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Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Royal Mail Plc LSE:RMG London Ordinary Share GB00BDVZYZ77 Royal Mail Plc
  Price Change % Change Share Price Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  -0.80 -0.24% 331.40 329.00 329.60 342.00 329.30 334.50 7,019,127 16:35:11
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Industrial Transportation 10,840.0 180.0 16.1 20.6 3,314

Royal Mail Share Discussion Threads

Showing 11976 to 11995 of 12075 messages
Chat Pages: 483  482  481  480  479  478  477  476  475  474  473  472  Older
DateSubjectAuthorDiscuss
21/9/2020
10:53
Just had to log back in to check buywells latest prediction, i did at first glance thought it was 230p and wasn't until it had been proccesesed that i had an inclination that it may not of been, and it wasn't. Only three minutes behind CreditCrunchies aswell.
brut winky
21/9/2020
10:07
The large volume thursday and friday might of been stake building and announced as a trade as the orders were filled, in that case its not an existing large holder or it would of been announced they must still be pre 3%. Probably most of any lockdown is about factored into these as they gain more than lose really, costs go up but so does parcels and more than costs.
brut winky
21/9/2020
09:03
this s holding well whilst everything else is crashing
creditcrunchies
18/9/2020
17:04
Looks like VESA have stopped buying, especialy when 30million shares have been dumped on the market in the last two days, no notification from anywhere yet, maybe monday.
brut winky
18/9/2020
12:28
GLS undoubtedly the jewel in the crown that VESA are after. The London property portfolio is unlikely to be worth what its booked at: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/london-office-work-brighton-seaside-remote-working-coronavirus-b466141.html Talks with union were supposed to conclude July. VESA will strip the assets and plonk the problem child back with the govt. Takeover value about +50% from here?
cancun tango
18/9/2020
09:06
There was more to the article, they then went on if you subscribed to point a few flaws, i don't subscribe so did't get that bit, i did a DCF on their average earnings and it came in at £4.30, i was assuming that price after dividend is reinstalled and they show a profit in 21 to 22.
brut winky
18/9/2020
08:58
An Intrinsic Calculation For Royal Mail plc (LON:RMG) Suggests It's 29% Undervalued Simply Wall St. Simply Wall St ,Simply Wall St.•17 September 2020 In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of Royal Mail plc (LON:RMG) by estimating the company's future cash flows and discounting them to their present value. We will use the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model on this occasion. Don't get put off by the jargon, the math behind it is actually quite straightforward. Remember though, that there are many ways to estimate a company's value, and a DCF is just one method. For those who are keen learners of equity analysis, the Simply Wall St analysis model here may be something of interest to you. See our latest analysis for Royal Mail Step by step through the calculation We use what is known as a 2-stage model, which simply means we have two different periods of growth rates for the company's cash flows. Generally the first stage is higher growth, and the second stage is a lower growth phase. To start off with, we need to estimate the next ten years of cash flows. Where possible we use analyst estimates, but when these aren't available we extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the last estimate or reported value. We assume companies with shrinking free cash flow will slow their rate of shrinkage, and that companies with growing free cash flow will see their growth rate slow, over this period. We do this to reflect that growth tends to slow more in the early years than it does in later years. Generally we assume that a dollar today is more valuable than a dollar in the future, so we discount the value of these future cash flows to their estimated value in today's dollars: 10-year free cash flow (FCF) forecast 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Levered FCF (£, Millions) -UK£94.4m UK£162.8m UK£68.5m UK£215.4m UK£305.5m UK£372.0m UK£430.0m UK£478.6m UK£518.1m UK£550.0m Growth Rate Estimate Source Analyst x4 Analyst x4 Analyst x4 Analyst x2 Analyst x2 Est @ 21.77% Est @ 15.6% Est @ 11.29% Est @ 8.27% Est @ 6.15% Present Value (£, Millions) Discounted @ 11% -UK£85.1 UK£132 UK£50.1 UK£142 UK£181 UK£199 UK£207 UK£208 UK£202 UK£194 ("Est" = FCF growth rate estimated by Simply Wall St) Present Value of 10-year Cash Flow (PVCF) = UK£1.4b After calculating the present value of future cash flows in the initial 10-year period, we need to calculate the Terminal Value, which accounts for all future cash flows beyond the first stage. For a number of reasons a very