Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Savannah Res. LSE:SAV London Ordinary Share GB00B647W791 ORD 1P
  Price Change % Change Share Price Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  +0.00p +0.00% 5.125p 5.00p 5.25p 5.125p 5.125p 5.125p 321,772 07:30:52
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Mining 0.0 -3.1 -1.3 - 25.71

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21/4/201722:03Savannah Resources (SAV) : CEO invested Ј500k and taking no salary2,666.00
02/4/201515:01Savannah Resouces One2One Investor Forum 15th May6.00
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Savannah Res. Daily Update: Savannah Res. is listed in the Mining sector of the London Stock Exchange with ticker SAV. The last closing price for Savannah Res. was 5.13p.
Savannah Res. has a 4 week average price of 4.75p and a 12 week average price of 4.75p.
The 1 year high share price is 7.25p while the 1 year low share price is currently 2.25p.
There are currently 501,661,131 shares in issue and the average daily traded volume is 800,984 shares. The market capitalisation of Savannah Res. is £25,710,132.96.
paleje: I thought it was good too, market seems indifferent at least for now, it'll give DA plenty to talk about at the conference later this week anyway. Savannah's CEO, David Archer said: "The increased Mineral Resource for the Mutamba Project highlights its potential to be a significant producer of titanium feedstocks. In addition, this year we are seeing increasing prices for titanium feedstocks such as ilmenite and rutile, which means that it is an ideal time to be taking this project forward. "The addition of a further 92Mt of high grade resource defined at Ravene, when combined with the other three major deposits at the Mutamba Project, means we are off to a great start in delivering on the Consortium's objective of defining an aggregate tonnage of high grade resources able to support an initial mining operation for at least 20 years."
seagullsslimjim: Coming to the end of the 3 month share price consolidation period from looking at the main chart! Next leg should therefore see us into the 8 - 10p range
ged5: Reading the comments from the meeting it looks like they are looking at off-takes which could account for some of the financing. I also agree with paleje (post2525) that cash will be needed before then but hopefully at a premium to the present share price. I can't see why not if this is accurate:- DA stating that most II won't look at companies with mcap below 60m+ so aim to get II onboard early 2017 (read into that's what you will) Hmm 13p wouldn't be a bad price for a fund raise.
seagullsslimjim: A NICE SUMMARY FOR NEW/CURRENT INVESTORS (COURTESY OF TRISSE ON THE OTHER BOARD) SAV update – where do we stand? After the last 2 big RNSs (oman & moz), it might be worth updating my thoughts: 1/ Corporate level From a holistic point of view, David Archer has delivered very well. He has stuck to his timing indications and has participated in the last raise at 3.5p (first time he put his money in since the original effective takeover in Aug2013). He has also built a strong investor base that helps support the stock better than with PIs only. As we have discovered, the Omani investors are very influential and will likely play a key part in securing mining license approvals and financing for the Copper project and, who knows, the Moz project (remember Oman’s state general reserve fund has invested $ 100mln in Kenmare a few months ago). While the financing stage is still approx 9 months away, let’s not underestimate what it means to have relatively easy access to funding (might be state entity or commercial bank in Oman or midsize PE firm attracted to great IRR/payback economics). A lot of companies have large and decent projects in the ground but their capex needs are usually large and their access to such pools of financing is often non-existent… hence their mcap being generally 0-5% of the project NPVs). 2/ Oman Copper The grades mentioned in the last drilling RNS were genuinely amazing. I invite you to check other drill results’ RNS from other copper explorer/producers and you will rarely see those numbers (dozens of meters at high single-digit %). The one company that has better grades is Sandfire, listed in Australia and their mcap is approx 1bn (admittedly already producing and bigger size). But it’s very instructive to see the economics of their project. At high grades, you get amazing economics. If you look at other copper explorer/developers on AIM, they might already be at DFS stage but the economics and grades are nowhere near what SAV will be. So we need to wait for the JORC and scoping study to have a first glance at the economics. My estimate is that the size of the JORC will be within the range they have already mentioned (10.7mn-29.2mn tones of ore) but at much better grades (1.4%-2.5% announced, likely to be on the high side). If it is the case, the NPV can easily be worth 25p/share net to SAV. (happy to go thru my calcs in a separate message if you care). David Archer and Dale Ferguson seem to be obsessed with low-cost operations, and while it means they focus on smaller size operations, it makes the projects much easier to finance and closer to reality. Again, too early to say, but it seems to me the Omani investors will be tremendous help in securing (ideally debt-only) financing at attractive terms (MDO, reserve fund, commercial bank…). 