Highlands Natural Resour... Share Discussion Threads

[g1g4lo] 15/3/2017 10:50

Family Values

A pi has sold out this morning similar to the desperation like yesterday when cloudburst sold out. You can always tell when they are selling large amounts below the bid price.

This is the best time to buy when pi's are panicking. Just a few more days then.......

Personally as you know, it is not the right time to sell but hope you get the top of the next spike.

[family values] 15/3/2017 09:56

It does seem that civil war is breaking out again over on the lse site.
I'm holding on here just to see how it pans out now.
If the anxiety and despair apparent in some of the previously positive holders is a reflection of investor sentiment generally it would suggest that a bit of irrational selling may have occurred.
An opportunity then for a more stoic investor perhaps?
I'll be selling into any spike

Don't bet the house

[family values] 14/3/2017 22:57

hxxp://www.legacy.com/obituaries/dailyherald/obituary.aspx?n=william-f-condill-uncle-bill&pid=187993

Barrington

Old high school friends?

[family values] 14/3/2017 22:55

i-70reap.com/Docs/2-4_2012-1335364483.pdf



Public spirited too

[family values] 14/3/2017 22:44

www.uwyo.edu/comdis/_files/docs/2014comdisnewsletterforweb.pdf



Generous guy, donates to his old university

[family values] 14/3/2017 22:38

home sweet home

hxxps://rehold.com/Denver+CO/PICADILLY+ST/6406

or possibly

[cloudburst] 14/3/2017 09:44

I have now sold out at a significant percentage loss.
I have only my self to blame as several individuals on the lse site warned repeatedly that this would happen.
Thanks especially to skinner and superbrugha I only wish I'd taken your advice earlier.
No more listening to rampers for me large well established companies from now on.

[lodgeview] 14/3/2017 08:53

Wish I would never have got involved here. Gutted.

[g1g4lo] 14/3/2017 00:45

Do not wish to get this in your head but let us think of it another way.

The 30m Diversion Warrants when sold last year Highlands had around 34m shares in issue. These 30m forward sold shares were sold over a 4.5 months to pi's which took the share issue from 34m to 64m, almost doubling the shares in issue when the warrants were exercised. This took trading volume of around 170m shares to do this of which 70m were buys and 100m were sells to transfer the 30m shares from the ii to pi's.

Assume the trading from last October 24th where the share price was above 40p. We have had a gradual decline since then to where we are now.

If we assume the traded volume is 120m, then let us assume that 70m were sells and 50m were buys which is why the share price has dropped gradually over the period of time as this is an organised sell and the share price dropped from over 40p in October to where we are now at 23p. This clearly does not happen in reality exactly but gives us a view. The volume when this exercise started was 64m which will turn into 84m so around 30% increase in shares issued.

These activities are the same. The overhang takes time of around 4.5 months to move this volume of shares into pi's hands.

It has taken a similar time to move 20m shares this time as the overall daily volume is about 2/3 of the volume required to move 30m shares with the Diversion Warrants.

I may be wrong but worth thinking about.

[g1g4lo] 13/3/2017 23:08

I assumed you were asking me to compare rounded sells against rounded buys. I probably did not make my response clear.

The rounded sells considerably outweigh rounded buys. I identified this point only because many say they buy and sell in rounded numbers which is true. But there is no point in comparing rounded to non rounded in my view. Just compare the rounded buys against rounded sells.

The only thing I monitored was the amount of rounded sells compared to rounded buys and the rounded sells outweighed the buys by a long weigh.

But if you kept buyng 10k and then 25k etc it is unlikely that you would sell in unrounded numbers.

With this philosophy something is happening.

Do I need to take the pants out of my mouth yet? Lol

[family values] 13/3/2017 23:07

I'm going to stop thinking about this because it is starting to spiral in my monologue.
If we have 20 million additional shares being forward sold into the market. Then surely somebody has to buy them?
You can't have a surplus 20 million sells over any extended period of time. If all the current holders tended to hold on to their shares. And very few sold.
Then yes over a period 30 million buys could be matched with say 10 million from sticky holders and 20 million new forward sold share.
If we had a marked excess of buys over sells for a significant period that would suggest a forward selling operation as the MMs can supply the buyers with the new shares.
An excess of sells is hard to explain unless the MMs are hoarding which they avoid if possible.

[family values] 13/3/2017 22:38

G1gl0
I think I haven't made my thoughts sufficiently clear.
Sells out weighing buys isn't what I was referring to. Edit
It is if the ratio of rounded versus non rounded trades differs between sells and buys.
If the proportion of rounded sells is much higher in the sells group versus rounded buys in the buys group you could have a point.

[g1g4lo] 13/3/2017 22:22

Family Values

Yes I have compared on many days and sells outweigh rounded buys almost every day by a long way and hence my idea of a forward selling of placing shares.

It has been going on since the end of October and I check occasionally now but at the beginning I checked regularly. I update this post weekly since the end of October but on Premium Chat as I still get issues from several posters or investors. But recently, many investors have expected an update on Regular Chat which I have supplied.

