Oil Pulls Back From More Than Three-Year Highs
24 April 2018 - 10:13PM
Dow Jones News
By Alison Sider and Sarah McFarlane
Oil prices tumbled Tuesday after hitting more than three-year
highs as investors re-evaluated the fate of the Iran nuclear deal,
a move that could tighten markets.
U.S. crude futures fell 94 cents, or 1.37%, to $67.70 a barrel
on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent, the global benchmark,
fell 85 cents, or 1.14%, to $73.86 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe,
snapping a five session winning streak.
The prospect that the U.S. will soon pull out of the deal,
triggering renewed sanctions that could curb Iranian production and
tighten the oil market, helped push Brent as high as $75.47 a
barrel in earlier trading, the highest since 2014.
The U.S. is due to review its position on the agreement -- which
eased sanctions on the Islamic Republic in return for curbs on its
nuclear program -- on May 12.
Market participants parsed mixed statements about the prospects
for the Iran deal throughout the day Tuesday as President Donald
Trump met with French President Emmanuel Macron, who has pushed for
the U.S. to remain in the nuclear pact.
The Trump administration has vowed to pull out of the nuclear
accord unless European allies agree to address administration
concerns, and Mr. Trump offered tough rhetoric about the deal,
describing it as "insane" and saying "it should have never been
made."
But later in the day the two leaders indicated that they were
closer to an understanding, which prompted oil prices to sell off
sharply.
"That would calm the waters in a big way," said John Kilduff,
founding partner of Again Capital.
Mr. Macron said he wanted to work with Mr. Trump on a new
deal.
Oil investors have become increasingly preoccupied with the deal
as the May 12 deadline approaches. In the past, sanctions have
curbed Iranian oil exports by around 1 million barrels a day, and
global oil supplies are already tight after more than a year of
production cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries and other producers.
"Let's assume he will withdraw from the deal on May 12; we don't
know how much volume will be lost, we might see the $80 level for
Brent," said Giovanni Staunovo, a commodities analyst at UBS Wealth
Management.
Mr. Trump will meet with Germany's leader Angela Merkel later in
the week. She is also expected to push for the U.S. to remain on
board with the Iran deal.
"One can always count on President Trump's infamous
unpredictability but currently all bets are off on the U.S. staying
in the nuclear agreement, " said Tamas Varga, analyst at brokerage
PVM.
Oil prices have risen by around 45% over the past year, buoyed
by a combination of factors including tightening supplies, strong
demand, and heightened geopolitical tensions between major oil
producers including Saudi Arabia and Iran.
Stock indexes also sold off sharply Tuesday amid some
disappointing earnings reports from industrial giants and rising
government yields.
"We definitely go through periods where oil and stocks move in
lockstep -- who knows which was driving the other, but they did
seem to be going down in lockstep today," said Michael Hiley, head
of over-the-counter energy trading at LPS Futures.
Oil market participants are also looking ahead to data on U.S.
oil stockpiles due Wednesday from the U.S. Energy Information
Administration. Analysts surveyed by The Wall Street Journal are
expecting data to show stockpiles fell by 1.7 million barrels last
week.
The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said late
Tuesday that its own data for the week showed a 1.1-million-barrel
increase in crude supplies, a 2.7-million-barrel fall in gasoline
stocks and an 1.9-million-barrel decrease in distillate
inventories, according to a market participant.
Gasoline futures fell 1.36% to $2.0949 a gallon. Diesel futures
fell 0.62% to $2.1276 a gallon.
Write to Alison Sider at alison.sider@wsj.com and Sarah
McFarlane at sarah.mcfarlane@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
April 24, 2018 16:58 ET (20:58 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2018 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.