3/ Moz HMS Today’s RNS is much bigger than I expected. Rio never published a JORC on their asset because they didn’t need to (when you are a big guy, you don’t need external project financing so you don’t need to immediately publish standardized information to the public). So SAV did it and it is big and legit (JORC compliant). Today’s JORC makes it one of the largest HMS resources in the world (ands that only a third or half of the total size they have). Now, in typical DA/DF fashion, they care about the economics more than the size. So they mention (in line with previous statements) that they will focus their scoping study on approx 200mT with highest grades. What can we expect? Here I invite you to look at Base Resources. It is a very clean HMS producer with a similar project in Kenya. Their resource was 146mn tonnes at 4.9% THM. But their production is focusing on the highest grades first to pay down debt ASAP and their producing grades is currently around 7-9% !!. This is key information. I personally think it is likely our scoping study on approx 200mnt (note bigger than Base entire resource) will be focused on grades in high single-digits. And based on BASE’ quarterly production reports, I extrapolate an NPV for SAV (at 51%) of approx 33p/share. Again happy to share the calcs if you want. And that’s only for the 200mnt initial focus. Note Base current enterprise value GBP 215mn. SAV is GBP 20mln. So all in all, while we definitely need to wait for scoping studies (only a few months away for both) to get a clear and less speculative idea of the economic value of those projects, the info to date and comparisons to existing similar companies is extremely impressive. Respectable mining broker RFC is close to SAV (and they cover Base resources). They will no doubt highlight all of this to their instit clients in the UK and abroad. I suspect scoping studies is when the instit will be able to justify to their investment committees to invest and this will be a game changer. For now, this is an opportunity for PIs to invest at a great entry point. Once scoping studies are out, I personally target a share price of approx 25p (50% risk applied to initial NPV sum of both projects) with big upside longer term. (note I have not mentioned Lithium/finland. While the outlook for Lithium is strong, I think it is currently irrelevant to SAV relative to copper/HMS projects).
seagullsslimjim: Yes, great RNS and only half of the exploration done. Also higher grades when compared to their current heavy sands peer Kenmare!!!... -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Initial 3.5 Billion Tonnes HMS Resource Defined Tue, 8th Nov 2016 07:00 RNS Number : 5296O Savannah Resources Plc / Index: AIM / Epic: SAV / Sector: Mining 8 November 2016 Savannah Resources Plc Initial 3.5 Billion Tonnes Heavy Mineral Sands Resource Defined Mutamba Consortium, Mozambique Savannah Resources plc (AIM: SAV) ('Savannah' or 'the Company'), announces an initial resource estimation over two of the four deposits currently defined at the Mutamba project in Mozambique (the 'Project' or 'Mutamba') (Figures 1-4). Mutamba, which was previously operated solely by Rio Tinto, forms part of the larger Mutamba/Jangamo Project currently being developed under a Consortium Agreement between Savannah and Rio Tinto, as announced on 11 October 2016. Savannah holds a 10% interest in the joint project with the right to earn up to 51%, subject to key milestones being met. To view the press release with the illustrative maps, diagrams and JORC Table 1 please use the following link: HIGHLIGHTS: · Initial Indicated and Inferred Mineral Resource Estimate of 3.5 billion tonnes at 3.8% Total Heavy Minerals (THM) · Mineral Resource Estimate contains 81 million tonnes ("Mt") of ilmenite, 2.2Mt rutile and 3.8Mt zircon · 52% of Mineral Resource in the Indicated Category, 48% in the Inferred Category · Initial resource calculation covers the Jangamo and Dongane deposits at Mutamba - note the Jangamo deposit includes both Rio Tinto's Jangamo deposit and Savannahs Jangamo deposit where an established resource of 65Mt at 4.2% THM was previously defined · Resource compares favourably against Mozambique mineral sands producer Kenmare Resources 31 December 2015 global resource of 6.5Bt at 2.9% THM and mining reserve of 1.6Bt at 3.3%THM · Resource estimation in respect of the Ravene and Chilubane deposits still to be completed · Mineral Resource Estimate of the Jangamo and Dongane deposits has defined large areas of >5%THM, which will form the focus of the upcoming scoping study · A scoping study which is expected to take 3-4 months will