I may be wrong but if I am which I have posted several times on the other site, there is an organised short happening and not just pi's buying & selling. However there still is not enough rounded buys for this to happen as HNR would be on the fca.gov short list which they have never been.

You cannot tell which are pi sells or so called 'ii' sells so now I take a percentage of the trades volume since the 24th October and take a percentage. But I also use the restrictions put on the ii by Highlands used in the Diversion exercise.

Currently since October, my view is the percentage sells from the ii is between 15% & 16.5% so if I am right, getting close as the minimum used was 15% of traded volume.

I fully expect something this week but if it is too close to 15%, the maximum traded volume left is around 12m but do not expect it to be that much.

[family values] 13/3/2017 20:31

G1glO
Rounded sells
Have you compared their frequency and volume to rounded buys?
It would be reasonable to assume they are roughly the same?

If not , your theory could have some merit.

Just my thoughts

[lodgeview] 13/3/2017 16:12

Come on RP release some decent news please for your loyal shareholders!

[family values] 13/3/2017 13:36

G1g4lo

Your belief in charting is amusing.

I bought in to try to make some money, as simple as that.

A few people put too much money in to this share, a mistake on their part, but an opportunity for others.

The disillusioned dreamers are selling out and the current share price reflects that fact. It also explains your rounded sells.

There is a fear abroad that HNR is all puff and no substance.

The Yanks punish securities fraud hard and I'm sure all of those associated with the share are aware of that fact.

As I said before, a binary bet with 3 spins of the wheel.

Don't bet the house.

[g1g4lo] 13/3/2017 13:27

You said Family Values that:-

"Over on HNR land the rampant bulls continue despite the clear reality that the share is in major trouble and the company BOD have actually made things worse."

It amazes me why you bought the first 21k when you say this above. Good luck with your trade when the share is in serious trouble.

I see it totally different with the RSI at its lowest level since April last year when the share price went from 10.875p to 79p. Can see the same happening again with just the non dilutive funding for East Denver.

The placing that is forward sold and is coming in my view will raise £5m which will cover progressing DTU, PWP and Helios at a quicker pace. That what an RNS will say but they do not have enough money for these 2 projects with the delays on all 3 projects which is why the placing will happen. We will see as no holding RNS will be issued with it.

I have never hidden who I was as you can see from my history and discussed on these boards how to change my name on here to D14M0ND without losing my history which seemed impossible.

But I had to let you find who I was which you failed on but at least I had a good laugh.

If my theory is proved right in the near term, I will look forward to your apology.

[family values] 13/3/2017 13:20

M4me

It is the complete lack of any positive news since the Helios drill.

Waffle and poor performance

DTU, delay, delay, delay
Helios , wrong pump, delayed dewatering , amateur gas collection
East Denver delay, delay, more money, delay.

Looking at the failure to deliver I think the fall is mild

So come on Mr. Price, your long suffering shareholders deserve something better and soon.

[family values] 13/3/2017 12:52

I'm glad G1g4Lo that you have finally come out of the closet.

Very depressing watching the share Friday through to today.

Over on HNR land the rampant bulls continue despite the clear reality that the share is in major trouble and the company BOD have actually made things worse.

And yet.

If RP were actually a chancer what would he do now faced with the collapse in investor confidence?

I think he would announce some cheap positive news.

A date for a new drill on Helios perhaps, pay for a DTU trial somewhere,

so either he is just a hard pressed honest Director

or we will shortly get some cheap positive news.

I was the first of those 21k buys, my cheapest to date.

I'll be out on any spike.

G1Gl0

You do realize your rounded sells theory is pants?

Hugs and Kisses ;)

[g1g4lo] 11/3/2017 09:40

Not even good at research when I posted where to look when it is there in black & white and you are still guessing. Hence why there are more informative posters and researchers on the other site.

I will try again. Look at my post history I said. Now look again on page 9 but now page 10 as this is another post I have made.

If you click on the right post you will see my response to a question from misty12.

Now you know - well done. Congratulations!!
28079;

[2lb] 11/3/2017 09:33

Cloudburst It's a bearcast so you can listen for free and with no registration

[family values] 11/3/2017 07:57

I further note that you posted at 22:17 here, and someone else posted within 3 minutes later at 22:20.
It could be nothing

[g1g4lo] 10/3/2017 22:17

Good observation Family Values, you only need to check my post history and you may see who I am.

But bear in mind, a 50k sell happened at 16.19 - oh dear but it was not D14MOND, I can assure you. I said before, you cannot read the book but D14M0ND can. Never mind, you will learn one day. Reread my 8468 post again! Best to learn from the more knowledgeable who can read the book rather than criticise but hey ho.

And what offensive outburst? Baffles me!

But it may be close to the end of the round sells. See a confirmed placing next week, that is why we got the RNS today.

See an RNS next week with a placing plus the issue of an additional 3.5m issue of shares for Renegade