Friends Share Discussion Threads

[irnbru2] 02/12/2014 21:55

Yep, it's tempting.

[philo124] 02/12/2014 21:16

Sold 50% today.

[aleman] 02/12/2014 10:34

Lord Gnome. No it won't. I bit the bullet early and sold mine. I was always going to sell; it was just a matter of when. THe CGT problem applies to either year as things stand. I didn't fancy Aviva as they annoyed me last time I held them and they could suffer disproportionately when more austerity hits after the election. (Cameron and Osborne have avoided sorting the deficit out in the approach to the election for fear of slowing the economy. Spending has been increasing again to support the economy in the run up to the vote but that will cease afterwards to get the deficit back on track.) Going back to Aviva would also bring a large dividend cut as well. I'd sooner take the CGT hit in this year and have something more defensive/coutercyclical and higher income, given the economic outlook.

[a0148009] 02/12/2014 09:15

"Likely deal will be completed in this tax year judging by the indicative timetable :-

The Scheme Document will include full details of the Scheme, together with notices of the Guernsey Court Meeting and any Friends Life General Meeting and the expected timetable, and will specify the action to be taken by Scheme Shareholders. It is expected that the Scheme Document will be posted to Friends Life Shareholders in the second half of January 2015. For the purposes of paragraph 3(a) of Appendix 7 of the Code and with the agreement of the Friends Life Directors, the Panel has consented to this arrangement.

It is expected that the Aviva Prospectus, containing information about the New Aviva Shares, will be published at the same time as the Scheme Document is posted to Friends Life Shareholders. It is also expected that the Aviva Class 1 Circular, containing details of the Proposed Acquisition and notice of the Aviva General Meeting at which resolutions will be proposed for the approval of the Proposed Acquisition by Aviva Shareholders, will be posted to Aviva Shareholders at the same time as the Scheme Document is posted to Friends Life Shareholders."

AO

[lord gnome] 02/12/2014 08:37

Aleman, if the deal date is in the next financial year / tax year, that should ease your CGT problems.

[lord gnome] 02/12/2014 08:36

It all depends IrnBru. The total value on offer here is approx 370p for the share swap, plus the 24p dividend making 394 in total. This will fluctuate with the AV share price, but I doubt it will vary much. If the market decides to value FLG at the full offer price, or anything approaching it, I may well take the money and run. The efficient market theorists would expect the FLG share price to rise fairly close to the offer price, so another 15p would do it for me.

[irnbru2] 02/12/2014 08:32

Cheers, better go and have a look at AV.

[skinny] 02/12/2014 08:30

Assuming the deal goes through, then probably yes - caveat being your own individual position, tax etc.

[irnbru2] 02/12/2014 08:28

Am I right in saying we should hang on for the divided.

[a0148009] 02/12/2014 08:26

Satisfied with the offer, shareholders compensated partially by drop in share price of AV
by additional 10p dividend on top of final.

AO

[irnbru2] 02/12/2014 08:25

AV = 500p

0.74x 500p = 370p

[mike740] 02/12/2014 08:19

Cheers Skinny.

[skinny] 02/12/2014 08:08

GF - it should be April.

[mike740] 02/12/2014 07:59

Whats the record date please??? sorry for being thick......

"In addition, assuming the Proposed Acquisition completes, Friends Life Shareholders who are on the Friends Life shareholder register at the Friends Life Record Date will also be entitled to receive, in place of Friends Life's 2014 final dividend, Friends Life's proposed second interim dividend of 24.1p per share,"

[philo124] 02/12/2014 07:57

8% premium- don't think that's going to work. 370p, disappointing.

