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[the stigologist] 18/8/2014 08:51

ASX listed SRR ?

[tpaulbeaumont] 27/12/2013 15:19

^ well it continued up 10% off the lucky chinese support in the end to 97 and change

now its back on the downside theres the 83.3 still (or about 83.5 in fairness) and the 78.4 then 76.5, 75 and 74.5 i guess

[tpaulbeaumont] 12/9/2013 21:18

bounces of varying degree from all but one of the cited supports but 83.8, 81.1 and 78.4 will be back on the board too once AUD reverse back down from the advance off stout support around the last 8888 mentioned initially (low tick 8845)

ST there may be supply/resistance around 9475 and 9510



tpaulbeaumont 17 May'13 - 19:02 - 105 of 112 0 0 edit
theres [AU support levels...] 9430, 9350, a cluster either side of 9275 (9300/9250), 9160 and chinas favourite 8888 :)

tpaulbeaumont 26 Jul'13 - 08:25 - 119 of 123 0 0 edit
[...]unfortunately theres a ton of supports so i've guessed the ones i reckon are most likely to be noteworthy (?) based on a confluence of usual model levels and other more basic, anecdotal means :)
83.3
81.1
78.4

[tpaulbeaumont] 12/9/2013 21:16

theyre 275 and 300 back on the board, last week Oct/first week Nov next TIME window fwiw



tpaulbeaumont - 06 May 2013 - 09:07:03 - 101 of 110
fwiw 5275 and 5300 next res levels on asx immo

tpaulbeaumont 13 Jun'13 - 18:24 - 110 of 129 0 0 edit
Top tick was 5250, so 25pts out from 5275, in 2nd week of May (previously cited TIME for heightened volatility which for stock markets means corrections)[...]

[tpaulbeaumont] 28/8/2013 14:30

taken with a shovel of sodium chloride...

[tpaulbeaumont] 27/8/2013 10:30

Asset-management companies in China

Lipstick on a pig

China is still dealing with the mess left by previous bank bail-outs

Aug 24th 2013 | SHANGHAI |From the print edition

NEWS surfaced this week that Cinda, an asset-management company (AMC) created during China's last round of banking bail-outs, is talking to bankers about a stockmarket flotation. That raises an intriguing question: how would the Chinese government handle its next banking crisis? If experience is a guide, it will be through a combination of enormous injections of public money, the creation of complicated structures and the obfuscation of data.

[...]

Why now? With loans soaring and bad debts likely to follow suit (see chart), Chinese officials realise that the next banking crisis may be near. They may well be hoping to lure in fresh investors, to draw a line under previous bail-outs and raise capital for new ones. Huarong and Cinda now claim to make profits, but given their murky accounts, that is hard to verify. A headline in the South China Morning Post sounded this warning: "China's insolvent toxic-waste dump Cinda for sale".

[tpaulbeaumont] 25/8/2013 12:56

"the lucky country's is all about chinese growth..."

[tpaulbeaumont] 13/8/2013 20:53

hxxp://www.scribd.com/doc/159966243/How-Badly-Flawed-is-Chinese-Economic-Data-1-Trillion-and-Over-Hit-to-GDP

How Badly Flawed isChinese Economic Data?

The Opening Bid is $1 Trillion

By:Christopher Balding

Associate Professor
HSBC Business School
Peking University
[e-mail]


