals847

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redtom1: Ali47fish, The easiest option is to sell. For those willing to wait a month and willing to deal in US listed Japanese stock there could be a few percent to be made. Having said that these few percent (currently around 3.85%) are dependent on exchange rates between £ and USD & YEN and movements in Takeda share price so not for the lighthearted. Personally I am happy for some of this risk (I sold some this morning as there were other bargains out there) and I'm happy for say a 2% return over one month. But I think Takeda share price could rise now that all of the uncertainty has been removed. This will be a monster global healthcare company and Shire will enhance its eps. So if they can integrate it well, Takeda could be a more popular stock than it has been recently. But if you don't like the risk and you're sitting on a profit then perhaps you should book the profit over the next few weeks. Good luck.
redtom1: Hi, in simple terms, Takeda (a Japanese Co) has made an offer to buy the whole of Shire plc. The deal has yet to be voted on by both sets of shareholders and these votes will be at end of year or early next year. Deal is likely to conclude before HY 2019. You can find out more from both Shire & Takeda websites. The offer is $30.33 cash and 0.839 of a Takeda share for each shire share. so the value (in GBP) is always moving because of Takeda share price movements and the £:$ and £:Y exchange rates. Updated value: Value of the Takeda offer a few minutes ago, based on live fx rates, was 5,053p made up of 2,354p in cash & 2,699p in shares. With current share price of 4,424p the current Shire share price would need to rise by 14.22% to match. From the original offer valued at 4901p, we've lost 206p in value due to fall in value of Takeda shares but gained 358p because of favourable fx movements on both the cash and share elements. Takeda share price (Yen) = 4574 £:$ = 1.28836 £:Yen = 142.195
badwood: It is not clear to me why the Takeda share price would necessarily go up significantly if Takeda shareholders voted down the merger for the following reasons: Firstly, they would incur a penalty fee for pulling out of the deal (someone suggested the penalty fee is around one $1bn) which would suppress the share price. Secondly, the chief executive Christophe Webber and most of the board would most probably have to resign or be sacked. That would create uncertainty which would have a serious negative impact on the share price. Thirdly, a number of commentators have put forward the view that Takeda needs to invigorate its pipeline of drugs, and without Shire their long term prospects look uncertain. Will the deal go ahead ? I assume that the majority of current Takeda shareholders are in it for the long haul. Therefore, those who vote to scupper the deal will be far more concerned with the burden of debt Takeda would be saddled with rather than the potential of a short term share price surge in the event of a no deal. A crucial consideration in all of this is the parts of Shire Christophe Webber intends to sell on and whether he has buyers lined up. Presumably he will provide guidance to Takeda shareholders before the vote.
pete160: I also lightened up a few weeks ago, although still have 20% of pot in here, but I'm not sure I agree that the slide in the Takeda price is bad. The drop isn't really out of step with declines in the wider market and with the purchase partly funded with shares surely it provides Takeda holders some flexibility regardless of whether the share price halves or doubles? For SHP holders on the other hand, yes a reducing price is not necessarily good news - unless you are intending converting to Takeda to retain an exposure to SHP r&d going forward. But if the bid hadn't come along, what price do you think SHP would currently be trading at given that the market generally is down ? The self serving SHP directors hadn't exactly fallen over themselves to create value or comfort for their shareholders. If the bid hadn't come along I suspect SHP would currently be £ 26-28 / share, so even if the eventual Takeda bid is worth only say, £ 44, we are still much better off imo Finally, don't forget that between now and d'day sometime next Spring, presumably SHP is continuing to throw off bucket loads of cash. This was previously used to pay down debt rather than return to shareholders, but currently it is effectively reducing the risk to Takeda.