commence shortly Savannah's CEO, David Archer said: "The completion of our initial Mineral Resource Estimation of the Jangamo and Dongane deposits is a major milestone for Savannah and our consortium partner, Rio Tinto. The results underscore the fact that the Mutamba project is one of the largest ilmenite dominant, mineral sands accumulations on the east coast of Africa. "While we are delighted with the outcome, what it really means is that we now have an exceptional foundation for our scoping study of the Project. The scoping study will focus on the areas of mineral occurrence which are most prospective in terms of size and grade, with little to no overburden factors, which should facilitate simple, low cost mining. Savannah believes that there is an excellent opportunity to potentially define an initial phase, low capex, long life, dry mining project of around a 200Mt well graded resource, associated with a series of reworked coastal dunes. "The Project is well located with easy access to a power line, the EN1 highway, the Inhambane bay (which is naturally protected from the elements) and the Inhambane airport, providing significant advantages to any potential development. We believe that the Inhambane and Gaza Provinces, where the deposits are located, are an excellent investment destination within the country." Jangamo and Dongane Mineral Resource Estimation The Mutamba Project comprises four main deposits, namely Jangamo, Dongane, Ravene and Chilubane. The initial Mineral Resource Estimation covers the Jangamo and Dongane deposits only, with work now underway on defining the JORC resources for Ravene and Chilubane. The resource being defined at the Mutamba includes the current established resource of 65Mt at 4.2% THM defined at Savannahs Jangamo Project. The two projects together form the unified Mutamba Project being developed by Savannah in conjunction with Rio Tinto.
seagullsslimjim: yep - looking good and with DA once again re-iterating a late 2017 start for the mine then things are lining up nicely. Further news this quarter from Moz and Finland should help give the share price a bit of a push in the next 10 weeks too.
seagullsslimjim: BORROWED FROM THE OTEHR BOARD - A Great Summary of SAV for newbies looking in and its undeniable potential in the short, medium and long term !......... "I have been scouting investment ideas in Natural resources companies for weeks/months now and I can't find companies with solid fundamentals and great upside from current share prices. There are a few listed minnows trading below cash value (or equivalents), which is attractive, but the liquidity is often very poor and the upside is limited to that cash amount (which happens to burn fast due to directors salaries and other admin costs and lack of growth prospects). So where do we stand with SAV? First the subjective/qualitative part: I have met David Archer several times and I think he is the right type of executive. Calm, humble but focused on the objective. His past record suggests he's been successful multiple times thanks to those attributes. For more info on DA, check out the article from 2008 in The Australian website. The title of the article is �wine hills overflow with miners�. His technical director Dale Ferguson is also top quality with proven successes in the past and a great attitude. Btw, all this talk above might sound abstract or too subjective to be taken seriously but this matters enormously in the end (notice how warren buffett insist on the quality of his managers). So many CEOs & directors in small listed companies only do their job to afford a decent lifestyle and enjoy the upside if the macro momentum helps their share prices (I don't actually blame them as long as they do it legally but for investors, this is often painful). DA is a genuine company builder with a personal interest in generating wealth for himself over the medium term. Now to the objective/quantitative part: HMS in Mozambique: To put it simply: this is potentially huge. A bit of history: Dale Ferguson noticed this company Matilda struggling for cash, seating on this virgin field, adjacent to RioTinto world class Mutamba deposit. He realizes that it is very likely some of the Mutamba deposit might extend into the Jangamo tenement. So he alerts David and they quickly make an approach. After a few surveys and drills, they realize they do indeed sit on a potentially major deposit of their own. As promised, they published a JORC resource before year end 2014 (which due to misunderstanding on the part of some private investors/bloggers disappointed the market), To prove that the Jangamo tenement and the small JORC defined were the real deal, David managed to get Rio Tinto to sign a JV agreement (yet to be approved by the government I know) to join their combined deposit and let Savannah take care of the project. The reason Rio did this deal is to avoid losing their licence after having spent dozen of millions of $ (one needs to keep progressing/spending to maintain ownership of the licence) while