Aviva Share Discussion Threads

[buywell3] 02/1/2019 19:20

Timing is all


AV. RSI has just turned down

[uppompeii] 02/1/2019 19:15

I'm afraid I do buywell, I just don't get too excited having been through 30+ years of it. Win some years, lose others. But if you withdraw from the market, history tells us, as I'm sure you know, that you will lose big time.

[whatsup32] 02/1/2019 19:14

Danielbird.

I’m in at 478 as well. Like you will hold.

Worst shares around.
Edited... There are worst shares around

[warranty] 02/1/2019 18:47

Dr B, are these the same experts who predicted the disaster from even a Brexit vote to leave, or the same experts who predicted Armageddon from the millennium bug or like the experts at the IMF who continually get their forecasts wrong. There will be no catastrophe from an orderly WTO Brexit, just a need for businesses on both sides to adjust to the new conditions. You really should stop listening to all the brainwashing from the so called "experts" who entirely coincidentally support Remain.

Once a decision is made on either Mays deal or WTO deal then markets will recover and our AV shares will soon return to previous highs. Just a little patience needed.

[buywell3] 02/1/2019 18:46

Anyone who has bought this or any other financial stock in the last 2 years is not looking at the macros that drive markets

The main macro is the USA

OIL and Consumer confidence data both suggest a sharp pull-back is coming this year
it is in fact underway

But over there , for now, value hunters have waded back in that the Global Downturn won't hurt America.

Thus a new batch of fresh money is now sitting on the cusp of a 25% to 30% decline in 6 months ... which historical data shows if you do your homework, which you guys don't.

[engelbert1969] 02/1/2019 17:43

I'm averaging 431 after starting to buy in 5 months ago.

[danielbird193] 02/1/2019 17:25

My average "in" price is 478p. Assuming a total 2018 dividend of 30.2p per share I'm on for a 6.3% yield which still feels juicy enough for me to hold on (despite a slight ache from the 22% capital loss so far!)

[dr biotech] 02/1/2019 16:53

Corbyn would likely be a disaster in my mind. Problem is though, we have a lot of (mostly) right wing brexiteer MPs who say we should ignore the experts that say Brexit will be a catastrophe - why should we then believe them about having a hard left govt? We are in a post truth world where bluster and hyperbole count for more than truth. The orange buffoon doesn’t help either.

As for AV getting a decent CEO ASAP is crucial. Next few weeks ideally. I’ve bought a few more, guessing the current yield is about 8.5% if the finals are solid. Whole market is shaky, not that anyone needs reminding

[uppompeii] 02/1/2019 16:36

But what is your actual yield based on your purchase price? :-/

[danielbird193] 02/1/2019 16:19

Corbyn gets in and who knows from there. Whatever happens AV. has taken a hammering and there's a few of us on here nursing our losses. Long-term this looks like a pretty little picture though, the value will shine through eventually.

They need a new CEO to give them some focus and direction. In the meantime I'm lapping up the 8% divvy (albeit with a slightly burned tongue).

[danielbird193] 02/1/2019 16:19

Corbyn gets in and who knows from there. Whatever happens AV. has taken a hammering and there's a few of us on here nursing our losses. Long-term this looks like a pretty little picture though, the value will shine through eventually.

They need a new CEO to give them some focus and direction. In the meantime I'm lapping up the 8% divvy (albeit with a slightly burned tongue).

[whatsup32] 02/1/2019 15:22

What happens if only Labour promise referendum

[buywell3] 02/1/2019 14:48

Brexit will get delayed by at least 12 months

Then both parties will promise a referendum .. again

TO try to win selection for the next election

Don't you find politics so riveting

[whatsup32] 02/1/2019 14:21

WJ.

I viewed AV. as a defensive stock , finances looked good , dividend safe , future bright. Past 3 months I’m down 25%

Will continue holding

[w1ndjammer] 02/1/2019 13:49

Are we there yet ! ?

WJ.

[whatsup32] 02/1/2019 11:37

. the broker who made the comment is I’m informed a clown . He does not understand insurance and he does not understand life.

Still we sink lower

[essentialinvestor] 02/1/2019 10:57

So selling the back book could lead to a 40% price appreciation.
You do wonder how some of these people find gainful employment.

Take a look at what happened to SLA going down that route.

[essentialinvestor] 02/1/2019 10:55

That's incorrect. AV. Has significantly underperformed the UKX over
the last 12 months. Unless by most of the stock market you mean a different benchmark.

[bothdavis] 02/1/2019 10:11

Brexit, Trump, etc

Once all sorted only THEN will we see some normality return to the markets.

This share is no different in terms of performance than most in the stock market.

CALM, CALM, DEEP BREATHING!

[buywell3] 02/1/2019 08:32

IT's Financials as a whole

That sector is not going to be many investors choice IMO in 2019 or 2020

[gaffer73] 02/1/2019 08:24

They need to do something, this is death by a thousand cuts at the moment.

[uppompeii] 31/12/2018 12:24

That'll get the share price back to where it was a few months ago...jeez, this share is hard work. With its boring composite book you'd think it wouldn't get hit as hard as the likes of SLA.

[whatsup32] 31/12/2018 11:33

There is an article on Aviva in the FT today.

‘Investors hope a new broom will rejuvenate Aviva’

Looking at future strategy and the quest for a new boss.

Citi analiyst James Shuck suggests selling back book investments could that raise £8 Billion and add 40% to share price.

I suggest we give the job to him :)

[uppompeii] 27/12/2018 22:54

I saw some chap on cnbc earlier today running through that.Nevertheless....!