Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Jpmorgan Chinese Investment Trust Plc LSE:JMC London Ordinary Share GB0003435012 ORD 25P
  Price Change % Change Share Price Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  -1.50 -0.46% 325.50 323.00 328.00 330.00 324.00 330.00 144,332 16:35:13
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Equity Investment Instruments 0.0 3.5 4.3 75.3 244

Jpmorgan Chinese Investm... Share Discussion Threads

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DateSubjectAuthorDiscuss
12/12/2019
15:00
Stefano Amato, head of multi asset solutions, Santander Asset Management UK Emerging Market equities Our favourite investment theme at the moment are Emerging Markets equities, as they stand to benefit from long-term trends which are already in progress and virtually inexorable. Asia (where EM equity indices are concentrated) today already hosts 60% of humans, and – given population trends – is likely going to forever be home to more people than the rest of the world combined. This size advantage should create favourable conditions for local companies towards economies of scale and technological leadership that can then be leveraged worldwide. Additionally, 90% of millennials – the largest generational cohort, entering their peak spending years just now – reside in Emerging Markets, contributing to the global rise of the middle class from 3.2 billion people in 2020 to 4.9 billion in 2030, and accounting for a projected ~$30 trillion growth in middle-class consumption. Finally, thanks to late-mover advantage, many EM countries are already leapfrogging over obsolete technologies in key areas like Energy, Fintech and e-commerce – creating unprecedented opportunities for growth.
loganair
11/12/2019
13:06
This is exactly what JP Morgan did with their Asian Fund (JAI) a few years back, paying a dividend of 4% of Nav per year and paying a dividend 4 times per year, giving a 300% increase in the dividend yield. The only difference is JAI did not change their name. What seems to me to be happening is, as interest rates are so low to negative JP Morgan are hoping to attract more investors to buy in rather then to sell out thereby increasing the share price more than would have otherwise been the case. What JP Morgan also seem to be doing is to make JMC more like a pension annuity, except at the end of the day the capital always remains the investors instead of the annuity being lost when the person sadly passes on.
loganair
11/12/2019
12:17
4 December saw a change in the distribution policy - the company will aim to pay out 4 per cent of NAV on the last day of the preceding financial year. Given the 30 September year-end this will be a slow burner, but given the discount that means a dividend that would currently be 14.25p a year. I think this might lead the discount to narrow.
nk104
28/11/2019
15:40
Goldman sachs believes at least the first stage of a US-China trade deal is likely to be completed, as the White House faces the political imperative of an economic following wind in an election year. ‘The Phase 1 agreement—which looks likely to be signed in coming weeks—should remove the US threat of a 15% tariff on roughly $150 billion in imports from China currently scheduled for 15 December. ‘The trade war is currently subtracting about 0.4pp from quarterly annualized growth in the US and 0.6pp in China. ‘Although the composition of this drag differs between the two countries, our expectation of a partial rollback implies that both should enjoy a “subtraction of negatives” as this drag on growth abate.’
loganair
01/10/2019
09:19
Being reported that trade war between USA and China could go on for the next 10 years. What is happening in Hong Kong is more serious and important for China than their trade war with the USA.
loganair
16/8/2019
10:53
Is It important that the 1st October is the 70th Anniversary of the Peoples Republic of China??? I know on their 100 Ann they want to have taken over from the USA as the worlds reserve currency - at least that is their goal.
loganair
08/3/2019
22:22
Mobius - China: Concerns regarding private and public sector debt, and the slowdown in growth and increase in costs, are valid. However, we believe that China has the means to successfully manage its economic transition towards greater consumption and higher value industrial output. Recent initiatives to stimulate the economy, including the investment in logistics and infrastructure, attracting high-tech investments and facilitating R&D spending, all point towards a competent and credible policy mix to deal with the transition. It won’t happen overnight, but the Chinese are true long-term thinkers.
loganair
15/1/2019
15:58
JP Morgan’s global equity strategists are positive on emerging markets versus developed markets this year, but are ‘neutral’; on China whereas they prefer Brazil, Chile, Russia and Indonesia. In addition the analysts say global emerging markets are cheap, trading at lower price-to-earnings ratios than in their last bear market in 2015-16.
