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Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Royal Dutch Shell Plc LSE:RDSB London Ordinary Share GB00B03MM408 'B' ORD EUR0.07
  Price Change % Change Share Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  -16.00p -0.64% 2,500.50p 1,498,912 11:22:09
Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price
2,499.50p 2,500.50p 2,528.50p 2,496.00p 2,527.50p
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Oil & Gas Producers 304,394.43 27,932.56 221.13 11.2 93,655.9

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Date Time Title Posts
17/6/201907:15Royal Dutch Shell6,257
06/6/201908:08Shell versus BP7,158
26/7/201812:55Royal Dutch Shell (RDSB) One to Watch 1
12/5/201711:47EX DIVIDEND DATE IS 15th May, 2017-
04/1/201714:16Shell - Cheap as Chips94

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10:21:052,501.0019475.19AT
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10:21:002,501.002526,302.52AT
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Royal Dutch Shell (RDSB) Top Chat Posts

DateSubject
17/6/2019
09:20
Royal Dutch Shell Daily Update: Royal Dutch Shell Plc is listed in the Oil & Gas Producers sector of the London Stock Exchange with ticker RDSB. The last closing price for Royal Dutch Shell was 2,516.50p.
Royal Dutch Shell Plc has a 4 week average price of 2,429.50p and a 12 week average price of 2,366p.
The 1 year high share price is 2,792.50p while the 1 year low share price is currently 2,227p.
There are currently 3,745,486,731 shares in issue and the average daily traded volume is 4,028,694 shares. The market capitalisation of Royal Dutch Shell Plc is £93,712,078,009.62.
13/5/2019
07:49
waldron: investomania Why I think the Royal Dutch Shell Plc share price could beat the FTSE 100 I’m optimistic about the prospects for the Royal Dutch Shell Plc Class B (LON:RDSB) (RDSB.L) share price versus the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE:UKX) May 13, 2019 Robert Stephens, CFA Shell (LON:RDSB) Shell Shell While the price of oil has surged higher in 2019, the Royal Dutch Shell Plc Class B (LON:RDSB) (RDSB.L) share price has risen by only 2%. That’s a disappointing performance in my view at a time when Brent has risen by around 25%. The performance of the oil major has lagged the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE:UKX), which is up by around 8% since the start of the year. In spite of its slow start to 2019, I think the Shell share price could offer improving performance in the long run. I wouldn’t be surprised if it is able to outperform the FTSE 100 over future years. Favourable prospects Although news of a US-China trade war has dominated headlines over the last week, I remain optimistic about the outlook for the world economy. This could produce improving performance from the oil and gas sector, which is highly dependent upon the world economy’s prospects. In my view, there is also the potential for an imbalance between demand and supply of oil. Although on the demand front there could be weakness depending on how trade talks between the US and China progress, there may also be slowdown in supply growth. There are various major oil-producing nations, notably Saudi Arabia, which face geopolitical risks at the moment. Alongside the end of sanctions exemptions from Iran, this could lead to lower supply of oil over the medium term. This may help to support the oil price. Progress Shell’s recent updates have shown that it is making good progress in terms of improving its financial performance in my opinion. Its plans to reduce the size of its asset base could improve its efficiency, as well as boost its free cash flow. In turn, this could be used to strengthen the business through debt reduction, as well as support a higher dividend in future. With regard to its dividend, the Shell share price currently has a yield of around 6%. Given that its payout ratio is around 60% at the moment, I feel that it could afford to pay a rising dividend over the medium term. A forecast EPS growth rate of 18.6% for the current year suggests to me that it may be able to pay a higher dividend without hurting its financial strength. Valuation Since the Shell share price has a P/E ratio of around 10 at the moment, I feel that the company could offer good value for money. Sure, there could be further uncertainty in the near term from the potential for a full-scale global trade war between the US and China. But with the prospect of lower supply, as well as the stock’s margin of safety and income potential, I think that it could outperform the FTSE 100 over the long run.