[skinny] 02/12/2014 07:51

RECOMMENDED ALL-SHARE ACQUISITION OF
FRIENDS LIFE GROUP LIMITED BY AVIVA PLC
Summary
· The Boards of Aviva and Friends Life are pleased to announce that they have reached agreement on the terms of a recommended all-share acquisition of Friends Life by Aviva.
· Under the terms of the Proposed Acquisition, holders of Friends Life Shares will receive 0.74 New Aviva Shares for each Friends Life Share they hold.
· Based on the Exchange Ratio and the Closing Price of Aviva and Friends Life shares as at 20 November 2014 (being the last business day prior to talks between Aviva and Friends Life being made public), the Proposed Acquisition, excluding the payment to RCAP in relation to the Value Share and Friends Life's proposed second interim dividend payment in respect of the 2014 financial year (each as described below), values each Friends Life Share at 394p and Friends Life's existing issued ordinary share capital at approximately £5.6 billion, representing a premium of:
- 15 per cent. to the Closing Price of 343p per Friends Life Share on 20 November 2014; and
- 27 per cent. to the average Closing Price of 310p per Friends Life Share for the three-month period ended 20 November 2014.
· Based on the Exchange Ratio and the Closing Price of Aviva as at 1 December 2014, the Proposed Acquisition values each Friends Life Share at 370p, which represents a premium of 8 per cent. to the closing price of 343p per Friends Life Share on 20 November 2014.
· In addition, assuming the Proposed Acquisition completes, Friends Life Shareholders who are on the Friends Life shareholder register at the Friends Life Record Date will also be entitled to receive, in place of Friends Life's 2014 final dividend, Friends Life's proposed second interim dividend of 24.1p per share, in respect of the 2014 financial year, resulting in a 2014 full year dividend of 31.15p per share. In the event that the Proposed Acquisition does not complete, Friends Life expects that its 2014 final dividend and therefore its 2014 full year dividend would be in line with Friends Life's 2013 final dividend and 2013 full year dividend, respectively. Friends Life Shareholders will have no entitlement to Aviva's proposed 2014 final dividend.
· The Proposed Acquisition would result in Friends Life Shareholders owning approximately 26 per cent. of the issued ordinary share capital of the Enlarged Aviva Group.
· The Proposed Acquisition accelerates Aviva's investment thesis of "cash flow plus growth" with a financial and strategic rationale that the board of Aviva believes creates a compelling opportunity for the Enlarged Aviva Group to create value for both sets of shareholders:
Financial
- Expected to generate approximately £0.6 billion incremental Holdco Excess Cash Flow per annum[1];
- Gives rise to a combined central liquidity position of £2.4 billion[2];
- Reduces "day 1" external debt leverage and S&P Leverage to a level consistent with an S&P AA rating, beyond Aviva's medium term objectives, with no requirement to further deleverage the Enlarged Aviva Group;
- Expected to generate approximately £225 million of run-rate annual cost synergies by the end of 2017, which Aviva has valued at approximately £1.8 billion[3]. Aviva believes these synergies will deliver substantial value and increase cash flow generation and expects significant additional value through capital, financial and revenue synergies over time; and
- Accelerates Aviva's expected dividend growth, with the intention, in the medium term, to move dividend cover to approximately 2x operating EPS on an IFRS basis.
Strategic
- Secures position as the leading insurance and savings business in the Enlarged Aviva Group's home market, with 16 million customers in the UK (prior to the deduction of overlapping customers);
- Increases scale in attractive segments of the UK Life market including leadership position in Corporate Pensions, Protection and At-Retirement;
- Opportunity for Aviva Investors to add up to approximately £70 billion[4] of Friends Life's UK assets under administration, increasing its AuM by up to 29 per cent., to up to approximately £309 billion[5];
- Brings 5 million current Friends Life customers to Aviva, who stand to benefit from being part of a stronger and more diversified group with a wider product range, and enables Aviva to accelerate its Digital First and True Customer Composite strategies;
- Adds significant scale to Aviva's existing UK Life back book, as well as a management team with the expertise to unlock further value from UK Life insurance back books; and
- Enables investment in the Enlarged Aviva Group's growth businesses.
· The Aviva Directors propose to pay a 2014 final dividend of 12.25p per share, representing a 30 per cent. increase on the 2013 final dividend per share, and resulting in a 2014 full year dividend of 18.1p per share. The Aviva Directors believe the Proposed Acquisition would be broadly neutral to Aviva's operating EPS once full run-rate synergies are achieved, expected by the end of 2017.
· The Aviva Directors believe the Proposed Acquisition brings together two successful management teams, combining Aviva's particular expertise in cost reduction and turnaround with Friends Life's expertise in business integration and back book management.
· Following the Proposed Acquisition, it is anticipated that, Andy Briggs, the current Group Chief Executive of Friends Life, will become Chief Executive Officer of Aviva UK Life and will join the board of Aviva as an Executive Director. Shortly after the Scheme becomes Effective, it is expected that Sir Malcolm Williamson, the current Chairman of Friends Life, will join the board of Aviva as Senior Independent Director and it is anticipated that a further Non-Executive Director of Friends Life will join the board of Aviva.
· The Exchange Ratio and implied premium have been agreed between Aviva and Friends Life having taken into account the impact of the Value Share and the consideration that will be due from Friends Life to RCAP under the terms of the Limited Partnership Agreement.
· At completion of the Proposed Acquisition, Friends Life is required to settle the Value Share in cash. The cash consideration payable to RCAP is expected by Friends Life to be approximately £220 million. However, under the terms of the Limited Partnership Agreement, RCAP can elect to receive the consideration in Friends Life Shares. If RCAP elects for shares, any Friends Life Shares would be acquired by Aviva immediately following completion of the Proposed Acquisition at the Exchange Ratio in connection with the proposed implementation of the Scheme.

