Amryt Pharma Share Discussion Threads

[papillon] 01/5/2019 15:27

I wouldn't want to share a room with MADLOSS, Tiananmen, because I'm told he smells. LOL

I will continue to have small top ups in AMYT in the coming months because I think it is a good gamble in the lead up to the AP101 final phase III trial results irrespective of whether the trial results are deemed successful, or unsuccessful. I just think the AMYT Mkt Cap is currently too low bearing in mind the possibility of the phase III trial being deemed successful hence leading to the shares being significantly rerated and the fact that AMYT already has a revenue generating drug, Lojuxta, which is capable of significant growth. There is also the possibility (remote?) of another Lojuxta type licensing deal being struck.


PS I particularly liked this bit in last months final results RNS:

"Revenue growth has been further strengthened by a 118% increase in quarterly revenues from Saudi Arabia from Q4 2018 to Q1 2019." after initial orders where received from Saudi Arabia in Q4 2018. It has been mentioned before in an RNS that those of Middle East origin are more genetically pre disposed to suffer from HoFH so Saudi Arabia is a potentially big market for Lojuxta relative to other areas of the world. Consequently I'm hopeful that the current AMYT Mkt Cap is fully supported by Lojuxta and that AP101 and AP103 potential is being given negligible (or even no) value in the current Mkt Cap. So I see AMYT as a very tempting gamble at the current so on the prospects for AP101 and AP103 and with limited downside because of Lojuxta.

That's my opinion. MADLOSS and purple may have different opinions, but I don't take notice of pumpers and dumpers like them. I use my own judgement. It's my money and I'll gamble with it as I see fit. They can stuff their opinions up their you know where!

[papillon] 01/5/2019 14:19

mdalos1
1 May '19 - 13:34 - 4415 of 4416
0 0 0
I'm puzzled Flutterby

Given that at one point you possibly had around £6k locked in and were well underwater, then claimed you'd averaged down/topped up over time to the point that you unlocked yourself from that paper loss after a particular peak some months ago... AND given your sentiment about this Business, its Plans, timescales and indebtedness changed very noticeably throughout that stressful period... why are you still invested at all AND why would you start putting yourself back into as precarious a situation as you were previously in ?

You already know nothing new's happening here and unlikely to happen for months.
You already know it's MCAP is at best about right, all things considered.
You should already know the SP's going to continue to slide.

No Fool like an old Fool ????

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You're puzzled, MADLOSS, because you're an idiot. As I posted at the time I significantly increased my AMYT stake to around £6k during December when the share price was under 13p. I admit I had shares bought at over 20p, but I only buy in circa £500 lots. Also my original bet, back in early 2015, was when the company was a "cash shell" and called FAST. The bet was made at just over 2p; equivalent to circa 17p after allowing for the 1 for 8 consolidation. I sold all of my AMYT shares, save for token 2,000, for circa 16p earlier this year. All recorded on this bb at the time.

You're BORING me MADLOSS, so I've filtered you. Goodbye and good riddance. You're like purple11. A fantasist.

[tiananmen] 01/5/2019 13:48

You two need to get a room!

[papillon] 01/5/2019 11:40

Had a small top up first thing this morning (£600). Showing up as a sell on the financial web sites. Chart is beginning to look interesting.

[papillon] 30/4/2019 22:35

Back in early December 2018, mdalos, before the interim update, you reckoned that the AP101 interim trial news had an 86% chance of being UNSUCCESSFUL.

mdalos1 - 10 Dec 2018 - 22:30:35 - 3841 of 3842
Amryt Pharma - AMYT
I suggested the share price might go to 8.75p based on bad Trial news this quarter.
I suggested the share price might go to around 18.75p on much better Trial news this quarter.
I suggested there's a >50% and maybe as high as 86% chance of the Trial news not being at all favourable.

mdalos1
5 Dec '18 - 23:19 - 3796 of 3797
0 0 0
8.75p beckons

mdalos1
4 Dec '18 - 20:32 - 3776 of 3783
0 0 0
I told you this about the likely new News many months ago you FOOL... and yet you also don't get how there's obviously a >50% likelihood of it not being good news. I've cut this so many ways for you this past year... it's >50%, it's easily 66% and there's a distinct possibility it's around 86%.