24/4/2019
10:08
stewart64: Bit of a boiling frog on the disconnect between RDSB share price and the hotting up price of oil. Market accepts the new higher normal and the Oil Majors go nowhere. Remember rdsb was pushing £25 when Brent was back at $62 in February. I'm guessing climate activism might be a contributing factor. But the new profitable leaner Shell, proven by annuals, also now fading in memories.
06/2/2019
13:48
fjgooner: I have been tracing RDSB share price behaviour for some time now. The last dividend that went ex-div on November 15, 2018 acted quite strangely. The closing price the day before ex-div was 2,406. The closing price on ex-div day was 2,447 The closing price the day after ex-div day was 2,453. However, I usually pencil in a 1.5% drop for ex-div day for RDSB, so I would expect a 2500p price drop to around 2462p.
29/11/2018
00:15
fjgooner: Hoggy, You're quite right of course. That Motley Fool poster Royston Wild has been posting negatively on Shell for years, hoping that one day - just ONE day - that he may not look like the complete tool that he is on this topic. I keep tabs on this pest - here's a reminder. ----------- Re: Royston Wild has no position in any shares mentioned. That may possibly be true - except for a clearly apparent, jealous, negative obsession - and he certainly seems to have a determination to post relentless negative articles on Shell for ages. Why would someone with no interest post so many negative articles on the Motely Fool over several years? Have a look at: Http://www.fool.co.uk/company/page/1/?ticker=LSE-RDSB Below are a few typical Royston Wild headlines from 2016, but there are many more to choose from the link posted above throughout 2017 and I can't be bothered with 2018 - commitment of the highest possible order. Is there a clue in the title Motely Fool?. I've included below the Closing Price of Shell to give you an idea of how helpful his advice has been if the casual investor had taken it. RDSB Shareprice today: £23.83 76% higher than when he posted his classic "I believe investors should resist attempting to pick up a bargain" when the RDSB share price was at £13.51. That is why I personally choose to never take his opinion on Shell as anything other than comical. And irritating for the absolute lack of acknowledging how he's got it wrong on every prior "article". But this one from March this year sums this poster up the best: Https://www.fool.co.uk/investing/2017/03/21/why-id-never-buy-royal-dutch-shell-plc/ Why I’d never buy Royal Dutch Shell plc Never? Lol. Don't get your clown shoes trapped in the rotating doors on your way out. Best regards, FJ ------------------------- Why Now May Be The Time To Sell Anglo American plc, Tesco PLC & Royal Dutch Shell Plc By Royston Wild - Thursday, 14 April, 2016 RDSB Shareprice was at £18.13 Why I Wouldn't Touch Royal Dutch Shell Plc & Tullow Oil plc With A Bargepole! By Royston Wild - Friday, 8 April, 2016 RDSB Shareprice was at £17.40 Can 1st Quarter Winners Royal Dutch Shell Plc (+10%), Unilever plc (+8%) & KAZ Minerals PLC (+67%) Keep Climbing? By Royston Wild - Friday, 1 April, 2016 RDSB Shareprice was at £16.83 Is It Finally Time To Give Up On Royal Dutch Shell Plc? By Royston Wild - Thursday, 24 March, 2016 RDSB Shareprice was at £16.88 Is Royal Dutch Shell Plc In Danger Of A Colossal Correction? By Royston Wild - Thursday, 17 March, 2016 RDSB Shareprice was at £17.38 Why Royal Dutch Shell Plc¢â‚¬â„¢s Dividend Outlook Should Scare You By Royston Wild - Thursday, 10 March, 2016 RDSB Shareprice was at £16.41 Are Lloyds Banking Group PLC & Royal Dutch Shell Plc REALLY Great Value? By Royston Wild - Monday, 29 February, 2016 RDSB Shareprice was at £16.45 When Will Shares In Royal Dutch Shell Plc Finally Reach Bottom? By Royston Wild - Wednesday, 17 February, 2016 His comment: I believe much further trouble is in store for Shell looking ahead and expect shares to keep on falling. RDSB Shareprice was at £16.36 Royal Dutch Shell Plc & Vodafone Group plc: Value Titans Or Value Traps? By Royston Wild - Tuesday, 9 February, 2016 RDSB Shareprice was at £14.61 Why Royal Dutch Shell Plc Shares Could Easily Topple Another 15%! By Royston Wild - Friday, 29 January, 2016 His comment: A subsequent re-rating of Shell¢â‚¬â„¢s share price would leave the oil leviathan dealing at £12.80 per share, representing a vast 15% reduction from current levels. But even this projection be considered optimistic, in my opinion. RDSB Shareprice was at £15.21 Why Buying BP plc & Royal Dutch Shell Plc Is Utter Madness! By Royston Wild - Friday, 15 January, 2016 His comment: I believe investors should resist attempting to pick up a bargain. RDSB Shareprice was at £13.51 Royal Dutch Shell Plc & GlaxoSmithKline plc: Brilliant Bargains Or Value Traps? By Royston Wild - Friday, 8 January, 2016 His comment: I believe Royal Dutch Shell (LSE: RDSB) can be considered a bona-fide value trap at the present time. RDSB Shareprice was at £13.75
