Global Economy Week Ahead: Fed, BOE and Brazil Central Bank Meetings
18 March 2018 - 7:29PM
Dow Jones News
By WSJ Staff
The week ahead features policy decisions from the U.S. Federal
Reserve, Bank of England and Brazil's central bank. On the data
front, home sales and business investment figures will be released
in the U.S.
TUESDAY: The Federal Reserve's two-day March policy meeting
begins, with the central bank expected to announce Wednesday it
will raise its benchmark interest rate for the first time this
year. Fed officials in recent weeks have adopted a modestly more
aggressive outlook for rate rises in 2018, indicating most expect
they will move at least three times and possibly more. Several
cited recent tax cuts and an increase in federal spending as
reasons to expect inflation and economic growth will pick up.
WEDNESDAY: Brazil's central bank is expected to cut its Selic
benchmark rate to 6.5% from 6.75%, further delaying the end of an
easing cycle launched in October 2016. Below-target inflation is
driving the low-rate policy despite deep shortfalls in the federal
budget as the economy struggles to recover from a fierce
recession.
The National Association of Realtors releases its report on
February existing-home sales. Sales of previously owned U.S. homes
declined in January, as low inventories and rising prices and
interest rates took a toll. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street
Journal forecast sales grew 0.4% in February to a 5.40 million
seasonally adjusted annual rate.
THURSDAY: Policy makers at the European Central Bank worry that
the threat of a trade conflict in response to U.S. tariffs on steel
and aluminum imports may weaken business and consumer confidence.
The first measures that could detect any such impact include IHS
Markit's composite Purchasing Managers Index for the eurozone, and
the Ifo survey of German business confidence. Economists expect to
see the composite PMI fall to 56.7 in March, from 57.1 in February,
and the Ifo measure of business expectations to fall to 104.2, from
105.4. If they're right, those outcomes would suggest the trade
worries have yet to deliver a major blow to confidence.
The Bank of England releases a monetary policy decision, days
after U.K. Treasury chief Philip Hammond presented new forecasts
showing U.K. economic growth should be modestly higher in 2018 than
predicted late last year. In February, BOE officials signaled they
remain on track to lift interest rates in the coming months as they
expect global growth to boost the U.K. economy, even though
uncertainty over the future shape of the country's relationship
with the European Union continues to weigh on activity.
FRIDAY: The U.S. Commerce Department releases February
durable-goods data. Economists will be watching to see whether
business investment, which fell for the second straight month in
January, shows signs of picking up in the wake of tax cuts passed
last year. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expect
durable-goods orders rose 1.5% in February.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 18, 2018 15:14 ET (19:14 GMT)
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