Gear4music (holdings) Share Discussion Threads

[mr.elbee] 10/3/2017 15:26

the evidence is standard TA analysis...nothing to do with the company fundamentals.

ALL financial institutions use a measure of TA to time sales and purchases..You might not like it...you might think it is voodoo...but it is there and ,for some cleverer than I, it works.

[alphabeta4] 10/3/2017 14:50

By the way just on that eps they were assuming the Pound would stabilise and hence erode some of their gross margin, well the Pound has now taken on another down leg which could be quite handy if it continues. This year at £80m sales every 1% on gross margin generates £800k. This gives some chunky eps upgrade potential.

[sponges] 10/3/2017 14:45

hi all - looking to buy here but wondering what if any effect the triggering of article 50 might have now and for future - ie Germany etc - any thoughts ?
thanks

[alphabeta4] 10/3/2017 14:31

Quite ali47fish. Fwiw I think will be the floor will be £5 because at that level the RSI went into oversold territory and represented a 30% discount to the high. This would have then tempted people on the sidelines who missed the boat along with those who sold on the way down. This board became fearful
too which is usually a good sign!
Finally, Edison's note was noting there wasn't a significant discount on the forward pe compared to BOO and ASOS with them implying c£6 would be a level which matched the 15% level they felt appropriate. At their forward Eps of 14.5p (taking aside I think it is out) you get a forward of 37 at £5.40 which is a lot less demanding and liable to fall on upgrades for which we've had a few.
Overall leaves it looking cheap to sector.

[hitsha1] 10/3/2017 14:29

people forget this "REST OF THE WORLD", so plenty to come, if sold out and made money good on you, but need to think about the bigger picture, all up to individual, also fund they have rules which they have to go by, so old mutaul sold some so what, it wasn't long when they bought.

[ksharlandjiev] 10/3/2017 14:22

Move to the premium BB then :)

[ali47fish] 10/3/2017 13:51

as usual whenever the share price falls- comments are sheer speculation and they help no one- i wish thse people refrain from commenting unless they can support their statements with evidence otherwise i say shut up!

[runthejoules] 10/3/2017 13:16

I don't know. Such a sharp bounce off 500 I'm hoping that's support. Depends how long the bull market lasts I suppose.

[mr.elbee] 10/3/2017 12:15

this degree of retracement hasnt happened before and it is a buying opportunity...eventually..I'd say 3.50.

[rackers1] 10/3/2017 12:09

retracements always go further than you expect.
£4

[mr.elbee] 10/3/2017 12:06

now straight through 13/34/50 ma's 90 soon..

[bones] 10/3/2017 12:04

An awful lot of hindsight strategies on show here! They never work in the real world.I'm adding at this level given that it is nearly 30% off the recent high on an upbeat statement.

[mr.elbee] 10/3/2017 12:00

falling knife

[rathlindri] 10/3/2017 11:53

I'm still marginally ahead so I'm sticking and hoping this is the bottom of the fall. Like everyone else though I wish I'd sold on results and taken a good profit. A valuable lesson, and a rather costly one.

[bulltradept] 10/3/2017 11:52

"NEVER, ever, sell at a loss - you did your research, stick to it. Sometimes I've got fed up with a stock that hasn't done well - in that case, I've waited until a blip when I've made a slight profit, and exited then. AIM stocks are volatile, make the most of the volatility."

Wait til the next bear market and then reassess, it's coming sure as eggs are eggs, not today, maybe not tomorrow but at some stage it will arrive and with an outlook like that, you'll live to regret having an outlook like that.

[runthejoules] 10/3/2017 11:24

Problem here was I should have thought not about company fundamentals (good for long term) but what the rest of the market would think (as soon as it stops growing exponentially, it will tank & there will be panic). Well, I've done everything wrong, but in the long term the market is a counting machine and I think the share price will creep back up. So I'm staying in here. But really wishing I'd sold on results rather than topslicing & buying back in a month later rather than a couple of days! Never forget your stop loss, even on aim. I don't need the money for another 30 years. We'll see where it is then...

[flyposter] 10/3/2017 11:21

Reminds me of the dive over a few days after an upbeat RNS FEVR (my first ever holding) took 2 years to the day almost, I panic sold that, now look at it.

[franki8] 10/3/2017 10:50

lol che7win you said that the first time around october time, well done mate, great prediction.

[cbootle] 10/3/2017 10:28

That would be fine, it's the risk we have to take (unless you get to hear early, of course), and the reason for not having all eggs in one basket. I was up 150% with G4M, now 88% up - still not bad for 6 months or so. I'd rather ride it out than sell and hope to pick up later. Other game plans are available ;-)

[rick678] 10/3/2017 10:26

I sold a few last week but now decided to buy back in.

[che7win] 10/3/2017 10:25

I did say chart had keeled over, no stock will keep going up against fundamentals.

[shauney2] 10/3/2017 10:21

How long have you been doing this cbootle?Not long i reckon.

"* NEVER, ever, sell at a loss"

Hold enough stocks and it will happen.
One day you could wake up to find the CEO & CFO have run off together and taken all the money with them.Or more likely the dreaded late Friday afternoon profit warning.Poo happens.

[cbootle] 10/3/2017 09:58

Sorry to hear you're leaving, ksharlandjiev.

FWIW, here's my "ground rules" that are working well for me:

* find shares with potential to at least double (the hard bit of course)
* buy a decent stake (typically £10k)
* decide your exit plan from the outset, for me, it's when there's no chance of doubling again, so best invested elsewhere
* when things look like they are reaching a maximum (2x no longer possible) sell into the rise, i.e. when others are buying. This will protect the rest of your shares in that stock, and give you a decent price
* NEVER, ever, sell at a loss - you did your research, stick to it. Sometimes I've got fed up with a stock that hasn't done well - in that case, I've waited until a blip when I've made a slight profit, and exited then. AIM stocks are volatile, make the most of the volatility.

[ksharlandjiev] 10/3/2017 09:39

well...
with regret...
G4M is "fired" from my portfolio.
It was a nice ride, but everything that has a beginning must have an end.
I may dance with you again or not :)
GL to all.