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BEG Begbies Traynor Group Plc

104.50
-1.00 (-0.95%)
18 Apr 2024 - Closed
Delayed by 15 minutes
Begbies Traynor Investors - BEG

Begbies Traynor Investors - BEG

Share Name Share Symbol Market Stock Type
Begbies Traynor Group Plc BEG London Ordinary Share
  Price Change Price Change % Share Price Last Trade
-1.00 -0.95% 104.50 16:35:27
Open Price Low Price High Price Close Price Previous Close
104.50 104.00 104.50 104.50 105.50
more quote information »
Industry Sector
SUPPORT SERVICES

Top Investor Posts

Top Posts
Posted at 20/7/2023 13:49 by edmonda
Investor Presentation - video recording

Begbies Traynor Group plc (AIM: BEG), the professional services consultancy, conducted an Investor Presentation covering their final results for the year ended 30 April 2023.

Ric Traynor (Executive Chairman) and Nick Taylor (Group Finance Director) talked through the performance in their key business areas of insolvency, property advisory & transactional services, and also outlined their future plans. Management then answered a wide range of questions from the audience.

The full presentation video has been divided into chapters as below:
0:00:03 Introduction and results highlights
0:03:19 Financials
0:13:15 Strategic Review
0:25:52 Summary
0:26:45 Questions & Answers

Link to full video:
Posted at 24/5/2023 21:42 by this_is_me
hxxps://masterinvestor.co.uk/equities/small-cap-catch-up-totally-begbies-and-wincanton/?mc_cid=06f14fb0f9

Begbies Traynor Group (LON:BEG) – Guiding Higher
Well, it is good to know that someone is enjoying the current economic environment.

And this business recovery, financial advisory and property services consultancy group is certainly doing just that.

Earlier this week the company’s Pre-Close Trading Update guided the market that its trading year to end April 2023 was going to show better than expectation results.

It led investors to expect double-digit growth over the previous year, with revenues of at least 11% higher at £122m and a 16% improvement in adjusted pre-tax profits to some £20.7m.

Analysts Vivek Raja and Jamie Murray at Shore Capital Markets note that the guidance was 2% better than consensus hopes.

They have revenues estimated for the current year to end April 2024 of £129.3m, with profits of £22.5m, worth 10.6p in earnings and more than double covering an estimated 4.0p dividend per share.

For 2025 they see £136.9m sales, £24.4m profits, 11.3p earnings and a 4.2p dividend.

The shares, which have been up to 156p in the last year, closed last night at 131.5p, which is about right based on recent statements.

The full 2023 results should be published on 11th July, which may then give more confidence to the upward hopes for the £203m group’s shares.

(Profile 24.11.19 @ 85p set a Target Price at 110p*)

(Profile 21.04.20 @ 93p set a Target Price at 110p*)
Posted at 05/4/2023 11:45 by daneswooddynamo
Poor shareholder register meaning too often it trades in a volatile fashion based on pa tip investors. Some instis won’t invest in companies where top management effectively control the company like here with Ric Traynor. But fundamentals remain very solid and value will out imo over next year or two as their business becomes increasingly busy
Posted at 17/2/2023 08:22 by tightfist
Apparently AIM Investor sold-out on 10th Feb, banking a 73% profit. Not sure how much sway they hold; others may have followed in view of the overhead Resistance level? tightfist
Posted at 19/7/2022 08:03 by edmonda
Agreed - strong FY22 results announced, well ahead of original market expectations, plus a good start to new FY.

