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| Share Name | Share Symbol | Market | Stock Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Active Risk | ARI | London | Ordinary Share |
| Price Change | Price Change % | Share Price | Last Trade
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | 0.00% | 35.00 | 00:00:00 |
| Open Price | Low Price | High Price | Close Price | Previous Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.00 |
| Top Posts |
|---|
Posted at 07/4/2009 14:52 by jakes114 I cant believe that this wont be a lot higher by year end Dec that is nice divi too I have a strong befief that 550p will be the figureAny takers Jakes I expect you can guess that I have just bought some |
Posted at 25/6/2008 11:30 by spacecake If the oil price were to reverse trend ari would have chance of a break upwards. |
Posted at 20/6/2007 15:28 by indieman The chart suggests a different outcome. Looked at in the round, ARI has had a wonderful 8 year bull run and I've participated in some of it. It has increased about 400% in that time, albeit with a few intermediate downturns along the way. It looks as though that is ending, although how long the new phase will last is an open question. It could just be another intermediate correction, in which case it will be a matter of months; it has already dropped 14% over a few weeks. All of this could be thrown out of the window by a takeover bid or similar as has happened to other stocks. Look at the chart and see what you think. Maybe you'll see something I've missed or misinterpreted. All of this could be thrown out of the window by a takeover bid or similar. It's happened before and will do so again. |
Posted at 30/12/2006 21:45 by illiswilgig Yep, I'm gaining nicely. Have been in this one since it was at 183p. I remember being annoyed that I missed it at 163p. It's one of a number of stocks that I bought when unloved and with new management in place to turn them around (eg FSJ, CAR et al). I think the management is going to keep on acquiring in europe until ARI is transformed. Providing they don't do a stagecoach and overdo it then I am going to stay around to participate in the rewards. Happy and prosperous to other holders, |
Posted at 03/5/2006 12:43 by edjgee Sure bouncing about, reading a Market Bottom in Yahoo but yep I guess fuel worries must be it. Must be able to pass on some costs to customers. All transport is hit with same problem, example windy easyjet's today reveleations. ARI seems good co to me but looking to dump this rollercoater at next hump for something golden/silver etc |
Posted at 24/1/2006 10:46 by laconian Hi gentlemen,I can not offer much in the way of fundamentals, except to say that since 2000 ARI's growth seems to be slow but certain. Date Profit/£m 31/12/00 72.1 31/12/01 76 31/12/02 80.6 31/12/03 83.8 31/12/04 98.4 31/12/05 forecast 110.5 31/12/06 forecast 113.83 31/12/07 forecast 123.99 (data taken from Sharescope) 2000 was not a good year. And turnover growth has not been perfectly smooth either. So what does this mean? Well there are other fundamental which we could look at. But at this point I am tempted to look at the charts. I have not realised how to post a chart here yet. So I will have to read off the values to you. Support lines found via "joining the dots" between the following points: a) price on 29/04/2005 b) price on 21/10/2005 A broken Support line: a) price on 26/08/2005 b) price on 29/11/2005 As for a top resistance line: a) price on 04/08/2005 b) price on 12/12/2005 These are only two points for each, but I think that once drawn, you will see that these lines seems strong possibilities for the support and resistance lines. Currently we are in a downward trend, which has been exaggerated at the end (recently) by bad news from the States and the Far Eastern market (should not affect ARI badly in the mid term). However, I do not believe that ARI can go much further down, since it is currently at the bottom of the larger trend going upwards. Therefore, I expect a turning point soon (soon both in time and in price). This may all sound like rubbish to you, which I will not mind, because I may be incorrect, but I believe the above to be correct. I have entered recently into a long position, accounting the risk for any residual falls, which I doubt will occur, but I must factor in, else I will not sleep well at night. I hope that helps. At least you have my point of view. Please feel free to give you opinion. |
