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| Share Name | Share Symbol | Market | Stock Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays Plc | BARC | London | Ordinary Share |
| Price Change | Price Change % | Share Price | Last Trade
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.36 | 1.31% | 182.30 | 15:16:29 |
| Open Price | Low Price | High Price | Close Price | Previous Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 181.30 | 181.16 | 182.92 | 179.94 |
| Industry Sector |
|---|
| BANKS |
| Top Posts |
|---|
Posted at 05/4/2024 19:02 by bernie37 Barclays Bank – a cheap stock, technicallyIs Barclays finally on the cusp of a long-awaited rerating? Former City analyst Robin Hardy runs the numbers Investors in Barclays have been waiting a long time for its share price to outperform, but is an about-turn in the offing? Barclays (BARC) has been out of favour for a long time, since the financial crisis in 2008 in fact. The share price has gone nowhere in the past 10 years, underperforming the FTSE All-Share by 25 per cent. Investors' total return has been just 3 per cent a year – the FTSE 100 has delivered 6.3 per cent and global equities 13.5 per cent in that time. But on most valuation measures, the shares look cheap and in FY2021 Barclays is expected to report a near-fourfold increase in earnings per share (EPS). Could it be on the cusp of a rerating, or are there still too many warning signs telling private investors to steer clear? Profits are rising: good management or good fortune? This is the billion-dollar question and sits at the heart of whether or not Barclays’ discounted share price makes the shares a bargain or correctly valued. If good fortune is the catalyst, then improvements may not be sustainable and returns may be of too low quality to justify a change in valuation. Barclays is forecast to report EPS of 34p this year (to December 2021), a level to which it has not come remotely close since 2008. But what is driving this sudden and substantial surge in profit forecasts? Investment banking storm: There has been a surge in private equity buyouts, merger & acquisition (M&A) activity and initial public offerings leading to a strong increase in fees at Barclays' investment banking operations. However, the current rate of equity market activity is not sustainable and this typically feast-and-famine market is likely to slow. Lower activity also usually leads to lower fee rates, compounding any slowdown in market momentum. Barclays is currently making positive returns in this historically poorly regarded segment (it is volatile and requires a lot of capital) but how long can that last? Market share gains: Further to the broader surge in equity market activity, Barclays has benefited from other European banks pulling out of the game, leading to much higher market share. The likes of Credit Suisse and Deutsche Bank have substantially scaled back investment banking on the continent, which is likely to be playing a large part in the board’s confidence that Barclays can avoid a major collapse in investment banking fees – there is no else left in Europe with whom the US banks can look to partner. While there are market share positives in investment banking, there are potential threats in personal banking. Challenger banks such as Metro, Starling, Virgin Money and Monzo have already nibbled some market share, but there is a much bigger threat from US banks coming to the UK. Marcus from Goldman Sachs and Chase from JPMorgan could prove materially more disruptive to what has been a stable core for Barclays. Impairments: Changes in banks’ provisions against bad loans are always a significant part of the movement in annual profits. It was initially feared that Covid would lead to many loans going bad and that rising provisions would hit profits. However, enforced forbearance and generous handouts (avoiding the term ‘bailout’ Covid-19: Ironically, this has been more of a positive for the banks. Lower impairments as above, unexpected value created by weak share prices driving M&A and a large influx of deposits as household outgoings fell have all been beneficial. Rising interest rates: Bond yields have been rising and central banks are set to raise prime interest rates to combat the global surge in inflation. Barclays predicts that every 10 basis point increase in interest rates can add £150m to earnings before interest and tax (Ebit) by 2023 due to expansion of its net interest margin – economists currently believe interest rates will have increased by 40 basis points by the end of 2022. This could bump Ebit up by 7-8 per cent. Rising rates are a double-edged sword, however, as credit risk will increase. |
Posted at 04/4/2024 08:13 by johnwise Barclays faces investors’ ire over Eros bonds issueThe investors have approached regulators for losses incurred due to Barclays’ mishandling of the Bollywood firm’s bond issue Barclays is facing investors’ anger for mishandling the bond issue of India-based Bollywood film group Eros, This is Money reports. The investors have approached the Financial Conduct Authority and the Financial Ombudsman claiming they incurred losses due to Barclays’ tardiness in dealing with the Eros flip-flop over its bond buyback plan. |