27/4/2018
09:45
ariane: 4 Reasons Why Investors Like Buybacks By Trevir Nath | Updated October 3, 2017 — 10:00 AM EDT Share Ultimately, highly successful companies reach a position where they are generating more cash than they can reasonably reinvest in the business. The financial crisis has caused investors to pressure companies to distribute the accumulated wealth back to shareholders. Typically, companies can return wealth to shareholders through stock price appreciations, dividends, or stock buybacks. In the past, dividends were the most common form of wealth distribution. However, as Corporate America becomes more progressive and flexible, a fundamental shift has occurred in the way companies deploy capital. Instead of traditional dividend payments, buybacks have been viewed as a flexible practice of returning excess cash flow. Buybacks can be seen as an efficient way to put money back into its shareholders pockets, as recently demonstrated by Apple’s (APPL ) capital return programs. The Basics of Buybacks In recent history, leading companies have adopted a regular buyback strategy to return all excess cash to shareholders. By definition, stock repurchasing allows companies to reinvest in themselves by reducing the number of outstanding shares on the market. Typically, buybacks are carried out on the open market, similarly to how investors purchase stocks. While there has been a clear shift in wealth distribution of dividends to stock repurchasing, this doesn’t mean a company cannot pursue both. Apple investors have grown to prefer buybacks since they have the choice of whether or not to partake in the repurchase program. By not participating in a share buyback, investors can defer taxes and turn their shares into future gains. From a financial perspective, buybacks benefit investors by improving shareholder value, increasing share prices, and creating tax beneficial opportunities. Improved Shareholder Value There are many ways profitable companies can measure the success of its stocks. However the most common measurement is earnings per share (EPS). Earnings per share are typically viewed as the single most important variable in determining share prices. It is the portion of a company’s profit allocated to each outstanding share of common stock. When companies pursue share buyback, they will essentially reduce the assets on their balance sheets and increase their return on assets. Likewise, by reducing the number of outstanding shares and maintaining the same level of profitability, EPS will increase. For shareholders who do not sell their shares, they now have a higher percent of ownership of the company’s shares and a higher price per share. Those who do choose to sell have done so at a price they were willing to sell at. Boost in Share Prices When the economy is faltering, share prices can plummet as a result of weaker than expected earnings amongst other factors. In this event, a company will pursue a buyback program since it believes that company shares are undervalued. Companies will choose to repurchase shares and then resell them in the open market once the price increase to accurately reflect the value of the company. When earnings per share increases, the market will perceive this positively and share prices will increase after buybacks are announced. This often comes down to simple supply and demand. When there is a less available supply of shares, then an upward demand will boost share prices. Tax Benefits When excess cash is used to repurchase company stock, instead of increasing dividend payments, shareholders have the opportunity to defer capital gains if share prices increase. Traditionally, buybacks are taxed at a capital gains tax rate, whereas dividends are subject to ordinary