New research out from Equity Dev with fair value raised to 175p/share, read it here and NB management present by webinar on Wed 27th July:

Note:

Webinar registration:
Posted at 19/5/2022 13:18 by route1
Yup, begging for Begbies, that's if they are able to afford them at the higher SP, but at whatever price new investors buy in at theycan rest assured of further progress in the share price in view of the turmoil and continued mismanagement of the UK economy.
Posted at 16/2/2022 16:43 by tole
https://www.fool.co.uk/2022/02/16/2-cheap-dividend-paying-stocks-to-buy-right-now-2/A top counter-cyclical stockBegbies Traynor Group (LSE: BEG) also looks like one of the best stocks to buy in today's economic climate. The insolvency specialist has a long record of yearly profits growth behind it, a result of the company's ongoing (and ambitious) acquisition strategy. I'm tipping earnings to continue rising strongly as Britain's economy worsens.Unfortunately insolvencies are rising fast as inflationary pressures increase and the end of financial support from furlough schemes bites. The Insolvency Service says that the there were 1,560 corporate insolvencies in January, up from 1,488 in December. January's number was also more than double that recorded in January 2021.Recent trading updates from Begbies Traynor's services also illustrate the increasing turbulence facing British firms. Revenues soared 39% in the six months to October, latest financials showed. Encouragingly the company has continued to build the business to capitalise on this fertile environment. In January it snapped up Daniells Harrison Surveyors for a fee that could rise to £2m.It's true that Begbies Traynor operates in a highly-regulated environment. This means profits could suffer badly if new laws come into effect. But at current prices I still think it's an attractive UK share to buy today. It trades on a forward PEG ratio of just 0.5. A 2.8% dividend yield meanwhile offers an extra sweetener for an investor like me.
Posted at 06/2/2022 10:23 by tole
https://www.fool.co.uk/2022/02/06/2-of-the-best-growth-stocks-to-buy-today/One of the best counter-cyclical stocks to buy?Unfortunately the cost of living and operating a business in Britain is rocketing. It's a scenario that threatens to send the number of corporate insolvencies through the roof. So I expect demand for financial services business Begbies Traynor Group (LSE: BEG) to remain strong.The Federation of Small Businesses (or FSB) commented last month that "thousands of small businesses are on a knife-edge" following a tough Christmas period. It looks like things could continue to get worse before they get better, too, as energy prices increase and interest rates rise. As the FSB notes, Bank of England action this week "will heap pressure on many indebted businesses".This is particularly concerning as corporate insolvency rates are already ballooning. Government data shows that there were 1,486 such insolvencies in December, up 20% year-on-year and 33% higher from levels recorded in December 2019.It's no surprise that City analysts think Begbies Traynor - which provides insolvency services and other support to distressed firms - will remain busy. They're expecting earnings to rise 28% and 10% in the financial years to April 2022 and 2023 respectively. Stronger-than-expected economic improvement could hit these profit forecasts and dent my returns as a potential investor. I think it's a great stock to buy for my portfolio, but not just for the near term. Its acquisitions have delivered strong profits growth for the past half a decade, and the company remains committed to expansion through M&A activity.
Posted at 23/11/2021 21:56 by tole
https://www.fool.co.uk/2021/11/23/2-dirt-cheap-uk-dividend-stocks-to-buy-for-2022/A cheap UK share for an economic slumpEconomic conditions in Britain are becoming increasingly alarming as soaring inflation and supply chain problems persist. Just today, EY Club slashed its GDP growth forecasts for 2022 by almost a full percentage point, to 5.6%. It warned of weak, sub-2% annual growth by the middle of the decade too.Investors like me need to consider the threats and the opportunities a deteriorating UK economy creates. I am thinking of investing in Begbies Traynor Group (LSE: BEG). I think trading here will pick up as the number of corporate casualties might unfortunately soar from 2022. This cheap UK share provides financial rescue and recovery services for companies. It is also specialist in the field of corporate insolvencies for both businesses and individuals.Today, Begbies Traynor trades on a forward price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of just 0.5. This is comfortably inside the benchmark of 1 that suggests a stock could be undervalued. Moreover, the support business carries a handy 2.3% dividend for the financial year to April 2022 too.I'd buy Begbies Traynor even though its penchant for acquisitions creates a myriad of risks, such as disappointing profits generation at a newly-acquired business.
Posted at 26/5/2021 15:21 by wcj
iii piece yesterday:


Over the next six months, this company should attract more and more momentum buying.


