U.S. Retail Sales Rose Slightly in September -- Update
15 October 2018 - 4:03PM
Dow Jones News
By Harriet Torry
WASHINGTON -- American consumers reined in their spending at
restaurants and department stores in September, resulting in the
second straight month of weak retail spending.
Sales at retail stores and restaurants rose a seasonally
adjusted 0.1% in September, the Commerce Department said Monday.
That undershot economists' expectations for a 0.7% month-over-month
increase, and matched the rate of spending in August.
"The September figures were unquestionably soft, but there was a
lot going on," said Amherst Pierpont economist Stephen Stanley in a
note to clients, pointing to payback last month from strong retail
spending in the spring and summer, and warm weather that may have
dampened back-to-school apparel sales.
September's sales stagnation was led by a 1.8% decline in sales
at food services and drinking places, that category's steepest
month-over-month drop in nearly two years. Economists said
restaurant sales were likely impacted by Hurricane Florence, which
made landfall in coastal North Carolina in mid-September.
The Census Bureau said it couldn't isolate the effect of the
hurricane, although companies in its survey said the storm "had
both positive and negative effects on their sales data while others
indicated they were not impacted at all."
While motor-vehicle sales recovered in September after declining
in August, sales fell 0.1% in September when excluding motor
vehicles, missing economists' expectations for a 0.4% rise and
marking the biggest drop since May 2017.
Consumer spending is a key driver of the U.S. economy,
representing about two-thirds of economic output. Overall consumer
spending was strong in the second quarter, a trend which Monday's
report suggests abated toward the close of the third quarter and is
a potentially worrying signal for retailers headed into the holiday
shopping season.
Still, economists said September's spending was likely hindered
by Hurricane Florence, and underlying consumer outlays remained on
track.
"The net result still appears to be a fairly strong quarter for
consumer spending growth," Jim O'Sullivan, an economist High
Frequency Economics Ltd, said in a note to clients.
Sales at department stores fell 0.8%. Sales at nonstore
retailers, such as purchases made online or from mail-order
catalogs, increased 1.1%.
Retail sales data can be volatile from month to month. Measures
of consumer confidence have remained high recently, supported by
continued job gains and broader economic growth.
The Federal Reserve closely eyes consumer spending data as a
gauge of economic growth, and central bank officials pointed to
strong consumer spending as a factor in their decision to raise
their benchmark interest rate in September to a range between 2%
and 2.25%. They are widely expected to raise the rate again by a
quarter percentage point in December.
The Commerce Department's retail sales report can be found at
http://www.census.gov/retail/marts/www/marts_current.pdf.
Write to Harriet Torry at harriet.torry@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 15, 2018 10:48 ET (14:48 GMT)
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