Close Enh Ii Share Discussion Threads

[mangal] 20/9/2010 12:29

Based on the current prices, I think the NAV is 115p plus.

Tempted to top-up but a bit concerned about risks associated with counterparties, couple of whom have recently been downgraded by rating agencies.

[davebowler] 20/9/2010 11:06

Based on the values of the commodities as at 31 August 2010, and assuming these
values were to remain unchanged through to the end of the life of the Company,
the redemption proceeds per Share on the Redemption Date would be 106.00 pence+.
This is not a forecast nor is it a reflection of the net asset value per Share
and takes no account of any unforeseen circumstances and is provided for
informational purposes only and should not be relied upon for investment

[davebowler] 05/8/2010 11:32

Based on the values of the commodities as at 30 July 2010, and assuming these
values were to remain unchanged through to the end of the life of the Company,
the redemption proceeds per Share on the Redemption Date would be 105.00 pence+.
This is not a forecast nor is it a reflection of the net asset value per Share
and takes no account of any unforeseen circumstances and is provided for
informational purposes only and should not be relied upon for investment
decisions.

[johnny1982] 08/6/2010 23:08

Hi all,

this got a recommendation in moneyweek a few weeks back. At the current value it seems like a good investment. Anyone got any other thoughts?

[davebowler] 05/6/2010 17:20

Commentary coutesy of stublue on the Gold thread:
Weekly Technical Indications: Sugar has taken a rest this week. This sounds boring but it could be indicative of change entering the market place. It seems that selling has or is drying up. In other words, we may be experiencing the calm before the storm. The stochastic is in buy mode and the R.S.I. is higher at 31.98 versus last week's reading of 31.05. Improved, the M.A.C.D. histogram stands at -.38 versus -.54 last week. Higher Sugar prices could very well be waiting in the wings.

[davebowler] 03/5/2010 09:39

This trades both at a discount and a premium to asset value.
The counterparty risk caused it to be at a discount in 08/09 especially and the underlying commodities exposure caused the premium late 07 early 08. So far this year it has traded roughly towards asset value ,c.97p, as both factors turn positive.

[betman] 30/4/2010 15:47

whats the view on this currently ? Anyone compared with other ETFs eg AGAP ( only agric though ) Also concerned on counter party risk ? Does this stick close to NAV or does it trade at large discount of premium ?

[giddi] 17/4/2010 19:24

20% of the company bought by a well respected US fund manager over the last few days. What does he know? I was already in with a few. Have a few more now

[mangal] 06/1/2010 20:47

Capital entitlement now 124p, up 18% from last month.
[edit: am a holder; bought back-in in Mar09 @62p ]

[davebowler] 24/12/2009 08:53

Based on the values of the commodities as at 30 November 2009, and assuming
these values were to remain unchanged through to the end of the life of the
Company, the final capital entitlement per Share on the Redemption Date would be
105 pence+. This is not a forecast nor is it a reflection of the net asset
value per Share and takes no account of any unforeseen circumstances and is
provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon for
investment decisions.

[alanji] 12/10/2009 13:00

Thanks, Ian - well done on your buy.

[ianbrewster] 12/10/2009 10:22

Alan

it looks as if they are just about priced for 1 default - I am assuming that they would then pay out 80p vs a price of 79/83.

My calcs show that if you bought now, you would need a 5.5% rise in the portfolio (over almost 4 years)to break even if there was one default.

If all 5 counterparties come through, then it is a guarenteed 5% pa through to maturity.


I hold from 58p earlier this year.

[alanji] 06/10/2009 16:46

Anyone got a view on the likelihood of the counterparties defaulting?

[davebowler] 19/9/2009 11:50

The Commodity Portfolio is a notional portfolio of commodities comprising by
value on the Start Date, being 31 May 2007, one-eighth of each of oil, copper,
aluminium, zinc, nickel, sugar, corn and wheat.


Based on the values of the commodities as at 28 August 2009, and assuming these
values were to remain unchanged through to the end of the life of the Company,
the final capital entitlement per Share on the Redemption Date would be 100.00
pence+. This is not a forecast nor is it a reflection of the net asset value per
Share and takes no account of any unforeseen circumstances and is provided for
informational purposes only and should not be relied upon for investment
decisions.


+-----------------------+--------------------+-------------------+
| Commodity | Start Value | As at |
| | | 28 August 2009+ |
+-----------------------+--------------------+-------------------+
| Brent Crude Oil | $68.04 | $72.79 |
+-----------------------+--------------------+-------------------+
| Aluminium | $2,733.50 | $1,880.50 |
+-----------------------+--------------------+-------------------+
| Copper | $7,440.50 | $6,490.5 |
+-----------------------+--------------------+-------------------+
| Nickel | $50,900.00 | $19,595.0 |
+-----------------------+--------------------+-------------------+
| Zinc | $3,685.50 | $1,820.0 |
+-----------------------+--------------------+-------------------+
| Corn | 390.25c | 321.00c |
+-----------------------+--------------------+-------------------+
| Sugar | 9.34c | 23.52c |
+-----------------------+--------------------+-------------------+
| Wheat | 517.00c | 467.00c |
+-----------------------+--------------------+-------------------+
| Commodity Portfolio = | 100.00% | 96.91% |
+-----------------------+--------------------+-------------------+


Payoff Profile
The table below illustrates how the final capital entitlement of the Shares
might vary for different End Values of the Commodity Portfolio.


+----------------------------+--------------------+
| Percentage change in End | Final Capital |
| Value of the Commodity | Entitlement |
| Portfolio relative to its | |
| Start Value | |
+----------------------------+--------------------+
| -100% | 100 |
+----------------------------+--------------------+
| -50% | 100 |
+----------------------------+--------------------+
| 0% | 100 |
+----------------------------+--------------------+
| 50% | 200 |
+----------------------------+--------------------+
| 100% | 300 |
+----------------------------+--------------------+
| 150% | 400 |
+----------------------------+--------------------+
| 200% | 500 |
+----------------------------+--------------------+


The final return is subject to there being no counterparty default or any other
unforeseen circumstances.








* The End Value will be the aggregate of the average official closing price of
each constituent of the Commodity Portfolio on the last business day of each
month in the one year prior to the End Date of 31 May 2013.


As at 28 August 2009 the investments held by the Company were:


+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| | NOMINAL |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| DEBT SECURITIES PORTFOLIO | HOLDINGS |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| | GBP |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| | |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| Caisse Centrale du Credit Immobilier de France EMTN | |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| 14 June 2013 | 9,050,000 |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| | |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| Erste Bank EMTN 14 June 2013 | 9,050,000 |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| | |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| Irish Life & Permanent Plc EMTN 14 June 2013 | 9,050,000 |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| | |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| Mediobanca SpA EMTN 14 June 2013 | 9,050,000 |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| | |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| SNS Bank NV EMTN 14 June 2013 | 9,050,000 |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| | |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| | TOTAL |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| | GBP |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| | |
+--------------------------------------------------------+---------------+
| | 45,250,000 |

[davebowler] 31/8/2009 13:42

www2.standardandpoors.com/.../CommodityPerspective-July09.pdf

[48 percent bl00dy beeksy] 25/6/2009 16:56

Been buying these for a few days.

An excellent low risk commodity play, especially at this price.

[alanji] 01/4/2009 13:54

Risen over 10p in last week. I am not a holder at present but the rise trigggered an alert. Have commodity prices soared since the end of Feb?

[ademait] 17/3/2009 17:02

And if they all go ?????

[tiltonboy] 12/3/2009 22:33

Looks like a synthetic Zero. Worried about counterparty risk, but worth picking up at these levels.