Tp Share Discussion Threads

[timojelly] 14/2/2017 15:07

Seriously kicking off... About time

[napoleon 14th] 14/2/2017 14:30

Doubled my first buy of today - momentum good here.

[bullster] 14/2/2017 14:22

Septblues,

Fair point, well mentioned.

[septblues] 14/2/2017 14:16

and 2018 EPS forecasted of 0.5p giving an EPS growth of 56%

Frankly precise Y/E forecasts are meaningless in such a feast and famine contracting business. Many divisions allow offseting of peaks and troughs. The important thing is the direction and speed of travel.

[ileeman] 14/2/2017 14:12

Volume increasing. Confirming break.

[nw99] 14/2/2017 13:53

10p first target

[18bt] 14/2/2017 13:33

Septblues EPS for 2017 around .32p for a PER around of around 21.5x, which looks high until you adjust it for cash. 2018 forecasts now PTP of £2.6m on similar turnover

[ileeman] 14/2/2017 13:07

I take it that same of those large trades are infact worked buys, would explain the price action.

[ileeman] 14/2/2017 12:14

Breaking out.

75k max to buy at 7.25p with 4 market makers on the ask!

[glennborthwick] 14/2/2017 11:51

looking good for 10p this spring/summer

[septblues] 14/2/2017 11:43

Brokers on Barclays forecasting £27m revenues and £1.35m PBT this year - up from last week

[napoleon 14th] 14/2/2017 11:06

Very balanced views on TA above, as long as fundamentals are a priority.
I've bought some more.

[ileeman] 14/2/2017 09:55

Added another 25k just to help it on its way. Confident about this.

[bullster] 14/2/2017 09:45

Brewin Dolphin
Walker Crips
TD Direct Investing
Hargreaves Lansdown Asset Mgmnt.

Have all been buying in February, according to the FT.

With EFG Private Bank, the only notable seller, and still aprox. 1million / 55%, of their shares in holding.

[ileeman] 14/2/2017 09:14

Limited to 150k max now, was like 300-400k yesterday.

[ileeman] 14/2/2017 09:13

Bid ticking up on sellers, background buyer lurking :P

[timojelly] 14/2/2017 09:07

Again, nice to see some offloading at 6.8p. Rock steady rise to double figures.

[septblues] 14/2/2017 07:57

Charts are a statistical analysis presented in graphical form. The points of inflexion are d2y/dx2 of the data. They are backward looking and contain an element of emotion. In the small cap arena they are a representation of the buyers and sellers' emotions or fundamental research. In the large cap arena its more computer trading.

I think that one buys or sells based upon a view of where the company is going and the price of the asset (mispriced asset and all that). Charts may confirm some of that to the extent that others may have similar views.

[ileeman] 13/2/2017 21:18

For me it is simple, hold above 6.125p (mid) line and sell below 6.125p. No emotions.

I guess the point is set your risk and stick to it.


free stock charts from uk.advfn.com

[pavey ark] 13/2/2017 21:07

The trouble with charting and share data analysis is that you are immediately putting yourself up against people with much greater resources and probably much greater experience that any private investor can have.

You can get round this problem by concentrating on small companies that are too illiquid for the professionals/institutions but then you run into the problem of low volume and statistical analysis is dependent on a reasonable quantity of data/events.

The board is obviously busier when news is released and for the last year the news has been consistently good.
When there is little or no news the average PI gets bored , sells, and the price drifts.
During this period of slack news flow there is little to comment on so surprise, surprise the board is quiet.

It is difficult to remove emotion from your dealing but my advice to holders here is the same as always, DYOR !!

Sit down and actually put figures to where you think each part of the business is going.
Read reports but be aware that this is a very small company and the broker research is hardly detailed.
Look at each announcement carefully and see if it fits in with your previous ideas of where the company is going.

Here's a simple test:-
1. How many share are in issue?
2. What's your guesstimate of year end cash ?
3. What percentage of the company is held by institutions ?

I could go on but if you can't give a good ball park answer to these three it's time to sell or get reading.

[ileeman] 13/2/2017 17:27

Charts cut out a lot of the emotions if you play it right.

Weird price action today few sellers at 6.55ish but then market makers ticked the bid back up, would assume some background buying took place.

Feels like it is ready for that surge above major resistance, very few sellers at this level is an indicator.

[interceptor2] 13/2/2017 16:17

We are human so are handicapped by our emotions, can have some practices in place to reign in emotions to a degree, but no investor can ever be like Spock imo.

fwiw I am hugely optimistic about prospects for TPG, but must try and control my emotions and let the chart guide me along with company RNS releases.

[septblues] 13/2/2017 15:40

so we're all emotional investors

[septblues] 13/2/2017 14:11

this BB appears noisy when the share price is going up and silent when it's going down.