Last December at 87p, I set out a ‘buy’ rationale on AIM-listed corporate recovery specialist Begbies Traynor Group
BEG
0.15%

. Its interim results to 31 October had cited the biggest quarterly leap in UK financially distressed businesses since 2017 – up 6% to 557,000 despite a legal backlog thwarting wind-up petitions.

Acquisitive firms usually enjoy a near-term boost
Operating margins had also re-rated to 15% after databases have shown annual mid-single-figure percentages. Mind however, there is scope to take radically different views as to profit, hence price-to-earnings (PE) multiples also.

When a group like this is acquisitive (four already this year) transaction costs will be significant but are stripped out of ‘normalised217; profit. Amortisation of goodwill (the premium paid to tangible value, which is usually big for a successful ‘people business’) is also deducted, albeit chiefly an accounting convention.

It does mean such listed companies can report dramatic uplifts in performance, but you may not know exactly how successful are the deals for a few years. With earn-outs typically taking up to five years, these can also weigh on profits by way of contingent liabilities. Personalities may clash as people businesses integrate. Once vendors have completed their earn-outs, they and other staff may move on.

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10 shares set for earnings growth
Such concerns are brushed aside, however, amid current ‘risk-on’; sentiment towards equities. Begbies has progressively re-rated over 60% and now tests 140p a share, which capitalises it at around £200 million.

Management says results for the group’s year to end-April will show revenue of £83.7 million versus expectations for £77-79 million, and adjusted pre-tax profit will be £11.5 million versus £10.5-11.5 million. Encouragingly, this is before the 2021 acquisitions kick in.

A mercurial, if potentially very rewarding, business to project
Various factors conflate, if not conflict. The broad sense of owning Begbies shares is as a play on more challenged times – its quarterly ‘red flag’ alert reports of UK businesses showing a trend of rising financial stress in the year or so. This may get worse as government support measures taper off to leave vulnerable firms exposed.

A curiosity has been such red flag reports showing a 42% year-on-year increase in ‘significant’ financial distress since the first quarter of 2020. Yet the actual UK insolvency rate has plunged 34% to 11,081 firms in the year to end-March 2021 – due to financial support measures.

Management says it raised UK market share from 8% to 10.4% over two years from October 2018. This, together with an increase in the average case size, has mitigated weakness in the overall market.

The sense that insolvencies are poised to rise – Begbies cites an expected 50% increase during 2021 – grates with economic messaging that the UK economy is already experiencing its strongest recovery since the Second World War. Although it could be that an overdue clearance of ‘zombie’ firms (over-reliant on debt) is about to happen.

Also blurring projections on Begbies’ revenue/profit is how insolvencies often have a deferred element, paid out of the administration process, which may take years. Potentially this could enhance Begbies’ numbers on, say, a three-year view.

You can therefore entertain varying scenarios, possibly with a median even base-case outlook for ‘normalised217; net profit of £10 million – or higher, if synergies arise from the takeovers. Mind, better performance will increase earn-outs, hence temper profits growth.

Modest dilution from deals helps a low PE scenario
With near 151 million shares issued (the deals have not involved onerous dilution and the group has circa £3 million net cash not debt) a £10 million normalised net profit scenario implies a forward PE sub 7x – hence the stock has justifiably tweaked up from about 125p before a 20 May year-end trading update.

As AIM stocks go, Begbies is a quality operation in essential business services and with a proven earnings/dividend record. It offers a radically better risk/reward profile than many that are more speculative.

The stock is down a penny or two this morning, but on a six months’ view I would not be surprised if it continues overall to attract momentum buying. The chart, underlying potential and valuation all look attractive, assuming insolvencies do rise.

So while it is tricky to confidently assert ‘buy’ on a longer-term view, the company’s credentials do look stronger than ever. I adjust stance to ‘hold’, simply reflecting wider uncertainties and a re-rating, but this should not be interpreted as a downgrade. It is just more speculative now to assert a conviction of ‘buy’.