loganair
05/9/2018
13:08
Net asset has increased
cascudi
03/6/2018
09:37
Mark Mobius tilts towards China, South Korea and is also bullish on Brazil and Russia where consumer Discretionary goods and services benefiting from domestic consumption growth in these countries. "The opportunities are incredible for the right investment." He remains optimistic in the emerging markets of Vietnam, China and India and believes we're going to see lot's of opportunities in these markets down the road especially India has got tremendous opportunities. Mobius also small- and mid-size mainland Chinese companies public in Hong Kong. Fintech is a focus area, as is firms that assist traditional corporations to better deploy internet technologies. "That's where the growth opportunities are," he said. "China is now a huge market, and it's growing because we are now getting more and more access," he said. “With the A-share market coming into the availability of foreign investors, the opportunities are incredible”. He also says he expects a 30% correction in the US market as a result of massive out flows from ETF's. Currently global ETF stock assets stand at $4.7 trillion.
loganair
25/5/2018
20:57
As Emerging Markets Sell Off, the Biggest One's Doing Fine by Richard Frost and Tian Chen: Within a chorus of warnings about the threats facing emerging markets, little is being said about the largest of them all. And with everything else that’s going on, why would you worry about China? Stocks are up this month in Shanghai, the yuan is at a two-year high against a basket of peers, and bonds are about as prized relative to Treasuries as they’ve been since 2016. A similar picture exists outside of financial assets, with the economy growing at a steady clip and domestic demand supporting imports -- including from emerging peers. That’s the sort of stability that’s been hard to come by in some developing markets, where even superfan Mark Mobius sees more pain to come. Yet the country isn’t immune to what’s afflicting investors from Buenos Aires to Ankara. The People’s Bank of China has been following the Federal Reserve (albeit at a slower pace) with higher interest rates; a deleveraging campaign is another form of tightening that risks slower growth and more corporate defaults; and an unpredictable trade war with the U.S. poses a threat to exports and economic confidence. “China’s financial markets are enjoying support from strong fundamentals and they are not that sensitive to global volatility," said Shen Jianguang, chief Asia economist at Mizuho Securities in Hong Kong. “The biggest latent risk to the markets is the trade war, which I don’t think is going to be simple to resolve."
loganair
09/4/2018
22:32
Hermes - China a deep rich market,a great place to be long term over the next 20 years. Chinese government most probably the most solvent government in the world and Chinese banks are all deposit backed. Russia, Brazil and Peru good to be in at the moment because of where we are in the commodity cycle. These markets will go up and down more than the average market because they are more emotional markets. Sberbank is growing and adding value and wealth. India - got some good companies, however has serious structural problems and bureaucracy.
loganair
24/3/2018
11:11
Great expectations by Marina Gerner: So what is the outlook for the BRICS? Stammers says that, ultimately, China and India are looking to become leading global providers of goods and services, so they make things. In contrast, Russia and Brazil are expected to become the global giants in commodities, so they provide the basic raw materials needed to make those things. Paul McNamara, an investment director and lead manager on emerging market bond, currency and hedge fund strategies at GAM, says: ‘China and India matter a lot; the other two are secondary.’ All the BRICS countries face different obstacles. ‘Russia is crippled by dysfunctional institutions and corruption, but Brazil is slightly better off,’ comments McNamara. Redwood says Russia has ‘suffered a setback from the lower oil price, which has hit its export earnings and tax revenues, and from Western actions, which have made some trade and transactions more difficult’. Redwood observes that Brazil has been through a bad political and economic crisis, with recession, high inflation and difficult corruption problems forcing changes of government. He says: ‘There is now some hope of recovery, but there remain deep-seated economic and political problems to resolve fully.’ South Africa too has been suffering from political instability and failing economic policies. ‘Future sustained progress in both Brazil and South Africa will need stable reform-oriented governments that can shake off the problems of the past,’ he adds. India has become the poster child for reform-led recovery in emerging markets, argues James Penny, senior investment manager at TAM Asset Management. ‘With the appointment of prime minster Modi, the country has been put on a path of steep and deep economic and government reform to bring its economy and vast middle-class population to the forefront in the modern market.’ ‘India has scope to become one of the world’s largest economies, but it still has a lot further to go to increase incomes per head.’ Moreover, South Africa, Russia and to some extent Brazil rely on mining and the production of oil and commodities, whereas China and India are more dependent on imports of raw materials. Dominant China: However, Penny says the biggest and, on the global stage, the loudest of the BRICS nations remains China. The country continues to make headlines speculating about whether its economy could suffer a ‘hard landing’ in the face of its highly leveraged corporate sector and a fall in GDP to 6 per cent. But he is keen to put these figures in context: ‘Let’s be clear here,’ he says. ‘The US is struggling to find 4 per cent GDP growth, the UK is looking at 1.5 per cent, and the world is worrying about a Chinese slowdown to 6 per cent GDP growth?’ -China, not India, will dominate future Asian growth: The growth rates of the BRICS economies, with the possible exception of India’s, over the next 10 years is likely to be about half that of the previous decade, according to Smith. India’s and China’s shares of global GDP growth will probably be smaller, but the countries will remain dominant. ‘China will remain the largest [BRICS] economy and should continue to command investors’ attention,’ he says. ‘But if India opens up and reforms, investors should begin to devote more of their attention to the subcontinent.’ That said, he points out that, given the relative size of the two economies today, it would still take more than 30 years for India’s GDP to exceed China’s, even if India achieves all its reform goals and China achieves few of its aims. Ultimately, the strength of the BRICS as an investment proposition is their very diversity, argues Ballard. ‘They are so different that they provide an element of diversification beneficial for any long term investor.’
loganair
27/12/2017
13:18
The Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) suggests China’s economy is set to overtake the US with Asia’s major economies to continue moving up in the list in 2018 and beyond. India is expected to become the world's third-biggest economy in dollar terms, moving aside its former colonial master Britain along with France. India will reportedly advance to third place by 2027, overtaking Germany. According to the World Economic League Table, published by the London-based think tank, the four largest economies in 15 years are predicted to be China, the US, India, and Japan. By 2032, South Korea and Indonesia are projected to enter the top ten of the world’s largest economies, pushing out G7 countries Italy and Canada. In fourteen years, three of the four largest economies will be Asian - China, India, and Japan, according to the CEBR. The analysts also said that India’s growth will continue with the country to take the top spot in the second half of the century. Earlier this year, the US consulting firm PricewaterhouseCoopers said China would dominate the global economy by 2050. At the same time, IMF analysts expect India to overtake the UK and Germany as early as 2022.
loganair
06/12/2017
21:01
I think sellers are coming into the market, the great unwind could well be underway, toppy & bubbles everywhere markets. Will be interesting to see where we are by March ‘18
ny boy
06/12/2017
20:52
getting interesting again
pjw956
04/12/2017
19:27
bit of a tumble today ... may need to top up soon
pjw956
22/11/2017
11:36
nice surprise RNS Number : 2412X JPMorgan Chinese Inv Tst PLC 22 November 2017 LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE ANNOUNCEMENT JPMORGAN CHINESE INVESTMENT TRUST PLC DIVIDEND DECLARATION AND CHANGE IN ALLOCATION OF EXPENSES The Board of JPMorgan Chinese Investment Trust plc announces that, subject to shareholder approval at the Annual General Meeting to be held on 26th January 2018, a dividend of 1.60 pence per share will be paid on 7th February 2018 to shareholders on the register at the close of business on 15th December 2017. The ex dividend date is 14th December 2017. The Board has recently reviewed its policy of allocation of expenses (management fee and finance costs) to revenue and capital. Since the launch of the Company in October 1993, the Company has allocated 100% of expenses to revenue. However, with effect from 1st October 2017, the Board has decided to split the allocation of expenses between 75% to capital and 25% to income. This change will result in an increase in future dividends paid out by the Company such that it is able to maintain its investment trust status. 22nd November 2017
walter walcarpets
10/11/2017
09:45