more..

[mike740] 25/11/2014 09:52

Synergies from Aviva-Friends Life deal could be 'substantial', says The Share Centre
24 November 2014 16:04

The proposed tie-up between insurance groups Aviva and Friends Life Group could create "substantial synergies", according to The Share Centre, details of which still remain unknown.
The companies announced after the close on Friday that they had agreed on terms for a possible all-share combination. Friends Life shareholders would get 0.74 Aviva shares for each Friends Life share they own, valuing Friends Life at 398.9p per share or £5.6bn.

Sheridan Admans, investment research manager at The Share Centre, said: "Should the deal happen analysts believe synergies would be substantial, with Aviva's balance sheet benefiting as would its pensions and protection operations. Friends Life investors should benefit from improved growth prospects."

However, she warned that the merger is still "not a done deal".

"Friends Life investors may push for a higher premium or other interested parties may show their hand, however the latter is assumed to be unlikely given the size of the deal and the implication that may pose."

Due to the merger activity, The Share Centre has downgraded its rating on Aviva to 'hold' until more details are released, but said that any weakness in the share price might by a good entry point for potential investors given the positive long-term outlook.

Friends Life is also rated a 'hold'.

[mike740] 24/11/2014 17:17

Bid for Friends Life by Aviva – it makes sense but should we buy Aviva shares?
By Robert Sutherland Smith | Monday 24 November 2014

The sheer scale of the proposed merger of Aviva (AV.) and Friends Live is a wonder to behold. It reminds us of the extraordinary degree of consolidation that has taken place in the life assurance industry over the last few decades.

The roll call of once thriving independent companies reads a little like the role of British battalions wiped out in the First World War; companies that once provided a lot of employment to a lot of people. The old Quaker Friends Life; Sun Life; The Commercial Union; General Accident, BUPA and no doubt many other names in the belly of the proposed new Leviathan to be rebranded I believe, the Friends Life Group.