focusing on other commodities (iron ore, copper..) for the time being. Note that Rio, at anytime, can kick SAV out of the deal if they wish to.but at a cost. This works as follows (assuming the JV is approved by the govt..could be any time now): Right now, SAV would own 10% of the joint deposit. At this stage Rio can decide to cancel the JV and pay a multiple of the costs we incurred on our Jangamo tenement. My understanding is that it could be worth a few millions USD. To be honest, this would be a very disappointing scenario but I think its almost impossible this happens and if it were to happen, so SAV is left with their Jangamo tenement (as per the current situation) with a few millions USD in the bank account. So we could progress our tenement further (without Rio) or focus the cash on our Omani activities. So it would still be decent situation for SAV to be in but I much prefer staying in the JV for the time being. The reason why I think its almost impossible we get kicked out at 10% stage is because the point of this JV is for Rio to not be involved in the project in the short term. What I think is more likely to happen is that Rio starts to wake up when the nascent recovery in HMS prices materialize further and the project starts to take shape (PFS or DFS stage). And in that case, im OK with SAV getting kicked out ! Heres why: Once we have the government approval, SAV is gonna rush to get a scoping study out. This is likely to take a few months only. At that stage, SAV gains 20% of the JV and the kick-out terms becomes the payback of the NPV of the SAVs share of the JV. My understanding from David is that he wants to focus on developing a mine plan for the first 200mln tonne of very high grade deposit. We are talking about 10%+ grades for the first 100-200mln tonnes. If you have a look at Base resources and the research reports, this is exactly how they did it and this create NPV (net of capex) around $ 400mln. So 20% of $400mln is approx worth 15p/share. I believe this is the worst case scenario ! After the scoping study, we get 35% ownership of the JV once we publish a PFS and then 51% with a DFS. This takes you to a value of 26p/share and 38p/share respectively net to SAV. And this is for the first 200mln tone mine plan. Don't forget the JV has billions of tones at 3-5% grade (as per Rios published data). The entire JV has the potential (very long term) for multi-billion NPVs. Onto copper in Oman: So here is a very different approach, more in line with David and Dales past experience: small, high grade, low capex, quick payback, high IRR. To be clear the Oman copper project is unlikely to ever attract a major mining company. And this is because the total size of the project is irrelevant for the multibillion mcap majors. However, this is amazing economics for the small and medium size companies. And the payback is very quick. As David mentioned several times, he plans to produce before year-end 2017, that is less than 18 months away. We are still waiting for further results from the drilling campaign but David and Dale feel very confident they have enough deposit to produce over 300k tonnes of copper over time (with gold upside). This kind of project can easily generate 50-100mln $ of cash flow per year. SAV retains on average 65% of the ownership of the licences across the blocks. So those cash flows can be quite meaningful to SAV once they kick in (starting end 2017). By assuming the mine will generate $75mln/year and that SAV will lose another third of the project due to dilutive financing (I have good news there too) and that the mine produces for only 7 years, this project would be worth over 20p/share to SAV. Now comes the good news: Since we plan to produce by yearend 2017, it means we need the money for Capex very soon and start developing the mine. We have one major investor in the name of Al Marjan. Now that we have the board members RNS, we realize that those guys are uber influential in Oman business (former minister for industry and former head of chamber of commerce, board member of large commercial bank). I would like to think that they will plan a key role in helping SAV getting the financing for the capex in Oman. This could be in the form of MDO, the new agency in charge of developing non-oil projects to boost the economy or a loan from a commercial bank. This means it is very likely we DON'T lose another third of the project economics. This would make the above numbers (20p./share NPV Oman) too conservative. All the number above assume 400mln Shares (TVR is currently 385mln but there are some warrants/options that would be exercised if we keep rallying). You could be very conservative and round up the share count to 500mln shares (20% extra dilution at Co level). This would make the numbers mentioned above still very attractive(like 17p/share instead of 20p for oman copper and 12p/21p/31p for the first 200mn tone in Moz @ 20%/35%/51% respectively). So as you can imagine I believe the current share price of 4.5p (£17mn mcap) offers amazing value."