Can emerging markets maintain their momentum? By Graham Smith: When markets surprise, they have a habit of doing so in a big way. This wasn’t supposed to be a great year for emerging markets but, so far, it has been. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index went up by almost a third in US dollar terms over the ten months to the end of October¹. Rising interest rates in the US have the potential to apply a substantial headwind to emerging markets. They make it relatively more attractive for global investors to plant their money in US assets and avoid the additional risks associated with smaller, developing countries. At the same time, higher US rates make it more expensive for nations dependent on foreign loans to service their existing debts and borrow more. As always though, we find ourselves somewhere between two big pulls. On the other end of the rope this time is economic growth. In a developed world where growth of 2% to 3% is considered strong enough to withstand rises in interest rates, the International Monetary Fund’s expectation that emerging markets will continue to grow at a rate of about 5% per annum looks impressive². So where is the growth coming from? For a start, China seems on course to expand by about 7% this year. While that’s a big step down from the 10% growth rate we saw earlier this decade, it’s still enough to belie some extraordinary progress. Online sales of physical goods were 29% higher in the nine months to September compared with the same period in 2016.³ That’s good news for the host of nearby countries that send exports to China. Malaysia, for instance, which sells components used in the latest generation Apple and Samsung smartphones, said last week that exports to China were up 27% year-on-year in September⁴. Then there’s Brazil, in a much weaker position, but with prospects improving. Following a damaging two-year-long recession, a rebound in consumer spending stabilised the economy in the first half of this year ⁵. India, almost the world’s fastest growing large economy in fiscal 2016-17, has slowed as the country absorbs the combined impacts of last year’s cancellation of high value bank notes and the introduction this year of a national goods and services tax. However, these effects are only expected to be transitory, turning positive for the economy longer run according to the World Bank⁶. Since corporate earnings have broadly grown in step with stock market gains this year, emerging markets continue to look attractively valued on a relative basis. At the end of last month, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index traded on 16 times the earnings of the companies it represents, and at a 23% discount to world markets generally. That valuation gap is more or less maintained when using forecast earnings – 13 times for emerging markets versus 17 times for the world⁷. You could, perhaps, explain away these mismatches by the risks that remain. Capital has continued to flow into emerging markets, even as US interest rates have gone up. As in the period 2003 to 2006, emerging markets are enduring rising rates, partly because those rises have coincided with healthy global growth⁸. However, that could still be undone by any factor that sees the US dollar returning to favour, particularly if that factor involves a rise in geopolitical stress or unexpected deterioration in the world growth outlook. That would place renewed pressure particularly on countries with US dollar currency pegs and large debts. Malaysia would be one – its banks are highly dependent on dollar funding⁹. As usual, investors seeking to add growth from emerging markets to their portfolios might do well to spread their risks. Fortunately, emerging markets are a heterogeneous mix, with commodity producers like Russia, Indonesia and South Africa included alongside the increasingly consumer oriented markets of China and India.
loganair
20/10/2017
08:47
By Ian Cowie: Fidelity China Special Situations (FCSS), the £1.8 billion investment trust that ended Anthony Bolton’s career on a bit of a bum note but has since recovered strongly, delivered total returns of 26% during the last year. JP Morgan Chinese (JMC), a longer-established trust but a relative tiddler with assets of less than £270 million, shot the lights out with total returns of 39% over the same period. Cynics might say this is a flash in the pan but five-year returns from these investment trusts of 227% and 137% respectively suggest there is more to China than a mere financial fad. Sceptical souls might fear that by the time the media notice an emerging market it is always too late but, while both these trusts’ shares continue to trade around 12% discounts to their net asset values, there is room for further gains. Closed-end funds are the ideal way to get into this formerly closed-economy because their structure means long-term investors will not be forced to subsidise short-term speculators when they dash for cash, as will happen in highly volatile markets from time to time. By contrast, open-ended vehicles – such as unit trusts and exchange traded funds (ETFs) – may be forced to sell their most liquid and perhaps best underlying assets to meet redemptions. Never mind the technical details, though, what about the big picture? While the world has been looking in the other direction, mesmerised by Donald Trump’s antics in America, another president, Xi Jinping, has quietly consolidated political power and enabled economic progress on a scale rarely seen. Xi is said to see himself continuing the work done by Deng Xiaoping, who became leader in 1982 and introduced a ‘socialist market economy’ to repair the damage done by Mao Zedong’s communist policies that caused