income tax. If the stock has been held for more than one year, the gains would be subject to a lower capital gains rate. Excess Cash When companies pursue buyback programs, this demonstrates to investors that the company has additional cash on hand. If a company has excess cash, then at worst the investors do not need to worry about cash flow problems. More importantly, it signals to investors that the company feels cash is better used to reimburse shareholders than reinvest alternative assets. In essence, this supports the price of the stock and provides long-term security for investors. The Downside While investors tend to adore buybacks, there are several disadvantages investors should be aware of. Buybacks can be a signal of the marketing topping out; many companies will repurchase stocks to artificially boost share prices. Typically, executive compensations are tied to earnings metrics, and if earnings cannot be increased, buybacks can superficially boost earnings. Also, when buybacks are announced, any share price increase will typically benefit short-term investors rather than investors seeking long-term value. This creates a false signal to the market that earnings are improving due to organic growth and ultimately ends up hurting value. The Bottom Line Generally speaking, redistributing wealth has been viewed positively by investors. This can come in the form of dividends, retained earnings, and the popular buyback strategy. In terms of finance, buybacks can boost shareholder value and share prices while also creating a tax advantageous opportunity for investors. While buybacks are important to financial stability, a company’s fundamentals and historical track record are more important to long-term value creation. Read more: 4 Reasons Why Investors Like Buybacks | Investopedia Https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/123115/4-reasons-why-investors-buybacks.asp#ixzz5DrQCbE2G Follow us: Investopedia on Facebook
23/4/2018
23:23
fjgooner: 2hoggy, Same as you my friend. As I implied, I come from a working class family in a deprived coastal town in England and have worked very hard & invested carefully over the years to become comfortable now in my older years (now over 50). But, like anyone else, I am not in the business to lose money from here. Happily, Shell and this sector look safest in that respect in late cycle dynamics. Shell currently looks set to be a stellar stock pick for 2018Q2 and beyond. Even this week's 2018Q1 should be received well and point towards an improving free cash flow profile for the year ahead. With FCFP improvements enabling further key reductions in gearing, share buybacks look set to be initiated sometime soon, and hopefully before the share price rises too quickly. This in my one main annoyance with buybacks - they always seem to occur when a company's share price is doing well and are therefore comparatively expensive. A frustrating paradox, but I do understand why ... With $75 Brent as of tonight, I doubt we'll see a low RDSB share price again anytime soon, so Shell may as well get on with their buyback soon. :)
04/4/2018
14:40
ariane: Is Royal Dutch Shell plc a good ISA stock after the recent share price fall? Edward Sheldon | Wednesday, 4th April, 2018 | More on: RDSB Image source: Getty Images. Royal Dutch Shell (LSE: RDSB) shares have not escaped the recent FTSE 100 sell-off. After a strong finish to 2017 and a positive start to January in which Shell’s share price rallied from around 2,400p to a 52-week high of over 2,600p, the stock has since fallen back to the 2,260p level today. That share price represents a 13% decline from January’s high. There’s no denying that Shell is a world-class company. The oil major has a total market capitalisation of almost £200bn and is the largest weighting in the FTSE 100 index. As a result, the stock is held by the majority of large mutual funds and pension funds. If you own Shell shares, you’re in good company. But does Shell’s current share price offer value? Is the oil major a solid pick for an ISA at the moment? Let’s take a look at the investment thesis. Valuation With analysts expecting Shell to generate earnings per share of $2.35 for FY2018, the stock’s current forward-looking P/E is a reasonable 13.6. That’s bang in line with the average FTSE 100 P/E according to Stockopedia. It’s worth