swizz: An excellent summary from LVI on LSE......GL S a turning point for SAV (part 1) Created by LeValueInvestor - Today 11:45Today I think 2p (+/-10%) is likely to be the new floor going fwd. The key reason is that we have cash of approx £ 750k (placing + what I estimated was roughly 200-300k of remaining liquidity before that), which should take SAV to Q2 2016. The last 2 placings ( I suspect the first one was with loyal shareholders to enable SAV to buy time while negotiating the bigger placing with strategic local partner) are very high quality relative to what SAV (and most other tiny explorers) usually did (via brokers who manipulate the mkt and dump the stock as soon as they can). The news over the next few months will be very interesting and should ensure that the next time w eneed to raise money, it might be at project specific level (so no dilution at SAV level) or at much higher share price. - we await Moz govt approval on the JV which will allow SAV to publsh a big JORC (we have no control over this approval but I would expect it to happen before year-end). - If so, the JORC will potentially make some positive noise. If this is 1bn+ tones with 3%+ grades (I don’t think we can JORC the full 7-12bn tones Rio indicates just yet), we are talking world class HMS JORC. This will not go unnoticed. - Once we have HMS JORC, SAV can start working on the scoping study. This will be fairly quick (approx 3 months). Remember that scoping study is the first (out of 3) study that will mention the economics of the project (capex, NPV, IRR etc…). This is important because a lot of better –quality brokers will publish on SAV only after the scoping study so they can start extrapolating some kind of valuation based on the project’s economics. My point is that by Q2 next year, we could potentially have respected mining analysts putting valuations on SAV based on world-class HMS deposits/project. My guess is that it will be worth more than £5mln ! a turning point for SAV (part 2) Created by LeValueInvestor - Today 11:48 - On the copper/Oman side, We are awaiting the current drilling results (block 4+5). This should take another 5-6 weeks from now. Based on the VTEM, other producing licences (block 1 – not SAV) and Dale track record in copper mining, we should expect results to be compelling. Once we have those results, we should expect SAV to increase their JORC on block 5 and maybe publish one on Block 4 (extension of Aarja existing mine). - Remember with VMS deposits (im not a geologist but read a few articles on VMS copper), they are small to medium size BUT high grades (cluster). The point being that this can be affordable and high IRR. So the capex numbers required are not crazy amounts and the IRR are abnormally high (think 50%+ as opposed to 20-30% for most other mining projects). So the potential to find financing partners is higher and varied. - Related to the above point, the new local investor might have a role to play there in the future. There have been a lot of articles about how Oman wants to diversify away from oil production and into mining. Having a local instit investor is a step in that direction. I would not be surprised if SAV leverages on this Omani focus to arrange financing on those projects when the time comes. (via partnering with Oman which would help bring foreign investors or via direct financing from Omani entities). It is way too early to speculate more on that but the recent Omani investment is a clear sign of SAV’s closer working relationship with Oman. - Don’t forget that if the copper grades are good at block 4-5, SAV can potentially start producing (which means receiving cashflows) within 2 years (JORC+scoping+PFS+DFS = 18months-2years). Even if VMS deposits are not huge, we are still talking $50-100mln/year cashflows (this is what Block 1 was producing before). All in all, I think SAV is at a turning point. Who knows where the company will be in 3-5 years time (could be a proper midtier copper producer with mcap of 500mln or not !) but over the next 6-9months, It is very possible the market (and especially the mining experts) start valuing SAV closer to £30-50mln Mcap. This means a share price range of 10-20p. For full transparency, I’ve been long SAV for over 18 months so my timing skills are not perfect but I have only been buying more over time and my conviction levels are at its highest currently.
