White Young Share Discussion Threads

[johncasey] 19/4/2019 21:21

Why did he have to come back?

[tpaulbeaumont] 07/9/2017 14:33

Famed expert economists tell us not to be fooled by randomness, that markets are uncertain and random, that forecasting prices is impossible because all known data is discounted by the markets... must of lucked out again here, but in terms of TIME :)

No wonder experts have a bad name in the minds of the public!



TIME :)



TIME :)

[tpaulbeaumont] 05/9/2017 15:17

leading academics and even financial 'professionals' insist its impossible to predict currency movements... must have got lucky, again :)


tpaulbeaumont 27 Nov '15 - 15:23 - 173 of 179 Edit
DXY ST res around 101.3, 103.4 and 104.5 for now :)

[tpaulbeaumont] 05/9/2017 15:06

EMT 'experts' tell us its impossible to time markets and any such timing only down to chance... chanced out, again :)

tpaulbeaumont 7 Oct '16 - 02:46 - 143 of 144 0 0 Edit
CL pulled back significantly from next natural res at 51.50, making the big assumption it clears that high on this run the next levels are
55
[...]

[tpaulbeaumont] 09/2/2016 21:00

those crazy mining shares!!!!!!!! who the heck knows when will they bottom???????

a genuine understanding of how markets work 1 efficient market theory 0
:)

[tpaulbeaumont] 07/2/2016 13:56

Must be a conspiracy?

[tpaulbeaumont] 30/8/2013 20:11

update to #55

[tpaulbeaumont] 20/7/2013 10:09

I feel my hypothosis that markets are not efficient has been supported by the many and varied examples of how i have accurately forecasted the PRICE at which markets have turned on this thread.
Id like to complement this proof by presenting further evidence, however in this instance forecasting the appoximate TIME at which a market may be likely to turn, in this case (and as the quoted post shows) i highlight a stock index, turning lower.

Leading academics inform us markets are efficient?

[tpaulbeaumont] 20/7/2013 09:52

the largest, most liquid and arguably most important market on the planet... huh

tpaulbeaumont 9 Aug'11 - 04:12 - 44 of 87 edit
So if perhaps Tbonds continue their gains past previous highs, thy could go all the way to see TYX at [...] a double bottom even around 2.470 or 2.200?

[tpaulbeaumont] 24/7/2012 09:22

THE INTELLIGENT INVESTOR July 21, 2012
Why We're Driven to Trade

With computerized traders that "hold" stocks for only a few seconds at a time and markets that can swing wildly in a matter of moments, long-term investing seems to be on the verge of extinction.

Perhaps this is inevitable. It turns out that short-term thinking is deeply embedded in the workings of the human brain. New research suggests that in order to avoid trading your accounts to death, you must counteract some of the very tendencies that make Homo sapiens the most intelligent of all species.

[tpaulbeaumont] 12/5/2012 10:51

These random markets could turn anywhere...

Huh, got lucky again :)

[tpaulbeaumont] 14/4/2012 09:54

Markets can turn anywhere and are impossible to predict... seem to have lucked out, again :)

[tpaulbeaumont] 10/4/2012 14:33

thats not exactly your whole story but thanks anyway :)

if you took the time to read the annotations on the AAPL graph youre refering to, you'll note my model initially suggested short at 405, but as AAPL 'hiccuped along the way' for many months before getting there, i posted the models suggested prices that in the meantime may 'lure buyers in' if it dipped below 320, the next one of which was 310.

so ultimately long since 310 and after the $95/31% gain reverse to short at 405 which then declined $50/14%, yes S2.

it seems pretty straight forward to follow?

the next detail from the model was a suggested sell at 532, when it was 455, so if you had no position you could have bought and then sell at 532 for a $77/17% gain and if you already had the stock you could simply hold and sell at 532, and so on and so forth. thats the idea anyway. its very basic, but quite clearly curiously effective :)


I didnt trade any of these AAPL signals i should add, i just posted them as a matter of intrest, cos its a big stock, that affects the NDX and SPX. i usually only trade ftse and esx or dax, and eurusd and cable.

ive always maintained making a call or stating some analysis is alot easier than trading/making any money out of it, conversely all the best traders i know dont waffle on about moving averages, stochastics or trendlines ;)

[scotsman2] 10/4/2012 13:59

WHY do traders keep making so many mistkaes, moving stops, running losses, over-leverage, averaging into losers ??? no matter how many books we read, trading videos we watch there always seems to come a time & situation when we BREAK THE RULES.

we may get away with this a few times but one of these days we don't and its back to square one.....start again, refreshed risk control.....then a few months / years later BANG same thing happens again !!!

round and round in a cycle of destruction

[scotsman2] 10/4/2012 13:58

so TP based on your AAPL chart you've been LONG since $310 and have made a fortune right... ??

[tpaulbeaumont] 21/3/2012 09:16

Huh, got lucky again ;)

[tpaulbeaumont] 24/2/2012 09:23

thats an excellent example of a number of chart buying signals at once ct :)