Posted at 25/3/2024 09:31 by bernie37 Momentum investing revolves around the idea of following a stock's recent trend in either direction. In the 'long' context, investors will be essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." With this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving that way. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.While many investors like to look for momentum in stocks, this can be very tough to define. There is a lot of debate surrounding which metrics are the best to focus on and which are poor quality indicators of future performance. The Zacks Momentum Style Score, part of the Zacks Style Scores, helps address this issue for us. Below, we take a look at Barclays (BCS), a company that currently holds a Momentum Style Score of B. We also talk about price change and earnings estimate revisions, two of the main aspects of the Momentum Style Score. It's also important to note that Style Scores work as a complement to the Zacks Rank, our stock rating system that has an impressive track record of outperformance. Barclays currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy). Our research shows that stocks rated Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and #2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B outperform the market over the following one-month period. You can see the current list of Zacks #1 Rank Stocks here >>> Set to Beat the Market? In order to see if BCS is a promising momentum pick, let's examine some Momentum Style elements to see if this financial holding company holds up. Looking at a stock's short-term price activity is a great way to gauge if it has momentum, since this can reflect both the current interest in a stock and if buyers or sellers have the upper hand at the moment. It is also useful to compare a security to its industry, as this can help investors pinpoint the top companies in a particular area. For BCS, shares are up 1.9% over the past week while the Zacks Banks - Foreign industry is up 0.13% over the same time period. Shares are looking quite well from a longer time frame too, as the monthly price change of 10.64% compares favorably with the industry's 4.44% performance as well. Considering longer term price metrics, like performance over the last three months or year, can be advantageous as well. Shares of Barclays have increased 18.63% over the past quarter, and have gained 40.75% in the last year. In comparison, the S&P 500 has only moved 10.82% and 32.56%, respectively. Investors should also take note of BCS's average 20-day trading volume. Volume is a useful item in many ways, and the 20-day average establishes a good price-to-volume baseline; a rising stock with above average volume is generally a bullish sign, whereas a declining stock on above average volume is typically bearish. Right now, BCS is averaging 15,577,282 shares for the last 20 days. Earnings Outlook The Zacks Momentum Style Score also takes into account trends in estimate revisions, in addition to price changes. Please note that estimate revision trends remain at the core of Zacks Rank as well. A nice path here can help show promise, and we have recently been seeing that with BCS. Over the past two months, 1 earnings estimate moved higher compared to none lower for the full year. These revisions helped boost BCS's consensus estimate, increasing from $1.61 to $1.62 in the past 60 days. Looking at the next fiscal year, 1 estimate has moved upwards while there have been no downward revisions in the same time period. Bottom Line Given these factors, it shouldn't be surprising that BCS is a #2 (Buy) stock and boasts a Momentum Score of B. If you're looking for a fresh pick that's set to soar in the near-term, make sure to keep Barclays on your short list. |
Posted at 22/2/2024 17:56 by johnwise Retail investors to get access to gilt auctions ..It also comes with UK public sector net debt standing at £2.54 trillion, or 96% of GDP, at the end of last year, and the government's gross financing requirement around £277 billion for the 2024-25, according to the Financial Times. Retail investors to get access to gilt auctions for first time via platforms Two of the UK's largest investment platforms will for the first time allow private investors to buy government bonds as they are issued. Winterflood Securities, one of the Debt Management Office's appointed dealers for gilts, is teaming up with Hargreaves Lansdown and Interactive Investor (ii) for the initial auction, which is scheduled for next Wednesday, 28 February. |
Posted at 03/2/2024 08:55 by diku Post 26295...below could be some of the reasons but think punters/investors feeling dis enfranchised seeing share prices/FTSE not making any headways...all too evident household names shares trading at multi year lows...while those US mega techs and indices making new all time highs...total disconnect...and as for the BODs they are laughing all the way to their bank...what are punters/investors buying into...company or a moving mechanism called the share price?...and recently investors have grabbed 5- 6% return on savings knowing money is safe...City analysts partly blame the cost of living crisis, with high prices for food, energy and transport leaving little to invest in the stock market. Khalaf adds: “If domestic fund investors won’t invest in UK funds, it’s little wonder the UK stock market is struggling, and so many UK companies are seeking to list overseas. Over eight years of pain, more than £46 billion has been withdrawn from UK Equity funds by retail investors, with £24.7 billion whipped out in the last two years alone.” |