seagullsslimjim: Shareprohet article below (makes great reading and thanks to inforthelongtern from the other board)...... Unfortunately there were some technical issues with this morning’s bullish conference call from Savannah Resources (SAV). Fortunately, I was listening so am able to provide an update. CEO David Archer was in ebullient mood and there is little wonder why. This morning, Savannah surprised the market with news of an exciting joint venture in Mozambique with none other than mining behemoth Rio Tinto (RIO). The joyous response has seen the company’s share price rocket to 3.68p, up 77% on the day. This values the business at £8.37million and the ever-impressive Archer suggested there is more to come in a “very active year ahead”. It is certainly important to read this morning’s RNS from Savannah, which contains details of the new JV. However, the conference call added a lot of colour and left listeners with a strong impression that this company could be on the threshold of achieving great things. Although Savannah and Rio’s JV is still subject to certain conditions being met, according to Archer it could open the door to commercialisation of “one of East Africa’s largest accumulations of mineral sands”. This region is already a prolific producer, hosting other major deposits. If Savannah is able to realise the potential it believes is present across the JV this bodes well for shareholders. The JV itself has been set up primarily to combine Savannah’s Jangamo project, with its inferred mineral resource of 65Mt at 4.2% total heavy minerals, and Rio’s Mutamba project, with its exploration target of between 7.0 and 12.0Bt at a grade ranging from 3 to 4.5% total heavy minerals. Although Mutamba doesn’t contain a declared resource, the size of the exploration target is an indicator of the possible rewards on offer. One particularly encouraging aspect of the new combined project area is that the Jangamo and Mutamba deposits are contiguous. According to Archer, Rio is also going to contribute fifteen year’s worth of technical data acquired from Mutamba to the JV, which allows Savannah the opportunity to increase and improve its understanding of the exploration targets through desktop analysis. This might not sound like much, but it does offer the company a low cost means of possibly adding value to the project. This could provide important support to Savannah’s share price, as the company is able to demonstrate progress to the market. During the conference call, Archer made clear that one of the JV’s early priorities is to firm up a JORC resource for Mutamba, with a focus on some of the higher grade targets. This will require drilling and it is Archer’s hope this can begin in the near future, with a base camp already established in the area. By the time Mozambique’s wet season arrives in November, Savannah should have made significant progress in achieving this goal. As well as its efforts in developing Mutamba, Archer says Savannah will continue to make progress at Jangamo. The next step there is a scoping study, with a view to establishing a “flexible low risk dry mining operation, rather than the larger scale dredge mining previously anticipated”. One point Archer was keen to make during the call is that this deal is attractive to Rio because it enables the multinational firm to maintain a “material presence” in this project, while benefitting from Savannah’s lower-cost, “nimble” approach. In Archer’s words, this morning’s deal represents a “new approach for collaboration between major and junior mining companies”. Historically, junior players have tended to conduct exploration, selling successful prospects to larger companies for development. This deal is notable because Rio is handing exploration over to Savannah, in the expectation that the company can leverage its skills and local knowledge to better effect. Shareholders in Savannah might be concerned that if his project is too successful, Rio could want to muscle its way back in. Archer dealt with this point directly. According to him, the terms of the clawback arrangement in place to cater for this are sufficiently favourable that even if this happens, there will still be a “good financial outcome” from Savannah’s point of view. As for Savannah’s other major project in Oman, Archer was pleased to point out the company continues to make progress there. Apparently the VTEM results should be announced “shortly”; and further “on-groundR21; work continues, so more updates should follow. Overall, Archer is confident that Savannah’s strategy is consistent in both countries it is operational in and, as I said at the start, he is looking forward to a “very active year ahead”.
howdlep: At the current price of 2.2p for ALO shares:- Total value of shares owned/to be converted = 152,173,916 x 2.2p = £3347826.152 Less cost of converting 30,434,783 shares @ 1.15p = £350,000 Total value of ALO investment = £ 2,997,826.152 Plus £1,000,000 cash raised in 2013 = 3,997,826.152 Current market cap of SAV @ 3.75p is £5.2m So the rest of the SAV portfolio in for just £1.2m. See company presentation out yesterday re assets Http:// Time for SAV share price to catch up with ALO...
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