noting, however, that rival BP has a slightly more expensive valuation and currently trades on a forward-looking P/E ratio of 14.7. This suggests that Shell is the better value of the two stocks. Overall, I think Shell’s valuation is quite reasonable after the recent share price fall. It’s worth pointing out that the oil price fell sharply during February’s sell-off, with Brent dropping from over $70/bbl to around $62/bbl. Oil has since recovered to $67/bbl, yet Shell’s share price remains depressed. This leads me to believe that it could potentially rebound higher when we get through this current period of high volatility. Dividend We can’t talk about Shell without mentioning the dividend, as the oil major offers one of the highest yields in the FTSE 100 at present. Last year, Shell paid its shareholders $1.88 per share in dividends. At the current share price and GBP/USD exchange rate, that equates to a high yield of 5.9%. Pocketing that kind of dividend on a regular basis, and compounding it over the long term, can really enhance your wealth. Shell’s current dividend yield is almost double the average for the FTSE 100 (3.1%) and is over three times the yield you can expect to receive from the average cash ISA these days. So that has to be viewed as a positive. Having said that, Shell has not increased its dividend for several years now, which is not ideal from an income investing perspective. There are plenty of companies within the FTSE 100 that are increasing their dividends, and therefore may offer better inflation protection. It’s worth noting though that Shell does have a fantastic dividend track record and has not cut its payout since WW2. Risks Of course, the shares aren’t without risks. Another dramatic collapse in the oil price could result in the stock falling significantly. It’s also worth keeping the long-term threat of renewable energy in mind. However, overall, I believe Shell shares offer an attractive investment opportunity right now. I own it in my own personal ISA and plan to keep holding the stock for the long term. Buy-And-Hold Investing Our top analysts have highlighted five shares in the FTSE 100 in our special free report "5 Shares To Retire On". To find out the names of the shares and the reasons behind their inclusion, simply click here to view it immediately with no obligations whatsoever! Edward Sheldon owns shares in Royal Dutch Shell B. The Motley Fool UK has recommended BP and Royal Dutch Shell B.
09/12/2017
16:38
fjgooner: Yawn. Royston yet again. You're getting seriously boring Royston. Re: Royston Wild has no position in any shares mentioned. That may well be true, but he certainly seems to have a determination to post relentless negative articles on Shell for ages. Why would someone with no interest post so many negative articles on the Motely Fool? Have a look at: Http://www.fool.co.uk/company/page/1/?ticker=LSE-RDSB Below are a few typical Royston Wild headlines from 2016, but there are many more to choose from the link posted above throughout 2017 - commitment of the highest possible order. Is there a clue in the title Motely Fool?. I've included below the Closing Price of Shell to give you an idea of how helpful his advice has been if the casual investor had taken it. RDSB Shareprice today: £23.85 76% higher than when he posted his classic "I believe investors should resist attempting to pick up a bargain" when the RDSB share price was at £13.51. That is why I personally choose to never take his opinion on Shell as anything other than comical. And irritating for the absolute lack of acknowledging how he's got it wrong on every prior "article". But this one from March this year sums this poster up the best: Https://www.fool.co.uk/investing/2017/03/21/why-id-never-buy-royal-dutch-shell-plc/ Why I’d never buy Royal Dutch Shell plc Never? Lol. Don't get your clown shoes trapped in the rotating doors on your way out. Best regards, FJ ------------------------- Why Now May Be The Time To Sell Anglo American plc, Tesco PLC & Royal Dutch Shell Plc By Royston Wild - Thursday, 14 April, 2016 RDSB Shareprice was at £18.13 Why I Wouldn't Touch Royal Dutch Shell Plc & Tullow Oil plc With A Bargepole! By Royston Wild - Friday, 8 April, 2016 RDSB Shareprice was at £17.40 Can 1st Quarter Winners Royal Dutch Shell Plc (+10%), Unilever plc (+8%) & KAZ Minerals PLC (+67%) Keep