[papillon] 30/4/2019 22:20

mdalos1
30 Apr '19 - 20:02 - 4410 of 4410
0 0 0
like I've previously said... last year for example... 85%

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Prove it. Oh I forgot, you can't! LOL. The only 85 I remember you posting last year was the 8.5p share price target you had for AMYT.

[papillon] 30/4/2019 11:32

mdalos1
30 Apr '19 - 09:10 - 4408 of 4408
0 0 0
85%... like I've always said.

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Have you always said that, mdalos? Only we have no means of verifying that because you delete all of your posts within days of posting them! LOL. You could be peddling fake news for all we know! LOL Anyway 85% of what? An 85% chance of success, or an 85% chance of failure. Even AMYT's peer group probably couldn't accurately forecast the percentage chance of success with AP101 so how can an ignoramus like you do it? After all Amicus proved to have squandered US$294m (their upfront payment) on Scioderm when the latter's AP101 competitor failed it's phase III trial. If Amicus can't get it right when trying to predict the future, what hope have you?

[papillon] 27/4/2019 21:22

We can all post that we are overall winners, purple, it's proving it that's the problem! I made a bit of money out of gambling in LOGP & PVR shares over the recent past, but I can't prove it. Just like you and mdalos I could be telling porkies. I can also boast of even making an extremely tiny profit gambling in FAST/AMYT shares since the start of 2015, but I can't prove it. I can also own up to losing £4k on what I thought was a dead cert in OXS (litigation), but (fortunately!) I can't prove it.
I don't think reading Jesse Livermore quotes will ever make me into another Warren Buffet, but thanks anyway. If they could then I wouldn't be wasting my time posting on ADVFN message boards. Good Luck anyway, whether you are a winner as you state, or a loser.

PS. I see someone has deleted mdalos's latest post. What a shame! Now I can't read his pearls of wisdom. LOL.

[purple11] 27/4/2019 17:28

Winnings exceeded expections in my case.

although its not like 2010-2015 admittedly.

read jesse Livermore and youll get a jist of how to play it.gl

[papillon] 27/4/2019 16:22

purple11
27 Apr '19 - 07:28 - 4399 of 4399
0 0 0
o pappy wot a doggie

down she goes

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Well it wont distress me too much, "o" wise one, if it does continue to fall as I only have a mere pittance (a token amount) invested in AMYT. In fact I only have a pittance invested in shares; basically only my token 10k shareholding in AMYT. Gambling on AIM shares is a mugs game as far as I'm concerned as the losers far, far, outweigh the winners. I did have shares in LOGP and PVR, but sold them early because delays in the drilling schedule are bad for their share prices.

I'll continue to follow AMYT, LOGP & PVR and might have a punt on them in future as I like a small flutter now and again.

Personally I don't feel AMYT has much further to fall, but who can tell? None of us, you and mdalos included, can accurately predict the future. In fact if the AP101 trial is deemed successful then I can see the AMYT share price multi-bagging. The big question is will it be successful? No idea, but it must be worth a small punt at the current price.

PS. These bb's are full of know it alls who think they can predict the future and who make out they are (big time) successful investors. Walter Mitty's who imagine themselves to be Warren Buffett's! LOL

[purple11] 27/4/2019 07:28

o pappy wot a doggie

down she goes

[papillon] 26/4/2019 22:30

mdalos1
26 Apr '19 - 20:14 - 4396 of 4397
0 0 0
Looks like the sort of Advert that precedes a "still making progress with a, b, c and give us some more money to make it happen and make you rich" event.... share price could be about to take another noticeable hit ahead of any worthwhile new News on the development & sales fronts.

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I wonder if the share price will find support at the current sp?

[bermudashorts] 26/4/2019 20:45

lol - think they'd have to do a bit better than that if it's intended to be pre-funding hype