Andalas Energy And Power Share Discussion Threads

[ronjoe77] 01/3/2018 03:32

HMRC will be looking into you and my accounts hope your well up to date

[ronjoe77] 01/3/2018 03:08

ok now with interview with TW ,,,,,why do you hate ADL cos i can
and is late true ///no i just hata ADL

[ronjoe77] 01/3/2018 02:59

so why do you post on this site

[ronjoe77] 01/3/2018 02:38

what is your goal in life ???

[ronjoe77] 01/3/2018 02:36

sweet karolina why do you post here???

[patch13] 28/2/2018 18:15

Apoligies - after

[patch13] 28/2/2018 18:15

Aw sweetie - not invested but still trolling - you must be disappointed that there was no RNS on takeover code - tut tut - whoever you spoke to at takeover panel clearly not doing there job. Now riddle me this - why would ADL invite questions from investors if they are going bust or going for mega dilution? Seems odd surely they should hold an investors q&a before announcing such news - no doubt you will have an Armageddon theory - what a looser

[sweet karolina] 28/2/2018 17:46

New all time low today and an RNS to look forward to tomorrow. Will the RNS be the bad news that the death spiral loan notes have been issued and mega dilution is on its way or will it be the disastrous news that the death spiral has been pulled and ADL will go bust without a replacement scheme in place PDQ?

[ronjoe77] 28/2/2018 06:18

Those horses that started at large odds (25-1+) on their final start before Cheltenham have really struggled to land a blow...

3/227 | 1% S/R | -£167.66 BFLSP Win & Place 22/227 | 10% S/R

Horses that were unfancied in their warm-up race for Cheltenham need to be treated with plenty of caution, with only a measly 1% of them making into the winner’s circle.

The figures are even worse if you only consider the last 4 years – 0/126 | 0% S/R | -£126 BFLSP – W&P 11/126 | 9% S/R. The 3 that did manage to win all won in Handicap company and were aged 8yo or 9yo.

[ronjoe77] 28/2/2018 06:14

Only TWO of the 138 horses to try and win a Grade One off the back of a break of 24 days or less have been successful...

2/138 | 1.5% S/R | -£93.71 BFLSP Win & Place 14/138 | 10% S/R

Whilst race fitness is a serious bonus in the Grade 1 races (77 of 79 G1 winners ran within last 90 days) it’s even more important to have had adequate rest. Those runners returning within 3½ weeks of their latest run (overall figures above) have really struggled to make an impact in the G1 Cheltenham Festival races. (Incidentally both winners were trained by Gordon Elliott)

[ronjoe77] 27/2/2018 06:55

words haven't been written to describe you yet.
But till then you can have this...your nothing but a jobbie sniffer.

[turbotrader2] 26/2/2018 22:26

You are a smack head

[ronjoe77] 26/2/2018 19:29

you can lay this baby now on three sites but don't spook the market...just do 10£ at a time once match repeat...its got a 90% chance it wont run...so its money for old rope if it does turn up on the day it will lose :o)

[ronjoe77] 26/2/2018 19:05

1. Our Duke finally got his season up and running in the Red Mills Chase…
After two relatively uninspiring efforts this season, where he finished a well beaten fav both times, last season’s Irish National winner finally got himself back in the winners enclosure at the third attempt, holding off (the strangely campaigned so far this season) Presenting Percy in an absorbing battle down the Gowran home-straight.

In the aftermath of that victory he saw his odds contract into single figures for the Cheltenham Gold Cup and suddenly he was a live player again.

But is he really…?

The 8yo clearly holds plenty of talent, and there is no doubt he’s got a fair old engine under the bonnet, but his tendency to whack a couple of fences along the way is becoming a bit of a worry and those errors, that are now creeping into his game more and more, could really find him out at Cheltenham.

That, however, is not my main concern regarding his Cheltenham Gold Cup hopes. No. For me the main worry is the fact he had his warm up for the big race at Gowran Park.

Horses going on to the Festival having had their last start before Cheltenham at Gowran (in the past 10 years) are a rather miserable 1/102 | 1% S/R | -£93.00 LSP – W&P 16/102 | 16% S/R – 84% below expectation

Even more worrying is the record of those horses when their Festival run is at G1 level…

0/58 | 0% S/R | -£58.00 LSP – W&P 7/58 | 12% S/R

For whatever reason Gowran Park has been a pretty disastrous warm-up track for Cheltenham Festival hopefuls!

To throw further shade on the horse’s Gold Cup chances is the fact that his regular pilot, Robbie Power, has, unsurprisingly, decided to pair himself with Harrington’s other Gold Cup runner Sizing John, meaning that Our Duke will have the assistance of Noel Fehily in the saddle for the first time.

Now the issue here isn’t Noel Fehily, far from it, he’s easily one of the best in the business at present, his talents are in no way up for dispute here. What does give me cause for concern, however, is the following stat…

15 of the last 15 Gold Cup winners had been ridden at least twice by their jockey prior to winning the Gold Cup

Those horses that were being ridden for the first or second time by their pilots are…

0/45 | 0% S/R | -£45.00 LSP – W&P 8/45 | 18% S/R

The heat of the Gold Cup battle is obviously no place to be getting to know your horse, it’s not the place to be figuring out the likes and dislike of the animal, how it likes to attack it’s fences, how best to correct it when it’s meeting a fence all wrong, yadda yadda yadda…

These things need to have been ironed out prior to tackling one of the toughest contests the sport has to offer, the stats suggest it’s not something that can be worked out as you go along (the Gold Cup challenge) and it’s an added unknown that just complicates the Our Duke picture further.

He’s a fine horse but I can’t help but feel he’s more of a Punchestown Gold Cup player than a Cheltenham Gold Cup player…

The Gold Cup challenge looks a tough one for Our Duke…

[therealtonythetiger] 26/2/2018 13:23

Cheers Ron..

[ronjoe77] 26/2/2018 11:31

don't back over 10yer in any race.catch tomorr

[ronjoe77] 26/2/2018 11:28

2/171 | 1% S/R | -£158.66 BFLSP Win & Place 26/174 | 15% S/R Yes, sentimentality, as always, leads you to the Festival poor-house. The simple facts are that the old boys (and girls) struggle to get their heads in front at the Cheltenham Festival. This isn’t a place for old legs and it is the younger generation that holds sway here. For the record the winners came in the X-Country Chase & the Kim Muir Chase, both of who had excellent records at the track.

[ronjoe77] 26/2/2018 10:53

sorry for not been ADl ...

[ronjoe77] 26/2/2018 10:41

It may seem obvious but this has been a nailed on starting point at the last six Cheltenham Festivals when you are looking to narrow down the Grade 1 Chase fields. If there is a horse lining up in one of the top-level chases and they have not tasted victory on 1 of their last 3 starts prior to the festival, then there’s a good chance they will come up short on the big day. Those that tried to win a G1 Chase without a victory in their last 3 are 1/77 | 1% S/R | -£52.51 BFLSP

[therealtonythetiger] 26/2/2018 07:31

Thanks Ron..