Posted at 02/2/2004 15:00 by neefax In the past I've posted mentioning the German interest, this appears to have waned considerably, one wonders whether they were disapointed with what they found upon closer examination of the 'picture'. The fall in price is worrying to say the least. I guess the year end figures will disapoint the market, though the dividend will be as robust as ever, which may help sentiment. |
Posted at 11/10/2003 10:33 by neefax I believe Arriva to be a solid company, well managed, cash generative, excellent dividend, potential to be bought out by venture capital outfit or European trandport operator must rate very likely imho. |
Posted at 03/9/2003 23:08 by neefax Tomorrow will be an interesting day, 6 months figures released at 7.00 a.m., I believe. Should be a good set of figures and probable 5% rise in dividend. Robust outfit must be an attraction to venture capitalists due to its increasing cash flow. However, I would expect a National Express link up, takeover or more likely, approach from European transport company, I'm holding on for now. |
Posted at 30/8/2002 17:44 by energyi PRESENTATION NOTES: French Guiana Assets of Hope Bay Gold - May 2002 (1) Summary - All properties located in NE French Guiana - Property package over 300 square kilometers . known resources, gold-bearing structure and deposit identified - Own whole belt - Circa 1.9 million ounces in resources - 11 other prospects/ exploration projects (2) Summary, continued... - Camp Caiman feasibility witin 12 months - Hope Bay business model . developement projects with huge exploration upside - Unequalled financial packages for development (Pons law) - Separate vehicle from Hope Bay Gold: Ariane Gold Corp. (3) French Guian Summary - Located NE South America - Politically part of France (Domtar) - Guiana Shield geology . host to several large gold deposits - Tropical rain forest environment - Good services - Excellent financial packages available for development (4) Guiana Shield - Simplified Geology (map showing mine loactions: Las Christinas: 8.0 mn oz. Omai......: 3.6 mn oz. Gross Rosebel: 2.1 mn oz. Yaou-Dorlin..: 1.0 mn oz. Camp Caiman.: 2.1 mn oz. (5) Property Summary - Camp Caiman (acquired from Asarco - Feb.2002) - 11 other permits along 40 km of strike - HGC own the whole belt - Same geological setting as Caiman - 2 areas of former production - Good infrastructure (6) Permits in NE French Guiana (map showing locations of permits near Regina): Camp Caiman permits, Cogema permits (optioned to CBJ in 2000, and in 1998) Tortue permits, Mataroni permits, Cipanama, Trois Pitons Ouest, Trois Pitons (7) HGC Permits (map showing rock types and gold mineralisation at Belizon, and near Doyle/ Ste. Marie) (8) Property History - Camp Caiman acquired from Asarco - Feb.2002 - US $14mn spent ion exploartion by previous owners - Pre-Asarco: BRGM - Other properties acquired from Cogema and Cambior - Previous owners BRGM - US $9mn spent on these properties - Changement and Ste-Marie produced 65,000 oz. (9) Camp Caiman - Geology and Resources - Greenstone hosted, structurally controlled orebodies, relating to . folding, porphyries, and stratigraphic controls - Two orebodies - Scout and c-88 - Orebodies are both saprolite (oxide) and hard rock (suplphide) - Over 20,000 metres of RC and 39,000 metres of diamond drilling - Resources calculated by polygonal X sections at 0.5g/t & 1.0g/t cutoffs (10) Camp Caiman - Resources Cut-off:... Indicated Resorces Inferred Resources ........... Tonnes Grade Gold. Tonnes Grade Gold. ........... ...... ..... 000's ...... ..... 000's (0.5 g/t).. ...... ..... oz.s. ...... ..... oz.s. Saprolite... 3,644. 2.74 321.5. 6,478. 1.74 363.4 Rock........ 4,562. 3.42 501.4. 9,032. 2.35 683.7 Total....... 8,206. 3.12 822.9 15,510. 2.10 1047. ... (1.0 g/t).. ...... ..... oz.s. ...... ..... oz.s. Saprolite... 3,040. 3.13 306.2. 4,793. 2.08 320.5 Rock........ 4,368. 3.53 496.3. 7,838. 2.59 652.1 Total....... 7,408. 3.37 802.5 12,631. 2.40 972.6 (11) Camp Caiman - Development Work - Asarco did advanced scoping study on Caiman - Envisaged mining oxides and sulphides - Sulphides are refractory - probably not economic at current gold price - Further metallurgical work required on sulphides - AGC will concentrate on oxides initially . Sulphide development at later date - All environmental work already completed by Asarco (12) Camp Caiman - Potential - AGC believes that there is significant potential to increase both oxide . and sulphide potential at Caiman - Strike extensions of both Scout and C-88 zones - Only ~20% of BRGM soil anomoly in permit area has benn tested - Similar geology to Scout and C-88 zones within permit area untested . repeats highly likely - In-fill drilling in both Scout and C-88 should increase resources (13) Camp Caiman - C-88 and Scout Zones (map showing the two zones, and areas