WASHINGTON—President Barack Obama locked in enough support in
Congress Wednesday to ensure he can overcome bipartisan opposition
and implement a landmark nuclear accord with Iran.
More than a month after global diplomats struck an agreement
limiting Iran's nuclear activities in exchange for international
sanctions relief, the White House secured the backing of 34 Senate
Democrats—the minimum needed to guarantee the deal can advance
despite deep and divisive reservations in Congress, especially
among Republicans.
Even if Congress passes a resolution disapproving the deal when
it votes later this month, Mr. Obama is expected to veto the
resolution. Support from Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D., Md.), who is
retiring next year, means there will not be enough votes to
override that veto. The president is also expected to secure the
votes needed in the House, though he needs to sustain his veto in
just one chamber to proceed with the deal.
The moment marked a victory for an administration that has
lobbied fiercely to protect the foreign policy capstone of the
president's second term from equally determined opposition. The
level of Senate support effectively blunts the effort of
Republicans and some Jewish groups, led by the American Israel
Public Affairs Committee, to derail the accord.
But Mr. Obama's apparent victory also comes at a cost. He is now
poised to implement a critical piece of American foreign policy
without support from the majority of Congress. The Iran deal only
has partisan support from a minority of Democrats in Congress,
while a bipartisan majority opposes it.
The endorsement gave Mr. Obama a cushion of support broad enough
to win a looming veto fight with Congress. Under legislation
enacted in May, both chambers are required to vote by Sept. 17 if
they want to pass a resolution approving or disapproving the
agreement. Republicans, who control both chambers, have prepared
disapproval legislation, which is expected to pass the House and
face a tight vote in the Senate, where Democrats hope to block it
on a procedural vote.
The deal between Iran, the U.S. and five other global powers has
divided the Democratic caucus, and lawmakers' concerns over its
limitations left many grappling for weeks before reaching a
decision.
"No deal is perfect, especially one negotiated with the Iranian
regime," Ms. Mikulski wrote in a statement Wednesday. But she said
her analysis left her convinced that the agreement "is the best
option available to block Iran from having a nuclear bomb."
Democratic opposition to the agreement has come predominantly
from New York and New Jersey lawmakers with large Jewish
constituencies. Jewish groups have split over the deal, which
critics said endangers Israel by releasing new resources that Iran
may use to fund terrorist activities and that may leave Iran closer
to developing a nuclear weapon.
Liberal groups and administration officials have pushed back,
traveling often to Capitol Hill to sell lawmakers on the accord's
merits and a lack of viable alternatives.
Even before the deal was reached, the White House had decided to
focus its lobbying effort on Democrats, with Mr. Obama primarily
reaching out to lawmakers from his own party. That early game-plan
intensified in the days after the deal was announced, as
Republicans voiced opposition to the deal and the White House
became convinced the GOP would treat it as a political referendum
on the president.
With Democratic momentum building for the deal in recent weeks,
Democratic Sens. Bob Casey of Pennsylvania and Chris Coons of
Delaware both said Tuesday they would support it.
"I'm very confident that all the pathways to a nuclear weapon
are cut off," so long as the agreement is strictly enforced, Mr.
Casey said in an interview Tuesday. Mr. Casey said he spoke to
numerous White House officials, including several phone calls with
the president, over the past few months leading up to his decision.
He spoke to Secretary of State John Kerry as recently as last
week.
"In the end, a persuasive case was made that there was no other
option," Mr. Casey said.
It is not yet clear if opponents of the deal will be able to
secure the 60 votes needed for the disapproval resolution to clear
procedural hurdles in the Senate. No Republicans are expected to
support the accord and two Senate Democrats also oppose it: Charles
Schumer of New York and Bob Menendez of New Jersey.
The administration has been increasingly confident it may secure
the 41 votes needed to block the measure's passage in the Senate,
sparing the president the embarrassment of deploying a veto to
safeguard the deal.
The White House plans to focus on maintaining the support Mr.
Obama has for the deal and to continue lobbying lawmakers for
additional backing. But with the announcement of the 34th Senate
Democrat's support, the president can ease up on what has been an
intense, seven-week campaign to gain enough votes to, at minimum,
sustain his promised veto of any resolution opposing the deal.
In recent days as it appeared increasingly likely he would have
the needed votes to sustain a veto, Mr. Obama softened his tone on
what he believes would be the consequences if the agreement weren't
implemented.
For weeks, Mr. Obama argued the only alternative to the July 14
agreement is military action and cast opponents of the deal as
advocating for war against Iran. "Many of the same people who
argued for the war in Iraq are now making the case against the Iran
nuclear deal," Mr. Obama said in an Aug. 5 speech on the Iran deal.
"The choice we face is ultimately between diplomacy or some form of
war."
Yet Mr. Obama took a strikingly different approach last Friday
when asked about his sharp rhetoric for critics of the deal.
"At no point have I ever suggested, for example, that somebody
is a warmonger, meaning they want war," he said. "What I have
said—and this I don't apologize for—is that if this deal is
rejected…there has to be a better way to accomplish our goal of
making sure Iran doesn't have a nuclear weapon."
Republicans still plan to fight to pass the resolution
disapproval in both chambers, but have already begun formulating
steps to keep pressure on Iran even if the nuclear accord begins
peeling off sanctions.
"We've already seen Iran is willing to flaunt international
rules before the ink dries," Sen. Cory Gardner (R., Colo.), a
member of the Foreign Relations Committee, said in a recent
interview. Mr. Gardner said he would support renewing and expanding
sanctions on Iran for nonnuclear infractions or to punish any
cheating on the deal.
Lawmakers return to Washington next week after their annual
summer recess, and the Senate is expected to begin debating the
deal next week. The timing of a House vote is still being
determined.
Write to Kristina Peterson at kristina.peterson@wsj.com and
Carol E. Lee at carol.lee@wsj.com
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 02, 2015 12:35 ET (16:35 GMT)
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