It would be wonderful to think that it would also bring back the high ethical and trading standards of the Quaker founders in the nineteenth century but sadly, we cannot recreate the past. The proposed merger is also a testament to the maturity of the life business in the UK which reached a more corpse like condition as a result of the Chancellor’s decision to abandon the long established rule that pension savings were invested in Life company annuities

If this merger goes ahead it will bring the reported 16 million clients of the Friends Life Group into consolidation with the reported 31 million clients of Aviva; making at total 47 million customer base. Getting on for 80% or thereabouts of the total 60 million population of the UK though it has to be understood that many of those customers will be outside the UK; the Friends Life group has client contracts in 15 national territories outside the UK. The scales of economy, including lower unit costs of operation, that are ostensibly likely to be achieved in one go, if the deal is consummated, are pretty impressive. Moreover, as the Friends Life operating management is largely outsourced, it will probably reach the bottom line fairly quickly.

It is obvious that the older rationalization model of UK life industry has been undermined by the new regime on annuities; hence, the willingness to sell the Friends business at the right price and the willingness of Aviva to buy it. In that connection, if it is true that the bid value is some £5.6 billion, as reported, then the exit multiple appears to be 27 times Friend’s Life 2013 reported net profits of £204 million pounds. It is also a 13% premium to Friends Life last stated balance sheet net asset value. £4.9 billion (June 30th 2014). The mooted purchase price is also nearly 1.8 times reported revenue. So the business on those terms would not be sold cheaply - as one might expect. It is possible that another bidder might emerge but I assume that to be unlikely at this stage; though who knows.

Friend’s looks as though it has been run for cash generation. That will certainly help the newly enlarged company, if it comes into existence, to increase dividends; an important aim for Aviva. It will also be a stock that institutions are likely to want a full or fuller weighting in. But before we buy Aviva lets await a bit more detail, lets wait until the ink is dry on an agreement to merge!

hxxp://www.shareprophets.com/views/9147/bid-for-friends-life-by-aviva-it-makes-sense-but-should-we-buy-aviva-shares

[mike740] 24/11/2014 12:34

Aviva paying 'good price' for Friends Life, says Canaccord Genuity

Mon 24 November 2014 09:22 | A A A
No recommendation
No news or research item is a personal recommendation to deal. Hargreaves Lansdown may not share ShareCast's (powered by Digital Look) views.

Canaccord Genuity has lifted its target price for insurance firm Friends Life from 340p to 400p and repeated its 'buy' call, saying that the £5.6bn takeover offer from rival Aviva is a "good price" for shareholders.

The companies announced that they had agreed on terms for a possible all-share combination. Friends Life shareholders would get 0.74 Aviva shares for each Friends Life share they own, valuing Friends Life at 398.9p per share.

This is equal to a 15% premium to its closing price on Friday and a 28% premium to the three-month average, and close to its embedded value in the first half, Canaccord said.

Due diligence is now under way and Aviva has until 19 December to make a formal offer.

"We think this is a good price for Friends Life shareholders, as they should receive around embedded value for the business, albeit in shares, and not cash," said Canaccord analysts Ming Zhu and Ben Cohen.

While they have lifted their target price to equal the possible offer, the analysts said they see potential further upside from this level when they have more details about synergies from the deal.

"To a large extent, Friends Life's fair value will now be determined by Aviva's share price, while Aviva's share price will be determined by the enthusiasm by its shareholders for the industrial logic of the deal.

"Assuming an offer is made by 19 December, the details of planned synergies and cash-flow will be key to Aviva's share price performance."

Friends Life was trading 5.6% higher at 367.1p by 09:52 on Monday.

[scottishfield] 24/11/2014 11:03

tks Skinny, will be interesting to see hw things go here now.

[skinny] 24/11/2014 10:59

Canaccord Genuity Buy 365.80 340.00 400.00 Reiterates

Credit Suisse Neutral 365.80 325.00 350.00 Reiterates

[philo124] 24/11/2014 09:23

Didn't we all, but as you know, it doesn't work like that for PI's.

[lord gnome] 24/11/2014 09:16

Disappointing market response. I had hoped for an early sale of my holding for 400 plus. Not to be. Back to the day job then.

[philo124] 24/11/2014 08:11

Modest rise; modest fall at AV.