badwood: scenario 1 The majority of hedge funds think the deal will fail so they buy Takeda and short Shire based on the assumption that if the deal fails Takeda share price will recover. This scenario would see Takeda share price rising and Shire share price falling. Currently, this doesn't appear to be happening. Also if Takeda share price were to rise significantly it would improve the chances of a deal happening. scenario 2 The majority of hedge funds think the deal will succeed and buy Shire. This scenario would see Shire price rise which is not happening. scenario 3 hedge funds short Takeda like there is no tomorrow to try to scupper the deal and at the same time short Shire. This is a high risk strategy and timing would be everything. So it seems that hedge funds are evenly split between those that think a deal will happen and those who think it will fail. I still think a deal will happen as: * Takeda are very determined * Takeda will have done their homework thoroughly * Japanese firms tend to be very committed to long term strategies * Takeda BoD will not want to lose face * Shire BoD recognise it's good value for shareholders in the short term
pete160: Am i the only one that feels as if scfc and philanders continual 'the skies falling in' 'it's all doomed' take on things without any substance is becoming quite tiresome? Yes there are risks to the deal but do we need to be reminded of them 10 times each day. Presumably they have taken your own advice and do not hold any SHP shares ? I wouldn't be surprised if they have shorts and are willing the deal and the price to collapse ? Perhaps they could enlighten us mere mortals as to their involvement in this share? I personally have a £ 100k holding and I will be holding. If the deal goes through there will be at least a 15% uplift in the price from now (although it might take a year to get through regulators). If another bidder does emerge then it will need to be either a higher offer or more cash on the table or better shares and the gap from current to bid price will close. And if the deal doesn't go through, yes, there will be short term pain but either the current BOD will have to meaningfully address shareholder concerns and our returns, they'll be sacked or another bidder will take an interest. As for Takeda, the sky has not fallen in on their share price since this last offer for SHP (as some predicted!). Most of the pharma's are down on the year in any case, and Takeda realise that they need to get big or get taken out themselves. They will have sounded out their major shareholders already and their cost of debt is ultra cheap. They may well already have been approached by others to cherry pick the bits they might want to dispose of. Will another bidder come in ? Quite possibly .SHP is unique for it's current and future pipeline. At around the level of the current bid (which everyone agrees is pushing Takeda to the limit) the cost of acquiring this pipeline instantly is cheap relative to building one yourself. If someone with deeper pockets or more attractive shares come along then I think they will need to approach the board before May 8th extension, rather than wait for the board and Takeda to agree a lock out deal and penalty clauses (I suspect having gone this far, the Japanese will require a high level of certainty that they will get the prize)
steeplejack: "If people bemoan that Takeda have got a bargain at this price, it is the fault of the SHP bod, no-one else."I'm not sure I agree with that.The industry,represented by Takeda,considers that Shire are worth,in current circumstances,around 49 pounds a share.Recently,the board of Shire were openly stating that they were bemused at the collapse in their share price.Most analysts,of course,as the share price fell,simply trimmed their share price targets which had been well over 50 pounds a year ago.You could argue that the Shire management failed to market themselves effectively to investors I suppose.Yet,it is impossible to avoid the thought that the City/Wall St,both failed to evaluate the shares correctly.That Takeda should pay a takeover premium of two thirds to a recent three year low in Shires share price,suggest that fund managers and commentators alike,were incompetent in correctly valuing Shire shares.
paa65: Could Allergan be playing a smart game here?Avoid the bidding war. Let Takeda make a last bid (probably rejected again).See SHP share price fall again.And then come in with a better cash offer?
karateboy: Two consecutive days share price dropped when USA market opened few days ago. Trend reversed now and Last two days share price moving higher after 15:00. Takeda CEO is reported visiting USA this week may be causing it or there is another bidder getting ready to join in. Hopefully share price will be £40 before any bidding starts. Big volume today almost twice the average daily trades and share price moves higher. That is good
karateboy: Let's summarise what we know and what happens if take over is successful: 1. In 2014 a $54b takeover of SHP by Abbvie was called off due US tax rule. Is Abbvie still interested? 2. In 2016 SHP paid $32b for Baxalta..share price decline started then. However current share price does not give any value to this take over. 3. SHP and Tekeda combined will creat one of the biggest Pharma with revenue of $30b . I wonder if other big Pharma will let this to happen. So if Takeda makes the move, I believe other big Pharma may join the bid... 4. Takeda has no block buster drug in the pipeline, SHP it may make sense for Takeda to take SHP over. 5. Takeda research centre is close by to SHP research centre in the USA...saving here... 6. Takeda CEO is ex big Pharma executive . He wants to run a big Pharma not just medium size Takeda. Interesting time ahead.
Shire share price data is direct from the London Stock Exchange
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