Gear4music (holdings) Share Discussion Threads

[meijiman] 14/3/2017 13:23

We are all dyeing to know! Are you saying the ticker has four letters /?

[croasdalelfc] 14/3/2017 13:12

I sold all mine at 645 and 628 to buy into xxxx - I had a nagging doubt about top line growth slowing a little, tougher comparatives in the year ahead except for own brand skus and that the share price was very toppy with a PER of over 70 : Guess the share!Comparing Xxxx with G4M : similar market cap, similar growth (though one could argue G4M is slowing in U.K.), Xxxx with 7-8% net profit against 4.5% G4M.G4M EPS 11-12pXxxx EPS 9-10pG4m PER circa 50-70Xxxx PER circa 13-16

[thevaluehunter] 14/3/2017 13:05

6.2% ebitda margin seem good to me given that they are at an early stage of growing the business. As they scale up they will continue the advantage over the physical retailers as they don’t have to pay store staff, rent and rates and I would expect the overhead % to fall as buyers, finance, HR etc. stay as a relatively fixed cost. I don’t think it will go much below £5.

[taurusthebear] 14/3/2017 12:49

Nice double bottom for you to trade there, nurdin. :0)

[nurdin] 14/3/2017 12:43

Yes but you need decent margins to convert those revenues to meaningful profits.Net profit margins are forecast at 3.3% for the current year

Having said that,I intend to trade this share as it has a a big following here lol

[taurusthebear] 14/3/2017 12:35

Back to 100m market cap.at a fiver, and with circa 50% growth, due to generate sales of about 80m this year.

That's a price/sales ratio of about 1.25, very reasonable for a company in G4M's position. Some might even suggest it's a bargain.. :0)

[flyposter] 14/3/2017 10:27

Opened a small starting spread bet at 516, in the hope that the falling knife has thudded into the wood.

[mr.elbee] 14/3/2017 09:53

The question is .."what is the most recent rise?"

I would say from August.

515

[panic investor] 14/3/2017 08:56

I hold but fibs do tend to work imho - same as gap fills tooIt's all healthy

[che7win] 14/3/2017 08:40

retrace continues, these growth stocks got ahead of themselves.

[taurusthebear] 14/3/2017 08:19

Good time to pick up stock or add, IMO. May be another dip under a fiver, or not... :0)

[discodave4] 14/3/2017 07:46

Mr E So based on your cut and paste, the 61.8% fib is 529.....job done!.Still just a simple deramper.DD

[mr.elbee] 13/3/2017 21:55

FROM ELSEWHERE

"Retracements occur when selling pressure comes into the market and the stock price declines. This is also called a correction because it brings the overbought stock back down to a reasonable price level as traders take profits. Gann theory expects a normal retracement of 50 percent. This means that under normal selling pressure, the stock price will decline half the amount of its most recent rise. If selling pressure is light and the stock might trade up, the retracement will be 37.5 percent. If the stock is in a full correction, the retracement will be 62.5 percent of the original run-up in price from previous support. Roughly. Fibonacci is more technical and a lot of traders use it religiously"

[ksharlandjiev] 13/3/2017 17:32

Has Paul Scott made an early retirement? :) He just vanished in the oblivion :-oHis last twitter feed is also colourful enough :-)

[melton john] 12/3/2017 22:12

My take on TA is that a picture tells a thousand words. To see the price history, MACD, Williams%R, RSI and volume together shows not only what happened coincidently with a price movement in the past but gives clues what may be about to happen in the present. IMHO indications are that we are now entering oversold territory and I will be taking more from the market.

[discodave4] 12/3/2017 21:22

Fair enough Mr elbee, my apologies, you can use any MA that works for you. That said it's normally the 10, 20, 50, 100 and 200. Believe also that the 13 and 34 are more akin to triangular moving averages which align with Fibonacci sequences.That said you still haven't substantiated in any way your 350 forecast, just a finger in the air, as proven by your "it could be 400", that's some difference!. So, accept your MA's but you are still a deramper IMO.DD

[taurusthebear] 12/3/2017 17:29

A fool for not having foresight re G4M in the summer? No. But maybe a fool for thinking that you could have had it when you dismissed the stock earlier in the same post.. :0)

[mr.elbee] 12/3/2017 13:43

No, Dave ,I am not just a deramper.
e
13/34/50/90/200 are the ones I use and I believe Murphy does too " A technical analysis of futures and commodities markets" His book was the Bible on TA ,but no-one reads books anymore.

He says also you can use any MA's that you have proved work for you. Both Wizards books say the same..find what works for you.

The extreme correction pushes the share price right down. Why 350? Well it could be 400.. This is an intuitive art,not a precise science and many scientists and mathematicians cannot cope with that kind of approach...far too threatening..[they might be completely wrong.aaaaaaaaaaaaaargh]

The speed of the correction also tells a story.You have to study hundreds of similar companies, and have lost similar fortunes to give me any credence at all. You wont do that so,good luck.You are going to need it. I was heavily involved in the music business and I could not believe the rise in the share price over the last six months on little volume..Something funny about this stock..something doesnt ring right...like Carpetright used to be.
Falling Knife is so obvious...you never catch one..that is why it is foolish..350 comes from a plotting of future MA's if the falling trend continues.I dont know,neither do you, all I do know is I was a fool for not getting onboard in the summer and I would be a double fool now if I reversed that stance.

[taurusthebear] 12/3/2017 05:52

If he's a One Line Deramper, does that make him a silly OLD git? :0)

[discodave4] 11/3/2017 13:16

Please explain?Also while I'm on, can you post up more specific TA detail to support your reasoning why this is going to 350.From your post 1011, what's the significance of 13, 34 and 90 MA's?, no expert but these are not recognised signals, you can pick any MA you like as at some point the share price will either have gone above or below but yours are meaningless IMO.Yes it's broken through 50MA, and yesterday's swing low (490) broke through first support of 500 but it rallied and closed at 550.Next support after 500 is the 76.4% fib at 483, then second support is 450. That said I'm here long term and current price is just a buying opportunity, the longer signals are still bullish - 100MA v price is a buy, 20-100 day MACD oscillator is a buy.So unless you can support you posts, like "falling knife", "350" and "very foolish", then I will have to default to assuming that you are simply a run of the mill one line deramper, will wait and see!.Thanksps do use some TA as there is an element of self fulfilling prophecy about them, but other than that the fundamentals are key and they are solid IMO.DD

[mr.elbee] 11/3/2017 12:41

but very foolish

[taurusthebear] 11/3/2017 10:52

My attitude towards TA is that it's unproveable, just as, for example, it cannot be proven whether or not Leicester would have won their last 2 games had Ranieri not been sacked.

Whether TA or FA, there seems little reason for the share price to fall to 4 quid, because there is no apparent reason other than profit-taking before Article 50 is presumably invoked.

I find it hard to believe institutions would dump many shares on the open market because of the illiquidity. Normally a big buyer would agree a price.

Bought nearly all mine at a lower price, but did add a few yesterday. Seemed rude not to. :0)

[thevaluehunter] 10/3/2017 18:42

Having a look at how gear4music structures itself online and they have CCTLDs for each european country which I think is best practice and should be optimal for longer term seo. Thomann.de has sub folders i.e thomann.de/gb for each country which might prove harder to rank well organically outside of germany. This is also worth bearing in mind when looking at country level traffic on sites such as semrush.