millions to starve to death. Little red book fan, John McDonnell, please take note. Now the International Monetary Fund and PriceWaterhouse Coopers are among those who predict China will overtake America as the world’s biggest economy within a decade. The collision of new technology and the same old authoritarian politics is accelerating the rate of change. With a repressive regime that routinely imprisons journalists and anyone else who criticises the government, China could never allow American internet giants free access to its population that comprises a quarter of all humanity. So home-grown rivals – such as Alibaba, Baidu and Tencent – were always guaranteed a clear run at the home market and have clearly taken up this opportunity to the full. This is a bit of a painful topic for me because I invested in what was then Fleming Chinese Investment Trust more than 20 years ago, after visiting Shenzhen and Shanghai. What followed was an exciting ride, with the share price doubling in the run-up to the handover of Hong Kong in 1997 but halving not long afterwards. Things picked up in the noughties, despite a painful spike lower in 2008, before a terrific bounce in 2009 when I took profits to pay for a classic sailing boat and sold the last of my direct interests in that country. Since then, with the benefit of hindsight, I can see that I have taken my eye off the ball. If only I had hung on to those red chips but am now thinking of investing there again. Fidelity’s trust looks marginally more attractive to me because, according to Edison Investment Research, it has shunned banks and property where a nasty surprise might be lurking in the ‘shadow economy’. Instead, Fidelity holds Hutchison China MediTech (HCM) - which has exciting prospects of a cure for some cancers - along with bigger stakes in Tencent and Alibaba. There is also a modest yield of 1.1%, which has risen by 20% over the last five years and is more than double the dividends paid by JP Morgan’s rival trust, where there has been no progress in payouts at all, according to Association of Investment Companies statistics. You don’t need to be a communist or be invited to the congress jamboree to see money-making opportunities in China.
loganair
21/7/2017
12:05
Those are all views of China and its prospects. JMC has risen strongly since the turn of the year, but how does it compare with other China funds?
grabster
26/4/2017
08:34
Economists have upgraded their forecasts for China’s economic growth this year and project consumer inflation will continue to moderate. Analysts projected faster economic expansion in each of the next four quarters in a Bloomberg survey from April 18 to 25 compared with forecasts in the March poll. They also reduced their expectations for factory and consumer inflation this quarter. Growth in the world’s second-largest economy unexpectedly picked up to 6.9 percent in the first quarter, clocking its first back-to-back acceleration in seven years, while industrial output advanced, factory prices surged and investment recovered. The central bank has transitioned to a tighter policy framework, with increases for some bank lending rates.
loganair
27/2/2017
10:05
The Chinese economy is expected to continue to stabilize in 2017 as several factors will combine to support the trend, a Chinese economist said Thursday. Domestic demand is expected to improve in 2017 as there is still much room for infrastructure investment to grow while manufacturing investment might also pick up, said Li Wei, head of the Development Research Center of the State Council. The country's export growth may enter positive territory this year, he said during the Center's national policy consultation work conference held in the southern city of Shenzhen. China's economic growth held steady in 2016, with improved power and crude steel output as well as auto sales, Li highlighted. The producer price index, which measures the cost of goods at the factory gate, has stayed in positive territory since September last year, when it ended a four-year streak of declines thanks, in part, to the government's successful campaign to cut industrial overcapacity. China's major industrial firms reported an 8.5 percent profit increase in 2016, reversing the 2.3 percent decline registered in 2015. Meanwhile, China created 13.14 million new jobs for urban residents, exceeding the target of 10 million. "All these signs showed that the imbalance between supply and demand is easing and the quality of economic growth is improving," said Li. Besides, major international agencies forecast world economy would edge up this year. However, Li also warned of uncertainties in global markets and suggested that concrete steps should be taken to guard against financial risks. The World Bank in January kept its forecast for China's economic growth rate for 2017 at 6.5 percent, saying that the economy will continue sustainable growth as it is rebalancing from manufacturing to services, despite reemerging concerns over the property market. The Chinese economy grew 6.7 percent year on year in 2016, the lowest reading in nearly three decades, but within the government's target range.
