Orange Juice Futures Retreat After Recent Run Up
28 July 2016 - 6:24PM
Dow Jones News
By Carolyn Cui
Orange juice futures pulled back on Thursday, after scoring a
four-year-and-half high early this week as traders turned their
focus to America's falling demand for the commodity.
Frozen concentrated orange juice futures for September delivery
tumbled 5.3% to $1.7980 a pound at the ICE Futures U.S. exchange.
Since late-April, orange juice prices had soared nearly 50% before
settling at $1.9325 on Tuesday, the highest price since January
2012.
Much of this year's rally has been fueled by fears for the lack
of supply, especially with the greening disease and an early
arrival of tropic storms in Florida, as well as the appreciation of
the Brazilian real, said Joe Nikruto, a senior broker at R.J.
O'Brien Futures in Chicago.
"This has been a pretty long rally; orange juice surprises a lot
of people in how trendy it can be," he said. The size of the market
has expanded as more speculators pile in.
Now, it's time for a reality check. After four early storms, the
tropical Atlantic hurricane season has been quiet since late June.
Florida, a frequent target of storms, is the world's second-largest
orange-juice producer, behind Brazil.
Earlier this week, market research company AC Nielson reported
that retail volume sales of orange juice fell by 5.7% in the four
weeks ending July 9, a steeper slide than the 4.8% decline in the
previous reporting period.
"Even with the supply challenge, even with the potential
disruptions from big storms, now what you're seeing here is just a
reminder on the actual demand side," Mr. Nikruto said.
In other markets, cotton prices were down 1.7% to 72.32 cents a
pound, and cocoa futures for September delivery edged down 0.2% to
$2,852 per ton. Raw sugar futures fell 1.7% to 18.77 cents a pound,
while coffee prices gained 0.2% to $1.4140 per pound.
Write to Carolyn Cui at carolyn.cui@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
July 28, 2016 13:09 ET (17:09 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.