where similar may exist) (14) Camp Caiman - HGC Program - In-fill drilling of existing zone to ioncrease resources (oxides) and . bring resources to mineable reserves - Test for extensions of existing orebodies: :- C-88 to southeast along fold hinge :- Scout zone to east and west - old workings to west - Test other BRGM soil anomolies in permit area - Test other structural equivalents of Scout zone in permit area - Complete feasibility study on oxide resources (15) Camp Caiman - Development Plan - In-fill and extension drilling on existing resources- target: 1 million oz. - Permit exploration - Estimated time: 6-8 months - Budget: US$3 million - Feasibility - early 2003 - Find additional oxide resources on other projects . Changement and Ste-Marie can truck to Caiman (16) Other Permits - SE French Guiana between Cayenne and Regina - Good infrastructure- on main RN2 highway, with most prospects within . 500m of road. Power line runs alongside properties. - Permits cover area of 284 sq.km, along ~40km of strike - Same geological setting as Camp Caiman - Good availability of services - own camp + Cayenne & Regina - 11 documnented gold prospects - 3 areas of old workings (17) HGC Permits (Map showing locations of the other permits) (18) Permits - Details - Contains a number of old workings and anomloies - not fully tested - Changement - 32,000 oz. in 300m long x 30m deep pit, . shear zone known to extend for 1.2 km - Ste-Marie - 10,000 oz in quartz veins, several other mineralised zones . to be tested - Filon Dron - shear zone - Cogema 4-6 g/t over 6 m width for several . hundred metres - Carrefour Belizon - 500m long structure 4.4 g/t in deep augering at . 100x25m spcaing - Asaarco say "Caiman lookalike" (19) Changement (cross-section map of orebody: ore from surface, saprolite limit, etc) (20) Changement (second map: from surface, showing N/S extension of mineralisation) (21) Ste-Marie (cross-section map: showing potential open pit on hilltop) (22) Ste-Marie (second map: from surface, showing loation within permit: slice missing?) (23) Other Permits Gold in three settings: 1. Stratiform gold in conglomerate/debris flow 2. Vein gold - sub horizontal quartz tuormoline sulphide veins 3. Shear hosted gold in Paramaca?orapu contact (24) French Guiana - Financial Incentives & Development Financing - French Guiana has unequalled incentives for development - 10-yaer tax holiday - Pons law financing: :- Essentially laese of capital :- Reduces capital cost to ~60% of total - spread over 5 years - Fuel tax exemption - EEC grant? (25) Camp Caiman Acquisition - Acquired by HGC via purchase of Asarco Guyane Francaise - Purchase price total US$16.44 million: :- US$3 mn. on closing :- US$3 mn. on 1st anniversary :- US$2.17 mn. on 2nd anniversary :- US$ 4.14 mn. on 4th anniversary :- US $4.14 mn. on commnecement of commercial production - HGC believes last two payments are effectively capital cost (26) Ariane Gold Structure - Ariane IPO by way of: :- a) Dividend to HGC shareholders: 1 for 100 :- b) Rights to HGC shareholders: 1 for 10 - Special Warrants issue - C$ 15 million (/0.70= 21.42 million shares) - Special Warrant to satisfy French authorities of financial capability - Prospectus after Special Warrant closing also used to TSE list Ariane (27) Ariane Dividend and Rights - HGC shareholders will receive: :- 1 sdhare in Ariane for every 100 shares in HGC :- Right to purchase 1 share in Ariane for every 10 shares in HGC@C$0.70 - Special Warrant at C$0.70: Maximum 70 day hold from closing . Compnay can extend to further 30 days by paying penalty of 1/2 warrant . at C$1.00 (28) Ariane Structure Post Financing - Dividend creates 1.5 million shares - Special Warrant creates 21.43 million shares - Rights take-up, if: :- 50 % : 7.50 million shares :- 75 % :11.25 million shares :- 100% :15.00 million shares - On 100% take-up: :- Shares outstanding: 29.43 Million :- Cash Held......: C$ 25.5 Million (29) Camp Caiman - Potential Economics - Oxide only: Caiman: 830,000 oz (2.7 g/t) . ........... Other : 270,000 oz (4.0 g/t) - Capital cost. : US $35 million - Operating cost: US$165-175/oz. (incl. Pons payments) - Production: 115,000 oz./year @ 4,000 tpd - NPV: 5.0% : US$ 64 million, incl. acquisition cost :- . : 7.5% : US$ 50 million :- . : 10 % : US$ 38 million (30) Ariane Gold Upside Potential - Shares undervalued based on current oxide potential - Advance project thriugh feasibility - Exploration success on oxides - Success on sulphide development - Exploration success on sulphides - Exploration success on other permits - Shortage of high quality development plays on market |
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