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[amaretto1] 15/11/2022 15:08

Looks like 60s today !! Muddy is a god

[padamster] 15/11/2022 15:01

Amaretto1 - is that a question you are asking the audience or do you have an answer? Bit of a silly post like the rest of your posts.

[amaretto1] 15/11/2022 14:35

MUDDY papers out tomorrow ?

[amaretto1] 15/11/2022 14:35

Shorts not finished here !!!! 60s today

[probabilityofsuccess] 15/11/2022 14:12

hpcg - (just to be clear for all readers) you’ve moved from “all the evidence suggests” to “suspect”; and “I’m guessing”.

Thanks for your honesty and clarifying 👍

[probabilityofsuccess] 15/11/2022 13:57

Squiresquire - let it go with your thing about Scot!

[squiresquire] 15/11/2022 13:49

May i ask Swendab why you delete your posts shortly after you make them?

Is it because you are trying to avoid others from showing how you are making one unpleasant post after another on a public bulletin board in the style of your hero of the day Scot, and that you think deleting them will render you free from closer examination? Your types are truly dangerous especially to those who are naive enough to believe what your words seem to mean. These threads are on the public domain for heavens sake, not for toilet dwellers to read. Anyway enough of dealing with your dirt, i will allow others to do that.

[probabilityofsuccess] 15/11/2022 13:00

Hi JakNife. You previously said “We are waiting for the flow test. That's because we expect a significantly worse flow test result than you expect. Specifically, the most bullish flow that I expect is an initial flow of 1,200 BOPD falling to 900 BOPD after 6 months and 400 BOPD after 2 years. In total I'm forecasting less than $50m of revenues in the first two years (if it ever gets that far). I'm in good company and am not the only person making these forecasts”.

Noting that the company and many others think this constitutes commerciality (indeed only 750 bopd initial at that decline rate would validate the geology and the approach), do you stand behind this statement?

Also, I note on the Pro thread you believe there’s only a 10% chance of this happening? Or is that 10% just your probability of all exploration successes - in which case why are you treating this well/reservoir with equal weighting as all others in the exploration arena?

Genuinely, it appears from what you have written that you may not have been appraised of (or are interpreting differently) all the information presented by the company in the public domain. Success or not, I believe your odds of failure are wildly out of kilter with many others, so at least have a rethink/rebalance230;……before we await the indicative flow test results.