conservative growth rate is used that cannot exceed that of a country's GDP growth. In this case we have used the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield (1.2%) to estimate future growth. In the same way as with the 10-year 'growth' period, we discount future cash flows to today's value, using a cost of equity of 11%. Terminal Value (TV)= FCF2030 × (1 + g) ÷ (r – g) = UK£550m× (1 + 1.2%) ÷ (11%– 1.2%) = UK£5.7b Present Value of Terminal Value (PVTV)= TV / (1 + r)10= UK£5.7b÷ ( 1 + 11%)10= UK£2.0b The total value is the sum of cash flows for the next ten years plus the discounted terminal value, which results in the Total Equity Value, which in this case is UK£3.4b. To get the intrinsic value per share, we divide this by the total number of shares outstanding. Compared to the current share price of UK£2.4, the company appears a touch undervalued at a 29% discount to where the stock price trades currently. The assumptions in any calculation have a big impact on the valuation, so it is better to view this as a rough estimate, not precise down to the last cent. dcf dcf More The assumptions We would point out that the most important inputs to a discounted cash flow are the discount rate and of course the actual cash flows. Part of investing is coming up with your own evaluation of a company's future performance, so try the calculation yourself and check your own assumptions. The DCF also does not consider the possible cyclicality of an industry, or a company's future capital requirements, so it does not give a full picture of a company's potential performance. Given that we are looking at Royal Mail as potential shareholders, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, rather than the cost of capital (or weighted average cost of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt. In this calculation we've used 11%, which is based on a levered beta of 1.414. Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility, compared to the market as a whole. We get our beta from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a reasonable range for a stable business.
brut winky
17/9/2020
14:12
Hi brut...i bought some more lloy recently down on these too i paid just over 27p...I think all banks are pretty close to bottom now...if lloy went under 26p again id be tempted not rich enough for more gambling though...have to try and consolidate hence the interest in funds. Might sleep better. NEX are worth a look too
nemesis6
17/9/2020
12:55
nemesis: i fancy lloy, just not yet there isn't enough bad news out about the decline in mortgages also the feds pushing for inflation,that will hit their cash and banks are all about cash so they can lend, looks like banks have trouble on all angles on the horizon, next year for me.
brut winky
17/9/2020
11:41
RMG would be fine IF those it competes with in the parcel side of the business ALSO had to deliver less profitable letters... As it is RMG gets lumbered and with no junk mail(enjoying the absence of such tbh) its one way decline here...and parcel competitors aren't lumbered with such. Hardly that level playing field EU constantly harps on about!!!! Who are RMG's competitors..mostly European aren't they?
geckotheglorious
17/9/2020
11:32
yes its all guess work....looks like RMG will be ok though
nemesis6
17/9/2020
10:59
Nemesis. Could be worse than a cash call - a Debt for Equity swap. Suspect though the Govt will step in if it gets very serious (perhaps offer a sweetener to BAE or someone to buy it)
geckotheglorious
17/9/2020
10:49
I think my biggest worry with rr. is the potential for a cash call and "doing an iag on me"
nemesis6
17/9/2020
10:47
Thanks Brut. i can live with it as long as they dont drop to £1.50 lol...i also like the look of vmuk ....already have lloy ..barc maybe all flat on their @rse so the old adage of buying at the bottom lol
nemesis6
16/9/2020
15:17
no sign of him today, these look set for £3.
brut winky
16/9/2020
14:15
I think buywell has mental health issues.
cl0ckw0rk0range
16/9/2020
13:09
nemesis: that's not too bad, short term trading risky, but at that price for the medium to long term should do ok really, i'm having look at fundementals of them, might have afew myself.
brut winky
16/9/2020
12:21
Hi Brut Got out of these at 2.10 and into rr. at 2.10 ;-[ only about 10k down....only hahaha
nemesis6
16/9/2020
11:49
These gapped up this morning, so there may be someone mopping up, i'm out for the time being but watching to buy back in, sick of watching and not smotthing it out to realise profits, lets be right it's how the pro's make maxiumum gains. Plus these have had a good run and where is the news after profits up until a christmas update.
brut winky
16/9/2020
11:44
nemesis6: when did you buy back in march after the initial drop and had 50% drip away since, look like they wont recover until the airlines do.
brut winky
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