Busily acquisitive this year, with the two biggest-ever deals
January saw the £21 million (including earn-outs) acquisition of CVR Global, a leading insolvency practitioner, which added the group’s first overseas office. A significant overlap of operating locations was said to enable £750,000 of annualised operating synergies.

Then in February came the £1 million purchase of a small London-based firm of chartered surveyors, to integrate with Eddisons, the group’s property advisory side.

Underlying group trading also appeared to improve by this point: on 23 February it was said the annual results would be “at least” in line with expectations.

In March, another key insolvency practice was bought: David Rubin & Partners, in London/Guernsey, for £25 million (including earn-outs). This was Begbies’ largest acquisition, intended to boost its presence in the UK business recovery market especially in London. A £22 million equity placed at 105.5p incurred 16% dilution.

Stockwatch: time to upgrade this mid-cap share
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May has seen the addition of MAF, a Midlands-based finance broker for up to £12 million with earn-outs. Working with banks and specialist funders, MAF arranges finance for firms in a wide range of industries towards buying equipment, vehicles and property. It is hoped to complement other Begbies services, especially debt advisory, and should also extend the group’s relationships with lenders.

Begbies Traynor Group - financial summary
Year ended 30 Apr

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Turnover (£ million) 45.4 50.1 49.7 52.4 60.1 70.5
Operating margin (%) 0.7 3.7 2.9 5.3 7.3 5.5
Operating profit (£m) 0.3 1.9 1.4 2.8 4.4 3.9
Net profit (£m) -1.6 0.5 -0.3 1.4 2.3 0.9
EPS - reported (p) -0.6 0.4 0.2 1.3 1.9 0.7
EPS - normalised (p) 1.4 0.9 1.3 2.0 2.9 2.4
Price/earnings ratio (x) 57.4
Return on equity (%) -1.0 0.7 0.4 2.5 3.9 1.5
Operating cashflow/share (p) 3.9 6.2 5.2 6.6 4.9 1.3
Capital expenditure/share (p) 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.6
Free cashflow/share (p) 2.6 5.8 4.9 6.2 4.0 0.7
Dividends per share (p) 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8
Yield (%) 2.1
Covered by earnings (x) -0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3
Cash (£m) 9.2 7.6 6.7 3.5 4.0 7.3
Net debt (£m) 12.8 10.4 10.3 15.7 14.6 11.1
Net assets (£m) 61.0 60.2 58.1 56.2 58.1 65.6
Net assets per share (p) 55.7 54.3 54.4 51.1 50.8 51.3
Source: historic company REFS and company accounts



Pattern of rising distress levels in UK business
If Begbies’ red flag reports are portentous than a rear-view mirror, the UK insolvencies market is now primed.

The fourth-quarter 2020 report had cited a 13% increase in businesses in significant distress – the largest since the second quarter of 2017 – albeit unsurprising as lockdowns tightened once again after a relatively easy summer. Each of the 22 sectors monitored showed an increase in significant distress, with 18 experiencing double-digit increases in the final quarter of 2020.

Moreover, it was said likely “these figures are the tip of a very large iceberg” given Covid-19 had reduced court activity and winding-up petitions.

Stockwatch: an inflation survival plan for investors
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The first-quarter 2021 report proclaimed a 15% increase in firms in significant distress over the previous quarter alone: “This is a very concerning for the UK economy and highlights the deteriorating financial situation for many companies.”

That is a reality check for optimists who reckon on a Roaring Twenties period ahead – as disposable income conflates with demand now unleashed. Begbies’ reports are effectively saying raised consumer demand is vital to offset potentially lower corporate demand within the overall economy. But it could just mean a vigorous restructuring lies ahead.

Quite a tough call then, with fresh money
It depends how disciplined you want to be, and how speculative. Unless Begbies’ reading of the insolvency market is flawed, and its expansion has come at precisely the wrong time, profit-taking looks premature. If broadly correct, then analyst targets of 165p a share are well justified and will get raised again in due course. Hold.

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