Foreign Trade Houses Grab Dominant Share of U.S. Crude Exports
24 March 2018 - 11:29AM
Dow Jones News
By Sarah McFarlane
A handful of international trade houses are dominating the
buying and selling of U.S. crude exports, two years after
Washington lifted its ban on sending oil abroad.
The fragmented nature of the U.S. shale industry has made it
easier for more nimble independent traders to grab market share.
But some analysts believe they will lose their grip as oil giants
like Exxon Mobil Corp. consolidate the sector.
Shipments by three of the world's top five oil traders, Vitol
Group, Trafigura Group Pte. Ltd. and Mercuria Energy Group Ltd.,
accounted for 22% of U.S. crude exports in the 12 months to
February, according to ClipperData, a New York oil-data provider.
These mainly Europe-based trade houses buy and sell physical oil
and ship it around the world.
"Small to medium-sized producers don't have the same logistical
expertise, particularly for export sales, that a trading firm
does," said Craig Pirrong, a professor of finance at the University
of Houston.
In addition, major oil producers such as Exxon and Chevron Corp.
are less oriented to trading, focusing more on meeting the needs of
their own refineries. Traders tend to be more flexible, focusing on
managing pipelines, shipping and blending crudes for their
customers around the world, Mr. Pirrong said.
The U.S. lifted a crude-export ban in 2016 amid a shale
oil-and-gas boom, which is expected to turn the country into a net
exporter of energy by 2022, according to the U.S. Energy
Information Administration.
The pace of the increase in U.S. output has caught many by
surprise, causing repeated revisions higher to forecasts from top
official data providers like the International Energy Agency and
the EIA.
Improved technologies and efficiencies, along with a 50%
increase in oil prices in the past nine months, have helped drive
U.S. oil production to record levels, enabling the country to
surpass output from Saudi Arabia.
The EIA forecasts U.S. crude production will rise 8% on the year
to average 10.7 million barrels a day in 2018.
Shale-oil production has contributed to much of the increased
output, which producers funnel through pipelines and storage
facilities that were set up for importing rather than exporting
oil.
The world's big trading houses have done many deals to position
themselves for U.S. exports. Vitol purchased Noble Group Ltd.'s
U.S. oil liquids business last year, Trafigura sealed a long-term
deal for pipeline capacity from the Permian Basin to the port of
Corpus Christi in January, while Mercuria is part of a consortium
building export terminals in Louisiana and Texas.
"We're constantly looking at pipeline projects or investing more
into the upstream sector in the U.S.," said Marco Dunand, chief
executive of Mercuria Group.
The privately held firm benefits from being 12% owned by China
National Chemical Corp., or ChemChina, which helps it access the
Chinese market, the world's largest oil importer. About 20% of U.S.
exports went to China in 2017, according to the EIA.
The top five trade houses -- Vitol, Trafigura, Glencore PLC,
Mercuria and Gunvor Group Ltd. -- account for about one-fifth of
the world's traded oil volumes. The rest of the crude market is
mostly bought and sold by international oil majors and national oil
companies.
Some of the traders' edge in U.S. exports is expected to
diminish over time as logistical issues are ironed out and oil
majors such as Exxon and Royal Dutch Shell PLC follow through on
plans to buy up shale acreage, eliminating some of the smaller
producers.
"The consolidation in the Permian will impede the trading
companies' opportunities to some degree," said Mr. Pirrong, the
finance professor.
But the traders say they are in it for the long haul.
"We spend a lot of time focusing on U.S. exports particularly to
Asia, it started out as a European thing, it's become much more of
an Asian thing, and there's very little chance of that changing
because we've got a good foothold," said Ben Luckock, co-head of
group market risk at Trafigura.
Write to Sarah McFarlane at sarah.mcfarlane@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 24, 2018 07:14 ET (11:14 GMT)
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