loganair
22/2/2017
10:46
China Will Avoid a Bank Crisis, Reach High Income Status: Morgan Stanley Bullish analyst report details long-term outlook for economy China’s economy forecast to attain high income status by 2027 China will likely avoid a financial crisis and is on track to reach high income status by 2027, according to a new Morgan Stanley report on the nation’s longer-term prospects titled "Why we are bullish on China." The sweeping outlook comes amid growing concern over China’s surging debt levels, slow pace of reforms and the impact of a potential trade spat with the U.S. While acknowledging those concerns as legitimate, the analysts point to the country’s increasing shift into high value-added manufacturing and services that will play a central role in boosting per capita incomes to $12,900 over the next decade from $8,100 now. If China manages to pull off that feat, it will join South Korea and Poland as the only large economies with a population of over 20 million to achieve that over the past three decades, Morgan Stanley said. The World Bank defines high-income economies as those with a gross national income of at least $12,476 per person. There are other positives, too. Consumption and services are increasingly powering growth and proposed structural reforms such as the closure of uncompetitive state-owned enterprises will clear the way for new, high-value added industries in areas such as health care, education and environmental services, according to Morgan Stanley. That would spur the creation of a new generation of Chinese multinational corporations with significant presences both at home and abroad. Low Risk: At the same time, the risk of a financial shock remains low even though overall debt soared to 279 percent of the economy last year from 147 percent in 2007. That’s because borrowing has been funded by China’s own savings and been used for investment. Strong net asset positions provide a buffer along with an ongoing current account surplus, high foreign reserves and the absence of significant inflationary pressures that would destabilize the financial system, according to the report. A one-off devaluation of the yuan is also unlikely though the currency will likely weaken further, according to Morgan Stanley. Indications that China’s leadership are shifting their focus from stimulating the economy to reining in financial risk bolsters their upbeat case, the analysts said. "The most significant development on the policy front is that policy makers are now signaling a willingness to accept slower rates of growth, and place more focus on preventing financial risks and asset bubbles, indicating that they would not protect growth at all costs, often with the use of investment of a low return nature," the analysts wrote. Debt Pile: Still, there are risks. Much will depend on the commitment to tackling the debt pile and reshape state-owned enterprises. It’s likely that China’s debt management will follow a path similar to Japan’s, although economic growth will compound at a much higher rate over coming years. Morgan Stanley sees growth at an average of 4.6 percent in 2021-2025. That’s less than half the 9.6 percent average growth rate over the past three decades. "With a starting point of lower debt, (China’s debt to GDP today is where Japan’s was in 1980) and per capita levels (China’s per capita GDP (PPP) today is where Japan’s was in the mid-80s)," the analysts wrote. "By not allowing for a sharp appreciation of its currency as Japan did after the Plaza Accord, China today is arguably better positioned to still achieve growth rates that can outpace global growth."
loganair
15/2/2017
10:09
China is capable of achieving steady GDP growth this year despite global uncertainties, according to Standard Chartered Bank. "We expect China to continue to set its GDP growth target at about 6.5 percent for 2017 and the world's second largest economy could grow 6.6 percent this year," Ding Shuang, chief Greater China economist with Standard Chartered, told Xinhua in a recent interview. Ding pointed out that U.S. policies towards China and elections in post-Brexit Europe might complicate the international environment for the Chinese economy, while domestic slowdowns in the property and automobile markets might drag on consumption growth. China's real estate market will see slower sales pace as tightened regulations began to bite, while the sales of passenger cars showed signs of contraction by dropping 1.1 percent year on year in January. However, Ding said that other engines of economic growth were gaining steam in China. He said that the service sector would grow faster in 2017 as Chinese would demand better entertainment, health care, education and travel experiences, which could contribute to about 60 percent of GDP. Meanwhile, China's exports seem to be restoring momentum after a subdued performance last year. The country's foreign trade volume beat market expectations to grow 19.6 percent year on year in January. In addition to a lower comparison base and Spring Festival effects, the global economy is showing positive signs as the latest PMI figures in the United States and some European countries showed growing factory and service activities, according to Ding. He added that the yuan's previous depreciation would gradually help lift export performance. Ding pointed out that to sustain steady growth at about 6.5 percent, China would still have to combine effective policy tools. "While China decided to take a prudent and neutral monetary stance, the government needs to take more proactive fiscal policies to help prop up growth," Ding said. "China's debt level is still controllable and the government can lift the fiscal deficit-to-GDP ratio from 3 percent in 2016 to 3.5 percent this year.
loganair
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