Climbing? By Royston Wild - Friday, 1 April, 2016 RDSB Shareprice was at £16.83 Is It Finally Time To Give Up On Royal Dutch Shell Plc? By Royston Wild - Thursday, 24 March, 2016 RDSB Shareprice was at £16.88 Is Royal Dutch Shell Plc In Danger Of A Colossal Correction? By Royston Wild - Thursday, 17 March, 2016 RDSB Shareprice was at £17.38 Why Royal Dutch Shell Plc¢â‚¬â„¢s Dividend Outlook Should Scare You By Royston Wild - Thursday, 10 March, 2016 RDSB Shareprice was at £16.41 Are Lloyds Banking Group PLC & Royal Dutch Shell Plc REALLY Great Value? By Royston Wild - Monday, 29 February, 2016 RDSB Shareprice was at £16.45 When Will Shares In Royal Dutch Shell Plc Finally Reach Bottom? By Royston Wild - Wednesday, 17 February, 2016 His comment: I believe much further trouble is in store for Shell looking ahead and expect shares to keep on falling. RDSB Shareprice was at £16.36 Royal Dutch Shell Plc & Vodafone Group plc: Value Titans Or Value Traps? By Royston Wild - Tuesday, 9 February, 2016 RDSB Shareprice was at £14.61 Why Royal Dutch Shell Plc Shares Could Easily Topple Another 15%! By Royston Wild - Friday, 29 January, 2016 His comment: A subsequent re-rating of Shell¢â‚¬â„¢s share price would leave the oil leviathan dealing at £12.80 per share, representing a vast 15% reduction from current levels. But even this projection be considered optimistic, in my opinion. RDSB Shareprice was at £15.21 Why Buying BP plc & Royal Dutch Shell Plc Is Utter Madness! By Royston Wild - Friday, 15 January, 2016 His comment: I believe investors should resist attempting to pick up a bargain. RDSB Shareprice was at £13.51 Royal Dutch Shell Plc & GlaxoSmithKline plc: Brilliant Bargains Or Value Traps? By Royston Wild - Friday, 8 January, 2016 His comment: I believe Royal Dutch Shell (LSE: RDSB) can be considered a bona-fide value trap at the present time. RDSB Shareprice was at £13.75
26/5/2017
16:52
waldron: Royal Dutch Shell Scrip Dividend Programme Reference Share Price 25/05/2017 7:45am UK Regulatory (RNS & others) TIDMRDSA TIDMRDSB ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC FIRST QUARTER 2017 SCRIP DIVIDEND PROGRAMME REFERENCE SHARE PRICE The Board of Royal Dutch Shell plc ("RDS") today announced the Reference Share Price in respect of the first quarter interim dividend of 2017, which was announced on May 4, 2017 at $0.47 per A ordinary share ("A Share") and B ordinary share ("B Share") and $0.94 per American Depository Share ("ADS"). Reference Share Price The Reference Share price is used for calculating a Participating Shareholder's entitlement under the Scrip Dividend Programme, as defined below. Q1 2017 Reference Share price (US$) 27.526 The Reference Share Price is the US dollar equivalent of the average of the closing price for the Company's A Shares listed on Euronext Amsterdam for the five dealing days commencing on (and including) the date on which the Shares are first quoted ex-dividend in respect of the relevant dividend. The Reference Share Price is calculated by reference to the Euronext Amsterdam closing price in euro. The US dollar equivalent of the closing price on each of the dealing days referred to above is calculated using a market currency exchange rate prevailing at the time. Reference ADS Price ADS stands for "American Depositary Share". ADR stands for "American Depositary Receipt". An ADR is a certificate that evidences ADSs (though the terms ADR and ADS are often used interchangeably). ADSs are listed on the NYSE under the symbols RDS.A and RDS.B. Each ADS represents two ordinary shares, two ordinary A Shares in the case of RDS.A or two ordinary B Shares in the case of RDS.B. Q1 2017 Reference ADS price (US$) 55.052 The Reference ADS Price equals the Reference Share Price of the two A Shares underlying each new A ADS. Scrip Dividend Programme RDS provides shareholders with a choice to receive dividends in cash or in shares via the Scrip Dividend Programme (the "Programme"). Under the Programme shareholders can increase their shareholding in RDS by choosing to receive new shares instead of cash dividends, if approved by the Board. Only new A Shares will be issued under the Programme, including to shareholders who currently hold B Shares. In some countries, joining the Programme may currently offer a tax advantage compared with receiving cash dividends. In particular, dividends paid