Posted at 04/1/2024 13:41 by johnwise AsiaChina Stress-Tests Global Economy At Moment Of Maximum Anxiety Beijing’s actions have returned knots to all too many investors’ stomachs. After 11-plus years watching Xi Jinping operate, global investors have learned to watch what China’s leader actually does, not what he says. Consider, for example, how Xi’s team spent the homestretch of 2023 talking big about revitalizing the reform process and championing private-sector innovation. Xi spoke the language of foreign funds keen to ride China’s economic rise. Yet that was before his government’s actions returned knots to all too many investors’ stomachs. Just 10 days before year end, Beijing rocked markets with draft guidelines intended to limit consumption on online gaming. It was the latest perceived attempt by Chinese policymakers to maintain control of the virtual economy. In doing so, investors came away fearing that Xi and his team learned little from the tech crack crackdowns of recent years. “The rules looked like a rerun of the regulatory crackdown of 2021, because of their draconian restrictions on the types of spending that drive much gaming revenue and led to a sharp selloff in major gaming companies,” says Andrew Batson, analyst at Gavekal Dragonomics. “But it is not the details of the rules that are the main issue. It is that the aggressive intervention came after months of what seemed to be supportive government rhetoric toward the internet sector.” It’s a reminder of how China is likely to stress-test the global economy as never before in 2024, and a moment of maximum anxiety for Asia. Though Batson points to 2021, the real original sin on this tech narrative was November 2020. That’s when China’s government went after China’s most influential tech founder: Jack Ma of Alibaba Group fame. At the time, Ma was effectively “disappeared.& |
Posted at 02/1/2024 10:31 by johnwise Why Investors Should Keep an Eye on the Bank of Japan in 2024Japan's inflation has led to expectations of a shift away from negative interest rates and yield curve control policies. Changes in the BoJ's policy could have significant implications for bond markets and financial stability, particularly in pension and insurance sectors. A shift in Japanese monetary policy could also impact global financial markets, considering Japan's substantial investment in foreign assets, including U.S. Treasuries and government bonds in other advanced economies. The Bank of Japan now owns 70 percent of all outstanding 5-year, and more than 80 percent of outstanding 10-year, Japanese government bonds, according to the IMF. “Cheaply borrowing in yen and investing in foreign assets has been easy money for those involved,” Gordon Shannon, portfolio manager at Twenty Four Asset Management said. “But even just the anticipation of a less predictable BoJ will shake some participants out of the carry trade, again reducing the demand for foreign assets,” he continued. If and when rates start rising in Japan, domestic investors will likely pull back somewhat from their international presence which could have a huge impact on financial stability at a time when there is already significant volatility in bond markets. Japanese investors are the largest holders of US Treasuries outside the US. They are major holders of government bonds in most advanced economies, including around 10 percent of Australian and Dutch debt. They also have a significant presence in the UK, owning around five percent of government debt and between one and two percent of UK equities. If Japanese investors change their behaviour meaningfully, already nervous markets could have a huge dose of uncertainty thrown in too. |
Posted at 15/12/2023 15:01 by bernie37 The mystery of Britain’s dirt-cheap stockmarketIt might be old and unfashionable, but investors are ignoring surprisingly juicy yields An illustration of a person waving a pair Union Jacks while being squashed by three large magnifying glasses. image: satoshi kambayashi Dec 14th 2023 Share Listen to this story. Enjoy more audio and podcasts on iOS or Android. It is hard to get a man to understand something, wrote Upton Sinclair, an American novelist, when his salary depends on not understanding it. Hard, but not impossible: just look at those paid to promote Britain’s stockmarket. Bankers and stock-exchange bosses have an interest in declaring it an excellent place to list new, exciting businesses, as do politicians. Yet deep down they seem keenly aware that it is doomed. Government ministers once spoke of “Big Bang 2.0”, a mixture of policies aiming to rejuvenate the City of London and, especially, attract initial public offerings (ipos). But if anyone ever thought an explosive, Thatcherite wave of deregulation was on its way, they do not any more. The new rules are now known as the more squib-like “Edinburgh reforms”. On December 8th the chair of the parliamentary committee overseeing their implementation chastised the