U.S. Consumer Spending Rose in July
29 August 2016 - 2:30PM
Dow Jones News
WASHINGTON—Consumer spending rose for the fourth straight month
in July, a sign domestic consumption could continue to drive U.S.
economic growth over the second half of the year.
Personal consumption, which measures how much Americans spent on
everything from hotel stays to hamburgers, rose a seasonally
adjusted 0.3% in July from a month earlier, the Commerce Department
said on Monday. Incomes rose 0.4%, a pick-up from growth in the
prior two months.
Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal had expected
personal spending to rise 0.3% in July. Income was projected to
increase 0.4%.
Consumer spending had climbed 0.5% in June, 0.3% in May and 1.1%
in April. Each of those gains matched or outpaced the month's
income growth, suggesting consumers felt comfortable splashing out
a little following two straight quarters in which the personal
saving rate was 6% or higher.
Consumers upped their savings in July, as the personal saving
rate rose to 5.7%, from an upwardly revised 5.5% in June.
Household spending accounts for more than two-thirds of economic
output in the U.S. and has been a mainstay of the expansion,
especially in recent quarters as business investment has faltered.
Consumer expenditures were a bright spot for the economy during the
second quarter, advancing at the fastest rate since late 2014. The
gain offset weaker business and government spending.
A revised estimate of gross domestic product showed the overall
economy grew at a lackluster 1.1% annual pace in the second
quarter, the Commerce Department said Friday.
Meanwhile, Monday's report showed scant signs of inflation
pressures in the economy.
The personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal
Reserve's preferred inflation measure, was flat in July from the
prior month. From a year earlier, the index was up 0.8%, its
smallest annual increase since March.
Inflation hasn't hit the Fed's 2% target for more than four
years, and in the past two years has been held down largely by low
gasoline and oil prices as well as cheaper imports. A firming of
energy prices modestly pushed up the inflation reading earlier this
year.
So-called core prices, which exclude the volatile categories of
food and energy, rose 0.1% from the prior month and were up 1.6%
from a year earlier. The annual core reading has been consistent
since March.
Fed officials are watching key metrics such as inflation and
hiring as they weigh another move on the central bank's benchmark
interest rate. Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen signaled growing
conviction in remarks to a gathering of central bankers Friday that
the central bank will raise interest rates in the coming weeks or
months. Fed officials will hold a policy meeting Sept. 20-21.
When adjusting for inflation, Monday's report showed consumer
spending rose 0.3% in July from the prior month. Inflation-adjusted
disposable personal income—income after taxes—rose 0.4%.
Write to Anna Louie Sussman at anna.sussman@wsj.com and Ben
Leubsdorf at ben.leubsdorf@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 29, 2016 09:15 ET (13:15 GMT)
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