out as shares by RDS will not be subject to Dutch dividend withholding tax (currently 15 per cent), unlike cash dividends paid on A shares, and they will not generally be taxed on receipt by a UK shareholder or a Dutch shareholder. Shareholders who elect to join the Programme will increase the number of shares held in RDS without having to buy existing shares in the market, thereby avoiding associated dealing costs. Shareholders who do not join the Programme will continue to receive in cash any dividends approved by the Board. Shareholders who held only B Shares and joined the Programme are reminded they will need to make a Scrip Dividend Election in respect of their new A Shares if they wish to join the Programme in respect of such new shares. However, this is only necessary if the shareholder has not previously made a Scrip Dividend Election in respect of any new A Shares issued. For further information on the Programme, including how to join if you are eligible, please refer to the appropriate publication available on www.shell.com/scrip. Royal Dutch Shell plc The Hague, May 25, 2017
15/1/2017
11:13
fjgooner: Good morning La Forge, I can’t possibly offer links to a future event. However, I can offer some of the influences that shape my personal view for a RDSB share price of £28 By 2017Q2 Results. So let's start with the target being discussed - £28. That is 17.77% higher than the current share price. 2017Q2 Results are likely to be published by the end of July - so that is approximately 27.5 weeks from Monday. So we are looking at an average increase in share price of just under 0.65% per week - obviously smoothing the peaks, troughs and any pullbacks along the way. So what key factors could be in play during these next 27 weeks? In the shortest term, I’d suggest currency movements. Share prices of FTSE100 constituents that earn profits in dollars but report in pounds sterling have benefitted since the Brexit vote as the pound significantly weakened against the dollar. So it would seem reasonable to expect that further movements will be similarly reflected both in the base share prices and any dividends paid of such companies. Just today in the Sunday Times there was an article entitled Theresa May calls for ‘clean and hard’ Brexit . Within that article it was stated that Downing Street staff expect her words to cause a “market correction” that could lead to a fresh fall in the pound. This could give an immediate lift to shares such as RDSB. Thereafter we will have the publication of Shell’s own results for 06Q4, 07Q1 and 07Q2 on February 4th, May 4th and July 28th. We already know that 06Q4 covers a period where commodity prices had recovered substantially by comparison to prior quarters and, so far, this has continued into 07Q1. Unless the OPEC deal unravels and commodity prices reverse, I find it hard to imagine that the reporting of any of these periods will be met negatively by the market. And whilst we’re on that subject, we have a few OPEC related dates during this period. Late last year, the Russians were suggesting that an OPEC/non-OPEC monitoring group should meet somewhere around January 20th to assess the initial implementation and compliance of the agreement. Thereafter, there is the next Ordinary Meeting of OPEC that will convene in Vienna, Austria, on the 25th May. This will be followed shortly by the completion of the first 6-month term of the OPEC production cut agreement at the end of June. Presumably this will be accompanied by further details on compliance and confirmation – and whether a second 6 months of cuts will be implemented. All of these are likely to have some influence of the price of energy stocks such as Shell. Saudi Arabia’s intention to get the float of Aramco off to a good start will, IMHO, mean that there will be a lot of pressure to get all of the compliance and associated news in the meetings above to be as positive as possible. Of course, any positive momentum can be checked by other negative and macro factors along the way, but all in all I’m generally positive enough to envisage an average Shell share price build of 0.65% per week over the next 27.5 weeks to meet that £28 target. But as ever, do your own research and I wish you all the best of luck with your investment decision whichever way you go. FJ
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