responsible minister for a “lack of progress or economic impact”. In any case, says the boss of one bank’s European ipo business, he is unaware of any company choosing an ipo venue based on its listing rules. Instead, clients ask how much money their shares will fetch and how readily local investors will support their business. These are fronts on which the City has long been found wanting. Even those running Britain’s bourse seem to doubt its chances of revival. Its parent company recently ran an advertising campaign insisting that its name is pronounced “l-seg” rather than “London Stock Exchange Group”; that it operates far beyond London; and that running a stock exchange is “just part” of what it does. London’s future as a global-equity hub seems increasingly certain. It will be drearier. If everyone agrees London is a bad place to list, international firms will go elsewhere. But what about those already listed there? Their persistent low valuation is a big part of what is off-putting for others. And it is much harder to explain than a self-fulfilling consensus that exciting firms do not list in London. The canonical justification for London-listed stocks being cheap is simple. British pension funds have spent decades swapping shares for bonds and British securities for foreign ones, which has left less domestic capital on offer for companies listing in London. Combined with a reputation for fusty investors who prefer established business models to new ones, that led to disruptive tech companies with the potential for rapid growth listing elsewhere. London’s stock exchange was left looking like a museum: stuffed with banks, energy firms, insurers and miners. Their shares deserve to be cheap because their earnings are unlikely to rise much. All of this is true, but it cannot explain the sheer scale of British underperformance. The market’s flagship ftse 100 index now trades at around ten times the value of its underlying firms’ annual earnings—barel Britain’s ftse 100 firms, meanwhile, are already making profits worth 10% of their value each year. Even if their earnings do not grow at all, that is well above the 4% available on ten-year Treasury bonds and more than double the equivalent yield on the s&p 500. At the same time, higher interest rates ought to have made the immediate cashflows available from British stocks more valuable than the promise of profits in the distant future. Why haven’t they? No explanation is particularly compelling. British pension funds might no longer be buying domestic stocks, but international investors are perfectly capable of stepping in. Some sectors represented in the ftse—tobacco, for instance—may see profits dwindle, but most will not. Britain’s economy has hardly boomed, but it has so far avoided the recession that seemed a sure thing a year ago. Global investors seem content to ignore Britain’s market, despite its unusually high yield and their own angst about low yields elsewhere. Yet spotting such things is what their salaries depend on. There is something Sinclair might have found hard to understand.■ |
Posted at 29/8/2023 07:36 by johnwise VIDEO28 Aug 2023 During this week, the U.S. Treasury market encountered significant turmoil due to widespread sell-offs, resulting in the 10-year treasury yield surging rapidly to 4.2 percent. This marked the highest level since the 2008 financial crisis. The abrupt increase in yields raised concerns among investors, who started contemplating the potential risks associated with the Federal Reserve's consideration of raising interest rates once again. "U.S. Treasury Market Chaos: 10-Year Yield Hits Alarming 4.2% Video The sharp surge in treasury yields also posed a threat to bond prices, prompting investors to trim their holdings in order to prevent losses. On August 24th, a report from the U.S. Treasury highlighted the lackluster performance in recent auctions of various term treasury bonds, totaling $58 billion. Notably, purchases of U.S. bonds by foreign investors plummeted by a staggering 90 percent over the past two weeks, dwindling to a mere $3.915 billion. This steep decline, compared to the previous month's $7.868 billion, underscored a dip in investor confidence. This decline sheds light on the global unease surrounding U.S. treasuries, as foreign investors start to decrease their reliance on them. In a notable development, Deutsche Bank's global economic risk report, released on the 24th, posed a critical question: Can investors maintain their investment in U.S. treasuries amid the current high-risk debt environment and the crises faced by regional banks? |
Posted at 11/8/2023 06:14 by leoneobull Interesting post on LSE?Mike Buck, CEO at Mongolian oil developer Petro Matad speaks to London South East/focusIR and gives an extensive operational update. Watch the full video here.Less Ads, More Data, More Tools Register for FREE Share PricesBarclays Share PriceBarclays Share Chat?Barclays Share Chat (BARC)?BARC SharePrice?BARC ShareNews?BARC ShareChat1?BARC ShareTrades?BARCLive RNSBarclays Information ?Buy BARC Shares?Add BARC to Watchlist?Add BARC to Alert?Share Price Information for Barclays (BARC)? Share Price is delayed by 15 minutesGet Live DataShare Price:148.00Bid:148. |
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