Key Facts
 According to the National Bureau of Statistics China (NBSC), the price of private housing in Chinarose by a total of 8.14% between 2000 and 2011 and only 5.99% in urban areas, where Chinesewere moving to in large numbers.
 According to the NBSC, the annual price of private housing in rural areas grew at 1.67%, morethan three times faster than prices in urban areas at 0.53%.
 According to the NBSC, the price increase of renting outpaced the change in the price of privatehousing by nearly 50%, making it significantly more advantageous to purchase an apartmentbetween 2000 and 2011 in China.
 According to the NBSC, only 12% of Chinese households are renters, skewing inflation data.
 To calculate the total private housing price change, the NBSC utilizes a straight 80% weighting of the urban population and a 20% weighting of the rural population despite the fact that in 2000nearly two-thirds of Chinese households were rural and only rose to 51% urban in 2011.
 According to the NBSC, rural home values rose by 249% between 2000 and 2011 for acompounded annual growth rate of 8.65%.
 According to the third party data, from the first quarter of 2000 to the first quarter of 2010, thenominal value of apartments in urban areas in China rose nearly threefold.
 When using third party data and reconciling NBSC data in place of official housing inflation data,annual Chinese CPI increases by approximately 1% annually.
 Incorporating this change in CPI into real GDP calculations reduces total real GDP by a mid-rangeestimate of 8-12% or $1 trillion in PPP.
 Other significant discrepancies exist that will likely increase the size of the needed restatementof total real GDP.
 According to NBSC data, the food component of the CPI in China was responsible for 99% of inflation between 2003 and 2011. This implies that the NBSC is claiming that theonly prices torise in China between 2003 and 2011 were food prices.

[chopsy] 07/8/2013 21:49

Don't know what it is with these charts but they load so slowly it's not worth looking. Besides they all seem to go down so not contemplating buying any of them.

[tpaulbeaumont] 02/8/2013 09:26

#122 so ST AU didnt breakout and yruned back down therefore swing signals back on the screen, and chinas lucky number has seen a few doz pips bouncette thus far...


tpaulbeaumont 17 May'13 - 19:02 - 105 of 112 0 0 edit
theres [AU support levels...] 9430, 9350, a cluster either side of 9275 (9300/9250), 9160 and chinas favourite 8888 :)


tpaulbeaumont 26 Jul'13 - 08:25 - 119 of 123 0 0 edit
[...]unfortunately theres a ton of supports so i've guessed the ones i reckon are most likely to be noteworthy (?) based on a confluence of usual model levels and other more basic, anecdotal means :)
83.3
81.1
78.4

[tpaulbeaumont] 29/7/2013 10:04

shanghai stocks still weak, assuming '08 low eventually fails theres LT demand at 1550, 1400, 1250, 940 and 720

[tpaulbeaumont] 28/7/2013 10:13

assuming AU breaks out from last weeks high theres ST supply at 9325, 40, 80, 9450 and 9515

[tpaulbeaumont] 26/7/2013 22:14

Growth is not for granted

Jul 25th 2013, 20:45 by Economist.com

OUR correspondents discuss the deceleration of big emerging economies and whether the growth of the past decade was unique

[tpaulbeaumont] 26/7/2013 08:43

theres also 5110 and 5165 as ASX supply levels prior to the prev hi fwiw

[tpaulbeaumont] 26/7/2013 08:25

tpaulbeaumont 17 May'13 - 19:02 - 105 of 112 0 0 edit
theres [AU support levels...] 9430, 9350, a cluster either side of 9275 (9300/9250), 9160 and chinas favourite 8888 :)



bounces of varying %s off those supports but as 8888 is the only remaining level i should prolly list the next ones, unfortunately theres a ton of supports so i've guessed the ones i reckon are most likely to be noteworthy (?) based on a confluence of usual model levels and other more basic, anecdotal means :)

83.3
81.1
78.4

[tpaulbeaumont] 25/7/2013 16:34

punters are still buying

[tpaulbeaumont] 19/7/2013 08:55

forget who wrote it...

[tpaulbeaumont] 24/6/2013 09:20

tpaulbeaumont 17 May'13 - 19:02 - 105 of 112 0 0 edit
theres [AU support levels...] 9430, 9350, a cluster either side of 9275 (9300/9250), 9160 and chinas favourite 8888 :)



support all supported to some degree, but itll be time to get the other lower demand levels soon :)

[tpaulbeaumont] 24/6/2013 09:13

#110
ASX bounced 210pts/4.5% from the 4660, since turned lower and has buy support just under previous low at 4650 then 510, 410 and 290